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Bullrun📈 : Gaussian Channels + HalvingGaussian Channels: Defining Price Ranges Gaussian Channels, a technical analysis tool, provide traders with a visual representation of price movement within specific boundaries. These channels help us understand Bitcoin's typical price oscillations and set the stage for potential breakout points. The Halving Effect: Supply Reduction and Bullish Sentiment Bitcoin halving events occur approximately every four years, reducing the rewards for miners by half. Halving results in a decrease in the rate at which new Bitcoin is created, promoting scarcity and potentially driving up its value. Historically, each halving has been followed by a bullish market, indicating the correlation between these events and price surges. Breaking Bearish Structures: Shifting Market Sentiment Observing the recent break of bearish patterns is a positive sign. When a market transitions from bearish to neutral or bullish, it opens up new opportunities for traders and investors. Combined Signals: Predicting the Next Bull Run The combined signals from Gaussian Channels, Bitcoin's halving history, and a shift in bearish structures suggest that the next bull run might be approaching. Traders and investors can use these indicators to make informed decisions, prepare for potential volatility, and position themselves strategically in the market. Risk Management: A Crucial Aspect As always, risk management remains a vital component of trading and investing. The crypto market is known for its unpredictability, so it's essential to have a well-thought-out strategy and use appropriate risk mitigation techniques. Conclusion: Navigating Bitcoin's Journey The confluence of Gaussian Channels, Bitcoin's halving cycle, and the shift in bearish patterns paints an intriguing picture of what might lie ahead for the cryptocurrency. While no prediction is foolproof in the world of crypto, these indicators provide a roadmap for traders and investors. As we look forward to the potential onset of a new bull run, remember that staying informed, adapting your strategy, and managing risk are the keys to success in the ever-evolving crypto landscape. 🚀📊🌐 ❗See related ideas below❗ Don't forget to like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments! 💚🚀💚
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Yaroslav_Krasko
2
Bitcoin Weely NTV and Gaussian Channel signal accumulation timeThe idea is pretty straight forward. Some ideas are targeted at traders and others are targeted towards investors. This idea is targeted more towards investors than traders but it can be used by both. Bitcoin is a decentralized payment network while also being the name of the native currency of that network and the satoshi is the smallest unit of currency. Compare that with the SWIFT payment system which uses the dollar as currency with the cent as the smallest unit of currency. Sometimes the system is cheap to use, and sometimes the system is expensive to use based on the network fees. The NVT helps us find times when the network is undervalued in some conceptual way. What do investors want to do? Buy things when they are relatively cheap and sell them when they are relatively expensive. This NVT by aamonkey helps us do that. Likewise the weekly gaussian channel also helps us identify when something can be undervalued historically and help us with some long term planning. Perhaps you find buying underneath the red Gaussian channel to risky, because of how low prices could continue to go. Maybe wait for prices to get back inside or above, depending on your risk tolerance and how you want to manage the stress of investing or trading. Likewise the trendlines also give you some resistance to watch for break outs. I personally have some altcoins I have been watching for a while and I like how they are looking individually and against BTCUSD. I think I will be taking my investments on them for now and they will be in the linked ideas. But either way I see it as time to accumulate, so I will.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by This_Guhy
4
ETH/BTC is attempting to consolidateETH is attempting to consolidate above the 2.618 level on the monthly log chart and approaching the 21 fib zone which is a key reversal point. This maps to the beginning of August 2022... I'll be watching price action on lower time frames until then. Price is currently sitting at the 21 EMA and the 50EMA is below 2.618... If there's no clear bullish impulse above 2.618 then price is likely to retrace below this level for an extending period of time. I'm targeting the lower range of the gaussian channel if this scenario plays out. BTC will likely see upwards momentum before ETH in the next bull cycle which supports the bearish scenario for this chart
by PoeticVectors
1
Looking for a bull trap on NASDAQ/NDX/QQQ futuresPretty simple conceptually. First is the fundamental charting on the Nasdaq futures. Without a doubt the blue support line did its job very well until if failed in spectacular manner. Basic charting will have analysts looking for this trendline to act as resistance. We have a lot of global instability between sanctions, rising interest rates, gold and silver completing decades longs bullish patterns that could be triggering all times high very shorty. Talks about quantitative tightening are happening again. Comparing and contrasting the bearish case is the bullish case, and that is the fact that price has caught the lower limit of the gaussian channel and appears to be finding support there. Without a doubt, people looking for long term bounces have ben justified in buying the guassian channel midline or lower limit for a long time. So the question is what will matter more, the global financial situation or buyer absolutely commuted to BTFD? I have rotated out of the normal equities market and into those tied to commodities. I think that is a safe bet based on this draw of the Silver/NDX
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by This_Guhy
Bitcoin and Weekly Gaussian ChannelHi everyone, Thank you for considering reading my idea. Using the Gaussian Channel indicator on the weekly timeframe, we saw back in 2014 and 2018 when the channel turned red, Bitcoin does its capitulation move or a crash down to the 200 Week Moving Average (green line) Currently, we are not seeing it, at least not yet. I estimate the Gaussian line's angle to be at 25°. We need to go back above the channel to prevent the plateau. Once it plateaus to 0°, we may see that capitulation move to the 200 week moving average is around $20K-21K I'll update you once the Gaussian Channel turns red. Thank you for reading my idea. Like this idea and follow me for more ideas like this. NFA . TAYOR. DYOR. Cheers, Juvs
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Juvssss
Bitcoin "Normal" Bear Market TargetingTLDR: We have at least another 40-50% downside if the pattern holds Introduction Bitcoin and crypto has some fierce bear markets that can really affect people's psychology. To that end I think it would be helpful to show people a general pattern I have noticed and have been using to help me do my personal battle planning. Two Simple Indicators The NVT by aamonkey This version of the NVT dynamically paints zones on the NVT so you can recognize when the price of bitcoin is high or low compared to the number of transactions it is pushing through. Despite all the noise about what bitcoin is, the blockchain is a decentralized payment network and the currency of that network can either be expensive or cheap compared to the number of transactions being run on the network. When the NVT enters the red area it is a sign that a bubble is going to form and there are going to be a lot of of higher highs inbound. Once price has gotten above the upper red limit the party is about over. When it reenters the yellow band the bear market begins in earnest. Lots of trades can happen but ultimately the direction is down. Historically accumulation begins when the NVT is in the green. When the NTV starts to make its way out of the green area accumulation is broadly done and the cycle begins again. The Gaussian Channel The Gaussian channel default has a look back period of over 144, which means it is a very slow and very lagging indicator for what the average price was. So if price is at the center line of the the channel then the average price of bitcoin was roughly the same over 144 periods. Price is now below the centerline, which means that it is roughly down over the last 144 periods. When price falls out the bottom of the channel the channel turns red and we can expect a 40-50% drop. Limited Conclusions First, my conclusions are limited by the short life span of Bitcoin and the lookback periods of the indicators being used. The NVT can be used on lower time frames to find moments where the network is undervalued and therefor a buy to value investors but it still doesn't look proper on the first two years of available data. Second, there is this disturbing rising wedge formation on bitcoin as shown in purple. Since these wedges break down the majority of the time my assumption is that this one will likewise break down. That means that investors looking to use what has worked the last two cycles could be in for a nasty surprise. more indecision comes because bitcoin could have a melt up once it What I am doing and why I believe in charts and patterns. As such I am only taking shorts on crypto and have only had 3-4 long margin trades over the last year and some of them were absolute busts. One reason I became bearish is consolidation patterns did not resolve themselves bullishly or they turned out to be reversal patterns and when that happens it takes a while for the bearish energy to work its way out of the system. I am taking the portion of my paycheck that I use for crypto trading and using it to fund shorts and I don't have any crypto other than stable coins. I am going to be using my targeting on the double top pattern to stop me from being too greedy on my shorts. Once the price gets close to the 1.618 to 2 level on the fib retracement, which is near wedge support it would be reckless to short open new shorts considering a bounce would be very likely. A move from 15,000 to 35,000 is very doable with a short squeeze. Until I see a bullish pattern that is bigger than the purple rising wedge I am going to watch for the weekly NVT to go through the cycle and I don't feel like accumulating, I will wait for price to fight its way into the Gaussian channel and for the NVT to get out of the green. Here is a key point: rising wegdes that don't break down fully often were part of a channel. If I see price action finding support on the channel then that would be a larger chart pattern than the rising wedge and I can play that. Likewise the Keltner Channel and 200 week SMA have been great support before. If they appear to be working then I will look at putting on some long margin trades, but I don't see myself investing and holding crypto for a while. [b/Abnormal Bear Market The bottom of the wedge is the target for a mega bear market. This would probably mean that the Nasdaq bubble pops again and loses over 90% of its value. Commodities soar and people spend a fortune on making sure they can afford the bottom layer of Maslows Hierarchy of needs. If you don't need it for food or shelter, and it isn't addictive it will be sold off. Linked Ideas A broader view on why I am so bearish.
BNC:BLXShort
by This_Guhy
9
$BTC #Bitcoin 5 Day Chart of the Gaussian Channel (Caution)The Gaussian Channel 5 Day time frame $BTC #Bitcoin Chart. As you can see price has been bouncing of the top of the channel (Look right). In the history of BTC (Look left) when there is a candle body close below the top part of the channel this signaled a pro longed Bear Market of not less than 1 year. Key level to hold on the 5 day chart is $36,600.00 (Price is now at $32,800.00). In 1 Day & 15 hr's time price could be in the channel with a candle body close and this could be catastrophic for $BTC #Bitcoin. What we want is a bounce and a candle body close above the top of the channel and not a candle body close below the top of the channel. We will have to watch this closely in the next few day's to determine what happens next for the $BTC #Bitcoin Price
BNC:BLX
by HybridTraderX
Using the Gaussian Channel IndicatorWithin the green circles touches on the Gaussian channel can be seen, well, clearly on the first one, the second one is a bit above. This is a great bounce area for price as price is in a full bull trend, as shown by the Gaussian indicator. This is the chart for BANDUSDT, and if this second circle acts as a touch on the Gaussian indicator a strong bounce upward could occur. And if history holds any merit, a 4000% move up could be in play. Above is a chart that has a link to this indicator in the comments. It is very helpful.
by Bixley
4
COVID-19 pandemic and not epidemic, exponential ant not gaussianThe COVID-19 is pandemic and not epidemic because it touches all continents all around the world. It is exponential ant not gaussian because there is a second wave in a lot of countries. But maybe the first wave never stopped, and we are testing more and more people. Maybe the curve with continue to grow but start to flatten, nobody is able to predict the future. Just don't bet against the trend, apply the maximum security to yourselves and only yourselves (until it goes to 0 with 100% of recover and 0% of death ?). There is not plot, nobody is lying, governments and people have just no ideas of what will happen because we are facing something imprecise.
CLong
by Nugacity_Fracedinous
What Path For SPX? With the entire world a bit shaken by everything in it including the S&P 500 Index now would be a good time to see how the market has previously turned the corner after being clipped by a “Black Swan”. I’ll start with the monthly chart which will update monthly, weekly, daily, etc. Technical Indicators I enjoy using include moving averages, Williams Alligator, Gaussian Channels and occasionally the VSRS. I might also use ADX and RSI, occasionally. This chart includes a reversed Fibonacci Retracement Scale along with both Elliott Impulse and Correction Waves retracements of the SPX going back to August of 1982 to help us keep a calm and level mind going forward. If you take notice you will see the market is still well above the blue 100 EMA however you can observe the market has been below it several times in the history of the SPX as well as the red 200 EMA. You might also recognize the Elliot characteristics in the Elliott Impulse Wave from Aug 2009 up to the past ATH of 3393. Notice point 2 does not drop below point 0 at (c), that leg 3 is the longest, that leg 1 and 5 closely match in length and that it is also the start of the Elliott Correction Phase. Is there anything that could substantiate that? There is. The Elliot Correction Phase has undeniably begun. The low for March was a measly 162 points above being a full 50% Fib Retracement. That same low also dove below the last Elliott Impulse Wave 5. The refreshing thing I think is the Elliott Correction Wave is a simple path to follow. Hope to see all of you as we progress forward. Remember. This is not trading advice. Please engage the like button and add your comments below, Follow me if you wish, share it if you want.
TVC:SPXEducation
by Flatratepete