#GBPCAD | New perspectiveConnecting the series of lower highs by drawing a line over pivot highs reveal the prevailing direction of price action in the last 4 months as bearish.
Despite witnessing a couple of bullish engulfing candles (4H timeframe) during the latter part of last week's trading session, I am of the opinion that the price might respect the bearish trendline one more time before the bullish momentum begins! So, I have identified a key level @ 1.5900 area as this shall be my yardstick for either bullish or bearish bias on this one.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Gbpcadsignals
GBPCAD Rejected on the 1D MA50. Action plan ahead.The GBPCAD pair has been trading within a Falling Wedge pattern, which broke last Thursday to the upside. So far this move has been short-lived as the price got rejected on Friday on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and continues today this trend.
While the 1D price action has been on Lower Lows (Falling Wedge's bottom), the RSI has been on Higher Lows, indicating a hidden bullish divergence. The very same divergence was last seen in November/ early December 2021 with the pair trading again within a Falling Wedge. After again a 1D MA50 rejection, the price made an pull-back, then upside fake-out above the 1D MA50, which was still rejected on the Resistance of the previous Lower High, before finally making a Lower Low. That Low led to the true technical break-out that extended as high as the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
Right now the 0.618 Fib is around 1.66500. Our trading plan is to either buy on the previous Lower Low (around 1.5500) or if the 1.62100 Resistance level breaks first, and target the 0.618 Fib, which by the time will be on or above the 1D MA200, fulfilling the fractal analogy. An alternative to take profit on those buys would be when the RSI hits its Resistance level.
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GBPCAD Strong buy opportunity for the rest of the year.Back in February, which was our last GBPCAD idea, the pair was trading within a Channel Down that offered us an accurate sell trade:
Since then, the pattern broke to the downside and the pair now sits at more than -9% from its February 21 High. This however gives a new high probability pattern on the long-term as both the price action on the 1D time-frame and the 1D RSI suggests that it may be replicating the sell-off sequence of May 06 2019 - August 09 2019. That fractal bottomed after dropping around -10.50%. If however the price enters the red Ichimoku Cloud first, it will turn into a sell opportunity on the spot. In that case you can use the Fibonacci retracement levels as shorter-term targets (see how those got systematically filled with Higher Highs during the 2019 recovery) but on the long run, we do expect the 1.7378 Resistance to get hit. Draw the Fibonacci levels from the -10.40% level if the price doesn't enter the Ichimoku first.
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GBPCAD | New perspectiveThe reversal structure identified on the 1H time frame is probably going to incite a retracement of the Impulse leg after which a trend continuation might begin.
NB: It is pertinent that we remain conscious as a breakout of 1.495 could encourage a bullish momentum
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPCAD top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPCAD | Live position review | Follow-up detailsIn a similar scenario to what we have on GBPUSD, the price is back into the trendline which was broken to the upside. I am hoping to see an uptrend continuation in the future.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPCAD | Live position review | Follow-up detailsGBPCAD is presently running with over 100 pips in profit and we are still within the demand zone. I am expecting a retracement where I might be presented with an opportunity to add to my existing position. You might want to check the link below as I walk you through my thought process prior to making the decision to buy the Pound
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPCAD | Live position reviewEven though this was not part of my plan for the week; the identification of a reversal structure within a strong demand zone on a weekly time frame incited a call for attention.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPCAD approaching a top. Sell opportunity.GBPCAD has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the February 24 2021 High. That was the first of a series of Lower Highs. Right now the 1D RSI is approaching its multi-year Resistance level, same way the pair is approaching the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down. The very same RSI pattern has formed the Lower Highs within the Channel Down. We are turning bearish on this pair targeting just above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension at 1.65000.
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GBP/CAD 4HR SELL SET UP Hi TRADERS this is my trade set up for the GBP/CAD for the new week ahead
i am expecting a pullback into the order block zone and will be looking for a SELL trade only if it meets your criteria for a trade then execute
This is my analysis only please trade with caution and risk management in place
good luck for this weeks trading
please like and comment both are welcome
GBPCAD Inverted Head & Shoulder Pattern#GBPCAD Hello everyone, and welcome to my TradingView profile, my name is TRADiNG_Club_ and today I am going to analyze #GBPCAD a full technical analysis on 15 Min. timeframe using a translation of market information While doing so, let me give you a personal opinion about it. The next most likely market movement and helps you find and manage market opportunities.
My thoughts are for those who are interested in improving their financial education.
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GBPCAD | Perspective for the new weekPrice action has been a little choppy since it broke below key level @ C$1.70500 and the inability of sellers to break below C$1.68000 in the last 48days gives credibility to the Demand zone indicated on the chart. Current market momentum signals are in alignment with a reversal setup in the short term for the Pound in the coming week with eyes focused on a possible break above the Key level.
Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish)
Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom)
Observation: i. Since the beginning of September 2021, the Pound recorded a 5.19% decline to find a bottom at C$1.67000 area in the last two weeks which is evident on the chart with two consecutive testing of this area.
ii. This is easily identified by drawing a line over pivot highs hereby revealing the prevailing direction and speed of price in the last two and half months.
iii. It is important we take into consideration that since price test C$1.67000 level, price continued to find higher lows which culminated in a Breakout of Bearish Trendline and Key level (Neckline) during last week trading session.
iv. The appearance of a Double Bottom within a zone that has established Demanding power as far back as December 2013 (see weekly and monthly chart) could be a significant clue to go Long in the coming week(s):
v. Technically, the formation of a Double bottom pattern after a major/minor downtrend is regarded as a set-up that describes a change in trend and a momentum reversal from prior leading price action.
vi. Breakout of the Neckline @ C$1.70500 confirms completion of a reversal set-up that signals the beginning of a potential uptrend.
vii. This been said, above key level remains a comfortable area to get involved in a Long position in the coming week... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 400 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 10 to 20days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPCAD Technical Analysis
⏳ Forex
💎 GBPCAD has got rejected several times from a significant resistance. It has also formed an Ascending Triangle which is expected to break below the Support and goes lower.
🏁 Short & Medium Term
💵 Invest Only 2% of your Portfolio
🎳 Entry at market or 1.75400
☕️ TP1 1.74620
🍺 TP2 1.73900
🍻 TP3 1.73000
🍾 TP4 _______
🍷 TP5 _______
🍸 TP6 _______
🍹 TP7 _______
🎁 TP8 _______
🚫 SL 1.76250
Good Luck 🎲
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GBPCAD LONGAs we can see, GBPCAD broke the Lower trendline of an ascending channel on the H4, it bounced from the new support Level . We expecting a Bullish continuation to re-test the level listed on the chart.
We taking this trade based on technical analysis and price action.
Please use proper risk management depending on your account size, Use lot sizes based on these calculations.
Here is a break down of your pip value in ZAR and Dollars
0, 01 = R1,43 / $0,10c
0. 05 = R 7,15 / $ 0.50
0.10 = R 14,3 / $1.00
1 Lot size = R 146,26
How to calculate Margin = (Lot Size * Contract Size)/Leverage, Lets say your broker gives you 1:500, and you open 0,2 size, How much are you exposing ? calculations : (0.2 * 10 000) / 500 = $4 (R58) also (1 Lot * 100 000) / 500 = $200 (R2 960)
So, each time I open (1 Lot size, am exposing R2960 (Down payment)
Remember, These are long term trades, It is advisable to have enough margin to handle the fluctuation of the markets.
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GBPCAD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upAfter moving over 400pips since our last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes), the price continued to find lower lows as it Breaks down of CA$1.71500 thereby making the Breakout on the 19th of April a false one (a feat recognized by the plunge in oil price).
The Supply zone around CA$1.71000/1.72000 zone emphasizes the selling pressure at this juncture in the market as the Bears continue to hunt down the weekly lows. A rebound in oil prices coupled with the release of better-than-expected domestic Retail Sales figures appears to have prompted fresh "selling" as Loonie appears to regain her dominance in the nearest future.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Channel
Observation: i. Connecting the lower highs and lower lows of price with parallel trendlines since Jan 2021 depicts a downward trend and emphasize the prevailing direction of price action.
ii. The latter part of last month (Apr 2021) witnessed a successful Breakdown of CA$1.715000 (Demand zone) - a level that held price "supported" for 43 days.
iii. Following the Breakdown of CA$1.71500, we saw price reject this zone multiple times in the last 17days to confirm a Supplication zone @ CA$1.71000/1.72000.
iv. In this regard, below Key level II @ CA$1.70800 shall be a yardstick for selling opportunity in the coming week with the aim of completing the Channel... Trade consciously :)
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:6
Potential Duration: 8 to 14 days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPCAD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-UpPrice activities moved the other direction as price Breakout of the uniform range between CA$1.76000 and CA$1.68000 as the Pound gained traction following a recent reduction in the price of Oil (explained in my last publication, see link below for reference purposes); I shall be looking forward to Bullish entries in the coming week(s).
Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish )
Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. Demand Level III has remained "Supported" since December 2020 as we have experienced the consecutive rejection of this level in the past three months.
ii. The last quarter of 2020 witnessed the emphatic rejection of CA$1.75000 not until a Breakout of this level in late January 2021 giving us a clue that participants have finally gained a pint of confidence for the Pound.
iii. However, since the Breakout of CA$1.74000 early this year, this level appears not yet strong enough to hold price ( a feat showing doubts in the recent Bullish bias) as we experienced a significant breakdown in mid-March 2021.
iv. This brings my attention to Demand Level III, which has held price eight different times in the recent past and with the Bullish engulfing candle springing out of this level last Thursday, I shall be expecting a Breakout/Retest of CA$1.74000 (Demand Level IV) in the coming week(s) to join the rally.
v. As CA$1.74000 remains my Key level going into the new week, I shall be waiting to see a Breakout/Retest of this level (anywhere above Demand Level IV) to join the rally.
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 400 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 10 to 20days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.