Bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) has reacted of the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support?
Pivot: 1.2493
1st Support: 1.2162
1st Resistance: 1.2770
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBP (British Pound)
GBP/USD - H1 Chart - Triangle Breakout (31.01.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2342
2nd Support – 1.2295
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Forex Market AnalysisUSD with a failed 2D week to go 2-2 rev to the upside and take out pivot highs. This occurs at the same time as the EURO looking weak with the most interesting of the 3 charts. EURO with the potential 2-1-2D week after clearing Motherbar highs two weeks ago and now giving us the actionable signal back through to motherbar lows. Price was stuck in the motherbar range for 8 weeks before taking out highs. Now looking to make a sharp move back through that motherbar range to the lows. YEN with the successful 2-2 rev week that has given us a clear BF if we were to drop to the daily TF. YEN with TFC supporting more upside, and being closer to 2-2 continuation rather than 2-2 rev. Not as interesting as USD and EURO at the moment, but definitely will be noted as I am mainly watching anything EUR/X for downside, and USD/X for upside. Side note: GBP and AUD both bearish weekly's but not as interesting as other currencies right now. Main pairs to watch this week :
Bull:
USD/JPY- (Daily PMG to the upside could be a huge early week mover)
USD/CAD - Daily hammer 2-2 for BF expansion
Bear:
EUR/USD (2-2 Week, Gorgeous weekly BF)
GBP/USD - Weekly 2-2 to the downside. Larger ATR than most others
AUD/HKD - shooter 2-2 Daily, Inside week. Check the Daily BF (Wow)
Neutral:
AUD/CAD - 3-1 Daily and inside week
GBP/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GBP/CHF with the target of 1.112 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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EURGBP Is Approaching An Important ResistanceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.83700 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPCHF Massive Short! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GBPCHF next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1306
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 1.1335
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1242
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD - Will the pound return to the bullish trajectory?!The GBPUSD pair is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction, the pair can be bought within the specified demand zone.
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer stated that the government has clearly received the message regarding deregulation. He emphasized that simplifying regulations and removing certain restrictions could have a positive impact on economic activities and businesses. Starmer also highlighted the transformative potential of artificial intelligence in the economy. He added that the UK’s economic outlook is improving and that the government’s top priority is “growth, growth, and growth.” Additionally, he pointed to the significant trade partnership between the UK and the United States, stressing that this economic collaboration could play a key role in the country’s future growth.
Meanwhile, analysts at TD Securities believe that the Federal Reserve will refrain from cutting interest rates in the first half of this year. This decision is attributed to the persistence of core inflation and the resilience of the U.S. economy in the first quarter, which keeps policymakers cautious. Furthermore, the potential economic impact of new tariffs under a Trump administration in the second quarter reinforces this outlook.
Although the Federal Reserve officially bases its decisions on economic data, TD Securities argues that political influences are becoming increasingly significant in shaping monetary policy. According to TD, Trump’s role in U.S. monetary policy is growing. As a result, the institution maintains a bullish outlook on the U.S. dollar and sees any rate cuts as buying opportunities, particularly against the euro, Canadian dollar, and British pound.
At the same time, analysts at Goldman Sachs believe that the Federal Reserve will wait for further progress in reducing inflation before proceeding with additional rate cuts. However, they still expect the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to implement two 0.25% rate cuts later this year, in June and December, with an additional cut projected for 2026.
Additionally, economists at Citi anticipate that the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge—the 12-month PCE inflation rate—will decline in the coming months as the effects of the sharp price increases from early 2024 begin to fade. They also note that both the six-month and three-month core PCE inflation rates are on a downward trajectory and are expected to fall below 2.5%.
GBP/USD Falls to 1.2420 as Dollar Strength and Tariff Fears WeigGBP/USD extended losses for a fourth session, trading near 1.2420 on Friday as a stronger US Dollar and renewed tariff threats from Trump pressured the pair.
Late Thursday, Trump reiterated plans for a 25% import tax on Canadian and Mexican goods, with the first round set for February 1. He also threatened 100% tariffs on BRICS nations if they introduced a new trade currency.
Traders now await key US data, including PCE inflation and PMI figures. Meanwhile, the British Pound remains under pressure as the BoE is expected to cut rates by 25bps next week, its third cut since August.
The first resistance level for the pair will be 1.2460. In the event of this level's breach, the next levels to watch would be 1.2500 and 1.2600. On the downside 1.2400 will be the first support level. 1.2350 and 1.2265 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Bearish drop?GBP/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 192.49
1st Support: 190.55
1st Resistance: 193.70
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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Falling towards overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2370
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2298
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2501
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Recession for Progression? GBPCADA slow but a consistent rally has reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level. Price has been experiencing consolidation among this level, some may look at this as the "Distribution" phase before heading bearish.
However, looking at past price action it seems a correction could be due for GBPCAD, maybe as far as this 1.618 extension.
Until next time.
Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Chart Analysis: - **Breakout Confirmation**Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Chart Analysis:**
- **Breakout Confirmation:** Price has broken above a key resistance zone, indicating bullish momentum.
- **Retest Zone:** A potential retest of the breakout area may confirm support before continuation.
- **Targets:**
- **1st Target:** 2,772 zone.
- **Last Target:** 2,783–2,784 zone.
- **Market Structure:**
- Multiple **Break of Structure (BOS)** and **Change of Character (ChoCh)** signals bullish strength.
- Rounded retest pattern supports a continuation towards the targets.
- **Key Watchpoint:** If price holds above the breakout zone, the bullish move remains valid; otherwise, a failed retest could lead to a pullback.
GBPUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.23600 zone, GBPUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.23600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Recession concerns have provoked the BoE’s will to cut rates
Concerns about a UK recession are intensifying, making a BoE rate cut next month likely. The recent December retail sales data from the ONS reveals a decrease of 0.3% compared to the previous month, a stark contrast to the market's expectation of a 0.4% increase. This clearly indicates that consumer apprehension regarding the economic downturn is escalating rapidly. The market firmly anticipates that the BoE will reduce interest rates by an additional 25bp during the monetary policy meeting on February 6. Furthermore, many analysts assert that, given the current state of the UK economy, the BoE is poised to execute four interest rate cuts this year.
After breaking out of the ascending channel, GBPUSD trades sideways around 1.2450. However, the price holds above EMA21, indicating a potential for an extension of bullish momentum. If GBPUSD reenters the channel, the price could gain upward momentum toward the 1.2500 threshold. Conversely, if GBPUSD fails to hold above EMA21, the price could fall further to the support at 1.2350, where EMA78 coincides.
Bullish momentum to extend?GBP/AUD has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.8826
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.9823
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 2.0085
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
**DXY Approaching Key Resistance – Potential Sell Setup**This DXY 1-hour chart suggests a potential sell opportunity around the 108.400 resistance zone. The price is approaching the marked "Possible to sell zone," and the analysis indicates waiting for bearish confirmation before entering a short position.
Key Observations:
- **Resistance Zone:** 108.400 area acts as a key resistance, previously causing reversals.
- **Bearish Confirmation:** Suggested before entering a sell position.
- **Downside Targets:**
- **First Target:** 107.749
- **Second Target:** 107.444
- **Final Target:** 106.951
If price rejects this resistance with bearish price action, it could confirm a short setup. Conversely, a breakout above 108.400 may invalidate the bearish outlook.
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.83719
1st Support: 0.83258
1st Resistance: 0.84121
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY: Imminent bullish breakout. Long term target 208.000GBPJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.276, MACD = -0.320, ADX = 25.216) as it is consolidating around its 1D MA50. The Channel Up since the August 5th 2024 Low as well as its RSI structure, draws comparisons with the 2023 Channel Up, which after one last pullback, it rebounded to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension and beyond. We're turning bullish (TP = 208.000).
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Bearish reversal?GBP/AUD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 71% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.9929
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 71% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2.0065
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 1.9742
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPCHF My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPCHF is below:
The market is trading on 1.1256 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1198
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1288
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
**Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis** OANDA:XAUUSD **Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis** OANDA:XAUUSD
1. **Uptrend Channel:**
- The price has been respecting an ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows.
- The channel’s lower boundary is acting as dynamic support, while the upper boundary serves as resistance.
2. **Current Price Action:**
- Gold is pulling back from the upper resistance area around **$2,780** and is now approaching the midline and lower boundary of the channel.
- A break below **$2,740** could lead to a test of the channel’s lower boundary near **$2,720-$2,700**.
3. **Potential Trade Outlook:**
- **Bullish Scenario:** If price finds support at the lower trendline and rebounds, it could present a buying opportunity targeting **$2,760-$2,780** again.
- **Bearish Scenario:** A confirmed breakdown of the channel support might lead to further declines toward **$2,700** or lower.