GBP (British Pound)
EUR/GBP Bullish Flag (18.3.25)The EUR/GBP pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.8433
2nd Resistance – 0.8448
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GBP/USD Bullish Breakout AnalysisThe GBP/USD currency pair has successfully broken above a key bullish trendline, signaling potential further upside momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are gaining control, and the pair could continue its upward movement toward the next resistance levels.
Current Market Structure & Key Levels:
Breakout Confirmation: The pair has breached the bullish trendline resistance, indicating renewed bullish strength.
Immediate Resistance: The price is currently facing a strong resistance level at 1.28120. This level is critical as it could act as a temporary hurdle before further upside movement.
Break & Continuation: If GBP/USD successfully breaks and holds above 1.28120, we can expect bullish continuation toward the next upside targets at 1.28700 and 1.29650.
Support Levels: In case of a retracement, the pair might find support at the previously broken trendline, which could now act as a demand zone.
Technical Outlook:
Momentum Shift: The breakout of the trendline suggests a shift in momentum favoring buyers.
Volume Confirmation: If the breakout is accompanied by increasing trading volume, it will further strengthen the bullish bias.
Fundamental Factors: Any economic data releases related to GBP or USD, as well as central bank decisions, could influence price action and confirm or invalidate the breakout.
Trading Plan:
A confirmed break and retest of 1.28120 could provide a good buying opportunity with upside targets of 1.28700 and 1.29650.
A failure to break this resistance may result in a temporary pullback before another attempt at a breakout.
Traders should monitor price action, volume, and potential news catalysts to validate the breakout for further bullish continuation.
GBP/CHF "Pound vs Swiss" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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however I advise to placing the Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or placing the Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 1.12700 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / Swing Low or High level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 1.15500 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
GBP/CHF "Pound vs Swiss" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔶 Fundamental Analysis
The GBP/CHF exchange rate is influenced by the UK's economic growth, inflation, and interest rates, as well as Switzerland's economic performance. Currently, the UK's economy is experiencing moderate growth, with a slight increase in inflation
🔷 Macroeconomic Analysis
The Bank of England has maintained a hawkish stance, with interest rates expected to remain high in the short term. This has led to a strengthening of the British pound. On the other hand, the Swiss National Bank has kept interest rates at historic lows, supporting the economy.
🔶 COT Data Analysis
The Commitments of Traders (COT) report shows that commercial traders are net short, while non-commercial traders are net long. This indicates a potential trend reversal.
💫COT Data Changes (February 4 - February 11, 2025)
Institutional Traders: Increased long positions by 5%, decreased short positions by 3%.
Retail Traders: Increased short positions by 2%, decreased long positions by 1%.
Large Banks: Increased long positions by 4%, decreased short positions by 2%.
💫Upcoming COT Data (February 18, 2025)
Expected Changes: Institutional traders may increase long positions, retail traders may decrease short positions.
Market Sentiment: Bullish sentiment expected to increase.
💫COT Data Trends
Long-term Trend: Institutional traders have maintained a net long position since January 2025.
Short-term Trend: Retail traders have increased short positions over the past two weeks.
🔷 Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment is slightly bullish, with 55% of traders holding long positions. Institutional traders are holding long positions, while hedge funds are holding short positions. Retail traders are also holding long positions.
🔶 Market Sentiment by Trader Type
- Institutional Traders: 60% bullish, 40% bearish
- Hedge Funds: 55% bearish, 45% bullish
- Retail Traders: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
🔷 Positioning Data Analysis
Institutional traders are holding long positions, while corporate traders are holding short positions. Banks are maintaining a bearish stance.
🔶 Overall Outlook
The GBP/CHF exchange rate is expected to remain volatile in the short term, with a slight bullish bias due to the UK's economic growth and inflation. However, the pair's movement will largely depend on the overall performance of the UK and Swiss economies, as well as global economic trends
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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GBPCHF long – running at +25 pips but looking towards +1600It was in Sep 2022 that this pair made its (ATL) low at 1.01563. Since then, it meandered rather aimlessly (largely consolidating) but made a couple of higher lows. A double top was formed in July 2024, but that ended in a higher low. Here, began an uptrend that I believe is still intact. In Sep 2024 it slipped into a range as shown in the blue rectangle and has recently broken out of it to the upside. Price has been rather consistently above the (daily) 20ema this entire year and is not over-extended either.
PA at this time is not neat, plenty of wicks on both sides (check your daily chart). This is not what trend traders like to see, yet it does seem that the bulls are gaining control. This could be the early phase of a long bull trend or price could hit a resistance and fall down again. I would say that this is a high-risk trade at the moment.
I have taken a (small) long position already but will look to close it just before 1.1640 resistance. If, however, there is break above and pull back to that level, I will conclude that this pair is now firmly bullish and will target 1.3030 with a full position size (or multiple positions). That is a long way away and will be a good test of patience and nerves.
All this can be speculation too, but my risk is extremely limited right now – something well within my comfort zone.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
GBP/USD Channel Breakout (14.03.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2890
2nd Support – 1.2862
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Bearish drop?GBP/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 191.34
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 192.02
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 190.21
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that line sup with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPCHF Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPCHF below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1451
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1386
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1486
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD to continue in the upward move?GBPUSD - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bullish.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
A lower correction is expected.
We look to buy dips.
Bespoke support is located at 1.2900.
We look to Buy at 1.2900 (stop at 1.2870)
Our profit targets will be 1.2990 and 1.3020
Resistance: 1.2970 / 1.2990 / 1.3020
Support: 1.2915 / 1.2860 / 1.2820
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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GBP/CHF Channel Pattern (13.03.25)The GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.1490
2nd Resistance – 1.1540
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Bullish bounce?GBP/JPY is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 191.22
1st Support: 190.49
1st Resistance: 192.46
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish momentum to extend?GBP/CAD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce tot he 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.8515
1st Support: 1.8403
1st Resistance: 1.8751
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?EUR/GBP is falling towards the support which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce tot he 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8387
1st Support: 0.8355
1st Resistance: 0.8452
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBP/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so GBP-CHF is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 1.135.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bullish continuation?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8403
1st Support: 0.8367
1st Resistance: 0.8442
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?EUR/GBP is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8441
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.8473
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.8403
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into overlap resistance?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that is an overlap resistance that is slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3045
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.3264
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.2812
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPJPY High chance of rejection to new market low.GBPJPY is basically consolidating around its MA50 (4h), staying under the January 24th lower highs trend line.
The pattern is very similar to February 4th, which shortly after collapsed to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 186.500 (the 1.618 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is also priting the exact same pattern as late January.
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GBPCHF Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPCHF.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.132.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.137 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBP/USD Double Top (11.03.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Double Top Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2784
2nd Support – 1.2724
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Thank you.