GBPNZD | Perspective for the new weekThis is a follow-up detail on my previous analysis as my bearish expectation appears to be intact (check the link below on my tradingview platform for reference purposes). This video explains how I plan to take advantage of a trend continuation to the downside with a caveat.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Gbpnzdsignals
GBPNZD | Perspective for the new weekPrice action has been caught within a supply and demand sandwich in the last 3 months to confirm the indecision that has gripped the market after a bearish prior leading price action. Could we be expecting a bearish momentum this week? In this video, I explained how we could take advantage of a bearish momentum if we finally witness a breakdown of the bullish trendline identified in the daily time frame.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPNZD Emerging Golden Cross targets 1.9830.The GBPNZD pair is close to forming a 1D Golden Cross, which is when the MA50 (blue trend-line) on the 1D time-frame crosses above the MA200 (orange trend-line). That is a technical bullish pattern.
As you see on the chart, every time the pair formed a 1D Golden Cross, it traded within a Channel Up pattern and the price rose to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension and then the 2.0. Also the candle action printed a similar formation and they happened to be around the same levels. As a result we expect the price to trade higher within a new Channel Up and target 1.9830 (1.5 Fib) short-term.
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GBPNZD | New PerspectiveDespite the strong bearish impulse leg on the daily time frame, in the last couple of weeks, we have witnessed the price continues to respect the bullish trendline identified on the 4H time frame, it is pertinent that we do not shy away from the possibility of a bullish momentum which might be evolving. In addition to this data, since the beginning of this week, sellers have been finding it difficult to 1.92800 area. So, in the next couple of hours, I shall be looking forward to a signal to join the rally. However, if we see a breakdown of the bullish trendline then a retest of this line could push the price further down.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPNZD | Perspective for the new weekThe recovery of the Pound from its previous low at 1.87100 appears to be dissipating as buyers find it difficult to push the price above the key level identified at 1.96700. During the course of last week's trading, we witnessed multiple rejections of this key level to give an insight into the weakness of the buyers and going into the new week, I am looking forward to a bearish signal in the form of a breakdown/retest of the neckline at 1.9500 to join the potential decline.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPNZD | Perspective for the new weekFrom a technical perspective on the daily timeframe; the strong bearish impulse leg will be our yardstick going into the new week as we should be looking forward to the exhaustion of the retracement wave to join the decline.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPNZD | New PerspectiveSince the beginning of the day, we have witnessed a bearish move for the Pound as the price broke down the key level at 1.927 which is followed by multiple rejections of this level.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPNZD Action plan depending on break-outsThe GBPNZD pair is currently under a rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Even though the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is the next Support, based on the correction of 2020, we are more likely to see the trend turn bearish again than bullish. As a result, our plan is to sell as long as the price doesn't close a 1D candle above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (around 1.9850). The hard bearish target is the 2018 Higher Lows trend-line and if you want you may take the -0.236 Fibonacci extension (around 1.8300).
A break above the 0.786 Fib though (2.015 roughly), invalidates the bearish bias and instead should create a new long-term bullish pattern towards the Higher Highs, with our target on that occassion beaing 2.1000.
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GBPNZD | New PerspectiveFollowing a 500pips move since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes); It appears we do have another trading opportunity here on the GBPNZD.
The appearance of a reversal set-up on the 1H time frame coupled with the obvious that the price is currently within a supply zone; we might want to consider a selling opportunity on this one as we anticipate a breakdown/retest of the key level @ 1.94 for confirmation.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPNZD top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPNZD testing 1D MA200. Buy opportunity if it holds.GBPNZD is testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) today after an almost 1 month correction since the February 03 High. That High was a Higher High on a +1 year series of Higher Highs. The last time we saw such an aggressive correction on a Higher Highs pattern to the 1D MA200, was in October - December 2019.
During that sequence, the pair did test the 1D MA200, which also happened to be on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (same as today), and as it held, it gave way to a new rally towards the 1.236 Fib extension.
As a result, we should keep an eye on the daily candle closings for a rebound on the 1D MA200. If it holds, I expect a Higher High near 2.0800 this time. This pattern may be invalidated if we get a weekly close below the 1D MA200, in which case we can expect a new test on the Higher Lows trend-line from 2018.
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GBPNZD top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPNZD | Perspective for the new weekThe GBPNZD pair seems to be on the edge of a cliff and it appears to be on the verge of tumbling down into 50 to 78.6% retracement in anticipation of a bullish trend continuation. How do we take advantage of this counter-trend opportunity without getting our fingers burnt?
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Double Top)
Observation: i. Since November 2021, the Pound recorded approximately 9% growth against the Kiwi to set the tone for bullish momentum.
ii. The visual representation of a line drawn under pivot lows reveals the prevailing direction and speed of price action in the last 3 months.
iii. However, multiple rejections of N$2.05 since January 28th signals the possibility of price action transposing into a correction phase that might dip into 50 to 78.6% retracement before the rally continues.
iv. The multiple rejections at N$2.05 evolves into a double top look-alike which is an extremely bearish technical reversal pattern that forms after action tests a new high two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs with confirmation of structure at a break below a support level at N$2.025.
iv. Coupled with the reversal pattern, we also witnessed a breakdown of the bullish trendline during last week trading session to give credibility to my bearish bias.
v. In this regard, below the key level at $N2.025 remains a comfortable area to take on a short position as I strongly anticipate a breakdown/retest of this level in the coming week(s)... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 500 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 7 to 20 days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPNZD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsWe experienced over 300pips run in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes).
Now, it is obvious that a trading range has been hemming broadly within the N$1.93500/1.97000 since the emphatic breakdown of the Demand level late in the month of August 2021. At this juncture in the market, I shall be looking forward to a reversal pattern within the Supply zone at 61.8/78.6% retracement of the impulse leg to incite a risk of further decline in price in the coming week(s).
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Channel | Reversal pattern (retracement levels)
Observation: i. Since the beginning of the year (2021), It has been a Bullish run for the Pound before hitting a peak @ N$2.00500 (between June and August 2021) - a zone characterized by a triple Top look-a-like.
ii. This feat was later followed by a significant Breakdown of a Level that held price "supported" between June and August 2021 to allow a bias shift in favour of the bears in the coming week(s).
iii. TRIPLE TOP: formation of three peaks moving into the same zone @ at approximately N$2.00000, with pullbacks in between is considered complete when the price broke down pattern support @ N$1.96000 on the 31st of August 2021, hereby indicating a possible further price slide in the nearest future.
iv. Even as a Bearish perspective is building upon this pair, it is required that we sprinkle the tempo of opening a bearish position with a little bit of patience as we are yet to get a signal to go short.
v. This been said; I shall be looking forward to a reversal pattern within the Supply zone around N$1.97000/1.989500 and this might share a confluence with a 61.8/78.6% retracement of the Impulse leg (Breakdown of Demand zone) to transition into a possible Harmonic pattern (AB = CD).
vi. The early hours/days of the new week might see a price climb before inciting a further decline.
vii. If a climb happens, I have identified a niche around N$1.97000/1.989500 for selling opportunities with confirmations right below the Key level @ N$1.960000 area... This is a volatile pair hence trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 5 to 15days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPNZD | Perspective for the new weekThe price dipped over 200pips in our direction since the last speculation before the rally began (see link below for reference purposes) and following an emphatic downward spiral that lasted 3 weeks, it appears we are at a juncture in the market that suggests that price is on the verge to reverse.
Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish)
Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Triple Bottom)
Observation: i. It has been a Bearish run for the Pound since mid-August, 2021 before it found a bottom at @ NZ$1.93300.
ii. The line drawn over pivot highs is a visual representation revealing the prevailing direction of price action in the last couple of weeks.
iii. Since finding the bottom, the price has gone through a consolidation phase that culminated into what appears to be a successful breakout of Key level @ NZ$1.94250 (Neckline) during last week trading session.
iv. A successful Breakout of the dominant Bearish Trend is a clue that Buyers are beginning to gain momentum.
iv. There is a retest of NZ$1.93900 following the Breakout on the 9th of Sept. 2021.
v. Depending on how the event unfolds when the market resumes next week, the rejection of NZ$1.93900 could be a signal for a rally continuation.
vi. The early hours/days of the new week might see a price plunge into NZ$1.93800 - a level that has been tested more than a couple of times since the beginning of the month (Sept 2021) before the rally begins.
vii. This been said, above Key level @ NZ$1.94250 remains a comfortable area for me to go long in the coming week(s) with an opportunity to add to my existing position at Breakout/Retest of NZ$1.94750... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 5 to 10days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPNZD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsWe are yet to take advantage of the Bearish tendency since my last publication on this pair as we await price action to do a complete rejection of the Bullish trendline identified on the publication (see link below for reference purposes). Like the setup identified on our GBPAUD, we have a similar pattern here too as price action transitions into a Descending Channel
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Channel | Reversal pattern (retracement)
Observation: i. A successful Breakdown of NZ$1.98500 on the 23rd of June 2021 after hitting a peak @ NZ$1.99600 is enough reason to expect a Bearish momentum.
ii. The Impulsive Breakdown was followed by a rejection of the same level at exactly 61.8% retracement (NZ$1.98500 area)on the 30th of June 2021 to respect Descending channel.
iii. The momentum initiated within the channel at the inception of the retracement move (25th June 2021) in the direction of the Bullish Trend declined as price successfully broke down both the Key level & Trendline on the 2nd July 2021 to give further significance to my Bearish bias.
iv. I look forward to a possible climb to retest Key level (New Supply level indicated on the chart) in the coming week before the risk of further decline.
v. A further plunge below NZ$1.96000 (Breakdown/Retest) welcomes an addition to the existing position... Trade consciously!😊.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 2 to 7days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPNZD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIt's approximately 700pips move in our direction since my last publication on this pair ( see link below for reference purposes) and the price has continued to reject the NZ$1.98000 zone. This is a sign that Buyers are yet to garner the momentum to push the price above this level in the last 9 months (since September 2020) hereby giving an advantage to Sellers from this area.
Considering the memory at the NZ$1.98000 zone, Investors have been hesitant to keep buying the Pound New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD) exchange rate higher, as the Pound’s "bullishness" runs out of steam every time it reaches this level which is represented on the chart with Rejection I to IV.
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Trendline
Observation: i. The Trendline indicated on the chart has been a significant factor in deciding the prevailing bias of participants in the market since the beginning of the year 2021.
ii. It is important to note that as soon as the price touches NZ$1.98000 a sharp rejection happens and this has occurred three different times this year (March, May & June); This is a clue into the immense strength of Sellers at this juncture in the market.
iii. Focus shall be below Key level I @ NZ$1.9670 for selling opportunity with confirmation at the Breakdown/Retest of Trendline.
iv. Breakdown/Retest of Key level II @ NZ$1.9200 shall welcome addition to existing running position.
v. CAUTION: Please note that confirmation remains below Key level I as any significant Break above NZ$1.98000 shall welcome a rally continuation at retest... Trade consciously!:)
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 500 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:6
Potential Duration: 10 to 20days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.