GBP/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
GBP-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 195.915 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the GBP/JPY pair.
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GBPJPY
Could GBP/JPY reverse from here?Price is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 199.30
1st Support: 197.45
1st Resistance: 200.69
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GBP/JPY Amazing Short Setup Valid To Get 250 Pips !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GBPJPY I Potential intraday buy from bottom of the channel Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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GBP/JPY Faces Downward Pressure Despite Market 'Yenterventions'On Wednesday, GBP/JPY experienced a slight decline, easing to 200.30 but remaining close to multi-decade highs near 200.75. The pair has drifted into bullish territory as markets seem to dismiss potential "Yenterventions" by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), which have yet to be confirmed. Despite speculation about direct intervention in global foreign exchange markets, the Yen continues to weaken.
The primary driver behind the Yen's ongoing decline is the substantial interest rate differential between the Yen and other major global currencies. This wide gap in interest rates has kept JPY flows on the short side, as investors seek higher yields elsewhere. Even with repeated warnings from BoJ policymakers, the market continues to sell the Yen, demonstrating limited impact from these interventions.
Furthermore, the BoJ's stance and actions have been under scrutiny, as their commitment to maintaining ultra-loose monetary policy contrasts sharply with the tightening cycles observed in other major economies. This divergence in monetary policies exacerbates the Yen's depreciation, as higher interest rates elsewhere attract capital flows away from Japan.
From a technical perspective, GBP/JPY shows signs of divergence on the higher time frame charts. This divergence indicates a potential bearish setup, suggesting that the pair might be due for a correction after its recent highs. Technical analysts often use such divergences as early indicators of potential reversals in trend, as they reflect underlying market conditions that may not be immediately apparent in the price action alone.
In addition to the technical signals, the broader market sentiment and macroeconomic factors should be considered. The ongoing uncertainty regarding the BoJ's actual interventions and the general risk sentiment in global markets could influence GBP/JPY movements. As such, while the pair currently remains in bullish territory, traders should stay vigilant for signs of a potential reversal, particularly given the mixed signals from both fundamental and technical perspectives.
In summary, GBP/JPY has shown resilience near multi-decade highs despite the BoJ's warnings and potential interventions. However, the significant interest rate differential and technical indicators of divergence suggest a possible bearish setup. Investors and traders should closely monitor both the BoJ's actions and broader market trends to navigate this complex trading environment effectively.
GBPJPY - 4hrs ( Sell Trade Target Range 300 PIP ) ☑️Pair Name : GBP/JPY
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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🔗 Key Technical / Direction ( Short )
Type : Mid Term Swing
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🛡Bearish Reversal
200.200 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible Range lvn
- Counter Trend
- Double Top Area
- Month High
- Day / week low
- Fixed Range Lvn
- Fibo Golden
🛡Bullish Reversal
196.500 area
Reasons
- Major Turn level / D
- Pattern Target
- Fibo Golden Zone
- Fixed Poc
- Quarter's Area
- Trend Area
GBPJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPJPY: First green day, three days cycleHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range ✅ day 3 cycle
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day ✅
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: primary, possibility to complete the weekly pump and dump, going to stop traders short since the last week
Short: secondary, Thursday and Friday rise up creating a potential creepy pumping phase, with chances to reach back the LOW, however, to be in line with the overall move and signal, I prefer to position my self with more size, on the long thesis
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
USD and GBPJPY Pullback trade OANDA:GBPJPY took a hit on monday falling upto 0.5% and I expect the pair to close on red on this week. Bank of Japan will be trying to have the situation in control and to prevent the currency from falling past beyond repair.
FX:USDJPY also expected to take the same path after it failed to beat previous highs around160 mark.
A fall in OANDA:GBPJPY Will bring 193.000 to 191 points under focus will FX:USDJPY will likely to test 150 t0 152 zone. On the upside scenario a break of 200.600 support for GBPUSD will likely test 203 to 205 as it moves towards 210.
Same case scenario for FX:USDJPY If it moves past 158 and 160 high then it will advance to 163 and 165
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Always conduct your analysis before placing any trade and use a hard stop loss
GJ Rising Wedge Break!Here I have GBP/JPY on the 1 HR chart!
Price has been following what looks to be a Rising Resistance and Rising Support forming a RISING WEDGE!!
Early this morning on disappointment of GBP strength, we seen price BREAK BEARISH strongly on the pattern!!
I believe price is now retracing to the Rising Support of the Wedge to test as a VALID BREAK for confirmation that price will CONTINUE DOWN!!
*Currently waiting on the Re-Test of the Rising Support Break! Upon VALIDITY, I will be looking to SELL!
SHORT GBP/JPY from 199.70The high of 200.55 back on 24th April saw a deeep and rapid decline in GBP/JPY.
I SHORTED this pair at 200.18 at the end of May and exited when the price started to head north.
I SHORTED again after when the price returned to the 200 level and exited for 80+ pips when the price hit the 200 EMA on H1.
2 candles ago GBP/JPY BULLS pushed the price back above the 200 and the last H1 candle was a wide doji indecison candle as was the last H4 candle.
It cannot be ruled out that GBP/JPY BULLS wont push the price higher from these levels, the signs are that any move higher presents an opportunity to SELL.
The H1 Andean OScillator is signalling SELL on H1.
The last 4 H1 candles have closed near the 200 EMA.
The RSI is heading south on H1.
The MACD is signalling SHORT on H1 and is moving under zero.
It has to be remembered that all JPY pairs are in an uptrend.
GBP/JPY has been heading north since August 2020 so this pullback is just that - a pullback to lower ground.
How deep is the question.
Previously we've seen GBP/JPY pull back to the 50 EMA on D1 which comes in at 196.00 are so its well possible that this level could be reached but news over the next few days will impact direction.
Today we have Final Manufacturing PMI and ISM Manufacturing PMI out of the US.
Its unclear how much this pair will be impacted on the print so tighten stops just to be safe.
GBPJPY Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
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GBPJPY H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 199.90, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Our take profit will be at 198.10, a pullback support level close to 23.6% Fibo retracement
The stop loss will be placed at 200.56, which is a swing-high resistance level.
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GBPJPY Pullback predictionThe trend has always been bullish because YEN is weak asf and BoJ are not doing anything yet to contain the damage. Though this month buyers were unable to break last month high of [200} area which is a multi-decade high. A breach past 201 means more damage for JPY and it will head to 205, 210. A nice push below 199 means a short term pullback towards this month's low area. This move is likely to happen from beginning next month probably on monday. I will be waiting to sell with a tight stop loss above 200.500.
Consolidation zone 190-193 still has to be revisited I think
Let me know what you think on GBPJPY
GBPJPY - Long active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I expect bullish price action as price rejected from trendline + institutional big figure 199.000.
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GBPJPY: Day 3 longs breakout traders in the marketHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week ✅ Day 1 cycle
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: secondary, considering this market still (at the moment) on the frontside move, it could keep going higher if price drop at least on the LOD;
Short: primary, CP to LOD can be an interesting scalping opportunity if the market keep consolidating around the CP level.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
Falling towards 23.6% Fibonacci support?GBP/JPY is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 198.03
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 195.74
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 200.53
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Strifor || GBPUSD-30/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: The British pound has almost the same setup for selling as the euro . For now, we are putting all purchases aside, and in the near future, a further fall is expected towards the level of 1.26000 , just above which we fix the target for this short.
The most likely scenario №1 speaks of selling at current prices, one can try small stop losses, and it is better to re-enter. That is, this is an intraday trade. Scenario №2 involves shorting after a deeper pullback towards the 1.27500 level, but this is a very unlikely potential maneuver.
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