GBPAUD Channel Up pull-back expected.Our last GBPAUD signal (September 27 2024, see chart below) couldn't have gone any better as, not only did it hit our 1.92600 Sell Target but the price then also bounced to hit the top of its Channel Up:
The price is currently on a rejection path following the new Higher High of the Channel Up and based on the previous Bearish Leg, it should hit at least the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). As a result, our Target is now 1.09600.
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GBP (British Pound)
#GBPCHF 1DAYGBPCHF (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is trading within a descending channel, respecting both resistance and support levels. It is currently near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting potential selling pressure.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may develop if the price respects the channel resistance and shows signs of rejection, indicating a possible move toward the lower boundary of the channel.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: Near the channel resistance after confirmation of rejection.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or recent swing high to minimize risk.
Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The price structure within the channel indicates a bearish outlook, with selling pressure likely to continue as long as the price remains below the resistance level.
Bearish drop?GBP/CAD has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the overlap support.
Pivot: 1.79888
1st Support: 1.78278
1st Resistance: 1.81349
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.25600 zone, GBPUSD is trading in an downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.25600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD, swing of the year. FOREXCOM:GBPUSD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
FOREXCOM:GBPUSD is showing strong bearish momentum after the dollar index TVC:DXY
broke above the 2 years range. However, the price is oversold for now. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and sell off confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Second resistance: Yearly lows.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
GBPJPY Trade Idea 2The last 2 weeks(19th to now.
We had gains come back down.
In the Monthly tf, it became a wick.
Either way, I got my weekly/Daily take profit levels.
On the 4HR, I'm looking for entry levels to sell( I will still need further break of structure to the downside.
On the 1HR, I'm looking to take some buys to my daily target level of 197.526 or my 4HR target level of 196.060. BUT first I I would need further break of structure to the upside.
To increase my Win rate I have to stick to my rules.
GBPJPY - Will the pound continue to grow?!The GBPJPY currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. If we continue to move towards the supply zone, we can sell with an appropriate risk reward. The downward correction of this currency pair towards the demand zone will provide us with the next buying position.
The mortgage approval statistics for the UK in November indicate that the number of approved mortgages has reached 65.7K, which is below the forecast of 68.7K and the previous figure of 68.3K. Additionally, net consumer credit dropped to £0.9 billion, falling short of the £1.2 billion estimate. Net mortgage lending also declined to £2.5 billion, below the forecast of £3.2 billion and the previous figure of £3.4 billion. The annual consumer credit rate also fell, reaching 6.6%.
On Sunday, Elon Musk stated that Nigel Farage should step down from leading the UK’s right-wing Reform Party. Musk wrote on his social platform, X, “The Reform Party needs a new leader. Farage lacks the necessary ability.”
This statement came despite Musk having appeared to support Farage previously, even taking a photo with him last month. Media outlets had speculated that Musk, a close ally of Donald Trump, the U.S.President-elect, might provide significant financial support to the Reform Party to challenge the UK’s Labour and Conservative parties.
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group has expressed a bearish outlook on the British pound, pointing to potential rate cuts by the Bank of England as a key factor. The group stated that market pricing for the Bank of England’s rate reductions this year is overly conservative. They anticipate that the Bank of England will implement further cuts, which would likely weaken the pound against other currencies, particularly non-dollar ones. Additionally, with the U.S. dollar showing further signs of weakening, the pound is expected to remain under pressure.
The financial group also highlighted rising energy prices as a vulnerability for the UK, particularly in light of Ukraine’s refusal to extend its natural gas transit agreement with Russia to Western Europe. The UK’s limited storage capacity exacerbates its susceptibility to market price fluctuations, increasing concerns about a rise in service costs this year. Higher energy prices are expected to negatively impact consumer spending, weaken business confidence, and drive up overall costs.
Meanwhile, a recent private survey revealed that Japan’s service sector activity expanded for the second consecutive month in December, driven by strong demand and increased trade activity. According to the survey conducted by S&P Global Market Intelligence, the final services PMI rose from 50.5 in November to 50.9 in December. While this was lower than the preliminary estimate of 51.4, it remained above the 50.0 threshold for the second consecutive month, signaling economic expansion.
The Bank of Japan Governor, Mr. Ueda, recently stated:
• There is a possibility of raising interest rates if the economic recovery continues.
• The timing of adjustments will depend on economic conditions and inflation trends.
• He hopes for balanced growth in wages and prices.
• Wage increases remain a critical factor.
• The cycle of rising wages, economic recovery, and increased consumption gradually reinforced each other throughout the past year.
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) BASED ON 1H-TIME FRAME ANALYSIS,
Based on the chart you provided, here's the current analysis:
1. **Current Price Action**:
- BTC is trading near 97,800, within a rising channel.
- There are visible higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), confirming the bullish momentum in the short term.
2. **Resistance Zone**:
- The key resistance is marked at 99,000 (blue zone), where BTC previously reversed. This is a strong area to watch for potential selling pressure.
3. **Support Levels**:
- Immediate support lies near 97,000 (orange zone).
- A deeper support zone is visible around 95,500 to 96,000, which aligns with previous demand and bullish order blocks.
4. **Potential Scenarios**:
- If the price continues its upward trend, a test of the 99,000 resistance zone seems likely.
- Rejection from 99,000 could signal a retracement back to the 97,000 or even the 96,000 level for support retests.
- Breaking and closing above 99,000 might open the door for BTC to target higher levels, possibly 100,000 or beyond.
5. **Market Structure**:
- The chart shows a recent break of structure (BoS) to the upside, indicating bullish strength.
- However, keep an eye on any potential change of character (ChoCh) near the resistance zones, which might suggest a reversal or slowdown.
My Suggestion:
- **For Bulls**: Look for buying opportunities on pullbacks near the 97,000 or 96,000 support zones with a target near 99,000.
- **For Bears**: Wait for confirmation of rejection near the 99,000 resistance zone before considering a sell, targeting the lower support zones (97,000 or 96,000).
Bearish drop for the Cable?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2492
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2564
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2370
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Sell GBP/NZD Bearish FlagThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.1994
2nd Support – 2.1920
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
GBP_CHF LOCAL LONG|
✅GBP_CHF is approaching a demand level of 1.1260
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
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EURGBP Potential Upsides Hey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.82800 zone, EURGBP is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.82800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPJPY - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: (Daily Time-frame)
While the price is below the resistance 199.79, resumption of downtrend is expected.
Technical analysis:
The descending flag taking shape suggests we will soon see another leg lower.
Trading suggestion:
Price rejected from Trend Hunter Sell Zone (198.42 to 199.79). We are going to open 8 sell trade based on these Take Profits:
Take Profits:
196.00
193.51
191.88
189.47
186.23
182.78
178.41
Short Term forecast: (H4 Time-frame)
The Uptrend is broken, and the price is in an impulse wave.
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone.
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs.
SL: Above 199.79
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[Vienmelodic] GBPCHF - 2 Jan 2025 SetupGBPCHF Market structure are still Bullish. Spotted demand area (Green Rectangle). its the first demand area and theres a bullish engulfing candle before the area so its the evidence of strong bullish continuation pattern.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Vienmelodic
EURGBP - Europe will pass this winter safely!?The EURGBP currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. If the resistance range is broken, we can witness the upward movement of this currency pair. A valid break of the drawn upward trend line will provide us with the downward path of this currency pair to the level of 0.82400.
Bloomberg has reported that the cessation of Russian natural gas flow to Europe via Ukraine is likely to heighten competition with Asia and drive up the cost of alternatives. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated on Wednesday that Ukraine hopes increased gas supplies from the U.S. and other producers to Europe will make prices more acceptable.
The flow of gas from Russia to Europe through Ukraine stopped on Wednesday, marking the end of over five decades of this route being the primary channel for gas to the Eurozone. While this move was anticipated after months of political tension, Europe still needs to replace about 5% of its gas supply and may increasingly rely on storage levels that have now dropped below average.
The European Commission noted that the suspension of gas flow via Ukraine on January 1st was a foreseen scenario, and the EU is prepared for it.
Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), expressed optimism that the ECB could achieve a 2% inflation rate by 2025. She stated, “We have made significant progress in reducing inflation in 2024 and hope that 2025 will be the year we reach our target as expected and planned in our strategy. However, we will continue our efforts to ensure inflation stabilizes at the 2% medium-term target.”
Meanwhile, UBS has noted that the value of the U.S. dollar has increased, suggesting that investors can sell dollars more robustly and convert them to currencies such as the British pound or the Australian dollar. Despite the recent rise in the dollar’s value, driven by shifts in expectations around Federal Reserve policies and U.S. government actions, the bank believes the dollar remains overvalued.
While UBS does not anticipate a sharp decline in the dollar’s value in the short term, it sees opportunities for investors to pivot toward more attractive currencies. The British pound (GBP) and Australian dollar (AUD) are among its top picks due to their potential to perform well amidst evolving global monetary conditions.
Additionally, according to data from Nationwide, house prices in the UK reached near-record levels at the end of last year. This indicates that the real estate market continues to gain momentum. Nationwide reported that house prices rose by 0.7% on a monthly basis, reaching an average of £269,426 (equivalent to $337,500). This figure is only slightly below the record high of £273,751 recorded in the summer of 2022.
Heading into pullback resistance?GBP/AUD is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which is an overlap support.
Pivot: 2.0273
1st Support: 1.0061
1st Resistance: 2.0391
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.