GBPCHF:Flight to swiss safety?!GBPCHF
Intraday - We look to Sell at 1.2251 (stop at 1.2324)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. There is scope of mild buying but gains should be limited. A move higher faces tough resistance and we remain cautious on the upside potential Short term bias is mildly bearish.
Our profit targets will be 1.2100 and 1.2050
Resistance: 1.2250 / 1.2300 / 1.2350
Support: 1.2150 / 1.2100 / 1.2050
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Gbpchfidea
GBP/CHFThe British pound has broken down significantly during the last week, showing signs of weakness and “risk off trading.” The 1.25 level has been a bit of a magnet for price, and the previous three weeks had seen the market simply going back and forth. Now that we have busted through the little bit of support, I do think that it has done enough structural damage to the market that it is only a matter of time before we short again. Keep in mind that the Swiss franc of course is a safety currency, and there are plenty of reasons out there to think that the market is going to go looking towards safety.
GBPCHF Short. Risk OFF!As the geo political tensions are rising up and CHF is a risk off asset. Many investors will be cutting their long positions on GBP and start buying Yen, CHF and Dollar. So expect DXY, CHF and JPY to be surging higher in the coming weeks. Secondly the marked areas show the high cluster of volume where the most contracts have been traded. I expect the move to the below red marked region. Best of Luck !
GBPCHF ForecastIn the above chart you can clearly see at what price you need to entre into Trade. Its better if you wait till the RED color TRENDLINE, if you get a chance to enter near the RED color TRENDLINE grab that opportunity and entre into trade.
ENTRY- 1.25000-1.24868
STOPLOSS- 1.23882 (Respect your stoploss)
1st TARGET- 1.27813
2nd TARGET- 1.29983
FX:GBPCHF
GBP/CHF 4HR SELL SET UPHi TRADERS this is my trade set up for the GBP/CHF
i am expecting a drop from the order block area as plenty of long rejection wicks in this zone, so sell only
This is my analysis only please trade with caution and risk management in place
clean crisp charts I hope it helps if you have any questions please private message me
good luck for this weeks trading
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GBPCHF Long (Mean Reversion) with 3X Potential Reason
List of Reasons for potential pull back/mean reversion:
1: The market is over extended and has been moving bearish for almost 3 weeks straight with no pull back. This is more visible on the weekly chart than on the daily chart.
2: The trendline on the daily chart was broken with no retest.
3: Month Support level was broken with no retest around the 1.25*** area
Summary:
The trade has the potential to be a 4:1 RR or more abut this will depend on how deep the pull back is. Targets are set using fib tool. We also have to wait for the market to change from bearish to bull which will be visible on the H4 and Daily chart.
Once the market turn bullish, we will then be able to determine the correct RR of the trade. The trade will be left to run until the target is reached or between 5 to 10 trading days, whichever comes first.
Those who plan to sell the market in its current state must be very careful as smart money might close short some positions on the pair, forcing price to turn bullish, allowing them grab some liquidity.