R2F Weekly Analysis - 1st June 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. Without any prior preparations on the chart, I'm going to go through various pairs, and giving a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends before the new week. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what i'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
If you are lazy to watch the video, which is your loss as you will miss how I analyse the market:
We are at a new month, the month of June. I am still monitoring how the DXY acts this month to validate the monthly SIBI I've been talking about to turn into an iFVG. However, on the lower timeframes it looks very much like lower prices are in the making, which would be bullish for XXXUSD pairs and vice versa for USDXXX pairs.
- R2F
GBP (British Pound)
Gbpusd should be one of them for long if USD weakens..Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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GBPCHF: Bulls to continue pulling upwards! OANDA:GBPCHF
GBP has been bullish since last few months especially from the beginning of the year 2024, it is also notable to see how bearish is chf. Going forward, we expect price to continue bullish and it hitting our target is almost certain. Please wait for price to come to our area once it does, please take the trade with accurate risk management.
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Team Setupsfx_
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 12 - GBPAUD - (1st June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing GBPAUD, starting from the 12-Month chart.
- R2F
GBPUSD (Long Movement)Technical Analysis of GBPUSD
Stability above 1.2693 will support a bullish trend, targeting 1.2783. Breaking this resistance will lead to further bullish targets. Conversely, a reversal to stabilize below the pivot line at 1.2693 will support a decline towards 1.2627 and 1.2572.
Pivot Price:1.2700
Support Levels: 1.2627, 1.2572, 1.2541
Resistance Levels: 1.2780, 1.2820, 1.2898
Today's expected movement range is between 1.2693 and 1.2783.
GBPAUD - Follow The Trend!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 GBPAUD has been overall bearish , trading within the falling channel in red.
At present, GBPAUD is approaching the upper bound of the channel acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong resistance marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green resistance and upper red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPAUD approaches the circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GBPCHF: Potential Bullish Continuation 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF is trading in a strong bullish trend on a daily.
After the price updated a higher high, the market started a correctional movement.
The pair is currently approaching a significant support cluster.
I believe that probabilities are high that the next bullish wave will initiate from that.
We can expect a growth at least to 1.16
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Key factors for EUR/GBP trade next week Key factors for EUR/GBP trade next week
With a European Central Bank (ECB) decision due next week, a trade in the GBP/EUR could be of interest. Presently, the EUR/GBP is trading at the lowest rate since August of 2022.
The divergence in monetary policy between the ECB and the Bank of England (BOE) is what could be driving this weakness in the EUR. E ECB President Christine Lagarde has recently expressed confidence that Eurozone inflation is under control, hinting at a possible interest rate cut next month. The same level of dovishness is not yet seen in the language of the BOE officials.
Additionally, the GBP/EUR pair could be influenced by changes in the U.S. dollar. The pound typically exhibits greater sensitivity to shifts in risk sentiment compared to the euro. A softening U.S. dollar, potentially stemming from upcoming U.S. jobs data, might further strengthen the pound against the euro. Intraday bias for the GBP/EUR pair remains neutral, with potential for more consolidations.
Across the week, we get the US JOLTs Job Openings, ADP Employment Change, and the all-important Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). Last month’s NFP reported 175,000 jobs added in April 2024, down from 315,000 jobs added in March, and falling well short of expectations for 240,000. This month's forecast is for even fewer, at 150,000 jobs.
Bear in mind, any surprising strength in U.S. job data or a more hawkish tone from the BOE could lead to different trading dynamics.
GBPCHF What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPCHF is below:
The market is trading on 1.1509 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.1593
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1454
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCHF to catch a falling knife?GBPCHF - 24h expiry
We are trading at oversold extremes.
This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further downside before the uptrend returns.
Previous resistance at 1.1513 now becomes support.
We look to buy dips.
We look to Buy at 1.1513 (stop at 1.1473)
Our profit targets will be 1.1613 and 1.1633
Resistance: 1.1675 / 1.1820 / 1.1890
Support: 1.1480 / 1.1370 / 1.1300
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBPCHF I Previous idea fulfilled and here's what's nextWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPCHF Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Potential bullish rise?EUR/GBP has just bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8501
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.8456
Why we like it:
There is a support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.8530
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?GBP/CHF is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.15106
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.14031
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.16712
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards 23.6% Fibonacci support?GBP/JPY is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 198.03
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 195.74
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 200.53
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish rise?The Cable (GBP/USD) is currently at pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.2689
1st Support: 1.2607
1st Resistance: 1.2798
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPCHF 1H Short Trade - 1:6 RRRPair: GBPCHF
Action: Sell
RRR: 1:6
SL: 1.16724
TP: 1.14672
Indicators:
EMA200: The EMA200 serves as a critical indicator of the long-term trend direction.
MACD Trend: The MACD indicator helps traders assess the strength and direction of the trend.
Supertrend: The Supertrend indicator acts as a reliable tool for identifying entry points in alignment with the prevailing trend.
Sell GBPUSD ChannelKey Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2750, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2720
2nd Support – 1.2680
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2810 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Strifor || GBPUSD-Week StartingPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: We highlighted short-term buy-priority at the end of the previous trading week, and at the beginning of this week this mood continues. Just like in the euro , there will most likely be at least a short-term strengthening, which will not be long in coming.
Here we highlight two main scenarios, where scenario №2 (plan B), as well as for the euro, is not entirely desirable for buyers. Therefore, scenario №1 is a higher priority and it is better to try to use small stop losses and open new transactions if something happens. The growth target can be fixed near the level of 1.28000 and slightly higher.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Potential bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.2790
1st Support: 1.2697
1st Resistance: 1.2859
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPAUD forming a top?GBPAUD - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.9230.
We look to Sell at 1.9230 (stop at 1.9280)
Our profit targets will be 1.9110 and 1.9070
Resistance: 1.9230 / 1.9260 / 1.9315
Support: 1.9170 / 1.9120 / 1.9065
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.