Sell GBP/CHF Bearish ChannelThe GBP/CHF pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1186, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1110
2nd Support – 1.1072
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GBP (British Pound)
EURGBP - BOE decisions will make the GBP rise!?The EURGBP currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. In case of an upward correction due to economic data this week, we can see a supply zone and resell within that zone with a suitable risk reward. Reaching the demand zone of this currency pair will lead to scalp buying opportunities.
The UK energy regulator has approved a £2 billion funding package to build a high-voltage “electricity superhighway” beneath the North Sea. This project, known as the “Eastern Green Link 1,” involves laying 196 kilometers of cable to transfer wind power from Scotland to northern England. The initiative is expected to supply electricity to approximately two million homes.
Rachel Reeves, the UK’s finance minister, stated that the government aims to achieve broad and resilient economic growth. She also reaffirmed the Bank of England’s target of maintaining a 2% inflation rate.
Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, noted that inflation in the services sector remains above levels compatible with the inflation target. He stressed the need for close monitoring of this sector, as it reflects labor market developments. Bailey further mentioned that a gradual approach to easing monetary policy restrictions would help manage inflation-related risks more effectively.
Meanwhile, the European Commission has warned of heightened risks in its economic outlook due to the war in Ukraine, tensions in the Middle East, and protectionist trade policies. The Commission estimates Germany’s GDP growth to rise by 0.7% in 2025, down from an earlier forecast of 1.0%. Additionally, public debt in the Eurozone is expected to increase from 89.1% in 2024 to 90.0% by 2026. Inflation rates are projected at 2.4% for 2024, 2% for 2025, and 1.9% for 2026.
A Bloomberg survey revealed that economists now believe Germany may face a second consecutive year of declining output. Analysts expect Germany’s GDP to shrink by 0.1% in 2024 following a 0.3% contraction in 2023.A month ago, predictions still pointed to an economic slowdown only for this year.
Fabio Panetta, a member of the European Central Bank (ECB), stated that persistent weakness in domestic demand might drive inflation below 2%. He suggested that the ECB should consider shifting toward a neutral or even expansionary monetary policy. Panetta noted that the Eurozone economy remains weak, with no turning point visible in the manufacturing sector. He emphasized the need for the ECB to adopt a forward-looking approach, as excessive tightening of current monetary policies is no longer necessary.
Robert Müller, another ECB official, remarked that there is no need for larger-scale measures at this time. He also hinted at the possibility of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December.
Potential bullish bounce off overlap support?GBP/JPY is currently on the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 195.67
1st Support: 194.09
1st Resistance: 198.19
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY First 1D Golden Cross after 19 months. Strong BUY.The GBPJPY pair is forming today a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, the first such pattern in exactly 19 months (April 21 2023). Naturally this is a huge bullish signal alone, as technically the Golden Cross calls for upside action. But more specifically for this pair's price action, it indicates the high probability of an immediate aggressive push as the current formation is very similar to the April 2023 one.
As you can see, both were trading within a Channel Up up to the moment of the Golden Cross, having started after a 1W MA100 (red trend-line) test. The 1D CCI trading on Higher Lows below -100.00 (oversold) is a confirmation that the price Channel Up breaks aggressively to the upside.
The previous Golden Cross pushed the price just above the 3.0 Fibonacci extension, to a +18.40% rise. Throughout this time, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting the uptrend.
As a result, we turn long now on GBPJPY, targeting 215.000 (just above the 3.0 Fib extension).
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GBPCHF Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPCHF is below:
The market is trading on 1.1149 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.1202
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1119
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBP/USD Breakout to 1.2777 or rejection to 1.2666?This chart displays the GBP/USD pair on the 1-hour timeframe currently leaning bullish, as the price has shown strength approaching the resistance.
The price is currently testing a key resistance zone around the 1.2689-1.2700 level, with potential bullish momentum indicated by the recent rally.
If the price breaks above the resistance zone and closes beyond 1.2700, it could indicate a continuation toward the next resistance level at 1.2777
GBPUSD forming a bottom?GBPUSD - 24h expiry
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 1.2630.
We look to Buy at 1.2630 (stop at 1.2590)
Our profit targets will be 1.2730 and 1.2760
Resistance: 1.2700 / 1.2750 / 1.2800
Support: 1.2630 / 1.2600 / 1.2570
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBPNZD - Will the pound continue to rise?!The GBPNZD currency pair is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. In case of a downward correction, we can see the demand zone and buy this currency pair in that range with the appropriate risk reward. Breaking the ceiling of the descending channel will provide the way for this currency pair to rise to the specified resistance range.
Barclays Institute Remains Optimistic About the British Pound’s Growth Until 2025
Key highlights of the analysis are as follows:
• Strengthening ties between the UK and the European Union are expected to provide long-term support for the British economy and pound, boosting its positive outlook.
• The financial packages announced by the UK government, amounting to approximately 1% of GDP, have stimulated domestic demand and delayed the Bank of England’s (BoE) interest rate cut cycle.
• A critical uncertainty lies in whether higher labor costs will lead to inflationary pressures or a reduction in employment, both of which could impact supply.
• The UK’s trade deficit in goods with the United States indicates that, compared to the Eurozone, Britain is less exposed to the direct risks of potential US tariffs. This creates a favorable distinction for the pound over the euro.
Barclays predicts that the pound will maintain a positive trajectory through 2025, supported by fiscal resilience, limited exposure to tariff risks, and structural improvements in UK-EU relations. These factors position the pound for gains against both the dollar and the euro, though uncertainties related to labor costs remain a critical factor to monitor.
Remarks by Ramsden:
Ramsden, a member of the Bank of England, noted that wage growth is more likely to align closer to 2% rather than 4%. He highlighted that the economy is on track to return to normalcy, with inflation stabilizing at a low level and expected to continue this trend.
In the short term, inflation is anticipated to remain near the target, while in the long term, it could fall significantly below it. However, the impact of higher social insurance taxes on key economic indicators like prices, wages, and unemployment remains unclear.
New Zealand’s Economic Outlook:
Meanwhile, New Zealand’s Treasury has forecast a deeper economic downturn, which is placing greater pressure on tax revenues. According to Dominic Stephens, the Treasury’s chief economic advisor, the economic contraction has been sharper than expected, posing serious challenges for the government’s efforts to reduce its budget deficit.
Recent evidence suggests that economic and fiscal forecasts, set to be released on December 17, will likely be further downgraded. Data indicates that New Zealand consumers are spending less than they did last year, and businesses remain pessimistic about their economic prospects.
GBPCHF Buy Trade IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart GBPCHF HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPCHF analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPCHF market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPCHF Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBP/CAD Breaks Uptrend Line: Is a Downward Movement Imminent?The GBP/CAD pair has exhibited considerable strength since April 2024, climbing steadily until it reached key resistance at approximately 1.8070. This resistance area is close to the highest level seen since 2018, when GBP/CAD traded around 1.8400.
Following its engagement with resistance on the daily chart, the price began to show signs of exhaustion. On 12 November, the pair broke below its established uptrend line, indicating a potential reversal or, at the very least, a deeper corrective pullback in the short term.
Support and Resistance Context
Historically, once a support level is breached, it often transforms into resistance. Thus, the area where GBP/CAD broke the uptrend line may now act as a barrier preventing further price increases.
Resistance and Fibonacci Confluence
The breakout point of the ascending trendline now corresponds to the zone between the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels of the recent downward movement. This area, which previously provided support to the price, is positioned to play a vital role as resistance during any corrective phase.
Potential Selling Opportunity
The break below the trendline indicates a potential weakening in bullish momentum. A retracement to the 38.2% to 50% Fibonacci region would constitute a healthy correction, allowing sellers to position themselves at a key technical confluence.
This retracement area aligns with the prior breakout point of the trendline and coincides with a newly established resistance level, significantly increasing the likelihood of price rejection.
Sell Entry : A viable selling opportunity may arise if the price retraces to the 1.7870 to 1.7930 zone and displays signs of rejection, such as the formation of a Pin Bar or Engulfing candlestick pattern on the daily chart.
Target Projections : The initial target could be set at the recent low of 1.7700, with a further extension down to 1.7300, where the price may find new support. Notably, the 1.7300 level represents a crucial historical resistance that could now serve as significant support.
Stop Loss : A protective stop loss should be positioned above the 1.8070 level, the historical resistance, to shield against a potential reversal in the upward trend.
An alternative scenario
While the resistance observed on the daily chart is significant, traders should remain vigilant for a potential breakout above this level, as it could propel the GBP/CAD towards the next resistance target of around 1.8400. Additionally, the upcoming release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the British Pound on Wednesday is a crucial factor to consider, as it may set the tone for future monetary policies in the UK.
If inflation comes in higher than anticipated, it could lead to a more restrictive monetary policy in the medium term. Should this occur, GBP/CAD might break through the resistance level and continue its upward trajectory on the daily chart.
In this scenario, a buying opportunity could materialise if the CPI data exceeds expectations and the price successfully breaks above the resistance level. An initial target for this trade would be the 1.8400 region, where the price may encounter additional resistance.
In Summary
GBP/CAD is at an important level in the daily chart, with both Buying and Selling possibilities depending on what comes next. From a technical point of view, a Sell opportunity can appear if the price respects the 1.7870 ~ 1,7930 region.
A buying opportunity could appear depending on Consumer Price Index data to be released on Wednesday and the breakout of a resistance level at 1.8200.
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74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Falling towards 78.6% Fibonacci support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support that lines up with the 78.6% and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.2549
1st Support: 1.2376
1st Resistance: 1.2686
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2528
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is an overlap support which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2335
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 1.2676
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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GBPCHF Is Approaching The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPCHF for a buying opportunity around 1.11400 zone, GBPCHF is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.11400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPCHF On The Rise! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GBPCHF next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1191
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1260
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURGBP Is Approaching The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.84100 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.84100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBP/CHF SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s red candle means that for us the GBP/CHF pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 1.133.
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GBPNZD: Turning bearish if the 1D MA50 breaks.GBPNZD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.440, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 26.806), trading right over its 1D MA50. If broken, it will be the validation of the new bearish wave of the 1 year Channel Down. The 1D RSI is forming the very same Arc pattern as the May bearish wave. Upon validation, we will get short and aim for the 1D MA200, over the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 2.12500).
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EURGBP to find sellers at market price?EURGBP - Intraday
The primary trend remains bearish.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
20 1day EMA is at 0.8338.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
We look to Sell at 0.8338 (stop at 0.8362)
Our profit targets will be 0.8278 and 0.8268
Resistance: 0.8320 / 0.8345 / 0.8370
Support: 0.8307 / 0.8290 / 0.8260
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.