GBPCHF
GBP/CHF LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously falling on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 1.116 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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GBPCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermM15 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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GBP/CHF Headed to 1.10 – But Bulls Might Regret It📉 1. Price Action & Technical Structure (D1)
Key demand zone tested with bullish reaction:
Price reacted strongly around the 1.0790–1.0840 structural demand area, previously the origin of a significant bullish impulse. The latest daily candle closed above the previous swing low, suggesting a potential technical rebound.
Immediate target:
The 1.0980–1.1010 zone, aligning with:
A clear supply area
RSI bouncing from oversold territory
A visible imbalance left unfilled
Technical bias: Short-term LONG to fill the imbalance before a potential institutional-driven short setup at supply.
2. Retail Sentiment
86% of traders are LONG, with an average entry of 1.0997
Only 14% are SHORT, with lower volume and better pricing
Current price: 1.0833, meaning most long traders are in drawdown
Contrarian view:
The heavy long positioning creates a liquidity pool between 1.0990–1.1010, making that zone highly attractive for institutional distribution and liquidation of retail longs, especially if accompanied by a structural shift.
🎯 Operational impact:
Supports a technical long to 1.10, but high risk of reversal once that level is reached.
3. COT Report
GBP (British Pound – CME)
Non-commercials:
Long: -6,434 → massive unwind of bullish exposure
Short: +2,028 → rising bearish bets
Net positioning is increasingly bearish
Commercials:
Long: +7,459 → increasing coverage against GBP weakness
Short: -569 → slight reduction
Positioning is mixed, but commercials are taking defensive long positions
GBP interpretation:
Bearish pressure rising from institutional speculators, despite some commercial support.
CHF (Swiss Franc – CME)
Non-commercials:
Long: +327
Short: +1,215
Net positioning still heavily short, but shorts increasing again
Commercials:
Long: +1,909
Short: +307
Commercials are accumulating long CHF positions (bullish sign)
CHF interpretation:
Divergence between commercials (bullish CHF) and speculators (still short) → shift may be underway.
4. July Seasonality
GBP:
Historically strong in July, especially the last 2 years (+3.5%)
Positive tendency across 10y/15y/20y averages
CHF:
Also seasonally positive in July, but underperforms GBP across most timeframes (except 2Y where CHF is also strong)
Operational impact:
Favors short-term bullish GBP/CHF bias, supported by seasonal momentum.
✅ Final Outlook
Current short-term bias is bullish, driven by:
Clear technical rebound
Visible imbalance toward 1.10
Seasonal divergence in favor of GBP
However, excessive retail long positioning + COT speculative pressure on GBP suggest this rally could be a distribution phase, offering an optimal short opportunity at 1.10.
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Welcome to the Thief Trading Syndicate's Strategic Playbook – today’s mission targets the GBP/CHF vault. We’ve cooked up a master plan powered by our signature blend of technical finesse and stealthy macro-insight. This setup is based on institutional footprints and high-stakes zones where liquidity flows like digital gold.
📊 Current Bias:
🟥 Bearish weight remains, but we smell bullish smoke beneath — reversal setups in play.
📈 Entry Strategy:
Long (Bullish) — Scout entry above 1.06500+ in higher timeframes (4H+). Retest confirmation required.
Short (Bearish) — “The vault’s unguarded! Slip in short anywhere up top—clean sweep mode.”
🛑 Stop Loss Placement:
Place SL near recent swing highs/lows on the 5H chart (swing basis). Customize per lot size and multiple entries. Your risk defines your escape rope.
🎯 Profit Extraction Target:
Long TP: Aim for the 1.11500 vault door (or vanish before it slams).
Short TP: Dive to 1.06500, or pull the plug earlier if guards wake up.
📰 Strategic Conditions:
This pair’s behavior is currently driven by mixed macro triggers — smart money positioning (COT), sentiment clusters, and market structure traps.
→ For full details: Fundamental macros, COT leaks, sentiment drift, and institutional zones — check your sources.
🚨 News & Risk Protocols:
No new entries during red-folder events.
Use trailing stops to lock loot and run.
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GBP/CHF - Channel Breakout (02.07.2025)The GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.0956
2nd Resistance – 1.0996
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GBP-CHF Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CHF formed a H&S
Pattern and now we are
Seeing a strong bearish
Breakout of the neckline
Key level around 1.0933
Area and as the breakout
Is confirmed we will be
Expecting a further bearish
Move down towards the
Target below around 1.0867
Sell!
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GBPCHF My Opinion! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GBPCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.0911 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.0951
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCHF Is Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.100.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.091 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBPCHF Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.097.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.100 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBP/CHF BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GBP-CHF downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 1.096 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the GBP/CHF pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPCHF: Will Start Growing! Here is Why
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the GBPCHF pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBP_CHF RISKY LONG|
✅GBP_CHF fell down sharply
But a strong support level was hit at 1.0932
Thus as a rebound is already happening
A move up towards the target of 1.0970 shall follow
LONG🚀
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GBPCHF bearish for the week of 30 JuneI am planning to short GBPCHF next week. A Head and shoulder pattern in an existing bearish move signifies a continuation. My trade will be executed on H1 time frame with confluence factors that support a bearish continuation.
A break below the neck line and pull back followed by a strong bearish candle would be ideal.
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk so carefully managing your capital and risk is important. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
GBPCHF Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GBPCHF looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0959 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.0979
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCHF Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPCHF.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.095.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.098 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBP-CHF Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CHF is hovering above
The wide horizontal demand
Level around 1.0926 from
Where we are already
Seeing a bullish rebound
So a further local bullish
Move up is to be expected
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPCHF BuyStrong Sell-Off Previously:
The chart shows a sharp downtrend, confirmed by a Change of Character (CHoCH) marking a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
Multiple Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) further validate the downtrend.
Support Zone Identified:
The area marked in blue (buy zone) is a strong demand zone.
It's located at the range low where price has repeatedly tested and rejected (highlighted by Equal Lows (EQL)), suggesting strong liquidity and accumulation.
Shift in Market Structure:
Near the buy zone, a Break of Structure (BOS) and another CHoCH hint at a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
The price forms a Higher Low (HL), indicating buyers are gaining strength.
Risk/Reward Favorable:
The long position is placed within the demand zone.
The reward area (green box) is positioned towards the next resistance zone, aligning with a favorable risk/reward ratio.
GBPCHF INTRADAY bearish below 1.1070Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 1.1070
Resistance Level 2: 1.1120
Resistance Level 3: 1.1170
Support Level 1: 1.0915
Support Level 2: 1.0865
Support Level 3: 1.0815
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.