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GBP/USD Consolidates Below 1.2200GBP/USD has entered a consolidation phase after testing the resistance at 1.2200. The upward momentum of the British Pound seems to pause, preparing for the Bank of England (BoE) policy announcement on 'Super Thursday.' The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart remains near 50, indicating indecision in GBP/USD. The 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) forms immediate resistance at 1.2175, followed by 1.2200 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the latest downtrend, SMA 200). A close above this level in the 4-hour timeframe could attract technical buyers and pave the way for an extended recovery towards 1.2260 (psychological level). On the flip side, the initial support lies at 1.2100 (psychological, static level) followed by 1.2050 (recent downtrend low) and 1.2000 (psychological, static level).
by Gwen_Humuna
GBP/USD Extends Gains Above 1.2150 Level"In the US trading session, GBP/USD rose to its highest level since last Wednesday, surpassing the 1.2170 mark. The pair was supported by a weaker US dollar on Monday, as market participants awaited US employment data, as well as the Fed and BoE meetings. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart remained below 50, and GBP/USD closed the last 4-hour candle below the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), indicating the downtrend is still intact. On the flip side, 1.2075 (a static level) is considered a temporary support before 1.2050 (the recent low) and 1.2000 (a psychological level). The 50-period SMA formed dynamic resistance at 1.2140, ahead of 1.2180 (the 100-period SMA) and 1.2200 (the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, and the 200-period SMA).
by Gwen_Humuna
1
EUR/GBP Extends Gains Near 0.8720 Ahead of German Data"EUR/GBP has continued its upward trend for the second consecutive day, trading near the 0.8720 level in early European trading on Monday. The currency pair received support ahead of significant economic data releases from Germany. However, preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for Germany is expected to show a 0.3% decline for the quarter, with a 0.7% year-on-year decrease, compared to a 0.2% decline in the previous report. Additionally, initial forecasts for the Consumer Price Index (MoM) indicate a decrease of 0.2%, down from the previous 0.3%. Furthermore, the Euro weakened following the European Central Bank's (ECB) decision to maintain the deposit interest rate at 4.0%, reflecting concerns about the deteriorating economic outlook in the Eurozone. ECB President Christine Lagarde is navigating a delicate balance, steering the central bank through a challenging economic landscape. Maneuvering between a weakening economy and strong inflationary pressures is no easy task. With the increasing complexity of monitoring the Middle East crisis, relying solely on data seems unwise. On the other hand, the British Pound (GBP) may face challenges as traders adopt a cautious stance ahead of the Bank of England's (BoE) policy meeting scheduled for Thursday. Many predictions suggest that the central bank will maintain its current interest rate at a 15-year high of 5.25% due to growing concerns about economic recession. The UK economy is feeling the strain due to high-interest rates, adding to the challenges posed by persistent inflation. Economic data indicates significant declines in various sectors, coupled with high inflation, putting additional pressure on household budgets.
by Gwen_Humuna
GBP/USD Hits Three-Week Low Below 1.2100"GBP/USD extends this week's decline from near 1.2300, touching a three-week low in Asian trading on Thursday, pressured by a stronger US dollar. The pair weakens further below the key 1.2100 level and faces selling pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart drops below 50, and the latest 4-hour candles close below the 100-period and 50-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA), indicating a downtrend. The level at 1.2100 (a psychological threshold) is considered the main support. If buyers fail to defend this level, further losses towards 1.2050 (the recent low) could be witnessed. To attract technical buyers, GBP/USD needs to surpass the resistance zone of 1.2190-1.2200, where the 100-period SMA and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level converge. In this scenario, 1.2250 (the 200-period SMA) and 1.2300 (the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level) could be seen as the next resistance levels. After a sharp decline on Tuesday, GBP/USD rallied back to 1.2200 on Wednesday. However, market caution prevented a sustained recovery. US data released on Tuesday revealed that private sector business activity expanded slightly faster in early October compared to September, with the S&P's global composite PMI improving from 50.2 to 51. While US Treasury bond yields continued to decline, the US dollar benefited from the optimistic PMI data, putting pressure on GBP/USD. In early European trading on Wednesday, US stock index futures traded negatively, and the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note maintained a modest daily increase of around 4.85%, supporting the US dollar. In the latter part of the day, the US New Home Sales data for September will be considered for new momentum. Some policymakers at the Federal Reserve have expressed concerns about the negative impact of high-interest rates on the housing market. Therefore, a significant decline in this data could immediately harm the US dollar. On Thursday, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its initial estimate of third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth.
by Gwen_Humuna
GBP/USD Approaches 1.2270 Ahead of PMI DataGBP/USD continues its upward momentum since Thursday, trading above the 1.2270 level in the Asian session on Tuesday. The pair receives support from the US Dollar (USD) adjustment, coupled with improved risk sentiment. Although GBP/USD started higher after testing the 1.2100 level, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart remains below 50, indicating the downward trend persists. If the pair closes below 1.2100 in the 4-hour timeframe, sellers might take action. In this scenario, the 1.2050 level (the recent low) could be the next target before 1.2000 (psychological level). On the upside, the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) forms a dynamic resistance at 1.2150, preceding 1.2180 (SMA 100) and 1.2200 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent downtrend). Feel free to let me know if you need further assistance or if there's anything specific you'd like to add!
by Gwen_Humuna
2
GBP/USD Dips, Awaits UK CPI DataGBP/USD faced consecutive losses, trading around 1.2160 in Asian markets on Wednesday. Positive US economic data applied pressure. The pair retreated after reaching 1.2200, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, the 50 and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) confirming significant resistance. The 4-hour chart's Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to 40, indicating accumulating bearish momentum. Immediate support lies at 1.2130 (static level). Closing below it in the 4-hour timeframe could bring further selling pressure, possibly testing temporary support at 1,2100 (static, psychological level) before targeting 1,2050, the recent downtrend's endpoint. If GBP/USD rises above 1,2200 and confirms it as support, it could aim higher towards 1,2250 (static) and 1,2300 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement level). The pair reversed its trend after breaching 1,2200 on Monday, dropping to the 1.2150 region on Tuesday. Short-term technical outlook indicates bearish momentum and potential additional losses if the 1,2130 support fails. US Retail Sales data for September is on the economic horizon, with a negative surprise possibly impacting the USD. However, GBP/USD might stand firm unless a significant, positive market sentiment change occurs. Stay tuned for updates on this evolving situation.
by Gwen_Humuna
1
GBPJPY, to swing up to retest the Year's high of 186.735GBPJPY made a breakout of the ascending channel since 28th July 2023 and went up to channel the year's high at 186.672 on the 17th of August 2023. Price pulled back to 184.110 support. The pull back has been happening in a descending channel from 16th August when it broke out of the descending channel and was looking to retest the channel last Friday, 2nd September and rebounded on the 183.530 support. What do I expect?? The price will swing up to retest the year's high of resistance (186.735) or the yearly resistance trendline closer to the year's high as shown.
Long
by AbeikuGlobal_FX
1
GBPJPY - SHORT; Looking for a Top hereThe Pound found itself rather unimpressed on the heels of the recent inflation data prints. Speculation abound whether there is one more rate hike left in the BoE, before long? (Likely.) Even so, everything (including the kitchen sink) has already been factored into the Pound crosses thus, any short fall in inflation prints from here on out are likely to have severe (down side) consequences! This pair has been quite overextended, already, above 170.00. The EUR/GBP is showing signs of an intermediate bottom, following its recent drop. (Thus, if anything this is the pair to look for Shorts, vs. the EURJPY.) Overall, both pairs EUR/JPY and this one, GBP/JPY are somewhere very close to a (very!) long term top, e.g., both pairs are deserving some unmitigated attention at this point. Looking for Short Entries here Here is the Daily view; ... and here is the EURGBP;
Short
by Nemo_Confidat
21
Update on GBPJPY DIRECTION(Bull)Hello Traders in the previous week our ideas on the GJ pair has been awesome and accurate We have predicted the direction of the pair for months now and our ideas rate is 89% correct. We continues to share our idea on the pair movement showing the direction its going. We still believe the pair remains in the Bull run, the pair broke out a key area on the last trading day of past week and did a minor pullback, but we wait to see a little bit pullback again before to gather momentum for the bull run, our first Bull target was hit last week at 182.23 and we look forward to see the rest being achieved. We keep our plan to buy the pair from dip and will take advantage of the selling opportunities available, as the pair trades around an area of value in the 4HR timeframe mitigating the gap and pushing to reach a higher high for the bull. The pair has form a double bottom pattern indicating a Bullish move after trading in side ways for the past few days last week until the breakout occurred. Bullish Target; 182.23 DONE, 183.24, 183.799, 184.4, 186.3 188.2 Bearish Target; 180.7, 180.3, 179.5, 177.6 Dont forget to hit the like, share, comment, and follow bottom. #Vimhype
Long
by Vimhype
GBPJPY Analysislooking at the existing market structure, the market may form a-b-c correction pattern with the possibility that wave B will approach the SnD area before falling again. if you look at the fibo retracement area, there is an SnD area that intersects with the fibo area with pretty good accuracy at notation 2.618. areas like this usually in the future will be responded positively by the price. This analysis is valid as long as the price does not rise more than the invalid area.
by Hokusai_FX
2
Update on GBPJPY (Bullish)Today the pair GJ was a bit slow in movement, and it remains bullish. GJ is consolidating after retesting the 200EMA in the 4HR timeframe but the pair continue to trade upward as it consolidate between 179.53 and 182.23. We will only follow the pair on the side it will breakout and retest for a long term trade but in the main time we intent to buy from demand zone and sell at the supply zone. Our Target for the Bull run 183.8, 184.8, 186.5, 188.9 Bearish Target; 177.02, 176.3, 175.9 Dont forget to hit the like, share, comment, and follow bottom #Vimhype
by Vimhype
2
Update GBPJPY, GJ seems BullishAnother day of trade has begin, we have been consistent with the pair prediction, predicting every move on the chart about this pair, GJ seems bullish as the pair couldn't mitigate the area value at the 182.7 to signal a bear move but rather follow the bull pattern coming down to mitigate the area of value in the 4HR timeframe from yesterday and as the pair remain in the Uptrend we look for the possible opportunity to buy. GJ is still in an Uptrend after retesting and bounce off the 200EMA in the 4HR Timeframe. We keen to the opportunity to sell the pair when the time is due. Bullish Target; 182.6, 183.7, 184.4, 186.2, 188.2 Bearish Target; 180.1, 179.00, 177.6, 176.3 Dont forget to hit the like, share, comment and follow Bottom #Vimhype
Long
by Vimhype
10