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GBPAUD

GBP/AUD Long structure with entry point!Good morning traders. I was taking a look at GBP/AUD after the recent increase in GDP data, and it seems that the pound is gearing up for a strong rally. In my view, I foresee a slight retracement around 1.9460 where we have a confluence at H1, an intersection between two trendlines, and a demand zone – three clear signals for a long entry. Of course, everything needs to be contextualized, and the right confirmations should be awaited before entering long. Comment below and leave a like. Greetings from Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
3
AUD breakout traders – look to the yuan for inspirationAs is typically the way in FX trading the breakout traders see a set-up on the higher timeframes and either the market uses these levels to fade the move, or the breakout fails to gain traction and ultimately reverses. Those seasoned traders who use breakouts for trade entry – often momentum and trend-followers – know the percentage of breakouts that lead to trending conditions is typically low. It is why they target ‘outlier’ moves within a distribution and subscribe to the view that the win/loss ratio is not a major concern. The strategy will typically run win rates of 30-40% but will focus more on the reward-to-risk trade-off. Extracting as much profit from each trade is where they make their money and that is where the science of holding positions kicks in. We may end up with many small losing positions, but when we win it is ideally a 5 to 10R. Holding, as I say, is key and that is never easy – it is why having a rules-based strategy can pay dividends. When the market breaks out and goes on a run you must know when to hold and when to fold. Granted, FX markets have a higher propensity to revert to a mean than commodities or equity indices, but the AUD screams out as currently fitting this dynamic. Notably, EURAUD, AUDUSD, AUDCHF and GBPAUD screened on the breakout radar yesterday, but have since failed to follow through with the move. China is at the heart of the AUD recent moves. USDCNH has always been a strong guide for me on AUD flows, and while I have been of the view that weaker external demand needs a weaker currency – the PBoC is doing the utmost to push back on the yuan weakness, with consistently stronger yuan ‘fixings’ (seen each day at 11:15 AEST). As a driver, we’ve seen a slightly better China CPI print today at -0.3% and USDCNH has sold off, in turn, this has lifted the AUD. The statistical correlation between AUD and CNH has broken down of late, but for those trading AUDUSD or the AUD crosses through Asia, the influence of the yuan is still incredibly significant. Tactically, if we are to see an upside break of 7.2500 (in USDCNH) I’d have far higher conviction we’ll see a closing breakout in these AUD pairs. Patience is always our best friend in trading, especially when using leverage, as we need to nail our entries – so having the set-ups on the radar and waiting for the market flow to push a trade is prudent. One could say we’re at peak negative sentiment towards China, and next week’s China economic data (industrial production, retail sales, fixed asset investment) is likely to see a more pronounced positive reaction to a beat than a negative one to a miss. That is a risk to manage, but if the AUD kicks lower in these pairs it could be meaningful and certainly be welcomed by those that like to trade continuations.
Short
by Pepperstone
GBPAUD – slowing down but still bullish 31 July, 2023This pair has been neutral recently, it does make bullish moves but retraces all or most of that move. The last daily candle however was quite strong and, in my opinion, we may see a significant bullish continuation next week. Chasing price is not in my trading plan, I prefer to wait for a pull back. If price continues without one, I am happy to let it go. Two possible areas to look for a bullish continuation are the significant s/r around 1.9130 or the intermediate level of 1.8970. Nothing is 100% in trading, so as always, use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades. If you like my content, please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get even more. What do you think about this trade idea? Please comment and share your thoughts!!
Long
by Trading_Vista
4
GBPAUD ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Guys, This pair is on my radar for one very strong reason amongst others... which is... in the monthly timeframe, the price is to continue the impulse leg... in the weekly timeframe, the price is printing the impulse leg and in the daily timeframe, price is retracing which I expect will get into the daily order block then continue the rally that is expected on the daily, weekly and monthly timeframes. You will also notice that the price has formed relatively equal lows (sell-side liquidity) on the lower timeframe which I have indicated on the chart for you to see which is just above the daily order block. As we know, liquidity and imbalances are what attract price... hence, I expect it to be swept which gives more reason why price might get to the daily order block. Once this happens, I will go to the 1-hour and wait for my trade setup to go long. My target price is gotten from the weekly chart. See correlated pair analysis: EURAUD & GBPCAD Follow for more updates like this EURAUD ANALYSIS GBPCAD ANALYSIS Cheers, Jabari
Long
by jabariofafrica
GBPAUD I Previous break of resistance and return to structureWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** GBPAUD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
21
GBPAUD - Will The AUD Continue To Be Bearish?Analysis: Bullish Confluences In an upwards trend Break & retest of a previous area of resistance for support 38.2% fib retracement level present Upwards trendline present GBP is the second strongest major currency where as the AUD is the 7th strongest major currency 25K short positions decrease for the GBP 2K short position increase for the AUD Bearish Confluences 30K long position decrease for the GBP 1K long position increase for the AUD Stay Safe - The JPI Team Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you! Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Long
by jpeacockfx
8
GBPAUD: High-Profit Buy Opportunity IncomingGreetings everyone, Starting the week with a potential BUY for GBPAUD: Despite its recent heavy decline, this pair is nearing our strategic moving averages and has exhausted its daily average volatility, indicating a potential end to the bearish run. The overarching trend remains bullish, hinting at resistance against a total free fall. To capitalize on this setup, vigilance is key: seek bullish candlestick confirmations for a valid trade. If you're eager to get ahead, monitor the 15-minute timeframe for telltale price action signals. Remember, entry without confirmation invalidates this trade. As always, ensure to integrate this information into your broader investment strategy.
Long
by FX-TradingLions