Gbpcadlong
GBPCAD long trade ideaLast week on the daily GBPCAD has made an Impulse to the upside and went for a retest of the impulse almost to 0.618. So, from daily we have a bullish outlook also today on 4H market shifted from bearish to bullish and we can look for big long from here.
I will open a long from 1.71700. But keep in mind that we have a strong resistance in the weekly chart on 1.72500. So, if the market goes in my favor and tests the weekly resistance I will risk free this trade just in case the market doesn't break weekly resistance but if market breaks weekly resistance we could see GBPCAD move to 1.75000.
GBPCAD Idea/Signal updatePair consolidated for a few hours until the resistance was overcome and closed above (1 hour candle).
R/W - 1/8.
For the more conservative, they can expect a possible retest in that resistance zone that is now a support. That is, wait for the candles to go up and then go down before going back up. It is good to remember that events from the past are not always repeated in the future.
Entry around: 1.72970
TP: 1.76780
SL: 1.72475
GBP/CAD looking to bounce off 78.6%Hello Fellow Trader!
Quite a few signals lining up. Today I have introduced Bollinger bands to the equation due to multiple signals suggesting the reversal for GBP/CAD
Daily Bollinger, 1-hour Bollinger, 78.6% Fibonacci and double bottom all coincide for a possible bounce. Would like to see a strong bullish engulfing, hammer, piercing, two bar reversal or dragon fly to confirm.
Key Points:
- Daily – Price outside Bollinger band and at 78.6% Fibonacci retracement
- 1 Hour – Price outside Bollinger band
- Double bottom support level from September 23rd low
- Caution - Price holding below the 200 EMA
- Caution - Price holding below the 50 EMA
- Looking for a bullish candle at the 78.6% retracement
- Large spike in volume but price stale
- RSI crossing above oversold 20 extreme
Key Levels:
Support - 1.69015, 1.68800
Resistance – 50 EMA, 200 EMA, 1.70320, 1.71265
Entry Zone:
Optimal entry provides the greatest reward to risk ratio while supporting entry is a zone for reversal signals.
Optimal Entry – 1.69400
Supporting Entry – 1.69550
Candle Reversals for entry
- Bullish Hammer
- Bullish Engulfing
- Bullish Piercing
The Risk:
As traders, it is your job to mitigate the risk and only trade structures that provide high probability and great reward to risk ratios.
If you are not comfortable with defined exit levels, experiment with Moving Averages to help set solid exit rules to protect your capital.
IF: Price breaks below 1.68799 – this would suggest the structure is not in our favour and would be wise to reduce exposure or close the trade until a solid signal gives us reasons to re-enter.
Reward / Reward Targets:
Optimal Entry 1.69400 – Target 1 1.70320 = 1.5x Reward to Risk
Optimal Entry 1.69400 – Target 2 1.71265 = 3x Reward to Risk
Supporting Entry 1.69550 – Target 1 1.70320 = 1x Reward to Risk
Supporting Entry 1.69550 – Target 2 1.71265 = 2x Reward to Risk
GBPCAD Top-Down AnalysisHello Traders,
Here is the Top-Down Analysis of GBPCAD (Monthly, Weekly, Daily for direction and 4H for entry) for
Week 41 - 05 Oct
M > Market is moving in a well respected horizontal structure (of course with minor breakouts). Price had dropped to monthly support in middle of the structure, faced rejection and moved up.
W > On its way down price created an M formation and as expected price moved up to test the neck.
D > Price has been creating HH and HL on its way up. It created a W formation and dropped till neck to complete the formation.
As per COT GBP saw closure of Long and addition of major short positions bringing net position to -ve, whereas N-R saw closure of both Long and Short, Commercials saw addition of Long and closure of Short. BXY was weak for the said week but it improved its position last week. CAD saw closure of both Long and Short positions, N-R saw addition of Long and Short positions and Commercials saw closure of both Long and Short, confirming weakness of CAD for the said week. CXY gained strength last week.
4H > Price is not able to move above the resistance created by the neck. We need to wait for its break for confirmation of bullish move.
Pair Correlation: GBPCAD has positive correlation with GBPAUD, GBPCHF, GBPUSD and GBPNZD and negative correlation with EURGBP..
This was my Idea and I hope you find it useful. If you find the analysis of help please leave a LIKE and FOLLOW for receiving all updates during the week. In the comment section you can share your view and ask questions.
Thank You
AP17FX