GBGJPYHey Traders! Let’s Dive Into GBP/JPY 🔍
Here’s a breakdown of an exciting setup I’m watching closely on GBP/JPY (Daily timeframe). It’s shaping up to be a textbook bearish continuation
let me walk you through the key details:
Bearish Flag Pattern
The chart shows a classic bearish flag in action. After a strong sell-off (the flagpole), the price has been consolidating within an upward-sloping channel, forming the "flag." This is often a pause before the next leg down, and the measured move suggests we could see significant downside if the flag breaks.
Entry & Confirmation
Patience is key here! I’m looking to enter at 188.000, but only after confirmation. Ideally, I want to see price rejection at the bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) or clear signs of selling pressure at this level. No confirmation, no trade—that’s how I roll. 😉
Stop Loss (SL)
The stop loss is placed just above the flag's upper boundary. If price breaks above, it invalidates the pattern and signals that the bears may have lost control. This small risk is worth taking for the potential reward ahead.
Targets to Watch
Here’s where it gets exciting:
First target: 179.000 – A key intermediate support level.
Final target: 160.000 – A major historical support zone and the projected move from the flagpole.
If the breakdown plays out as expected, this could be a fantastic risk-to-reward setup. 🎯
Key Levels to Keep in Mind
Resistance at 199.000: The ceiling holding back upward momentum.
Support at 188.000 & 179.000: Zones where price may react before heading lower.
My Take
This setup screams bearish momentum, but as always, I’m waiting for confirmation before pulling the trigger. The bearish flag, coupled with a clean breakdown at the FVG, could pave the way for a strong move south. Discipline and proper risk management are non-negotiable—don’t chase it! 🚨
What’s your view on GBP/JPY? Let me know in the comments! 💬
Trade safe,
RAY
Feel free to tweak this as needed!
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE
GBP
GBPJPY Buy signal on a 5-month bottom.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 05 2024 bottom and yesterday it made a Higher Low at the bottom of the pattern. This has been a buy opportunity 2/2 times and based on the similarities with the September 11 2024 Low, we can expect the new Bullish Leg to start and peak on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. Our Target is 204.000.
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EURGBP Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session se are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.84300 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.84300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish drop?GBP/JPY is rising towards the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 192.49
1st Support: 190.20
1st Resistance: 193.37
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.22000 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.22000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPCAD - possible sells?Here is our view on GBPCAD . Potential short opportunities.
We believe that GBPCAD could continue to the downside . We have two possible entries . One could be at the pullback at 1.78061 . The second entry could be at the break of previous lows sitting at 1.76267 . We are aiming for the target and deeper lows sitting at 1.74818 . We can expect the higher pullback to be visited if 1.77443 is broken.
PARAMETERS ; for the pullback trade
- Entry: 1.78061
- SL: 1.78773
- TP: 1.74818
PARAMETERS ; for the break trade
- Entry: 1.76267
- SL: 1.76971
- TP 1.74818
KEY NOTES
- GBPCAD remains bearish.
- Break above 1.77443 would confirm a pullback to our first entry sitting at 1.78061.
- Break below previous lows (1.76267) would result in deeper pullbacks.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Potential bullish rise?EUR/GBP has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.8361
1st Support: 0.8263
1st Resistance: 0.8490
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish reversal?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.2067
1st Support: 1.1867
1st Resistance: 1.2321
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD Ultimate buy signal at the bottom of the 2year Channel UpThe GBPUSD pair brutally reversed this week's early gains and the 1W candle will most likely close in red after making a new Low. The trend has been bearish since the September 23 2024 High and has been accelerated after the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) rejection in early December.
This is however the ultimate long-term buy opportunity as the price is almost at the bottom of the 2-year Channel Up. On top of that, the 1W RSI is almost on the oversold barrier (30.00), a level intact since October 2022.
As long as the price is closing within the Channel Up, we see a rebound towards the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level very likely, as it happened in November 2023. Our Target is 1.2950.
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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EURGBP - Will the pound continue to fall?The EURGBP currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. The continued rise of this currency pair towards the supply zone will provide a position to sell it with a suitable risk reward. In case of downward correction, we can buy within the demand zone.
Yesterday, Reeves, the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, faced questions from Members of Parliament following a significant increase in the sale of UK government bonds. Sir Lindsay Hoyle, the Speaker of the House of Commons, accepted an urgent query raised by Conservative opposition members. This compelled Reeves to appear in Parliament on Thursday morning, as the yield on 10-year UK government bonds surged to 4.93%, the highest level since 2008.
The pound also dropped during this market turmoil, reaching $1.224, its weakest level since November 2023. The rising yields on UK government debt have posed a serious challenge to Reeves’ fiscal plans, constraining the government’s borrowing capacity under its budgetary rules. Borrowing costs have spiked as investors grow increasingly concerned about the government’s heavy borrowing needs and the mounting risk of stagflation.
Jones, a senior official at the UK Treasury, stated that only the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) could predict the impact of bond market movements on the fiscal outlook. He emphasized that the government remains committed to strict fiscal rules, ensuring public spending stays within budget limits. He also noted that public services must operate within their allocated resources, dismissing the need for any emergency intervention by the Treasury.
Meanwhile, Breeden, a member of the Bank of England, commented that recent data suggest it may be time to ease restrictive policies.She expressed the need to understand the causes behind the slowdown in economic activity and how employers are coping with higher hiring costs. While economic activity appears somewhat subdued, Breeden added that it is expected to rebound.
According to a Citi/YouGov survey, UK households’ one-year inflation expectations have risen to 3.7%, while their long-term inflation expectations have climbed to 3.9%. Concurrently, the UK Debt Management Office plans to syndicate and reissue the 4.375% 2040 bonds in the week starting January 20. This move aims to finance the government and manage public debt.
Separately, Cipollone of the European Central Bank remarked that monetary policy should enable the Eurozone economy to operate at full capacity while avoiding demand reductions that could trigger inflationary shocks. He highlighted structural issues in Europe’s industrial sector, including declining productivity relative to the US and excessive reliance on foreign technological solutions. Cipollone further noted that Europe has lost its edge in innovation and scalability due to fragmented markets and a defensive, nationalist approach.
GBPUSD to continue in the downward move?GBPUSD - Intraday
The primary trend remains bearish.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.2350.
We look to Sell at 1.2350 (stop at 1.2380)
Our profit targets will be 1.2245 and 1.2225
Resistance: 1.2320 / 1.2360 / 1.2400
Support: 1.2240 / 1.2210 / 1.2180
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Bearish drop for the Cable?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level top our take profit.
Entry: 1.2371
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2489
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2239
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPJPY Signal : 1H / 4H Beautiful buy !!!GBPJPY ( 1H / 4H )
Market price : 194.00
Buy now : 194.00
Tp1 : 194.70
Tp2 : 195.40
Tp3: 197.00
Tp4 : 198.10
Sl : 193.30 ( 70 pip )
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ❤️
Remember this is a position that was found by me and it is a personal idea not a financial advice, you are responsible for your loss and gain.
Falling towards pullback support?GBP/AUD is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.9816
1st Support: 1.9728
1st Resistance: 1.9984
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?GBP/NZD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2.2060
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 2.2191
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 2.1898
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD -Dollar, employment indicators or tariff news?!The GBPUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. In case of upward correction of the currency pair, it is possible to sell this currency pair within the specified supply zone.
If the downward trend continues due to the release of economic data this week, we can see the demand zone and buy within that zone with the appropriate risk reward.
The yield on the UK’s 30-year bonds reached 5.22%, the highest level since 1998. This surge followed the sale of similar maturity bonds and heightened concerns about the large issuance of government debt. The UK government plans to issue £297 billion in bonds during the current fiscal year, marking the second-highest figure in the country’s history. This substantial issuance has exerted significant pressure on the bond market and raised fears about mounting national debt.
Moreover, expectations of a smaller rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE) have added further strain to the bond market. The UK government faces a considerable challenge in balancing the need to gain investors’ trust while managing its growing debt burden. The market remains overshadowed by the controversial 2022 budget under Liz Truss, the former Conservative Prime Minister.
Meanwhile, recent data has led to improved economic forecasts. Real personal consumption expenditure growth for Q4 is now expected to rise from 3% to 3.3%, while projections for real private domestic investment growth have improved from -0.9% to -0.6%. Additionally, the contribution of net exports to real GDP growth in Q4 has been revised upward from 0.07% to 0.11%.
Goldman Sachs has reduced its forecast for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts in 2025 from 100 basis points to 75 basis points. The bank does not anticipate that President-elect Donald Trump’s policies will result in rate hikes. Goldman Sachs notes that core inflation is declining and remains skeptical about Trump’s policy changes having a significant impact on interest rates.
According to a report by The Washington Post, Trump may impose tariffs that are more limited in scope than he had promised during his campaign. This news has led to a decline in the value of the US dollar. Such reactions are likely to recur as more details about the tariffs are announced.
Reports of lower tariffs typically weaken the dollar. But what happens if higher tariffs are imposed, such as those targeting China? Chris Meissner from Santa Clara University believes, “The Chinese yuan will appear weaker relative to the US dollar, which will strengthen the dollar to offset part of the direct tariff impact.”
Olivier Jeanne, a professor at Johns Hopkins University, stated, “A stronger dollar benefits American consumers by lowering the cost of imports.” He added, “It is also advantageous for American tourists traveling abroad when the dollar is strong.” However, he cautioned that this is detrimental to the export sector, as a stronger dollar means other countries would need more of their own currency to purchase American goods.
With approximately two weeks remaining until Trump’s inauguration, the threats surrounding his proposed tariff plans have already introduced stress into the global trade system and created uncertainties regarding inflation and interest rate trends.
EURGBP intraday rallies to continue attract sellers?EURGBP - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bearish.
Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
The bearish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart is negative for sentiment.
50 1day EMA is at 0.8310.
We look to Sell at 0.8309 (stop at 0.8329)
Our profit targets will be 0.8259 and 0.8249
Resistance: 0.8300 / 0.8315 / 0.8328
Support: 0.8285 / 0.8263 / 0.8250
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Bearish drop 50% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/CAD has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.7988
1st Support: 1.7804
1st Resistance: 1.8056
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.