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Gbp-aud

Joe Gun2Head Trade - Double top on GBPAUDTrade Idea: Selling GBPAUD Reasoning: Double top on GBPAUD Entry Level: 1.7643 Take Profit Level: 1.7240 Stop Loss: 1.7830 Risk/Reward: 2.14:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Short
by Signal_Centre
1
Gbpaud could see more down side next weekWe could be seeing pullback if any for us to go on short! **Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week** *************************************************************************************** Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Thank you! Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
Short
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
3
Buying GBPAUD trend of higher lows.GBPAUD - 22h expiry - We look to Buy at 1.7875 (stop at 1.7805) Previous support located at 1.8000. Previous resistance located at 1.8075. Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. Our profit targets will be 1.8075 and 1.8100 Resistance: 1.8075 / 1.8100 / 1.8125 Support: 1.8000 / 1.7900 / 1.7875 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Long
by Saxo
1
GBPAUD: Your Trading Plan For Today 🇬🇧🇦🇺 Hey traders, GBPAUD is approaching a rising trend line on a daily. The price formed an inverted head & shoulders pattern on that on 1H time frame. 1.7937 - 1.7953 is its horizontal neckline. To buy with a confirmation, wait for its bullish breakout (hourly candle close above that). Then, buy aggressively or on a retest. Targets will be 1.8033 / 1.8075 If the price sets a new low, the setup will be invalid. ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Long
by VasilyTrader
5
Buying GBPAUD at current levels.GBPAUD - 21h expiry - We look to Buy at 1.7875 (stop at 1.7805) Previous support located at 1.7900. Previous resistance located at 1.8000. Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart. Risk/Reward is good to call a buy from current levels. A move through 1.8000 will confirm the bullish momentum. Our profit targets will be 1.8075 and 1.8100 Resistance: 1.8000 / 1.8075 / 1.8100 Support: 1.7900 / 1.7875 / 1.7825 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
GBP AUD - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSGBP FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BEARISH BASELINE A looming recession has been a key source of Pound weakness and has kept pressure on Sterling despite ongoing BoE hikes. But there is a new threat in focus. It seems the PM’s new fiscal plan, even though putting downside pressure on inflation and lowering growth risks, has drastically increased debt concerns. The disorderly move in Gilt yields were enough to force the BoE’s to step in with a limited (both in time and size) bond buying intervention plan. This has brought some calm to the angst but being limited won’t be enough to fix the fiscal concerns. It was another volatile week for Sterling as a result of the political uncertainty with the resignation of PM Truss. In the week ahead we only have S&P Global PMIs to watch on the data side, but all focus and attention will be on the leadership race to see which 2 or 3 candidates will meet the minimum 100 nominations to put their names in the hat. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES With recession the base assumption, any incoming data that surprises meaningfully higher could trigger relief for the GBP. With focus on stagflation, any downside surprises in CPI or factors that decrease inflation pressures are expected to support the GBP and not pressure it. If massive disorderly moves in Gilts forces the BoE to step up as the buyer of last resorts that could trigger GBP upside. If either Johnson or Sunak gets enough nominations that could ease some of the pressure from the Pound. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES With recession the base assumption, any material downside surprises in growth data can still trigger short-term pressure. With focus on stagflation, any upside surprises in CPI or factors that increase more inflation pressures are expected to weigh on the GBP and not support it. If we have big disorderly moves in Gilts but the BoE reiterates, they won’t intervene again that could put pressure on GBP. Any outcome that increases the likelihood of a general election should increase the risk premium in the GBP. BIGGER PICTURE The fundamentals for Sterling remain bearish . Recession is around the corner (might be in one already), and the new fiscal plan has failed to provide any assurances for investors (even though we think the negative reaction is not completely warranted). Even though flash PMI data will be important to watch as always, the political situation will likely overshadow the econ data as all eyes will be on the leadership race to see who will win the race as the UK’s next PM. AUD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: NEUTRAL BASELINE Ongoing issues with China’s economy remain a question mark for the AUD. As long as China’s potential for recovery remains uncertain, the path for the AUD remains the same. The RBA surprised this past week with a 25bsp hike, sparking some speculation that the bank could be finalizing their hiking cycle sooner than expected (STIR markets priced out close to 75bsp from the terminal rate after the decision). As always risk sensitivity needs to be kept in mind for the AUD, and that means Q3 earnings season needs to be kept on the radar this incoming week. On the data side markets will be eyeing the QQ CPI print as well. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES Data showing China’s growth outlook is improving or surprise announcement at the CCP congress that Covid-zero will end could provide upside for the AUD. As a risk sensitive currency, catalysts that causes big bouts of risk on sentiment could trigger bullish reactions in the AUD. Catalyst that triggers recovery in key export commodities (China stimulus, lifting covid restrictions, new infrastructure projects in China) should be supportive for the AUD. The RBA caught markets by surprise with their 25bsp hike this past week. Any push back from the RBA stressing a smaller hike doesn’t mean a lower terminal rate can be AUD positive. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES Data showing China’s growth outlook is deteriorating or strong affirmation that the covid-zero policy is here to stay could add additional pressure on the AUD. As a risk sensitive currency, catalysts that causes big bouts of risk off sentiment could trigger bearish reactions in the AUD. Catalyst that triggers further weakness in key export commodities (additional China restrictions, demand destruction) could be negative for the AUD. The RBA caught markets by surprise with their 25bsp hike this past week. Any push back from the RBA stressing a smaller hike doesn’t mean a lower terminal rate can be AUD positive. BIGGER PICTURE The AUD’s outlook remains neutral but is largely dependent on China and whether key commodities like Iron Ore and Coal can stop their bleeding. Until the covid situation and property issues in China improves materially, and until commodities and China’s growth stabilizes, the AUD is best suited for short-term trades in line with strong short-term sentiment. For the week ahead the focus is threefold with earnings season in the US an important risk sentiment driver, secondly, we have quarterly CPI data due on Wednesday and the Federal Budget due on Tuesday.
by thunderpips
1
GBPAUD Buy opportunity and reversal levelsThe GBPAUD pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since March 15. At the moment the price is on the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the pattern, below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) with the 1D RSI on the 30.000 oversold level. That should be considered a short-term opportunity by itself towards the top of the Channel. But even from a longer-term perspective, the last time we had those exact same set of parameters take place was during the Channel Down that started on June 2020. As you see that pattern also made a -6% Lower Low from its last High and once the 1D RSI hit the 30.000 oversold level, the price rebounded, gradually above the 1D MA50 and then the 1D MA200 to break above the Channel and eventually make a top on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. As a result, as long as the current Channel Down is intact, we expect a new multi-month rally towards the 1.5 Fib which is at 1.85500. Since the bearish trend is that strong, especially today, it would be best to take that trade upon confirmation, after the price closes above the 1D MA50. Confirmation is needed because in the event of a break below the Channel's bottom (Lower Lows trend-line), we can see the price target the -0.382 Fibonacci extension at 1.613520. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoyed this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant and support me and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
3
Gbpaud at a key level to holdIf GA can't hold 1.69 ...likely more downside to come... *************************************************************************************** Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Thank you! Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
Short
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
2
Short term relief on GBPAUDGBPAUD - Intraday - We look to Buy at 1.7000 (stop at 1.6930) Previous support located at 1.7000. Previous resistance located at 1.7100. Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 1.7000, resulting in improved risk/reward. A move through 1.7100 will confirm the bullish momentum. Our profit targets will be 1.7200 and 1.7225 Resistance: 1.7100 / 1.7150 / 1.7200 Support: 1.7050 / 1.7000 / 1.6950 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.'
Long
by OANDA
💵British Pound/Australian Dollar💵 Analyze(Short term)!!!British Pound/Australian Dollar was able to make a Falling wedge & Inverse Head and Shoulder near the Heavy Support zone!!! British Pound/Australian Dollar can touch at least the upper line of the falling wedge in the next few days. Also, we can see the Regular Divergence (RD+) between Price and MACD Indicator. 🔅British Pound/Australian Dollar Analyze (GBPAUD) Timeframe 4H⏰ Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position that you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
1
GBPAUD Strong buy on a monthly basisThe GBPAUD pair has started the week on a strong note, with the current 1W candle being the longest green (so far) since September 21 2020. That shows incredible buying sentiment especially following a 1W MACD Bullish Cross and the 1W RSI being on Higher Lows since April 04 2022. When the price is on Lower Lows, as is the case now, this is a Bullish Divergence potentially indicating a trend shift upwards. We saw the very same set of parameters align back in the July - December 2020 sequence. After a Support re-test, the price started a strong long-term uptrend above the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. If you are on this for the long-term, there are few better levels to buy and target the 1.5 Fib at 1.8340. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by TradingShot
Trader thoughts - is a major bear trend in GBPAUD on the cards?Looking at the calendar for the coming week, Aussie wages and employment, and UK CPI jump out as event key risks and potential price catalysts. You can see the expectations in the calendar, but one should consider how they will affect rates pricing and how this impacts the FX markets. As it stands the market feels on balance that we’ll get a 50bp hike from both the BoE and RBA at their respective September central bank meetings, with the RBA expected to hike 150bp cumulative this year, and the BoE 120bp. One way we can assess this is by relative expected interest rate differentials, or through short-term bond yield differentials – the 2-year maturity is a good place to start. We can see that the yield advantage to hold Aussie bonds over UK gilts (unhedged) is providing an element of support for the AUD, but a simple overlap between the UK–Aus 2-year bond yield spread and GBPAUD has diverged and GBPAUD trades at a reasonable discount to where the spread resides. Taking a tactical view - while we know the Aussie labour market has been strong for some time, it feels as though the market will be far more shocked by a poor jobs number than a strong level of job creation. Aussie wages are naturally the backbone of inflationary pressures, so this data point counts, and we know the RBA forecast CPI inflation at 7.75% by Dec-22 – so big numbers here could put that forecast under review. Either way, it’s hard to see a world where we get more than 50bp in Sept from the RBA, but a big number – say 2.9% - 3% - and we’ll see hikes in 2023 lift sharply. Credit Suisse are the outlier call with a 3.2% estimate, which if comes to fruition will light up the AUD. UK CPI could be quite influential – we know the BoE is forecasting inflation to breach 13%, so a number north of 10% here could get the GBP fired up. A number below 9.5% could bring out good GBP sellers – granted inflation is still at very high levels, but we’re talking nuance, and GBP will fall on a decent miss. What’s important here is the flow of capital and how traders see things here and now – we see in the daily chart that GBPAUD is breaking down through the 1.7830 to 1.7200 range. Is this significant? Is this the start of a more bearish trend and a new lower range? It certainly feels like this could be the case. Range breaks naturally get more meaning when the range is mature in duration, as is the case here – to me, this feels significant. Is 1.7000 by next Friday out of the question?
Short
by Pepperstone