PBR PetrobasPETROBRAS-ADR C is an integrated company operating in exploration, production, refining, retailing and transportation of petroleum and its byproducts at home and abroad.
Analysis:
This company impresses me from a financial perspective. This is a company that is managing their debt and cashflow during adverse times within an underperforming sector. I've seen that they've been having alot of activity going on this past month which indicates future sustainability when comparing their operating cashflow to their short term and long term debt scenario. Interested to see how this company performs over time!
On the daily time frame, price is currently overbought when looking at the RSI and the MACD. Even with this sentiment, the previous high was broken on the 4 hour time frame. So I took a look at the smaller time frames and it seems like price is ready to start retracing to a near support level considering that the 200 and 50 ema is crossing on the 15 min time frame and under. It looks like the gap is closing on the 1 hour and the 4 hour going down. I would like to see where price is at when the rsi is oversold and the macd reverses it current crossover. If this company continues to have stable operating and free cashflow over the next few quarters, I don't see why the share price wouldn't have positive expectancy.
I have a price target of $31 but realistically, I just price reach support and retrace the resistance.
*not advice. just an analysis.
GAS
RIG (Transocean Ltd.)Transocean LTD., formerly Transocean Inc., is an international provider of offshore contract drilling services for oil and gas wells. The company offers deepwater and harsh environment drilling, oil and gas drilling management, and drilling engineering and project management services, as well as explores, develops, and produces oil and gas resources. The company is based in Houston, Texas.
Analysis:
This company still has to show me that they can lower their operating expenses. It seems to me that most of their money is being tied up in making sure they keep their physical assets in working condition. On the Daily TF, I see price has broken out of a long downtrend and is currently over bought. I want to see where price is at once the previous low is retraced. I also want to see what their next quarter or two looks like. Im holding off, but im watching this closely. Potential top performer in a failing industry. Oil and Gas Drilling. I'm going to dig into their website to see if I can get a deeper understanding of where this company can go down the line.
ET to make a Move to the Upside SoonThe midstream "stocks" typically move predictably with their payouts. Energy Transfer is no different and is moving to a strong upside as a payment is expected in October. There's also the considerable catalyst of its acquisition of Enable Midstream Partners which will expand $ET's already extensive pipeline coverage (~90,000 miles). Buying into $ET at its present valuation is nearly theft.
Natural Gas Big Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern playing outI have spotted this pattern a bit too late, but now we are few weeks after its activation and target is only half way through. I am expecting this to hit the target before we start thinking about possible top.
What do you think? It looks like a textbook execution, I would be surprised if we fail. Now we also have broken the trendline of the previous two highs and we have printed 2 very bullish looking candles on the weekly to support this going further up, maybe even without many corrections.
On the shorter timeframe I see a cup and handle to support the move higher as well. I am very bullish on this based on these factors. Please share your view.
Natural gas going down!!!Hi, price is moving inside an ascending channel and hit the top...divergence in RSI is visible and if it doesn't break the channel we might see a good correction...use proper money management!
Gas 💣💥 $GAS #GASGas has broken a 100-day trend line and after approving the price above the trend line, it is ready to move towards the targets drawn in the chart. The resistors in front of it are also plotted in the diagram.
Currently, due to the increase in the bitcoin range and its movements, all altcoins will be affected by it. The analysis is just a series of probabilities.
I hope you find this analysis useful🌹
Follow for more...
#DYOR
💡NGAS (NAT.GAS) - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
3.400 is major support; while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades if the Midterm level 3.400 is broken.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI support #1 at 47 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A trough is formed in the daily chart at 3.730 on 08/19/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 4.650, 4.900, 5.000, and more heights are expected.
Price is above WEMA21; if a price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
The relative strength index ( RSI ) is 71.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 2.600
TP2= @ 2.750
TP3= @ 2.900
TP4= @ 3000
TP5= @ 3.150
TP6= @ 3.400
TP7= @ 3.650
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💡NGAS (NAT.GAS) - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
3.400 is major support; while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades if the Midterm level 3.400 is broken.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI support #1 at 47 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A trough is formed in the daily chart at 3.730 on 08/19/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 4.650, 4.900, 5.000, and more heights are expected.
Price is above WEMA21; if a price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
The relative strength index (RSI) is 71.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 2.600
TP2= @ 2.750
TP3= @ 2.900
TP4= @ 3000
TP5= @ 3.150
TP6= @ 3.400
TP7= @ 3.650
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$NRG: Rapid Growth in this Customer Focused Utility CompanyGuidance & Growth
NRG is reaffirming its guidance range for 2021 with respect to Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Cash from Operations and Free Cash Flow before Growth Investments (FCFbG) which excludes the full year impact of Winter Storm Uri. NRG's FCFbG for the six months ended June 30, 2021 was $768 million.
NRG has a very compelling value proposition, a unique consumer business that can deliver 15% to 20% annual growth in free cash flow per share over the next five years.
Dividend
A strong dividend growing at 7% to 9% per year. A best-in-class sustainability framework embedded in everything we do and a commitment to maintain a strong balance sheet and continue to be excellent stewards of your capital.
Technicals
You can see we've built up a strong long term base with a recent burst higher. High natural gas prices could be here to stay and NRG could benefit.
NATURAL GAS Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATURAL GAS is trading in an uptrend
But now the price is retesting a horizontal support
From where I am expecting a pullback
And a bullish reaction that would move the price up
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
Logical analysis of the price of natural gasgeneral upward trend
Rising volume supports higher prices
RSI also supports higher prices
NATGAS Gartley HarmonicNATGAS, has produced a Gartley pattern after testing resistance, could be a good time to short it down if price action agrees. Targets towards $3 could produce risk reward ratios of 1:3.
$XFLS Top Play for 2021 Green Energy/Oil/Hydrogen/GasRead below to find out why I believe this company is worth 10-20X the current Market Cap and why it is reasonable to believe it will happen in the next couple months.
$XFLS is a diversified energy company operating in Alberta, Canada and the US. X-Fuels business model has three vertical businesses doing oil production, well servicing and green energy production and technology.
Technical Analysis:
Pink Current on June 25th:
www.otcmarkets.com
Authorized shares: 1,500,000,000
Outstanding shares: 385,406,312
Float: 253,224,351
Market Cap: ~$22m
Already $1.36m in assets with expected total of ~$10m in Q2
Chart has bottomed out again on a cup and handle formation and is primed for next leg up which it has sufficiently maintained since the start of the year, moving higher and higher on each move up.
Upcoming Catalysts in August and massive revenue, assets and growth:
Q2 fins are coming with expected assets of around $10m from 3 streams: Land assets, Servicing fleet and a Drilling rig.
As well as revenue from Xfuels' owned 100% subsidiary Cycle Energy Services and Cycle Hydrocarbon Technologies on April 15, 2021:
backend.otcmarkets.com
US acquisitions are coming soon, XFLS is working on acquiring several oil & gas companies in Texas and Oklahoma.
Fins are being audited for OTCQB Up-listing in August
Lifting Cease Trade Order from Canada around October
XFLS is negotiating for Green Bitcoin/crypto mining from its gas flaring assets
Closing the $1.6m plant for hydrogen and electricity production in Alberta
Roll out of mobile Hydrogen and GTL systems this summer
All of the above found in the recent press release this month:
www.globenewswire.com
Latest filings already show $1.36m in assets:
backend.otcmarkets.com
XFLS purchased ~$1m drilling rig for horizontal and vertical wells up to 5000m deep ready for drilling late summer early fall:
otcprwire.com
XFLS already acquired 3 companies worth ~$7m
XFLS already received $1.1m in government contracts for Site Rehabilitation Program (SRP):
www.prnewswire.com
Why XFLS is primed for massive growth medium to long term:
Hydrogen market in Alberta, Canada projected to reach $100B a year:
financialpost.com
World’s largest $1.3b hydrogen complex will be built in Alberta, Canada:
www.hilltimes.com
XFLS proprietary technology is based on the most advanced technology of hydrogen production from methane with energy yield ~4X the 2020 US DOE target Link
XFLS is currently retrofitting a 6MW hydrogen and electricity plant, expecting around $9m revenue once fully operational:
www.iesj.org
Canada just launched a $1.5b hydrogen and clean fuel fund open to existing or new plants covering up to 30% of project cost and up to $150m per project:
www.greencarcongress.com
Production / Revenue / Assets:
Oil production:
Cycle Energy is currently producing ~250 BOD:
www.otcmarkets.com
www.otcmarkets.com
@ ~$65 per barrel, revenue should be ~$5.8m a year. Xfuels has a break-even cost of $25 per barrel!
pt.slideshare.net
Hydrogen and Electricity production:
Plant has a full capacity of 6MW biogas/syngas. Syngas is for hydrogen production and biogas is for electricity production. The plant should produce ~ 51,000,000 kWh/year @ $0.179 average per kWh. Revenue should be ~$9.1m a year. Also, heat energy generation ~ 36 GWh a year. Xfuels has an electricity production cost of 2 Cents kW/h!
pt.slideshare.net
Canada just launched a $1.5b hydrogen and clean fuel fund open to existing or new plants covering up to 30% of project cost and up to $150m per project:
www.greencarcongress.com
Production Enhancement and Well Abandonment Services:
The average industry maintenance charge is ~$500 per hour. with 24/7 service @ ~70% capacity, revenue should be ~$4.3m a year.
Cycle Energy Services (Now will be XFLS) had a $1.1m government contract for well abandonment & reclamation:
www.prnewswire.com
Cycle Energy has a fully equipped fleet providing well services and thanks to Cycle’s innovative recovery & optimization technology can enhance production up to 2-3x
Assets:
Financials already show $1.36m in assets, Cycle Energy is worth $5m, drilling rig ~$1m, Harvest Petroleum & Canada Express ~$2m, land assets is ~$2m. Total anticipated assets are ~$10m once Cycle assets show in Q2 (Due August 15)
Cycle Energy’s servicing fleet consists of 2 workovers, 2 Hydrovacs and a pump truck. Cycle Energy recently purchased a drilling rig capable of drilling horizontal and vertical wells up to 5000m once upgraded.
Immediate assets and revenue in Q2 should be ~$10m assets and ~$2m revenue from Cycle Energy Services.
Technology:
Since 2012, CEO and his team have been developing a proprietary XRefinery system to produces blue hydrogen, electricity and ultra-clean fuels from any carbon bearing material such as biomass/waste & natural gas:
www.youtube.com
Based on a recent study, Plasmatron is 'The most advanced technology of hydrogen production from methane'
225g(H2)/kWh energy yield VS 60g(H2)/kW via traditional steam, this is ~4X the 2020 US DOE target achieved by conventional steam!
www.iesj.org
CEO Mike McLaren and Chief Technical Officer Olev Trass have 5 patents
patents.justia.com
Based on Szego Mill that was proven to have:
30x greater volume capacity
Using up to 50% less power:
www.powderbulksolids.com
Hydrolysis Efficiency of 18%
6–11% of increase in Methane Production:
file:///C:/Users/danto/Downloads/processes-08-01327.pdf
Cycle Energy has innovative recovery and optimization technologies that could increase 2-3x current oil production levels:
www.otcmarkets.com
Conclusion:
Combining Oil Production, Hydrogen and Electricity Production (Green Energy), Well Servicing, and how $XFLS is positioned in the Alberta Hydrogen market, a market cap of ~$200M-$600M is very possible.
_________________________________________________________________
Recent Example of a Similar Play:
$ABML similar sector and a bigger S/S and almost same Fins went from .024 at the start of 2020 to $4.90 a year later in 2021 giving it an almost 4 Billion Market cap.
$XFLS run started at .0080 Jan of this year and the chart has shown an almost predictable cup and handle formation every other week or two with a steady uptrend.
EDIT:
Here's a Google doc version of this information along with relevant charts and images:
docs.google.com
DD By @StriderMH on Twitter
Hacking For Ransom- A Franchise- When’s The IPO?My phone constantly rings with solicitations for solar energy, extending the automobile warranty for cars I got rid of years ago, and with dire warnings that charges are pending against me from social security, the IRS, or other agencies. Some are annoying, but many are scams.
A few years ago, I opened an email that locked my entire computer system with a message that I would receive the key if I paid a handsome sum in Bitcoin. I chose to get rid of my hard drive and start all over again. Losing years of files was the price for an education. I have never opened a file from an unknown source since that experience. I am even extra careful with attachments from known sources these days.
The hackers have been winning
Companies have been paying- Colonial and JBS
Cryptocurrencies are untraceable
The US government says- You’re on your own
The ramifications are staggering for businesses and markets
Hackers are an ongoing and growing problem for individuals, companies, and even government agencies. Whether they sit in Russia, China, North Korea, or our own backyards, there seems to be no stopping the efforts to extract a ransom. Hackers have been attacking those with insufficient security and have become so technologically sophisticated that they can pierce cyber armor that protects data and the ability to conduct business.
The ransom business is profitable. It has a low overhead and is growing. It is disruptive and dangerous. The nefarious offshoot of technological advances is so successful that a public offering of shares in hacking companies would likely receive a high valuation and lots of interest. After all, it’s a real money maker for the culprits.
The hackers have been winning
Around two years ago, my 91-year-old dad received a phone call from someone saying he was an attorney for his grandson. The caller said my son was involved in a car accident, was in the hospital in Boston, and was under arrest for driving under the influence. He asked my father to send money immediately for his grandson’s defense. Fortunately, he called me, and I immediately called my son, who was sitting at his desk at work in New York City. The call was a scam. I called the FBI, who said they deal with this every day, and there was little they could do as the scammers use networks and phones that are untraceable.
Technology has only made law enforcement’s job more challenging. Savvy criminals have been winning. While we did not fall for the scam, many succumb as they pull on emotional drawstrings. What grandfather would not do anything to help or protect their grandchild? If one out of ten or even one hundred scamming attempts succeeds, the criminal venture is highly profitable.
Meanwhile, hacking computers take scamming to a new level. When a hacker gets inside the systems of a business or a government agency, they can extract valuable data, proprietary corporate information or shut down all business activity. The latter seems to be the most profitable as companies with little choice are paying up and forking over millions, making hackers huge winners.
Companies have been paying- Colonial and JBS
Two hacking instances in 2021 temporarily roiled commodity markets. On May 7, Colonial Pipeline, a US oil pipeline system originating in Houston, Texas carries gasoline and jet fuel to the Southeastern United States, was the victim of a ransomware cyberattack. The hack impacted computerized equipment that manages the pipeline system.
The move created fuel shortages and caused refining spreads to spike higher in mid-May.
The chart shows the spike in the gasoline crack spread to $27.30 per barrel during the week of May 10. The refining margin moved to the highest level since September 2017 as the market feared shortages and consumers in the Southeast began hoarding gasoline.
Jet fuel is a distillate oil product. The NYMEX heating oil futures contract is a proxy for other distillates like jet fuel.
The chart of the heating oil refining spreads illustrates the rise to $21.28 per barrel during the week of May 10 as the Colonial Pipeline hack created fears of shortages. Colonial Pipeline CEO Joseph Blount told the US Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs; his company paid a $4.4 million ransom on May 8, the day after the attack. The payment was in Bitcoin, the hacker’s currency of choice.
On June 1, JBS, the world’s leading beef supplier, suffered a hack of its computer networks that briefly shut down operations in the US and Australia. While the Colonial hack caused gasoline and distillate prices to spike higher, the beef markets spiked to the downside.
August feeder cattle futures dropped to a low of $1.4510 on June 1.
August live cattle futures plunged to $1.14625 per pound on fears that meat processing plants would not accept animals because of the hack.
JBS CEO Andre Nogueira said the company paid hackers an $11 million ransom “to prevent any further risks for our customers.”
Cryptocurrencies are untraceable
Some market participants and government officials believe that Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are causing a rise in hacking that holds companies and individuals hostage. Cryptocurrencies are a libertarian form of money that flies beneath the radar of government officials, central banks, and regulators. While the blockchain records transactions, they are anonymous.
Christine Lagarde, the President of the European Central Bank, and Janet Yellen, the US Treasury Secretary, have expressed concerns about the nefarious uses of cryptocurrencies long before the recent hacks.
Passions run high in digital currencies. A few years ago, JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon called Bitcoin a “fraud.” At the same time, Warren Buffett, one of the world’s preeminent value investors, said cryptocurrencies are “financial rat poison squared.” Charlie Munger, Mr. Buffet’s 97-year-old partner, doubled down and called cryptocurrencies “disgusting” and a threat to civilization in recent comments.
The lack of regulation and anonymity make Bitcoin and other cryptos a hacker’s dream.
The US government says- You’re on your own
The payment of ransom by companies that are critical parts of the US’s energy and food supply chain infrastructure is a failure of the government to protect the businesses and people they serve. Colonial and JBS pay taxes. The individuals that depend on their products pay taxes. The US government is responsible for a safe environment.
While the Biden administration promised to get to the bottom of the hacking issues, the President said that the businesses were on their own. President Biden told a reporter, “The bottom line is that I cannot dictate that the private companies do certain things relative to cybersecurity. A lot of you are very seasoned reporters; you’ve been covering this debate up on the Capitol Hill for—before I became President—and, unrelated to President Trump, just a debate internally among Senators as to whether or not the government should be assisting. And it gets into privacy issues and a whole range of things.” The ransom payments were a sign that the businesses could not wait or depend on the world’s leading democracy for assistance.
At a recent summit in Geneva, President Biden sought assistance from Russian leader Vladimir Putin as Russia is a leading source of hacking activity. Since the meeting, the hacks continue. Last week, the US leader called his Russian counterpart again to reiterate his displeasure.
The ramifications are staggering for businesses and markets
The ramifications of hacking for ransom are downright scary. If the culprits can hold a critical energy pipeline and the world’s leading beef supplier hostage, what about the US power grid, water supply, farm and logistical networks, and other critical infrastructure? When companies or individuals pay the ransom, there is no guarantee that the hackers will not demand more or refuse to provide the key so systems can operate. Moreover, a hack that takes data or proprietary information could be a gift that keeps on giving to hackers.
It seems that the anonymity of the cryptocurrency asset class only exacerbates the problem. If a hacker cannot receive untraceable payment, they will be less likely to attack. Meanwhile, infrastructure, companies, and individuals remain at risk. With more regulation on the horizon, hackers may use a closing window of opportunity to step up their nefarious activities. A massive hack could impact markets across all asset classes, not only their prices but also their continued operation. Hacking and ransom attacks are a clear and present danger that is growing. They have the potential to disrupt markets and the supply chains for essential products and services.
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Trading advice given in this communication, if any, is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that we believe are reliable. The author does not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects the author’s good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice the author provides will result in profitable trades. There is risk of loss in all futures and options trading. Any investment involves substantial risks, including, but not limited to, pricing volatility, inadequate liquidity, and the potential complete loss of principal. This article does not in any way constitute an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any investment, security, or commodity discussed herein, or any security in any jurisdiction in which such an offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.