GBPJPY and USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPJPY
GBPJPY jumps above 190.50The GBP/JPY pair climbs to around 190.70 during the early European trading hours on Friday. The British Pound (GBP) gains strength against the Japanese Yen (JPY) following the release of the UK's January Retail Sales data.
The Office for National Statistics reported on Friday that UK Retail Sales rose by 1.7% month-on-month in January, compared to a decline of 0.3% in December. This figure exceeded the market's expectation of a 0.3% increase. On a yearly basis, Retail Sales grew by 1.0% in January, compared to a previously revised increase of 2.8% (originally 3.6%), surpassing the forecast of 0.6%. The GBP remains strong in immediate response to the positive UK Retail Sales figures.
GBP/JPY (British Pound / Japanese Yen) 4-hour analysis,GBP/JPY (British Pound / Japanese Yen) 4-hour analysis on OANDA, incorporating key technical levels:
Key Levels & Zones:
• Entry Zone: 189.198 - 189.241, acting as a potential buy area.
• Support Zone: 187.295 - 187.948, marked in red, indicating a strong support area.
• Resistance Levels:
• 190.374 (first target)
• 191.926 (second target)
• 193.052 (major resistance level)
Price Projection & Analysis:
• The price is currently testing the entry zone, suggesting a potential bounce from this level.
• If the price holds above 189.198, a bullish move towards 190.374 and beyond is expected.
• A break below 187.921 could lead to further downside towards 187.295 or lower.
GBP/JPY Analysis – 1H & Daily TimeframesCurrent Price: ¥188.48
1-Hour (H1) Chart Analysis:
📌 Downtrend in Play – GBP/JPY is trading within a descending trendline (red), showing continuous lower highs and lower lows.
📌 Support Around ¥188.00 – The pair found temporary support near ¥188.00, aligning with the green trendline, indicating potential buying interest at this level.
📌 Resistance at ¥190.00 – The descending trendline and recent price action suggest that ¥190.00 is a key resistance zone. Any upside move could face rejection here.
📌 Indicators:
✔️ Price remains below short-term moving averages, confirming bearish momentum.
✔️ A break above ¥190.00 would be needed to shift momentum toward bullish recovery.
✔️ A breakdown below ¥188.00 could open doors to ¥186.50 or lower.
H1 Prediction:
📉 Bearish Scenario: If GBP/JPY fails to break above ¥190.00, expect further downside toward ¥188.00 and possibly ¥186.50.
📈 Bullish Scenario: A break above ¥190.00 could trigger a rally toward ¥192.00, but strong resistance exists at the trendline.
Daily (D1) Chart Analysis:
📌 Strong Downtrend Since ¥200.00 – GBP/JPY has been in a bearish structure, consistently rejecting from lower highs.
📌 Bearish Wick Rejection – Recent price action shows a bearish wick, indicating selling pressure at higher levels.
📌 Descending Triangle Formation – The pair is forming a descending triangle, with lower highs and support around ¥185.00 - ¥186.00 (blue horizontal line).
📌 Indicators:
✔️ The trend remains bearish as price trades below key resistance levels and moving averages.
✔️ If ¥185.00 - ¥186.00 support breaks, expect further downside to ¥180.00.
✔️ A bullish reversal is possible only if ¥192.00 is breached.
D1 Prediction:
📉 Bearish Scenario: If GBP/JPY continues to reject lower highs, expect ¥186.00 - ¥185.00 to be tested soon. A break below this could send price toward ¥180.00.
📈 Bullish Scenario: A break and close above ¥192.00 would signal a trend shift toward ¥195.00+.
Final Outlook:
🚨 Overall Bias: Bearish
🔸 Short-Term (H1): Watching for a retest of ¥190.00 resistance or further downside toward ¥188.00.
🔸 Long-Term (D1): GBP/JPY remains bearish unless it breaks above ¥192.00.
💡 Strategy:
✅ For sellers: Look for rejections at ¥190.00 and target ¥186.00.
✅ For buyers: Wait for a confirmed breakout above ¥192.00 before considering a long position.
📊 GBP/JPY remains in a clear downtrend—until key resistances break, the trend favors the bears! 🚨
GBP/JPY: Uncertainty and Bearish PressuresGBP/JPY has shown a volatile trend in recent sessions, with a combination of ups and downs highlighting a phase of uncertainty. The last closing on February 15, 2025, at 191.618 marks the beginning of a bearish trend after the doji on February 14. This movement reflects a complex dynamic, where macroeconomic and technical factors play a decisive role in price direction. The recent rebound was supported by positive UK GDP data, which helped the pound recover from bearish pressures over the past months. Notably, on February 12, a reversal of the bearish trend occurred, with GBP/JPY starting to regain ground due to an improvement in market sentiment. Additionally, the strengthening of US inflation negatively impacted the Japanese yen, pushing GBP/JPY up by 1.22% around February 12, driven by a weaker yen following the increased strength of the US dollar. However, despite these positive elements, the Bank of England’s monetary policy has introduced uncertainty, with a dovish stance fueling pressure on the pound. The interest rate cut has raised concerns about further depreciation, negatively affecting GBP/JPY. Added to this is the earlier decline in early February, triggered by disappointing UK economic data and expectations of further BoE interventions, which contributed to a widespread bearish sentiment. From a technical perspective, the price is currently in a consolidation phase between 187.610 and 193.120, with a structure suggesting a possible expansion of volatility in the coming weeks. The key resistance at 193.120 represents a critical obstacle for a potential continuation of the bullish trend, while support at 187.610 remains the main level to watch in case of renewed bearish pressure. A breakout above the 193.50 threshold could confirm further pound strengthening, while a break below 188.00 could reopen scenarios of weakness. With a combination of technical and macroeconomic factors in play, GBP/JPY’s trend remains subject to upcoming BoE decisions and the evolution of global economic conditions, making it crucial to monitor upcoming economic releases to determine the market’s direction.
GBPJPY Analysis TodayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBP/JPY - Triangle Breakout (Weekly Forecast Feb 24-28)The GBP/JPY Pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 185.04
2nd Support – 182.94
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GBP_JPY SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅GBP_JPY is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 187.066
After trading in a local downtrend from some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 189.186
LONG🚀
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GBP/JPY 1-Hour Chart Analysis: Bearish Rejection at 200 EMA! 📊 GBP/JPY 1-Hour Chart Analysis 📉
1️⃣ Trend & Key Levels:
📌 Price is testing the 200 EMA (190.674), acting as resistance.
🔻 Recent price action shows a rejection at this level, suggesting bearish pressure.
2️⃣ Trade Setup (Possible Short Position) 💰:
Entry: Around 190.354 - 190.674 📍
Stop-Loss: Above 190.972 🚫
Take-Profit Target: Around 188.685 ✅
3️⃣ RSI Indicator (Momentum Check) 📉:
📊 RSI at 52.47 → Neutral, slightly bullish.
🔥 55.93 level shows price was overbought recently but is cooling down.
✅ Conclusion:
🔴 If price stays below 190.674, expect a drop toward 188.685.
🟢 If price breaks above 190.972, bullish momentum could continue.
GBPJPY oversold bounce rejectionThe GBPJPY price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 192.60. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 192.60 level could target the downside support at 189.60 followed by 188.90 followed by 188.27 and 187.12 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 192.60 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 194.12 resistance followed by 194.70 levels.
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
GBP/JPY SELL IDEA (R:R=5.9)Placed a sell order for G/J at 190.695. We have a beautiful X CRAB that just formed on the 30 minute chart.
Trade with proper risk management please since we have news announcements coming out at 4:30 AM EST today.
GBP-Flash Manufacturing PMI
GBP-Flash Services PMI
Stop Loss: 191.285
Take Profit: 187.200
Happy Trading!
(Japanese Yen) pair on a 3-hour timeframe. chart showing the analysis of a JPY (Japanese Yen) pair on a 3-hour timeframe. Multiple support and resistance zones are marked with red and blue horizontal lines.
Key Observations:
1. Price Movement: The price is in a downtrend and is reacting at a strong support level (around 189.142).
2. Fibonacci & Zones: The chart seems to incorporate Fibonacci retracement or supply/demand zones for analysis.
3. Indicators & Analysis: No specific indicators are visible, but the analysis appears to be based on price action and market structure.
4. Potential Trade Setup: If the price bounces from this level, a reversal may occur. Otherwise, there’s a chance of further downside continuation.
GBPJPY Will Explode! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GBPJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 190.70
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 191.37
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
GBP/JPY Triangle Pattern (14.2.25)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 189.83
2nd Support – 188.42
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GBPJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Off the 61.8%?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our buy entry at 189.33, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Our take profit will be at 190.69, which is a pullback resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 188.11, below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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GBP/JPY: Recent Bullish Move Fails to Break the 192.00 Level Since February 11, the British pound has gained more than 2.5% against the Japanese yen. However, the recent bullish momentum has struggled to break through the key resistance level, and now a new correction in favor of the yen appears to be underway.
Central Bank Policies Remain Crucial
The ongoing monetary policy divergence between the Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is a crucial factor in this market scenario.
On February 6, the Bank of England decided to keep its interest rate steady at 4.5%. However, it remains unclear whether the BoE will maintain this policy in future decisions.
On the other hand, Japan's monetary stance has become increasingly aggressive. In January 2025, the Bank of Japan raised its interest rate to 0.5% , the highest level since 2008 and the BoJ has signaled a more aggressive tightening approach, aiming to strengthen the yen and make it more competitive against its peers.
In the long run, Japan’s new aggressive policy stance has played a key role in the recent downward movements in GBP/JPY.
Higher returns in a traditionally safe market like Japan attract greater demand for the yen, reducing the appeal of the pound.
As long as Japan maintains this hawkish policy and uncertainty persists regarding the BoE’s future rate outlook, it is likely that yen demand will continue to grow, this could reinforce downward pressure on GBP/JPY.
Consistent Downtrend:
Since July 2024, the GBP/JPY pair has followed a sustained downtrend, which at some points has turned into a sideways movement between the 192.427 resistance level and the 187.328 support level.
The current bearish bias has been strong enough to produce lower highs, keeping the price within a long-term downtrend in the short term.
However, if the price moves back toward the 194.323 zone, where the 100-period and 50-period moving averages converge along with the downtrend line, it could signal a threat to the ongoing bearish trend. If buyers manage to push the price back to this level, it could be a important warning sign.
ADX Indicator:
The ADX line is oscillating near the neutral 20 level, indicating that the last 14 periods lack a strong directional trend.
This can be explained by the recent bullish rebound, which failed to break through resistance.
If the ADX remains at this level, the price may continue in a prolonged sideways trend over the next few trading sessions.
RSI Indicator:
A similar scenario is unfolding in the RSI, where the line is hovering around the neutral 50 level.
This indicates that bullish and bearish impulses from the last 14 periods are in balance.
This could reinforce a lack of clear direction for GBP/JPY in the 190.00 zone in the near term.
Key Levels to Watch:
192.427 – Near-Term Resistance:
This level represents the most significant neutral area in recent months and aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
If price reaches this level again, it may struggle to break through due to strong resistance at both 192.427 and 194.323, where several technical indicators converge.
That said, a breakout above this entire zone could trigger a major bullish move in the long term.
187.328 – Key Support:
This level marks the lows recorded since July 2024.
A bearish breakout below this level could lead to new lows in the short term and reinforce the bearish bias established since December.
198.525 – Long-Term Resistance:
This distant resistance level aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
If price eventually rallies to this level, it would completely invalidate the ongoing downtrend in GBP/JPY.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst