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GBP (British Pound)

Recession concerns have provoked the BoE’s will to cut rates Concerns about a UK recession are intensifying, making a BoE rate cut next month likely. The recent December retail sales data from the ONS reveals a decrease of 0.3% compared to the previous month, a stark contrast to the market's expectation of a 0.4% increase. This clearly indicates that consumer apprehension regarding the economic downturn is escalating rapidly. The market firmly anticipates that the BoE will reduce interest rates by an additional 25bp during the monetary policy meeting on February 6. Furthermore, many analysts assert that, given the current state of the UK economy, the BoE is poised to execute four interest rate cuts this year. After breaking out of the ascending channel, GBPUSD trades sideways around 1.2450. However, the price holds above EMA21, indicating a potential for an extension of bullish momentum. If GBPUSD reenters the channel, the price could gain upward momentum toward the 1.2500 threshold. Conversely, if GBPUSD fails to hold above EMA21, the price could fall further to the support at 1.2350, where EMA78 coincides.
by inkicho_exness
Bullish momentum to extend?GBP/AUD has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.8826 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Stop loss: 1.9823 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 2.0085 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
**DXY Approaching Key Resistance – Potential Sell Setup**This DXY 1-hour chart suggests a potential sell opportunity around the 108.400 resistance zone. The price is approaching the marked "Possible to sell zone," and the analysis indicates waiting for bearish confirmation before entering a short position. Key Observations: - **Resistance Zone:** 108.400 area acts as a key resistance, previously causing reversals. - **Bearish Confirmation:** Suggested before entering a sell position. - **Downside Targets:** - **First Target:** 107.749 - **Second Target:** 107.444 - **Final Target:** 106.951 If price rejects this resistance with bearish price action, it could confirm a short setup. Conversely, a breakout above 108.400 may invalidate the bearish outlook.
TVC:DXYShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.83719 1st Support: 0.83258 1st Resistance: 0.84121 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
GBPJPY: Imminent bullish breakout. Long term target 208.000GBPJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.276, MACD = -0.320, ADX = 25.216) as it is consolidating around its 1D MA50. The Channel Up since the August 5th 2024 Low as well as its RSI structure, draws comparisons with the 2023 Channel Up, which after one last pullback, it rebounded to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension and beyond. We're turning bullish (TP = 208.000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
Bearish reversal?GBP/AUD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 71% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.9929 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 71% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 2.0065 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Take profit: 1.9742 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBPCHF My Opinion! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for GBPCHF is below: The market is trading on 1.1256 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.1198 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1288 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
**Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis** OANDA:XAUUSD **Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis** OANDA:XAUUSD 1. **Uptrend Channel:** - The price has been respecting an ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows. - The channel’s lower boundary is acting as dynamic support, while the upper boundary serves as resistance. 2. **Current Price Action:** - Gold is pulling back from the upper resistance area around **$2,780** and is now approaching the midline and lower boundary of the channel. - A break below **$2,740** could lead to a test of the channel’s lower boundary near **$2,720-$2,700**. 3. **Potential Trade Outlook:** - **Bullish Scenario:** If price finds support at the lower trendline and rebounds, it could present a buying opportunity targeting **$2,760-$2,780** again. - **Bearish Scenario:** A confirmed breakdown of the channel support might lead to further declines toward **$2,700** or lower.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.2503 1st Support: 1.2372 1st Resistance: 1.2602 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
GBPUSD: Channel Down forming a top on the 1D MA50.GBPUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.465, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 25.916) hitting today its 1D MA50 for the first time after October 9th 2024. By doing so, it reached the top of the 4 month Channel Down and is technically the best level to short. Attention is required as the 1D RSI broke over its 4 month Rectangle, so it may be an early bullish breakout signal, but until we close a candle over the 1D MA50, the trend is bearish and this is the most cost-effective short. The last 0.5 Fibonacci rejection (December 6th) targeted the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. This time we will aim a little higher than that (TP = 1.1950) to match the % decline of the previous bearish waves. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
EURGBP - Euro is recovering!?The EURGBP pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. The pair’s continued rise towards the supply zone will provide a selling position with a good risk-reward ratio. In case of a downside correction, we can buy in the demand zone. The Eurozone composite PMI rose from 49.6 to 50.2. Although this figure exceeds expectations, it still reflects a stagnant economy with the manufacturing sector in recession. While price pressures are once again on the rise, it appears that weak growth remains the primary concern, as the European Central Bank (ECB) prepares for further interest rate cuts. In the manufacturing sector, the production index increased from 44.3 to 46.8, which still indicates contraction but at a slower pace. Meanwhile, the services sector, which remains the main driver of growth, saw a slight dip in business activity PMI from 51.6 to 51.4. Overall, the Eurozone economy appears to be hovering near stagnation. Economic growth continues to face challenges due to weak international demand. Export orders are still declining, and with U.S. tariffs on Eurozone manufacturing rising again, the outlook remains bleak. Interestingly, however, optimism among manufacturers improved in January, suggesting businesses are counting on growth recovery throughout the year. We believe this expectation is reasonable but mainly driven by stronger domestic demand. The ECB has been gradually lowering interest rates since June 2024, and this trend is expected to continue into 2025. ECB President Christine Lagarde reiterated this gradual approach during the Davos summit this week. However, some investors are hoping for a 0.5% rate cut in January’s meeting. This scenario, though, seems unlikely, as inflation in the services sector remains around 4%, and wage growth has reached its highest level in three decades. At the same time, concerns about the Eurozone’s economic growth have increased due to political unrest in France and Germany, declining exports linked to China’s weak economy, and the potential for new tariffs imposed by Donald Trump. Nevertheless, the situation is not severe enough to prompt the ECB to accelerate rate cuts. The ECB is expected to lower rates by 0.25% in Thursday’s meeting, with Lagarde likely sticking to her recent policy stance. Investors will be watching closely for new clues about any disagreements within the ECB’s Governing Council and policymakers’ views on the neutral rate. If Lagarde does not rule out the possibility of more aggressive rate cuts in the future, the euro could face downward pressure. A larger potential risk lies in new developments on the tariff front, especially if Trump makes statements about imposing trade restrictions on the EU. Additionally, Thursday’s initial GDP estimate for Q4 2024 in the Eurozone could trigger market reactions. These figures could significantly influence market expectations and the euro’s trajectory.
Short
by Ali_PSND
Bearish reversal?GBP/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.2477 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.2613 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Take profit: 1.2367 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
1
Bearish reversal for the Cable?The price is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 1.2493 1st Support: 1.2241 1st Resistance: 1.2690 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
3
XAUUSD 16/01/25XAUUSD continues to hold the same bias as the past two weeks. As always, trade from the lows and aim for the highs. Orion provides us with a clear rule set to follow, allowing us to sit back and wait for our alerts to trigger. This week, the main plan is to build more upside momentum while waiting for price to return to the lows. This would align with our long entry criteria. If the current target highs are reached, we’ll look for new lows to form and trade from. Our approach remains simple: trade long to the highs, then wait for the next setup to appear. With Orion guiding the way, we simply follow the rules. Trade within your risk limits and trust Orion.
FX:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
2
GBPUSD TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on GBPUSD The price has successfully retest a very strong resistance zone, as we can see that the Trend remains bearish and the set Trendline keeps the price on the lower part of the market. The price is developing, and I am waiting for a retest of the previously broken support and used as resistance before I look for a SHORT trade. A BUY opportunity is at the top above the weekly Low at 1.2593. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Trade Responsibly! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading
Short
by Adefxc
GBPCHF - In a clear resistance zone GBPCHF is approaching a significant resistance zone. This zone has consistently acted as a key area of interest where sellers regained control, leading to prior reversals. If the price confirms rejection through bearish price action, such as wicks signaling rejection or bearish engulfing candles, I anticipate a move downward toward the 1.12180 level. However, if the price successfully breaks and holds above the zone, this would invalidate the bearish outlook and could open the door for further upside. Monitor price action closely at this critical resistance area. Proper risk management is essential, given the possibility of price breaking higher. If you have anything to add or a different perspective, I’d love to hear from you in the comments!
Short
by TrendDiva
2
GBP/CHF Breakout Riding the Bullish Wave of the Cup and HandleThe chart for GBP/CHF on the 2-hour timeframe highlights a classic cup-and-handle pattern, a well-recognized bullish continuation setup. The rounded bottom of the cup indicates a period of accumulation, while the subsequent handle reflects a minor retracement and consolidation phase. This pattern suggests a strong potential for upward momentum as buyers regain control and push prices higher. Key support and resistance levels are clearly defined. The rounded bottom has established firm support at 1.1130, while the handle retracement respected the 1.1198 level, reinforcing it as a critical short-term support zone. The neckline of the cup pattern, now serving as a breakout point, is around 1.1204. If bullish momentum continues, the price is likely to test resistance levels at 1.1270 and further extend towards 1.1350. The chart also shows dynamic support and resistance through moving averages or bands, with the recent transition to green indicating strengthening bullish momentum. These indicators are acting as a trailing support zone, adding further confidence to the long position. The long position was initiated at the breakout above the handle consolidation, confirming bullish intent as the price reclaimed the neckline at 1.1204. The stop loss is strategically placed below the handle retracement at approximately 1.1190 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The initial target is set at 1.1270, aligned with Fibonacci extensions and resistance zones, while an extended target lies near 1.1350, suggesting significant upside potential. Cup-and-handle breakouts typically align with increasing volume during the breakout phase, confirming the strength of the move. Traders are advised to monitor price action closely near key resistance levels to gauge the sustainability of this bullish trend. The setup presents a disciplined and well-calculated bullish breakout strategy. The technical indicators, pattern formation, and risk management align to support a strong upward move, provided market conditions remain favorable. This chart reflects a clear opportunity for traders aiming to capitalize on the continuation of bullish momentum.
Long
by wolfchemist
1
GBPNZD Technical buy opportunity below the 1D MA50.Last time we looked into the GBPNZD pair (October 02 2024, see chart below), we issued a clear buy signal at the bottom of the long-term Channel Up, that easily hit the 2.1900 Target: Yet again, the price got rejected at the top of the Channel Up and pulled-back where it is consolidating below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). In the 12 months of this pattern, this has always been an excellent technical buy opportunity, with the minimum immediate rally being +4.15%. As a result, we feel confident buying this pair and target 2.2550. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1