GBPJPY Breakout and Potential retraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around 191.500 zone, GBPJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 191.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gbp-jpy
EurJpy at a level to watchHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Trend on the jpy crosses were mostly to the upside, pullback was seen on last thur,fri, currently lets see how the trendline and key support holds. will it propel it higher?
This is same for EJ.
UJ has a potential double tops.not confirmed yet though
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
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GBPJPY Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around 191.400 zone, GBPJPY is trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 191.400 resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBP JPYMy analysis on GBP JPY, I use limit orders so I don't need to be in front of the chart all day.
To consider this a good entry there are certain criteria to follow:
1. Clean BoS with IMB.
2. * Look for areas where liquidity has been purged.
3. * Stochastic: in uptrend 0-15, in downtrend 85-100.
( * ) = Not optional but increases our probability.
I use Fibonacci to get these extreme points and my preferred one is 75% retracement, with a risk-reward of 1:3.
Set and forget.
Trade carefully,
This is not financial advice, DYOR.
GBPJPY: Head and Shoulders formed. Sell signal.GBPJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.345, MACD = 0.240, ADX = 29.640) as the recent bullish run came to an end on the HH trendline. For now the 1D MA50 held but the peak pattern formed is a Head and Shoulders. The 1D MACD is on a Bearish Cross, so the short signal is complete. Our target is the S1 level, potentially a contact with the 1D MA200 (TP = 185.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Possible SELL off zone XAUUSDGolds moved crazy in recent weeks. Currently watching for some sort of pullback.
Although ATH has been created, with the slowing strength of the dollar we may see some correction on gold through the rest of March.
I would like to target some sells back down to this corrective level, I predict that current area and the OB present may be a good time to sell.
A nice 1:5RR with 1% risk will be ideal, something I will confirm with in soon date.
Cheers
Sell GBPJPY Bearish ChannelThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe displays a potential selling opportunity due to the presence of a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing selling pressure and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 188.60. This places your entry near the current price action and potentially close to a retest of the channel resistance.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels within the channel, now acting as potential resistance zones:
187.62: This represents a significant support level within the channel.
187.10: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken resistance line of the channel, ideally around 189.15. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly breaks above the channel and invalidates the downtrend.
Thank you
GBPJPY dips continue to attract buyers.GBPJPY - Intraday
The primary trend remains bullish.
The selloff has posted a correction count on the daily chart.
Buying continued from the 50% pullback level of 188.30.
We look to buy dips.
Bespoke support is located at 188.70.
We look to Buy at 188.70 (stop at 188.20)
Our profit targets will be 189.90 and 190.20
Resistance: 189.70 / 190.20 / 190.70
Support: 188.70 / 188.20 / 187.70
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBPJPY Pull-back to the 1W MA50 as per historic pattern.The GBPJPY pair broke recently above the 2023 High has been consolidating these past 3 weeks. This consolidation can technically be the start of a new correction back towards the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) in order to test the market demand and get confirmation.
This is exactly what took place in October 2014, which as you can see, is the fractal that GBPJPY's 4-year Channel Up (since the March 2020 COVID bottom), is almost identical to. In fact we are at the +53.99% increase level since the bottom as the pair was on September 2014, displaying remarkable fractal symmetry.
Based on that, we are medium-term sellers on GBPJPY, targeting 183.000 (1W MA50) where we will reverse to a buy again and target the top of the Channel Up at 200.000.
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GBPJPY to form a higher low?GBPJPY - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bullish.
Trading within a Bullish Channel formation.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
Buying continued from the 61.8% pullback level of 189.20.
Previous support located at 190.10.
We look to Buy at 190.10 (stop at 189.70)
Our profit targets will be 191.10 and 191.35
Resistance: 191.10 / 191.60 / 192.00
Support: 190.10 / 189.60 / 189.10
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBPJPY: Key Resistance in Focus This Week - Breakout Potential?GBPJPY faces a critical juncture this week, with a formidable monthly resistance level at 193.659 coming into view. If the pair can surmount this hurdle, it could unlock a significant upside move towards 214.005, with limited resistance in the way.
Technical Analysis:
GBPJPY has been in a strong uptrend since the beginning of the year, gaining over 17%.
The pair is now approaching a key monthly resistance level at 193.659.
A break above this level could signal further bullish momentum, with a potential target of 214.005.
There is limited resistance between 193.659 and 214.005, suggesting that the pair could make a significant move if it breaks above the resistance level.
Fundamental Factors:
The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to raise interest rates at its next meeting in March.
This could support the pound sterling against the Japanese yen.
The Japanese economy is facing headwinds from rising inflation and a weak yen.
This could weigh on the Japanese yen and support GBPJPY.
Conclusion:
GBPJPY is poised for a significant move this week. A break above the key resistance level at 193.659 could signal further bullish momentum, with a potential target of 214.005. Traders should closely monitor GBPJPY's price action around the 193.659 level this week. A breakout above this resistance could indicate further bullish momentum, while a rejection could indicate a potential pullback.
Additional Information:
The pair has already broken the monthly pivot and pulled back to it, which could be a bullish signal.
The RSI indicator is also showing bullish momentum, with a reading of 65.
The MACD indicator is also bullish, with a crossover above the signal line.
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Sell GBPJPY Channel BreakoutThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 190.62, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels within the channel 190 and 189.62
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the channel, ideally around 191.00. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you
GBP/JPY Intraday Suggestion:Traders,
Upon reviewing the 1-hour chart, a clear bullish trend is evident for GBP/JPY.
I propose the following intraday strategy:
Keep a close watch on the 15-minute chart.
Any breaks above 190.700 in the 15-minute timeframe will trigger our limit order.
Please note that this analysis is applicable only for today and may become invalid sooner than expected. I'll promptly update you if any changes occur.
Stay alert and trade wisely!
Warm regards,
GBPJPY 1.04% Return Trade ClosedGood Morning guys, I just not to long ago closed this buy on GBPJPY - I Took the trade yesterday evening and held it (during the Asian session overnight) I just woke up
Let me explain why I took this trade
These are my confirmations\questions >
Question 1 - Was GBPJPY in momentum (bullish or bearish)?
Yes, GBPJPY was in bullish Momentum at the time of me looking at it
Question 2 - Who was interested (at that time)?
Buyers were interested at that time
Question 3 - Where were their stop losses?
Stop losses would have been right below the highlighted levels (purple circles) & below the purple horizontal line (break out buyers)
Question 4 - Have those stop losses been taken out?
Yes I believe Stop losses would have been taken out already on GBPJPY (Red X)
Question 5 - Did the set up make sense for me to pursue?
Yes I believe it made sense for me to pursue this trade given the information I had
When I woke up GBPJPY had a moved a massive 1:7.55 RRR, considering the fact that I risked 0.25% on this trade that would have meant had I closed at that RRR I would have taken home about 1.88% on this trade
BUT, as you can see where I closed it, GJ had already pulled back a significant degree and in fear of it pulling back more and taking away more profit from me, I decided to close it (plus I'm going to be really busy today so I don't have the time to actively trail my stop as it goes further (which I do believe it can)
My broker also shows a gap (I use ICM, whereas FXCM (tradingview) does not show a gap, which means manipulation is occurring somewhere in this area
I closed the trade at 1.04% Return, doesn't sound like much but do the math on it from a much bigger account and tell me if you think it is worth it
Plus I literally have been having an excellent week where I haven't lost any trades for the week, I'm on fire this week, let's see if I can keep it up
I have many more confirmations I look for, this is just to simplify it so that I can quickly explain to you the reader
Downvote\don't Boost if you didn't read this post and didn't try to understand
OR
Upvote\Boost if you did read this post and did try to understand
*Why don't I show my lot size?*
*How much money I make is no where near as important as HOW I took the trade*
GBPJPY 18/02/24GJ giving some nice areas for potential moves, mainly i can see we are using the short term lows as a clear area to build up liquid for a deeper retracement, if this move does take place it will shift us back into a bearish swing range as the 5min price action is currently sitting within a bullish range, this range isn't the strongest but is still valid in terms of a short term bias within price.
If we do shift bearish il be looking towards the major demand sitting at our last internal low in price, this of course will also act as liq so running this a possibility. always keep in mind higher timeframe bias is only validated with lower timeframe confirms and trade entries, so be sure to always trade with order flow.
Buy GBPJPY Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe displays a bullish signal through a recent upward breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting a potential buying opportunity.
Key Points:
Triangle Breakout: The price has been consolidating within a triangle formation characterized by converging support and resistance lines. This often indicates indecision before a decisive move. However, the recent break above the upper resistance line at 186.30 signifies a shift in momentum towards the upside.
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 186.45, offering an entry point close to the breakout level.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the resistance levels of 187.45 and 188.05, marking previous resistance zones within the triangle.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the support line of the broken triangle at 186.00. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back down.
Sell GBPJPY Bearish ChannelThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe exhibits a bearish channel pattern, suggesting a potential selling opportunity in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Bearish Channel: The price has been confined within a descending channel, characterized by two falling lines, one for resistance and one for support. This indicates ongoing selling pressure and potential for further decline.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 186.40, situated close to the channel resistance. This offers an entry point near a potential reversal zone.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 185.50 and 185.02, marking previous support zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the channel resistance line at 186.90. This helps limit potential losses if the trend breaks unexpectedly.
Double top on GBP/JPY at key resistanceThe Japanese yen may have weakened following the BOJ’s latest ‘non decision’ regarding monetary policy, but markets clearly weren’t surprised enough for it to extend its bearish moves today. Not a single xxx/JPY pair managed to break above its cycle highs, and momentum is now turning lower on these pairs to show a strengthening of the yen.
But what has caught our eye is the double top on the GBP/JPY daily chart, as it has stalled around the December 2015 high. Also note that the GB-JP 2-year spread is also quite low relative to spot GBP/JPY, and it makes us wonder if GBP/JPY has risen too far, too soon.
The 1-hour chart shows that momentum has turned lower in the first half of Wednesday’s Asian session. Prices are trading beneath the 50-dar EMA and daily pivot, so we would consider shorts below 118.20 for an anticipated move to the weekly pivot around 187.25 – although the cycle lows or daily S1 between 187.32 – 187.40 could also be considered.
A break beneath the weekly pivot point assumes a deeper retracement is playing out on the daily chart.
Buy GBPJPY Channel BreakoutGBP/JPY M30 Channel Breakout Hints at Potential Upside: Buy Opportunity Emerges
The GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a channel pattern. This pattern suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside, potentially offering entry points for short-term long positions.
Key Points:
Upward Channel Breakout: The price has been trading within a channel defined by two rising lines, one for support and one for resistance. This indicates ongoing buying pressure and potential for further advance. However, a recent break above the upper resistance line signifies a potential shift in momentum towards the upside.
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 186.60, which is close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near a potential continuation of the upward move.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the resistance levels of 187.48 and 188.17, marking previous resistance zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the support line of the broken channel, around 185.85. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back down.
Fundamental Updates :
BoE Meeting Minutes: Bank of England (BoE) meeting minutes reveal a hawkish tilt towards raising interest rates sooner than expected, it could strengthen the Pound against the Yen.
Weaker Japanese Yen: The Yen has been weakening recently due to the Bank of Japan's continued loose monetary policy, potentially supporting a rise in GBP/JPY.
Predicted Path for GBP/JPY
Traders,
Let's delve into the forecasted path for GBP/JPY:
Trend Analysis:
Upon examining the daily chart, we notice a resilient bullish channel that, despite being broken previously, has resurfaced with vigor. Furthermore, the strength of bullish candles outweighs downward movements.
Potential Obstacles:
Anticipate some hurdles or resistances along the upward trajectory. These include:
The daily resistance at approximately 188.600,
The declining trendline, and
The bottom of the channel.
These levels can serve as strategic points for trade entries or exits.
Potential Starting Point:
Consider initiating the upward movement between the levels of 186.00 and 185.00.
Keep a keen eye on these dynamics as you navigate GBP/JPY.
Best of luck in your trading endeavors!
Sell GBPJPY Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/JPY pair presents a potential selling opportunity on the H1 timeframe, fueled by a recent bearish breakout from a triangular consolidation pattern.
Key Points:
Bullish Triangle Breakout: Though seemingly counterintuitive, the price has broken downward from a bullish triangle formation, characterized by converging resistance and support lines. This often indicates a reversal of the prior upward trend and a shift in momentum towards the downside.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price near 187.40, offering an entry point close to the breakout level.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 186.05 and 185.16, marking previous support zones within the triangle.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the broken triangle at 188.70
Fundamental Updates :
Bank of England (BoE) Meeting and Interest Rate Decision (Feb 2): While the BoE is expected to raise rates again, the focus will be on the size (25bps or 50bps) and future policy guidance. Dovish pronouncements could weaken the GBP and benefit selling GBP/JPY.
Thank you.
GBPJPY Medium-term sellThe GBPJPY pair delivered the best sell signal possible on our last bearish call (November 30 2023, see chart below) as it got rejected exactly on the Higher Highs trend-line back to the Support of the Ascending Triangle:
Today's analysis is on the 1D time-frame where you can see that the price then rebounded exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and hit again the Higher Highs trend-line. That makes it again a technical sell opportunity and we can see the price already starting to reverse.
So far it continues to be a symmetrical price action with 2021 and early 2022 and along these lines, we can argue that this is a similar Higher Highs rejection with early January 2022. As a result, we are taking that sell opportunity to target the 1D MA200 at 183.000 as the pair did on January 24 2022. When the 1D RSI hits the 30.00 oversold barrier again, we will take a long-term buy position expecting a break above the Higher Highs trend-line this time. We will update on the Target when that time comes.
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