1 June GBP JPY Elliott wave analysis: 1000 Pips setup?That’s a zigzag pattern – a 5,3,5 bearish corrective pattern. We expect a 5-wave rally to breakout of the channel as price remains above 141.45. Any break below 141.45 with invalidate the zigzag and send price further downside for a more complex corrective pattern. If all moves as expected, there is a potential for more than 1000 Pips impulse wave upside. The preceding impulse rally was more than 1200 Pips, we should’t expect less if the rally goes as expected. More updates will come later. Stay tuned.
Gbpjpy_outlook
GBPJPY H4 OUTLOOK 29th MAY - 2nd JUNE 2017After a long consolidation at the 4 Hr Time Frame, price starts to rally down after weak GDP figures that puts further pressure on the pound.
High inflation, slagging wage growth, lower than expected GDP, an election coming up plus the thought of Brexit looks to has started to take it tole on GBP.
After the latest Poll number show, the pound is expected to decline further. 50/61.8 Fib R level will be the area for short continuation if pullback occurs.
Politics will play another important role in the pounds pricing next week and if data is released indicating Labour is closing the gap on the Conservatives in the latest polls, further Pound weakness can unquestionably be expected.
GBPJPY: Potential short term breakdown in playI believe that successful trading strategies rely heavily upon identifying consolidation zones. Consolidation zones provide us the right direction of the market. Consolidation happens when a market move sharply upside or downside. Later, a trader can use these consolidation zones to identify patterns, whether it be a continuation or reversal.
It requires attention and care. Rather than turning out to be a factory of producing signals, it is better to sit down and look for a setup. Setups are important because we are planning a trade and execute them on time. If you fail to plan a setup, then you are planning to fail.
Another advantage of trade setup is that we know where to get out and the right time to go in. Know the market. Study the price movements and make your trades.
My charts use price movements, patterns, structures and indicators such as moving averages and oscillators. Trading intelligence is combining multiple knowledge to produce a favorable trade setup and plans.
GBPJPY DAILY OUTLOOK 5 May 2017Current key levels to be monitored. Breach of this level in Daily chart will push the price to Monthly Ress at 148.5 area.
However if Price rejects the area we can see a potential pullback to its nearest support.
Best is to wait for next week after the French Election and let the price do its job. Bulls are still in control.
GBPJPY - Long Term Outlook - Buy OpportunitiesLooking ahead to the Spring/Summer trading season. Since the beginning of last December the selling of the Pound vs. the Yen has been quite steady..as we do see some buying opportunities ahead at these several noted reversal zones. I am very cautious of the 126.80 area as we could see a hard push from institutions to re-test the 2011 low of the 166.80 area, so putting a buy in there could be catastrophic to an account :)
Good Luck Traders.
GBPJPY: Don't saying it willBut should be considered as a risk for all that are over-leveraged gambling on breakout. Just a bit of healthy caution is all :) May break out and rally for a lifetime from current level ofc. But then again, it may want to taste a bit on the sweet lower part too. Right at this zone it is still risky.
GBPJPY Elliott Wave cycles on the weekly.s3.amazonaws.com
GBPJPY Elliott Wave cycles on the weekly.
It's not a true impulse because wave 5 far exceeds wave 1. Without Brexit I believe a clean impulse would've occurred..
Regardless, I think we'll test the 50% again (first week of April), before bouncing up for the C leg.
If 50 retrace breaks down the ABC correction could still be in play a week or two later.
Look Out For The BreakoutJPY posted mixed economic figures, while GBP is not posting anything of importance today. A falling wedge has formed and is looking to breakout momentarily. Stochastic crossing close the the 20. mark. RSI and MACD rising. Note the strong support 2017-03-09 (see volume on the day).
My best guess it's a bullish breakout, if any. Yet, I'm waiting for the confirmation first.