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GBP/USD Rebounds to $1.2500 After Budget AnnouncementGBP/USD closed positively for the third consecutive trading day on Tuesday, reaching its highest level since early September at $1.2560. While experiencing a slight pullback on Wednesday, the pair remains above the $1.2500 mark. UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, Jeremy Hunt, is set to unveil the autumn budget report in the late session. Hunt is expected to announce significant tax cuts for businesses to stimulate economic growth, raise the national living wage, and increase the income of low-wage workers by around 10%. Assessing the impact of these measures on inflation and inflation expectations is challenging, but recent comments from Bank of England (BoE) officials suggest caution in dismissing additional tightening measures in the future. In the latter half of the day, U.S. economic data will reveal durable goods orders for October and weekly initial jobless claims. If the number of initial jobless claims continues to rise, the US Dollar (USD) may struggle to find demand. Investors will also closely monitor developments on Wall Street ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday. In the event that risk aversion prevails after the opening bell, the USD could weaken against its counterparts.
by Larissa-Trader
1
GBP/USD Holds Firm Above 1.2500 Amid BoE Comments GBP/USD saw an increase on Tuesday as the British Pound outperformed following hawkish comments from officials at the Bank of England. The currency pair is holding firm above the 1.2500 level despite the U.S. Dollar's adjustment. The level at 1.2550 (static level) is considered immediate resistance for GBP/USD, preceding 1.2600 (Fibonacci 50% retracement level from the July to October downtrend) and 1.2670 (static level from August). On the flip side, the initial support is at 1.2500 (psychological level, static level) before 1.2470, where the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, Simple Moving Average (SMA) 20, and the upper limit of the ascending regression channel intersect. Closing below this level may open up opportunities for a deeper correction towards 1.2400 (psychological level, static level). GBP/USD rose above 1.2500, reaching its highest point since early September, near 1.2550 on Tuesday. Comments from Bank of England (BoE) policymakers on policy outlook may influence the pair in the coming days. On Monday evening, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated they must monitor signs of persistent inflation that could warrant an interest rate hike. Bailey reiterated that such a policy would need to be constrained "for some time" and noted it's too early to contemplate rate cuts. Bailey and other members of the Monetary Policy Committee will testify before the Treasury Select Committee on Tuesday. If officials continue to convince the market that they don't necessarily need to raise interest rates, the British Pound may gather strength to resist its major counterparts. In U.S. trading sessions, economic data from the United States will reveal the Existing Home Sales figures for October, likely causing notable market reactions. The Federal Reserve (Fed) will release the meeting minutes from October 31 to November 1. Given the weak inflation data, prompting market speculation about the Fed's policy changes next year, comments in this release may already be outdated. Meanwhile, the UK's FTSE 100 index opened lower, last seen down 0.5%. Similarly, U.S. stock futures turned positive after a quiet Asian trading session. If safe-haven inflows return to the market in the latter half of the day, the U.S. Dollar may escape downward pressure, limiting GBP/USD's upward momentum.
by Larissa-Trader
1
GBP/USD Surges Amid Weakening USDThe GBP/USD pair garnered buying interest during the Asian trading session on Monday, reaching a three-day high around the 1.2470 region. Despite this, the spot price remains below the key resistance of the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near the psychological level of 1.2500 and the two-month high touched last week. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to register any meaningful recovery and remains near its lowest level since September 1, serving as a primary support factor for the GBP/USD pair. Reports on US CPI and PPI released last week indicated that the inflation nightmare has finally subsided. This allows the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain its stance in the December meeting, exerting downward pressure on the USD. Furthermore, markets are assessing the possibility of the Fed starting interest rate cuts in early 2024 and designing a soft landing for the economy. This has pushed the yield on the 10-year US government bond to its lowest in two months at 4.379% on Friday. Additionally, the overall positive trend in the Asian stock markets weakens the safe-haven appeal of the greenback, further supporting the GBP/USD pair. However, markets have set expectations for the Bank of England (BoE) to commence interest rate cuts from their 15-year highs amid looming economic recession risks. Betting odds have been reaffirmed by weaker UK retail sales figures, adding to a series of negative information from the previous week and aligning with the gloomy prospects of the UK economy. This may impede any further upward movement for the GBP/USD pair. Even from a technical standpoint, last week's rejection near the 1.2500 level or the 100-day SMA barrier suggests caution, prompting traders to wait for a strong buying surge before betting on new price hikes. In the absence of any relevant economic information from the UK or the US, USD price dynamics will continue to play a crucial role in influencing the GBP/USD pair, allowing traders to seize short-term opportunities.
by Larissa-Trader
GBPJPY Long Term SELLING Trading IdeaHello Traders In This Chart GBPJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today GBPJPY analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPJPY market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPJPY Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexPlanet20
Pullback from YTD highs, as evening-star loomsFX:GBPJPY retraces from weekly highs reached on Wednesday at around 188.24 and hovers around the 187.00 figure late in the New York session, as a three-candle chart pattern emerges that could warrant further downside pressure on the pair. In the near term, the GBP/JPY is consolidating near the year's highs, though it’s forming an ‘evening-star’ chart pattern. However, sellers must reclaim the Tenkan-Sen at 186.41, alongside the November 14 swing low of 186.04 to exacerbate a deeper pullback below the Senkou Span A seen at 185.47, ahead of the Kijun-Sen at 184.52. On the other hand, if buyers reclaim 188.00, that could open the door for further upside, with buyers targeting the year-to-date (YTD) high at 188.24, followed by the 190.00 mark.
Short
by tradingconmike
GBP/USD Strengthens Above 1.2400 Amid Dollar Challenges"The GBP/USD pair consolidates its overnight slide from the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) around the psychological level of 1.2500, or the two-month high, trading in a narrow range in Thursday's Asian session. Meanwhile, the spot price attempts to hold above the significant 1.2400 mark, contingent on the price dynamics of the U.S. Dollar (USD). The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), tracking the greenback against a basket of currencies, struggles to capitalize on the modest recovery from its lowest since September 1, amid the Federal Reserve's dovish expectations. These bets were reassessed after Tuesday's U.S. CPI report, indicating a milder-than-expected decline in consumer inflation, suggesting a cooling economy. Furthermore, markets are increasingly pricing in the possibility of the Fed starting interest rate cuts in the first half of 2024, driving down U.S. Treasury bond yields and acting as a hurdle for the greenback. Additionally, the prevailing risk-acceptance environment is seen weakening the safe-haven status, providing some support for the GBP/USD pair. However, the upward trend is constrained as more anticipate the Bank of England (BoE) initiating interest rate cuts soon, reinforced by a slight drop in UK consumer inflation on Wednesday. In fact, the UK's monthly CPI remained unchanged, and the annual rate plummeted sharply from 6.7% to 4.6% in October – hitting a two-year low. Moreover, the core CPI also decreased from 6.1% in September to 5.7%. The mixed fundamental backdrop ensures caution among risk-seeking traders, waiting for clear short-term direction, especially with no significant macroeconomic data from the UK on Thursday. Meanwhile, the U.S. economic calendar includes regular weekly jobless claims, the Fed Philly Manufacturing Index, and industrial production figures. This, along with U.S. bond yields and broader risk sentiment, may influence USD price dynamics and allow traders to seize short-term opportunities around the GBP/USD pair.
by Larissa-Trader
GBPJPY → Struggles around 188.00, on soft UK inflationThe British Pound (GBP) remains steady against the Japanese Yen (JPY) during Wednesday’s mid-North American session after reaching a daily high of 188.24; the pair has fallen below the 188.00 mark, courtesy of weak inflation data from the UK. Therefore, the GBP/JPY hovers around 187.94, virtually unchanged. From a technical perspective, the FX:GBPJPY is upward biased, but a daily close below 188.00 could pave the way for a deeper pullback, which could extend toward the 187.00 figure. If sellers push prices below that level, the next demand area could be the Tenkan-Sen at 185.75m followed by the Senkou Span A at 185.13. the next support would be 185.00. On the other hand, the GBP/JPY uptrend would continue if it remains above 188.00, with the first resistance seen at the current year-to-date (YTD) high of 188.28. Sentiment further improvement would put into play the November 2015 swing high at 188.80 before buyers challenge the 190.00 figure.
Short
by tradingconmike
2
GBP/USD Slips to 1.2450 on Weak UK Inflation DataGBP/USD faces modest downward pressure, dropping to 1.2450 in European trading on Wednesday. UK CPI inflation fell to 4.6% YoY in October from 6.7% in September, causing the British Pound to lose ground. The pair struggles to find firm footing above the 1.2300 level on daily closing basis, potentially paving the way for an extended recovery toward the psychological level of 1.2350. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) points upwards around the midline, indicating an ongoing upward momentum for the pair. The next resistance level is envisioned at the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2437. However, if the upward trend stalls, immediate support will likely be seen at the 50-day SMA at 1.2255, below which the 21-day SMA at 1.2205 may test bullish commitments. Further decline could challenge the 1.2100 demand area. The extended three-day recovery of GBP/USD in European trading on Tuesday, driven by positive mixed employment data in the UK, appears to be limited as traders exercise caution ahead of the highly significant US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The outcome of Wednesday's UK inflation data could significantly impact the Bank of England's interest rate outlook, adding volatility to the British Pound. Ahead of the crucial US CPI data, FXStreet's Senior Analyst Yohay Elam notes that unexpected results above 0.2% could lead to market reevaluation. A surprise decline in inflation might fuel Wall Street's rally while exerting pressure on the US Dollar. However, an as-expected release may immediately positively affect stocks and create pressure on the US Dollar, even if the core CPI remains high. Simultaneously, the pair may receive signals from improving risk sentiment, reflected in the slight uptick of 0.12% in the US S&P 500 futures contract.
by Gwen_Humuna
GBP/USD Maintains Uptrend Above 1.2250 GBP/USD saw an increase from the 20-day SMA to 1.2280 on Monday and is consolidating around 1.2275 in the early Asian trading session, supported by the ongoing weakness of the US Dollar. Attention is shifting towards employment data in the UK and crucial US CPI figures on Tuesday. The currency pair reversed its direction after testing the 1.2200 level, with an upward trending line, the 23.6% retracement of the latest downtrend, and the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart aligning, emphasizing the significance of the support level and the sellers' hesitation. On the upside, GBP/USD faces immediate support at 1.2260 (SMA50) followed by 1.2300 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) and 1.2340 (static level). Support levels are set at 1.2200, 1.2140 (static), and 1.2100 (psychological level). What are your thoughts on this currency pair?
by Larissa-Trader
1
Two resistance level for GBP/JPYDear traders, GBP/JPY has two resistance which are the key to predict it's future price movements. First, we have a moderate resistance level of 185.90 level. Second, we have another resistance at the 186.70 level. One of these two levels can be a reversal point for GBP/JPY. We need to watch out and observe if there is a bearish price action at either of these levels. A reversal from either of these two levels can lead to a fall to 183.50
Short
by MarcellusLUX
12
GBPJPY with WillsonnnnThe British pound has rallied during the trading session on Monday, reaching the top of the short-term consolidation region that we have been in. With this being the case, the market is likely to continue seeing more of a “buy on the dip” attitude as the interest rate differential between the 2 economies and currencies is big enough to warrant the “carry trade.” This involves getting paid at the end of every session, and therefore it makes it an attractive investment.
Short
by Willsonnnn
Forget USDJPY: Time to watch GBPJPY for intervention? The UK’s inflation rate due this week (early early Wednesday morning), and there is a huge projected drop in the reading from last month, from 6.7% to 4.8%. This huge drop leaves a lot of room for disappointment, and higher CPI reading could exert upside pressure on the GBPJPY, which is already at a multi-month high. It is for this reason I bring up the possibility that traders should watch for intervention in this pair, whether direct or indirect. Supporting the possibility of a bullish GBPJPY is the rejection of yesterday's significant downside wick (touching the 50-day moving average on the 1-hour chart). This rejection was followed by a further move to the upside. Further upside will see the pair challenge the three-month high at 186.77 and open the possibility for a correction/ intervention. In the past, ¥185.00 has proven to be somewhat of an anchor point for the pair, but perhaps a more accurate support is now ¥185.50? Don’t forget that US CPI numbers are due this week too, one day before UK numbers hit the market.
by BlackBull_Markets