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Gbpaudanalysis

GBP AUD - target 2.00+Hello Traders and Analysts, A Note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon our trading strategy. This is tagged long, due to purchasing further increments upon imbalances. Please do not take this as face value and conduct the relevant investment strategy to successfully trade the probabilities. The previous analysis Master Key for zones Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Red = 4 Days Yellow = 16 Hours Orange = Daily Dark Green = 8 Hour Grey = 4hour Pink = 1 hour Original analysis process. Below is an explanation of the imbalance/inefficiency zones based upon the original analysis view. 1. Zone 1: - 1.72 - 1.75 we will be looking at a test of the order block, movement away to keep shorts flowing to keep the imbalance moving towards the zone of a 1.72 redistribution, liquidity to show bears further short options before the lows. From here we will expect a spring and a test of said springs. A rejection will occur and then see accumulation phase of price hitting the target on the AUD USD with bullish Aussie. 2. Exactly the same but making further gains moving down to 1.67-1.60 which will be the development. We volume will be a key indicator here to see the set up of the buy/sell swaps. Moving to now... Monthly imbalances: Pretty simple breakdown from a monthly perspective, where GBP maxed out in March 2020 and began the sellers imbalance to reach lows of 1.742 as previously stated above. From a buying retrace imbalance - the targets are set at the 1.87 mark and 1.93 the next target. From a positional buy into 2022 if the 50% monthly Fibonacci retracement permits the target and holds above, then extension of 2.0X will be looked towards. Weekly imbalance While the GBP and Aussie is trading within a defined range - adding more positions on the range lows are pivotal here to maintain the long position. The weekly position now is clear with the daily candle to close within the Weekly, the probability to continue the rally base rally is evident. The movement since: Closely correlated pairs GBP NZD and EUR AUD weekly chart and monthly chart respectively using correlation and imbalances. Correlation of GBP AUD vs AUD USD Imbalance spotting is important to note on one pair like GBP AUD, however the web behind the imbalance is just as important to keep in mind when looking for imbalance trades as pairs are called pairs for a reason. Looking into two variables where correlation is either Perfect positive correlation +1, 0 or Perfect negative correlation -1 i in simple Lehman's terms. AUD is coming from a monthly imbalance meanwhile GBP AUD will turn positive where price is coming from a monthly buy imbalance. Comparing the GBP AUD to the AUD USD - using a monthly correlation grid. The current at time of analysing is -79.7% negatively correlated. This has been due to the weak USD in play and the positive correlation against the SPX500 and the USD associated with the index. XAU is also a factor here whereby XAU a hedge against inflation and a propulsion for the Aussie to provide further additional strength. Here is the graphical scale below: Where by the inverse of the AUD from 0.80 and a low of GBP AUD to 1.768XX, the opportunity arises for short positions and respective longs for the GBP. The DXY is pivotal DXY to see the imbalance reverse upon the devaluation of the USD where the FED has created an abundance of credit which has financed the citizens essentially to 'stay put' in cases whereby specific industry sectors within the US are rendered 'useless' until the hospitality and entertainment, aviation can all be kick started again. Below are the pivotal monthly imbalances on the chart which are hard to not notice. The Monthly imbalances clearly indicate where the profit targets for the DXY are as price has clearly rejected. Use this monthly imbalance analysis to help trade in a higher time frame. SPX vs AUD USD with an importance note of GBP AUD. The correlation of the SPX and the Aussie is a positive correlation when the SPX is bullish , this allows the AUD USD to remain bullish . With respect for USD purposes where the SPX becomes bearish from an imbalance or has a trend breather, the correlation becomes a sell imbalance for the SPX and AUD based upon the USD having the fundamental safe haven positional stance for investors. Pre-march Current scenario: since the lowest point - where the monthly imbalance had hit the march low. Using Yields and the Volatility index to provide further evidence. Be aware of the Yields of the US05 - US20 Year, this can impact the SPX growth and AUD Bullish correlation. Here are the weekly timeframes to support: Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 5+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Position and swing trades Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXI
Long
by LupaCapital
4
GBPAUD OVERVIEW for the month of June GBPAUD analysis overview- Monthly closure - bullish engulfing, giving me a long bias(long term) for the time being Weekly chart - bullish closure with a significant bullish rejection (long lower wick), can potential start ranging if reject from the resistance level ahead Daily chart - break above resistance making a new higher high, potential new resistance found and could potential see a retracement (this would be dependent on how the lower timeframes hold their structure) if today's candles closes bearish and tomorrow follows through, potential area it could retrace too 38.2% as it has confluence with previous resistance level. H4 chart - initiated a 123 move to the up side which could give birth to an uptrend, I have to areas of interest the 38.2% fib level as it is the same area of interest as the Daily chart, if this area fails to hold support(if we ever get to it in the first place) i would potentially be looking at the 61.8% which is lining up with my previous H4 resistance level and has we know "previous resistance can become support" 30m chart (my main trading TF) - we had impulse wave breaking the previous level of resistance, then followed by a pullback which seems to be finding support at the 50% fib level, potentially creating something which some people would call a 'double bottom' (lets see how the candle closes). Overall a lot of confluence for potential long opportunities, which will be my main focus for this pair for this month ( as long as market structure still maintains the same).
Long
by Inacio_1998
Buy GBPAUD after breakout and retestThere was a good wedge for GBPAUD to trade and I took profit of it, now I'm expecting new wave to break the resistance and create a new buy signal, don't enter the trade before the breakout. In the other scenario it can go down from here for another leg but i dont see any reason for that to happen. I will be bullish on this pair for long time. Hint: The London opening will show us which way to trade trade after London breakout to increase the winning rate.
Long
by myildirimy