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GBPAUD

GBPAUD H4 | Bearish continuationGBPAUD is falling towards overlap support and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.91997 which is an overlap support that aligns with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 1.94217 which is a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 1.89758 which is overlap support that aligns with 50% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
Yemi_Fx1 | Bullish Setup on GBPAUD Happy New Month Friends and it's a beginning of another week for we all. TODAY'S Forecast on OANDA:GBPAUD Last week we experience a progression of price in the favor of the bulls which is as a result of the technicality(The nature of the market). The pair has been printing the impulse correction nature. Currently price is in the correction phase to make another momentum move to the upside. So my view on this is still bullish. Will be waiting for the validation of the area of value. If you found this helpful please support your fellow trader with a like Have a profitable days 💙
Long
by Yemi_Fx1
GBPAUD (and EURAUD) Looking at more upside to comeTradingview Ideas: Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Likely more upside to come,let's see! Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Long
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
GBPAUD: Technical Uptrend with Fundamental InsightsHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring GBPAUD for a buying opportunity around 1.93200 zone, GBPAUD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.93200 support and resistance area. Now, let's delve into the fundamental aspect: Recent remarks from Huw Pill, the chief economist at the Bank of England, have stirred market interest. Pill hinted at the possibility of a shift in the central bank's stance regarding interest rates. His cautionary comments, particularly regarding geopolitical risks like those in the Middle East, suggest a nuanced approach to future rate decisions. This fundamental layer adds depth to our technical analysis, emphasizing the importance of monitoring central bank commentary alongside price action for strategic trading decisions.
Long
by JoeChampion
1
RBA meeting preview – transitioning away from a tightening bias Time: Tuesday at 14:30 AEDT With the Fed, ECB and BoE now having offered their guidance on policy and all largely pushing back on the pricing of imminent cuts, it’s the RBA who steps up as a risk event for traders on Tuesday. Like the aforementioned central banks, the timing and the extent of RBA rate cuts are the subject of much debate among local market participants - all with fairly strong and dispersed views on when the first cut plays out. What is more important to drive the reaction in the AUD or AUS200 are market expectations and what is being priced. The best way to measure these expectations is through the Aus 30-day interest rate futures, and these are the first derivative by which other markets (such as the AUD) will react to. As we from the table the central view from rates traders is there is very little chance of a 25bp cut at this meeting or the March meeting. The May RBA meeting is considered to be ‘live’ and while this pricing will move dynamically with supply and demand from market participants, there is currently a 56% probability of easing here, with June almost fully priced for a cut. I sit more in the June camp myself. By December ‘24 the market is torn between two or three 25bp cuts, with 64bp of easing priced. Another factor is the pricing of the trough in the cash rate, as this offers a sense of where the collective sees a neutral setting. Here we can look at the forward rates market and see this currently set between 3.50% and 3.25% in 2 years’ time. A 3.5% floor in the cash rate would be conditional on the economy avoiding a recession, where a recessionary environment would require a more accommodative stance and the cash rate likely pulled below 2%. The reaction in the AUD While the RBA won't cut the cash rate at this meeting, the reaction in markets will come from the tone of the RBA statement and any change in the wording that gives a sense of whether there is any appetite to ease from May or June. While cumulative pricing in Aussie rates is certainly nowhere near as aggressive as what we see in the tradable US or EUR interest rate markets, if the market sees no tangible evidence the bank is prepared to cut then May rate cut pricing will be pared back and the AUD should spike higher. Positioning, specifically from fast money leverage funds (e.g. hedge funds), will also play a critical role in the extent of the move to the tone of the statement, and flow reports from investment banks suggest these players running a sizeable AUD short position, albeit not at extreme levels. Given the trend in both headline and core inflation, along with subdued growth and stalling house price momentum, the RBA will almost certainly lose its hawkish bias in the meeting statement. However, they will likely be non-committal and adopt a clear wait-and-see bias. This should loosely put a cut on the table as early as May, but it will be highly conditional on the outcome of the following data points: Wage price index (21 Feb), monthly CPI reports (28 Feb, 27 March), Q1 CPI (24 April), employment reports (15 Feb, 21 March, 18 April) and Q4 GDP (6 March). Certainly, the Q1 CPI is the marquee data point that could decide a May cut, and the RBA would want to see inflation falling below 3.5%. The RBA would also require an unemployment rate above 4% (currently 3.9%) and trending higher to ease. A big day for the AUD It's worth considering that as well as the RBA statement we get the SoMP (Statement on Monetary policy) at the same time, and there will likely be changes to the bank's economic projections – that could put the market on notice. Also, an hour later (15:30 AEDT) RBA Governor Bullock will hold a press conference – this will be important for traders to react to. Gov Bullock will be probed on the broad appetite to cut and once again the reaction in the AUD and AUS200 will be driven by nuance and her urgency to normalize relative to the rates pricing. In theory, the meeting should be a low-volatility affair, with the bank moving to a more neutral setting and welcoming the moves lower in inflation but refraining from saying their work is done. It is still an obvious risk though for AUD exposures, so do consider position sizing over the event and consider where you see the skew in risk. As we move into the meeting AUDUSD is tracking a range of 0.6625 to 0.6550 – a break of this range could be quite powerful. Sentiment towards global risk assets is a contributing factor but as I say, around the meeting how the RBA are seeing things relative to market pricing will likely be the driving factor.
by Pepperstone
GBPAUD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Short
by ShahedZare
GBPAUD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis. Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL . GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPAUD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Short
by TheGrove
1
Sell GBPAUD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/AUD pair on the H1 chart exhibits a bearish signal suggesting a potential decline in the coming hours. A recent downward breakout from a triangular consolidation pattern could offer a shorting opportunity. Key Points: Triangle Breakout: The price has been confined within a triangle formation, characterized by converging support and resistance lines. This often indicates indecision before a decisive move. However, the recent break below the lower support line at 1.9265 suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside. Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price near 1.9265, offering an entry point close to the breakout level. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.9114 and 1.9027, marking previous support zones within the triangle. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance 1.9400 Fundamental Updates : Bank of England (BoE) Meeting and Interest Rate Decision (Feb 2): While the BoE is expected to raise rates again, the focus will be on the size (25bps or 50bps) and future policy guidance. Dovish pronouncements could weaken the GBP and support AUD selling against it. Risk-Off Sentiment: A general deterioration in global market sentiment could drive investors towards the safe-haven AUD and put downward pressure on GBP/AUD. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
GBPAUD: GET READY TO SHORT!We got a confirmed bearish trend change for GC (2 LL and 2 LH is what I look for to ensure I do not fall for the trap of a fake trend change!) Now looking for trend continuation to take a short trade. Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a market structure shift on 15min and ATTACK! The 50% retracement and is also in line with the breaker block. This is looking like a very yummy short! Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
Short
by RomanaTrades
2
GBPAUD Short Signal Reversal StrategyHi guys, its your girl forex potatoe and its another week of opportunities. January as been a pretty slow month for swing traders but here we have an opportunity to short GBPAUD, i am just took a short on this trade with my stop loss and take profit in appropriate places as with my tool. GBPAUD has been in an uptrend and has encountered a solid resistance and its having problems going through it, this is the third time that its showing signs of weakness and we all know how third strong third touches can be. In addition to that we can see the Daily RSI is overbought and just crossed the 70% mark, a head and shoulders pattern together with a bearish engulfing candle stick are confluences that supported my sell decision I am expecting GBPAUD to drop from this resistance and reverse all the way down. Kindly hit the boost , leave a follow and let me know what you think of this idea in the comment section
Short
by ForexPotatoe
GBPAUD 4H chart potential Bull FlagOn this 4H chart for GBPAUD we can notice a strong resistance range. Recently the price broke temporary above it but now it dropped to retest it. In the proces of retesting it, the price started forming a potential Bull flag. Am effective breakout from the pattern can align with a re-bounce from the support range and lead to a strong increase in the price Additional confluences: - 20, 50 and 200 EMAs are aligned to indicated a general up trend - The price has dropped to test the 20 EMA which aligns well with the support range and the chart pattern Additional note: If the price provides an entry for the pattern, initially this can still happen within the support range. If you want to get even more curtainty, you may want to wait for the price to close above the range
Long
by RTED_Investing
8