Longterm GBPY Long + Short Setup on 4H + 1D Charts 300-900 pips!Hope you all had a great weekend. Looks like our active trades are making great progress to start the week, so let's try to keep the momentum going!
The GBPJPY pair has been up trending on the Weekly chart since 3rd October 2016 and we can see price has touched down on the lower uptrend level a few times since then and has respected this trend line. Most recently we have come back down to this trend line and almost touched it today and so, we are expecting price to respect the trend line and bounce back up to continue it's trend pattern. On the weekly chart we can also see price hit a major resistance level on 12th of December 2016 and the 8th of May 2017 and was unable to break through, therefore our target TP will be just below this level with a return of 700 pips.
As we zoom into the daily + 4H charts, there is still some momentum to move down a little further. On the last two bounces, price was at 5% and 3% oversold on the daily chart and we only dropped to these levels when price touched the trend line and bounced up - Currently, price is 27% oversold so this would go in hand with our opinion that there is room to move down further before the bounce.
I have marked out some key support/resistance levels I want to keep an eye on as we monitor this trade setup. The conservative approach would be to wait for the bounce and enter above 141.3x for confirmation, however, I may just wait for the bounce and try to get in as low as possible and then keep a close eye on it.
On the flip side, with everything that is happening fundamentally... it is highly likely that the GBP will continue to fall and we may just see this pair break the trend line. I have marked out my potential targets for TP if we enter a sell instead of a long.
This research is for informational purposes and should not be construed as personal advice. Trading any financial market involves risk. Trading on leverage involves risk of losses greater than deposits.
Please comment below and Like if you agree with my analysis.
Gbpjpysignal
GBPJPYOur preference: sales position below 141.20 with targets at 139.50 & 138.10 in extension.
Alternative scenario: in excess of 141.20, aim for a continuation of the increase with 141.80 & 142.65 in line of sight.
Comment: as long as 141,20 is not exceeded the risk of a depression of 139,50 is important.
GBPJPY Daily Chart : Bias Remain BullishPivot: 140.00
Preference: long positions above 140.00 with targets at 148.50 & 151.75 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 140.00 look for further downside with 135.75 & 132.60 as targets.
Comment: the RSI lacks downward momentum.
Supports and resistances:
155.70 ***
151.75 ***
148.50 ***
144.00 Last
140.00 ***
135.75 ***
132.60 ***
short GBPJPY @ 60 min @ trading capability for this 51st week`16Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Next week i`ll confirm or change my opinion about this SetUp :)
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
Best regards
Aaron
GBPJPY - FOREX MARKET ANALYSIS AND TRADING TIPS 29TH MARCH 2016SUMMARY:
The secondary trend of GBP/JPY is bullish on charts and price is trading above the trend line in its 4 hourly chart. In 4 hourly chart the price is sustaining above 50 day SMA and is taking support of 200 day SMA indicating uptrend of the pair. It is having an important resistance at the level of 164.10 and support at the level of 158.40. If it breaks its resistance level on the upside and sustains above it then we can expect it to show further bullish movement in the pair.
INDICATORS:-
MACD is sustaining in its positive territory indicating the bullish trend in the pair.
RSI is sustaining in its buying zone indicating the upcoming bullish trend in the pair.
STRATEGY:
GBP/JPY is looking bullish on charts for next few trading session. One can go for buy on lower level strategy for this pair for intra day to mid term positions in it.
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GBPJPY LONGThe reason why we feel GBPJPY may RISE.
* On weekly basis it has just started moving UP.
* To RISE and come near 164.86 levels
* Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) is Rising.
* RSI (14,CLOSE) is Rising.
* CCI (20,CLOSE) is Rising.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to Rise. Our Buy call shall be from Buy above :163.29, SL:162.85 Tgt 01: 164.37, Tgt 02: 164.86, Tgt 03: 166.35. The view expressed here is on weekly basis. [b ]Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.
GBPJPY SHORTThere are many reason why we feel it may SINK
* It has not sustained quarterly ..... level.
* BEARISH in WEEKLY Chart.
* ToSINK and come near 157 monthly target 03
* Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) clearly states it may sink.
* RSI(14,CLOSE) Is also of the same view.
* CCI(20,CLOSE) Is not clear
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to sink. but as the market is well bellow our sink level we can expect a quick bounce back. Our sell target shall be 159.79 , 158.04 with a SL @: 162.14. We are expecting this to happen shortly. Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.