GBPJPY 18/02/24GJ giving some nice areas for potential moves, mainly i can see we are using the short term lows as a clear area to build up liquid for a deeper retracement, if this move does take place it will shift us back into a bearish swing range as the 5min price action is currently sitting within a bullish range, this range isn't the strongest but is still valid in terms of a short term bias within price.
If we do shift bearish il be looking towards the major demand sitting at our last internal low in price, this of course will also act as liq so running this a possibility. always keep in mind higher timeframe bias is only validated with lower timeframe confirms and trade entries, so be sure to always trade with order flow.
Gbp-jpy
Buy GBPJPY Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe displays a bullish signal through a recent upward breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting a potential buying opportunity.
Key Points:
Triangle Breakout: The price has been consolidating within a triangle formation characterized by converging support and resistance lines. This often indicates indecision before a decisive move. However, the recent break above the upper resistance line at 186.30 signifies a shift in momentum towards the upside.
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 186.45, offering an entry point close to the breakout level.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the resistance levels of 187.45 and 188.05, marking previous resistance zones within the triangle.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the support line of the broken triangle at 186.00. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back down.
Sell GBPJPY Bearish ChannelThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe exhibits a bearish channel pattern, suggesting a potential selling opportunity in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Bearish Channel: The price has been confined within a descending channel, characterized by two falling lines, one for resistance and one for support. This indicates ongoing selling pressure and potential for further decline.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 186.40, situated close to the channel resistance. This offers an entry point near a potential reversal zone.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 185.50 and 185.02, marking previous support zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the channel resistance line at 186.90. This helps limit potential losses if the trend breaks unexpectedly.
Double top on GBP/JPY at key resistanceThe Japanese yen may have weakened following the BOJ’s latest ‘non decision’ regarding monetary policy, but markets clearly weren’t surprised enough for it to extend its bearish moves today. Not a single xxx/JPY pair managed to break above its cycle highs, and momentum is now turning lower on these pairs to show a strengthening of the yen.
But what has caught our eye is the double top on the GBP/JPY daily chart, as it has stalled around the December 2015 high. Also note that the GB-JP 2-year spread is also quite low relative to spot GBP/JPY, and it makes us wonder if GBP/JPY has risen too far, too soon.
The 1-hour chart shows that momentum has turned lower in the first half of Wednesday’s Asian session. Prices are trading beneath the 50-dar EMA and daily pivot, so we would consider shorts below 118.20 for an anticipated move to the weekly pivot around 187.25 – although the cycle lows or daily S1 between 187.32 – 187.40 could also be considered.
A break beneath the weekly pivot point assumes a deeper retracement is playing out on the daily chart.
Buy GBPJPY Channel BreakoutGBP/JPY M30 Channel Breakout Hints at Potential Upside: Buy Opportunity Emerges
The GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a channel pattern. This pattern suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside, potentially offering entry points for short-term long positions.
Key Points:
Upward Channel Breakout: The price has been trading within a channel defined by two rising lines, one for support and one for resistance. This indicates ongoing buying pressure and potential for further advance. However, a recent break above the upper resistance line signifies a potential shift in momentum towards the upside.
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 186.60, which is close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near a potential continuation of the upward move.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the resistance levels of 187.48 and 188.17, marking previous resistance zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the support line of the broken channel, around 185.85. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back down.
Fundamental Updates :
BoE Meeting Minutes: Bank of England (BoE) meeting minutes reveal a hawkish tilt towards raising interest rates sooner than expected, it could strengthen the Pound against the Yen.
Weaker Japanese Yen: The Yen has been weakening recently due to the Bank of Japan's continued loose monetary policy, potentially supporting a rise in GBP/JPY.
Predicted Path for GBP/JPY
Traders,
Let's delve into the forecasted path for GBP/JPY:
Trend Analysis:
Upon examining the daily chart, we notice a resilient bullish channel that, despite being broken previously, has resurfaced with vigor. Furthermore, the strength of bullish candles outweighs downward movements.
Potential Obstacles:
Anticipate some hurdles or resistances along the upward trajectory. These include:
The daily resistance at approximately 188.600,
The declining trendline, and
The bottom of the channel.
These levels can serve as strategic points for trade entries or exits.
Potential Starting Point:
Consider initiating the upward movement between the levels of 186.00 and 185.00.
Keep a keen eye on these dynamics as you navigate GBP/JPY.
Best of luck in your trading endeavors!
Sell GBPJPY Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/JPY pair presents a potential selling opportunity on the H1 timeframe, fueled by a recent bearish breakout from a triangular consolidation pattern.
Key Points:
Bullish Triangle Breakout: Though seemingly counterintuitive, the price has broken downward from a bullish triangle formation, characterized by converging resistance and support lines. This often indicates a reversal of the prior upward trend and a shift in momentum towards the downside.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price near 187.40, offering an entry point close to the breakout level.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 186.05 and 185.16, marking previous support zones within the triangle.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the broken triangle at 188.70
Fundamental Updates :
Bank of England (BoE) Meeting and Interest Rate Decision (Feb 2): While the BoE is expected to raise rates again, the focus will be on the size (25bps or 50bps) and future policy guidance. Dovish pronouncements could weaken the GBP and benefit selling GBP/JPY.
Thank you.
GBPJPY Medium-term sellThe GBPJPY pair delivered the best sell signal possible on our last bearish call (November 30 2023, see chart below) as it got rejected exactly on the Higher Highs trend-line back to the Support of the Ascending Triangle:
Today's analysis is on the 1D time-frame where you can see that the price then rebounded exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and hit again the Higher Highs trend-line. That makes it again a technical sell opportunity and we can see the price already starting to reverse.
So far it continues to be a symmetrical price action with 2021 and early 2022 and along these lines, we can argue that this is a similar Higher Highs rejection with early January 2022. As a result, we are taking that sell opportunity to target the 1D MA200 at 183.000 as the pair did on January 24 2022. When the 1D RSI hits the 30.00 oversold barrier again, we will take a long-term buy position expecting a break above the Higher Highs trend-line this time. We will update on the Target when that time comes.
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GBPJPY: Systemic Top being formed. Sell.GBPJPY is on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.529, MACD = 1.210, ADX = 62.251), which is a natural consequence of the strong 3 week rally since the January 2nd bottom. However this rally appears to have come to an end as not only has the price hit and got rejected twice on the R1 level (188.660) but the 1D RSI has also reach the top of its six month Channel Down and is reversing.
The price action's HH trendline is a little higher, so we can allow some space for a final blow off top before a selloff. The Sine Waves so a clear and very consistent Peak-Bottom pattern and right now the price is exactly on the Peak. Consequently, we consider the current price level as a low risk sell opportunity. We are targeting the 1D MA200 (TP = 182.350).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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GBPJPY: Thoughts and Analysis Pre-BOJToday's focus:
Pattern – Continuation, resistance test.
Support – 37,400
Resistance – 187.63 - 184.35
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update.
Our focus today is on the GBPJPY pre-Bank of Japan. Looking at price, we can see it continues to trade on fast trends higher but has stalled at resistance.
The market could now be waiting to see what's next from the Bank of Japan. Will they tweak their bond-buying program? We have seen some solid volatility from past meetings. Could this be another?
We have run over two scenarios in today's video, and we will look to see what happens next for the JPY after tomorrow's BOJ meeting. Rates are expected to remain on hold, and the statement and outlook report are expected between 11:30 am and 4 pm on Tuesday this week.
Good trading.
XAUUSD BuyBuying Gold due to the failed close below 2016. I predicted 2012 last week, but to see this I'd anticipate good confirmation. This has not happened yet, CPI has dropped gold over 150 pips, now im expecting a clear push back to 2025+ area.
Ive entered at 2016.54, targeting 2029.54 and my stop is set at 2013.54. Gives me a 1:4.33 R/R 1%Risk
Entered at the low end of a 4Hr OB, which I'd like price to close above.
Not to much more analysis here, kept it simple, still using @nephew_sam_ FVG indictor so testing this on my funded account.
GJ Possible movement for next week openingLooking to short GJ next week, although a break of this 184.100 zone could push GJ to longs targeting 188.60 area (8/1/24)
Zoomed out onto 4hr HTF, from here I am looking to enter within that OB thats present, targeting a FVG around 180.00
Using a new indicator by @nephew_sam_ so looking forward to 2024 using this.
Upon technical analysis, I can see the finish of 2023 bought the Pound to close around 179.54. From here we have seen the slight push to the now current 183.952 area. This has been a nice steady push for GJ, which makes me think this continuation could continue.
Having said this, there hasn't been a major consolidation of price or even a pullback. From this i'd expect a slight pullback tonight (Sunday) or even through (London) Tomorrow or in due course.
My guesses are that price will continue for the short while, but a pullback is expected, and this is what I'm targeting. Day traders this could be a good opportunity, Swing traders I would probably focus on the longer targets of buying.
First documented trade of 2024 so lets see how this runs.
SELL TRADE SETUP ON GBPJPYHey Traders,
Check this analysis out on GBPJPY.
I have couple of plans on Gold and i am looking forward to BUT on a short term. then look forward to more SELL trade plan since the pair is sill below the weekly Key Zone.
I will take an alternative entry if that play out also,
Keep a close tab on this.
#gbpjpy #GJ
GBPJPY remains mixed and volatile.GBPJPY - 24h expiry
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 180.65 level.
We look to Buy at 180.65 (stop at 179.85)
Our profit targets will be 182.65 and 183.05
Resistance: 182.10 / 183.35 / 184.60
Support: 178.00 / 175.15 / 173.60
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