Could the Cable bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
pivot: 1.2857
1st Support: 1.2782
1st Resistance: 1.2940
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gbp-usd
GBPUSD Sell signal targeting the 1D MA200The GBPUSD pair almost hit the top of its 10-month Channel Up and immediatelly got rejected. The subsequent pull-back is so far restrained within the (dotted) Channel Up that uses the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Support.
The previous such Channel Up, essentially the first Bullish Leg of the (blue) Channel Up, topped at +6.00% (which is where the current rally sits as well) and a 6 week pull-back saw it test the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, the R/R favors heavily going short at the moment. Our Target is 1.2790 (exactly on the 0.382 Fib).
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Potential bullish bounce?GBP/USD is currently at the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2902
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2843
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2992
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD: Soft US Inflation And Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.29600 zone, GBPUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.29600 support and resistance area.
We Would also like to consider the recent soft CPI data in the US, easing inflation indicates that fed is heading towards a rate cut which put the USD in a dovish environment and weaken the dollar.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce from this level to the 1st resistance which is also a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.2906
1st Support: 1.2859
1st Resistance: 1.2988
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD to form a higher low?GBPUSD - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bullish.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
A lower correction is expected.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 1.2950.
We look to Buy at 1.2950 (stop at 1.2910)
Our profit targets will be 1.3050 and 1.3070
Resistance: 1.3010 / 1.3040 / 1.3070
Support: 1.2950 / 1.2920 / 1.2890
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Sell GBP/USD Triangle FormationThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2970.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2910
2nd Support – 1.2874
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2997. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you.
GBPUSD H4 - Short SignalGBPUSD H4
We are trading very close to out 1.30 handle, this is our key area of resistance. Similarly we have DXY back down on our 104.00 support price. Our final element of support before a potential break and trend change.
On the basis of the above, I would like to see a rejection of 1.30 as indicated and annotated. With targets of around 1.28500 initially.
GBPUSD D1 - 1.30 ShortGBPUSD H8
We have traded just shy of our 1.30 psychological price level. We are looking to see some selling pressure come into play from around this price level, in hope we trade south back down towards this 1.28500 price. A more major considered area of support.
From this zone, we would be looking to catch some long positions. A rejection of 1.30 would warrant some USD strength. We aren't looking to trade the short, just merely indicated FYI.
GBPUSD Outlook: Upside Potential and Critical Support LevelsGBPUSD – technical overview
Signs have emerged of the market wanting to put in a longer-term base after collapsing to a record low in September 2022. The door is now open for the next major upside extension towards the 2023 high at 1.3143. Any setbacks should be well supported ahead of 1.2000.
R2 1.2894 – 8 March/2024 high – Strong
R1 1.2861 – 12 June high – Medium
S1 1.2740 – 4 July low – Medium
S2 1.2668 – 3 July low – Medium
GBPUSD – fundamental overview
The Pound slumped on Tuesday after retailers reported slower sales. Meanwhile, the Labour government's immediate push for an increase in the minimum wage was also seen steepening the Gilt curve. Absence of first tier data on Wednesday’s calendar will leave the focus on another round of Fed Chair testimony and some Fed speak.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
Gbp/Usd (Wedge) Intraday Analysis The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2806, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2763
2nd Support – 1.2735
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2850. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Is It End Road for the BEARS...?Hey Guys!
On the larger timeframe of the Monthly, Weekly and Daily, we see this market is bearish.
Over the past few days leading into weeks, we have seen the market gravitate to the north to reach higher prices. We are tempted to believe that all of that bullishness was to drive the market into our expected bullish reversal zone.
Market price is currently inside our Daily zone. We are looking to see reversals.
Where that happens, we will look to trade bearish.
In the unlikely event that the market breaks our zone and clears our protected high, we will deem come to the conclusion that the bearish of the daily chart is over, and we will look to trade Bullish on the Daily.
Until then, we will hold on to our bearish perspective.
Are We Bearish on the 4 Hour Chart...?On the lower timeframe, we have seen a great deal of bullishness. But all of this bullishness on the lower timeframe of the 1 hour has been seen as a move to drive the market into our earlier marked out 4 hour reversal zone.
Market is currently in our reversal zone, and we are seeing some signs of reversals. We will wait for a confirmation of the reversal to enable us jump in on it.
It is expected that our zone will hold, the market will reverse, and we will see lower prices printed.
Our target on the downside is the 4 hour liquidity target at 1.06657
Sell GBP/USD Rising Wedge BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2755, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2680
2nd Support – 1.2637
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2785. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
GBPUSD possible analysisAfter price tapped into higher time frame supply zone, it reversed giving a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish. It preceded to create and break a few more lows confirming that the shift is valid. In the same process, price accumulated internal liquidity that is nearly fully taken out. During the the initial shift of market structure, price left behind an unmitigated POI with imbalance that it is currently retracing towards to mitigate before it could continue with its bearish move to take out the latest weak low.
Buy GBPUSD Wedge BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.2660, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2737
2nd Support – 1.2803
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.2600. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Bearish reversal?GBP/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2703
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.2735
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.2662
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?GBP/USD Is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and cold potentially reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.26626
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.26934
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 1.26147
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Brace for NFP, ECB Forum, and two major elections This week is set to be a pivotal one for global markets, with significant economic and political events on both sides of the Atlantic.
In the United States, the spotlight will be on nonfarm payrolls at the end of the week, with the economy expected to have added 180,000 jobs in June. This would mark a slowdown from the 272,000 jobs added in May and signal a cooling of the labor market.
Across the Atlantic, political developments in France and the United Kingdom are likely to dominate market movements.
France's Parliamentary Elections:
France held the first round of its parliamentary elections on Sunday. The far-right National Rally party, led by Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella, has surged to first place, securing 33.5% of votes according to recent polls. The second round of voting is scheduled for July 7.
The dissolution of the National Assembly by President Emmanuel Macron earlier this month has already caused volatility in French stocks. However, some see this as a buying opportunity. Eden Bradfield of BlackBull Research commented, "Our preference list includes Kering, LVMH, Richemont, Brunello, and Hermes at the right price."
Adding to the busy week, the European Central Bank (ECB) will host its annual forum in Sintra from Monday to Wednesday. The event will gather central bank governors, including Jerome Powell of the U.S. Federal Reserve, Roberto Campos Neto of the Brazilian Central Bank, Andrew Bailey of the Bank of England, and Christine Lagarde of the ECB.
On the economic front, Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports for the Eurozone and Germany are due this week. These reports are anticipated to show a slight easing in inflation, which will be closely monitored by investors and policymakers alike.
UK General Elections:
In the United Kingdom, a major political shift is anticipated on July 4. Polls suggest a landslide victory for Keir Starmer’s Labour Party and a major defeat for Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives, who have been in power for 14 years.
For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox.
Sell GBP/USD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2675, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2635
2nd Support – 1.2610
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2703. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.