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Gbpjpydaily

GBPJPY: GBP's Decline!Following the release of ONS data, there was a significant decrease in UK government bond yields as traders adjusted their expectations for future interest rate hikes. Prior to the release, financial markets anticipated a terminal UK Bank Rate surpassing 6%, higher than the current rate of 5%. However, these projections declined to approximately 5.75% during the morning, resulting in a notable drop in UK 2-year Gilt yields that are sensitive to interest rates. Considering that inflation is predicted to decline further in July due to a reduced Ofgem Energy Price Cap, it is plausible that peak rates have already been observed in the United Kingdom.
Short
by Sphyn-Trader
4
GBPJPY: Things need to notice!The break of 182.51 resistance affirmed the case that corrective pattern from 183.99 has completed with three waves down to 176.29. Intraday bias stays on the upside for retesting 183.99. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 180.85 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. Also, outlook will stay bullish as long as 38.2% retracement of 155.33 to 183.99 at 173.04 holds, in case of another dip.
Short
by Sphyn-Trader
6
GBPJPY - SHORT; Looking for a Top hereThe Pound found itself rather unimpressed on the heels of the recent inflation data prints. Speculation abound whether there is one more rate hike left in the BoE, before long? (Likely.) Even so, everything (including the kitchen sink) has already been factored into the Pound crosses thus, any short fall in inflation prints from here on out are likely to have severe (down side) consequences! This pair has been quite overextended, already, above 170.00. The EUR/GBP is showing signs of an intermediate bottom, following its recent drop. (Thus, if anything this is the pair to look for Shorts, vs. the EURJPY.) Overall, both pairs EUR/JPY and this one, GBP/JPY are somewhere very close to a (very!) long term top, e.g., both pairs are deserving some unmitigated attention at this point. Looking for Short Entries here Here is the Daily view; ... and here is the EURGBP;
Short
by Nemo_Confidat
21
GBPJPY: Today!The release of new data from the ONS caused a significant drop in UK government bond yields as traders adjusted their expectations for future interest rate increases. Prior to the release, financial markets were anticipating a final UK Bank Rate of over 6%, but these expectations decreased to around 5.75% during the morning, resulting in a sharp decline in UK 2-year Gilt yields, which are sensitive to interest rates. Given the projected decrease in inflation in July, thanks to a lower Ofgem Energy Price Cap, it is possible that the UK has already experienced its highest interest rates.
Short
by Sphyn-Trader
GBPJPY: In the short term, the technical outlook for GBP/JPY remains negative as indicated by the daily chart, which shows the pair declining from its recent multi-year high. The pair has experienced a significant rally of nearly 18% this year due to loose Japanese monetary policy and tightening UK monetary policy. However, there may be a change in the latter as today's inflation data suggests that July's inflation reading will be even lower. This is likely due to the implementation of the Ofgem energy price cap, which has been reduced from £2,500 to £2,074.
Short
by Sphyn-Trader
12
GBPJPY: The uptrend is still there!The US dollar index is struggling to build on Friday's recovery and remains at 100.00. The UK's FTSE 100 index is lower and US stock futures are mixed, indicating a cautious market stance. The sharp decline in Wall Street's major indices after the opening bell may help the USD find demand in case of a lack of high-level data releases. On Wednesday, the UK National Statistics Office will release Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for June. On an annual basis, the CPI is forecast to decline from 8.7% to 8.2%. Market participants may stay on the sidelines and wait for that data before deciding whether GBP/USD has more upside potential or not.
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
6
GBPJPY: BOE Gov Bailey SpeaksFundamental technical analysis: Based on the fibonacci retracement analysis, the current price correction is expected to reach the range of 0.618 to 0.5. This correction is aimed at providing liquidity for the upcoming price surge. Moreover, the RSI and EMA indicators suggest that the upward trend is likely to continue. Market observation: Earlier today, Jonathan Haskel, a policymaker at the Bank of England (BoE), made comments that supported the Pound Sterling. In an article published in The Scotsman newspaper, Haskel stated that it is crucial to continue to combat the risks of inflation momentum, and that interest rates may need to rise further. On Tuesday, the UK's Office for National Statistics is expected to release labor market data. Average Earnings Excluding Bonus, which measures annual wage inflation, is predicted to increase to 6.9% in April from 6.7% in March. The markets have fully priced in a 25 basis points (bps) Bank of England rate hike at the next policy meeting on June 22. Therefore, if there is a low wage inflation, it may be difficult for the Pound Sterling to maintain its lead over other currencies, while the positive effect of a stronger-than-expected reading on the currency may be short-lived.
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
1
GBPJPY: New move of investors!Fundamental analysis According to the EMA 34, 89, and 200 indicators, the market is currently on an upward trend and is following the price line. It is highly likely that the price may retest the slightly increasing sideways price zone or test the resistance area. Market overview before news In addition to the unexpected upturn in mortgage activity, investors should also look for a sustained rise in inflation. These reports pressure the Bank of England to tighten monetary policy. And this is good news for the British Pound, where interest rates and bond yields are lower than in the US.
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
3