GBPJPY - Fibo retracement TradeHello traders,
we are looking for a sell position as the price has alreadt made a pulse to the downside twice and made a nice retracement on the second wave. The retracement is happening right on the previous support on 1 Hour chart.
After the retracement, price moved back to the Fib (0) level and is trying to break as of now.
If the 1H candle closes below the Fib(0), we will be looking for a retracement back to Fib (0) level where we will enter a short position.
If the candle closes right as it is now (close exactly around Fib (0) level), we will enter the trade right after the hourly candle closes.
Entry: 181.170
Stop : 191.360
TP1: 190.740
TP2: 190.470
GBPJPY
Bearish Drop GBPJPY is currently at the pivot, aligning with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially fall to the support level.
Alternatively, if the price breaks above the pivot, it could continue to rise to the next resistance level
Pivot: 192.12
Support: 191.28
Resistance: 192.83
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Reacting off 50% FiboGBPJPY is rising toward the pivot point that is close to the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially fall to a support level
Alternatively, if price breaks above the pivot, it could continue to rise to a multi-swing high resistance level
Pivot: 191.74
Support: 190.15
Resistance: 192.79
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
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Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
GBPJPY Analysis: Sideways Bounce Trading Opportunity- Trade Strategy: Support and Resistance Trading
- Key Levels: Resistance at 192.75, Support at 190.37
- Profit Potential: 238 pips (~2,380 USD/lot)
Analysis:
- Trade Strategy: Sideways Bounce Trading
- Key Levels: Identified resistance at 192.75 and support at 190.37
- Profit Potential: Significant profit potential of 238 pips (~2,380 USD/lot) between support and resistance levels
Trade Plan:
- Selling Opportunity: Consider shorting near resistance level at 192.75
- Buying Opportunity: Look for buying entries near support level at 190.37
- Profit Potential: Utilize the range between support and resistance for profit-taking opportunities
Insights:
The GBPJPY presents a lucrative sideways bounce trading opportunity for support and resistance traders. With well-defined levels at resistance (192.75) and support (190.37), traders can capitalize on potential price movements within this range. Exercise caution and implement effective risk management strategies.
📈📉 Seize the opportunity presented by the GBPJPY's sideways movement, leveraging support and resistance levels for profitable trading outcomes!
GBPJPY My Opinion! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
GBPJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 192.66 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 193.33
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 191.60
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPJPY was largely flat on ThursdayGBP/JPY was largely flat on Thursday, trading slightly below trendline resistance at 192.70. Bears need to protect this ceiling tooth and nail; any lapse could spark a move towards the 2024 highs at 193.55. On further strength, a jump towards the psychological 195.00 mark cannot be ruled out.
On the other hand, if the pair gets rejected from its current position and pivots to the downside, support stretches from 190.60 to 190.15, where a rising trendline converges with the 50-day simple moving average and April’s swing lows. Additional losses below this floor could reinforce bearish impetus, opening the door for a drop towards 187.90.
SHORT GBP/JPY from 192.60 (again!!)The area around the WR1 (192.52) pivot both last week and this week has been a bridge to far for GBP/JPY BULLS.
I've shorted this pair 4x this week and we're back at the pivot once more.
Yesterday saw a massive sell off in the early hours and this looked like it was the end for GBP/JPY BULLS but amazingly they've recovered all lost ground and the price is pushing this WR1 level once again.
Although nothing in forex is certain, its recognized that history repeats itself and if SELLERS are waiting for the price to hit a certain level then its likely that they'll jump in again if/once the price reaches that level.
Whilst we a re still waiting for a BEARISH signal on the mid time frames (15m, 30m and H1) the M5 is clearly BEARISH on RSI, MACD and Andean Oscillator and the current H1 candle looks like its going to be a pinbar which would be a BEARISH candle particulalry as this comes at known and proven resistance.
So I'm SHORT again and looking for an intermediate target at 191.97 (WM3 pivot and 200 EMA) but its entirely possible we may see another mass sell off like yesterday once price dips under 192.20 area so if this trade does take off then momentum will determine wheh we can take profit.
It has to be remembered that the persistency of GBP/JPY BULLS means we cannot rule out another attempt by the BULLS to drive the price higher but with 192.62 having been successfully defended 7x over the last 2 weeks its hard to see how this key level can be broken in the absense of further news.
Interesting to note that the GBP Retail Sales came in red (0.0% actual 0.3% exp) which didn't seem to make any lasting difference to the direction this pair was headed from 01:00 this morning so there's clearly still agreat deal of BULLISH sentiment around still.
GBP/JPY: Potential Reversal Zone ?In recent trading sessions, the GBP/JPY pair has embarked on a notable bullish trajectory, diverging from our previously envisioned bearish scenario. This shift in sentiment is evidenced by a series of bullish candles, signaling a resurgence in buying pressure. The pair has retraced to the pivotal zone around 192.200 - 192.500, where a convergence of technical indicators awaits.
Within this critical price range, two potential resistance reversal areas have emerged, amplifying the significance of this zone. It is within this context that we are strategically positioning ourselves to capitalize on potential scalping opportunities, particularly anticipating a reversal towards the lower boundary of this range.
Our focus lies on identifying favorable conditions for a scalping bearish position, leveraging the dynamics of price action within this range-bound environment. By closely monitoring the interplay of key levels and indicators, we aim to capitalize on short-term fluctuations in price while adhering to disciplined risk management practices.
As market conditions evolve, our approach remains adaptive, allowing us to swiftly adjust our trading strategy to capture emerging opportunities. While the broader market sentiment may fluctuate, our commitment to meticulous analysis and agile decision-making positions us to navigate the GBP/JPY landscape with confidence and precision.
Strifor || USDJPY-17/04/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: All previous long trades that we gave for this pair earlier have been closed. Today we are looking at the long-awaited short that so many have been waiting for. However, everyone needs to realize that we are considering this sell trade more in the short term. The global uptrend is strong and is likely to continue. Looking at a global picture, we can suppose that the current trend will continue towards 160 and higher.
Today we indicate two scenarios with a target at the level of 153.222 , but one can also consider target №2 at the level of 151.786.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Strifor || GBPUSD-Week StartingPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: The British currency is also looking more for a buy this week, despite the escalation in the Middle East. It was against this backdrop that the American currency strengthened its position, since it is the US dollar that buys the safest asset today, namely US bonds .
We identified the most likely scenario as growth from the current prices (scenario №1) , and the update of the current local minimum already corresponds to scenario №2 . For now, we have the growth target at the level of 1.25346.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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SELLING GBP/JPY from 1.9268 (again! for the 4th time this week)Pivots are the most significant indicator for how I trade.
I cannot understand why EVERY trader, no matter what their approach is, wouldn't use weekly pivots.
The beauty of pivots is that they are the ONLY indicator that is set at the start of the week so you know where the price is in relation to the pivot days before the price gets there.
This week on GBP/JPY we have seen price hit the WR1 (Weekly Resistance 1 key pivot level) 3 times and I've shorted the pair each time and banked shed loads of pips.
Price is back at WR1 for the 4th time this week and as we KNOW there are SELLERS at this level then SHORTING this pair again is a no-brainer.
No other analysis is really needed though we do have other SHORT confirmations with the red SELL line of the Andean Oscillator rising from 0 on H1 and both RSI and MACD are declining.
The only question is - where do I bank the profit?
The 200 EMA (H1) has been a bridge too far for GBP/JPY BEARS so I'm setting my t.p. at 192.00 though if the momentum is strong and the BEARS are pushing to break thsi key level then 191.31 would be the next target which would be WPP Pivot and this sits above the 200 EMA on H4.
With all that said, this is forex and there are no guarantees and anything can happen.
We could see another drive back to WR1 so we still need to get the position to break even as soon as possible and then if the price does head back north we would look to SHORT from however high the BULLS push the price but I can only see SHORT trades for this pair for the rest of the week.
GBPJPY M30 I Bearish reversal?Based on the M30 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 192.02, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 190.84, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 192.01, a multi swing-high resistance level.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Sell GBPJPY BreakoutThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined pattern.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support level, ideally around 192.80. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at key levels below the breakout point:
190.96: This represents a potential support level based on previous price action.
190.26: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken support level, ideally around 193.00. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Sell GBPJPY CPI DataThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined bearish wedge pattern. This suggests a potential acceleration of the downtrend and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support line of the wedge, ideally around 192.80. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the following points:
190.72: This represents the height of the wedge, measured from the wedge's peak to the breakout point, projected downwards from the breakout.
190.20: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the wedge, ideally around 193.00. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
GBP/JPY H1 | Falling to 38.2% Fibonacci supportGBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 191.72 which is a pullback support that aligns with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 191.25 which is a level that lies underneath the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 192.71 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPJPY - Buys 1:2.31 RR Trade - Average rejection areaTrade based on the fact that we must grab some liquidity to drive the opposite way.
I believe if we can come down to 191.256 before flipping at 192.339 This will be a juicy trade.
Trade is invalid if 192.339 is tapped before tapping 191.256
SL to BE will be managed manually depending on price action.
GBPJPY Higher after JPY fundamentals ChangeWe may observe that GBPJPY has hit it's head several times at 192.803 and has failed to break above this level. All week we've been ranging after moving slightly up early in the week. Price wants to go up and since the Bank of Japan recently increased interest rates for the first time in many years, we may very well anticipate a continued trend on GBPJPY to the upside. This is a rare occasion when buying around the highs has less risk due to the fundamentals. When a market touches a zone and returns this many times, the zone will eventually breakdown. 193.313 Daily zone and monthly zone 193.639 are our bullish targets for GBPJPY. At our monthly zone we may anticipate alot of profit taking and a steep pullback to clear liquidity. Price appears to be forming support at the Daily Level now(192.355) on this thursday NY session, April 18th 24'
GJI am seeing a long sell
DAILY
We have struggled to break the high for the third time, telling us the ceiling is high and filled with sellers. An ascending channel is forming and within it we have another ascending channel which adds to the confluence.
4H
We have a bullish channel in the smaller ascending channel. Where it is also struggling to break the high. 179.80, this gives us ideas of what to do next as we wait on the market open today which will come with the supply.
1H
Impulsive bearish candles, they dragging each other. Let's stay watching 192.20 and see how the trade idea goes.
SELL GBP/JPY from 192.74I've twice banked pips shorting GBP/JPY from the WR1 pivot this week and as can be seen the price is back at this level.
We have a nice tweezer double top on H1 for the previous 2 candles and as SELLERS are clearly prepared to move into this market from this level, it looka good SHORT opportunity.
However.
The Andean Oscillator is not yet clearly giving a SELL signal.
The green BUY line has slipped under the signal line (.656 signal line/.647 green BUY line) but the red SELL line remains ar zero on H1 although it is above zero on the 15M
MACD on 15m has the fast MA moving beneath the slow which is a BEARISH sign.
RSI has been in high 60's and is gradually declining.
This trade is RISKY!!!
We do not have enough signals to confirm that this pair is headed lower but as we've seen SELLERS enter the market twice this week, the expectation is they may enter again.
It should be noted though that the GBP C.P.I. print came out in green and this has boosted all GBP pairs. This was 4 hours ago however and all BULLISH momentum has stalled.
We have a natural STOP on this trade at 192.86 so its a cheap trade at only 15 pips.
Target is 200 EMA at 191.87 though the price of this pair has been bouncing around all week so the trade will have to be carefully managed in order to maximise any gains.
GBPJPY Analysis (18th April 2024)
Market Analysis PT1/2 (18th April 2024)
GBPJPY Analysis
On the 4 Hour timeframe, price action has created a WCR.
This is a vaild WCR as it meets all 3 criterias of:
- Range on the 1hr/4hr/Daily timeframe
- Range is at least 100-150 Pips wide
- More than 2 taps on Each Support/Resistance.
Looking at the 1 hour timeframe, price action has created a 1 hour Change of Character after failling to break past resistance level. What i am personally looking for is for price to sell reject of either the gold fib level from the swing high to the swing low, or come up alittle higher to retest the 1 Hour Orderblock before looking for sells.
Once one of these 2 areas of interest has been tapped, i will be looking for 5 minute/ 15 minute Change of Character before looking to sell all the way down to the support.