#GBPNZD 4HGBPNZD (British Pound / New Zealand Dollar)
Timeframe: 4-Hour (4H)
Pattern: Expanding Pattern
An expanding pattern, also known as a broadening formation, has been identified on the 4-hour chart of the GBPNZD pair. This formation signals increasing volatility and market indecision, often leading to a strong breakout in either direction after completion.
In this case, the pattern appears to be forming higher highs and lower lows, indicating widening price movements.
Forecast: Buy
The current analysis suggests a potential buying opportunity within the pattern. The pair may continue moving upwards from the lower bound of the pattern, likely targeting the upper resistance area formed by the expanding structure.
Technical Outlook:
Support Zone: The lower boundary of the expanding formation, acting as a dynamic support.
Resistance Zone: The upper boundary of the pattern, serving as dynamic resistance.
*Key Levels to Watch: The breakout or bounce near these key zones.
A break above the upper boundary would confirm a bullish continuation, with momentum favoring more upside potential.
Make sure to watch for confirmation signals like volume increase or momentum indicators to validate the entry.
Gbpnzdstrategy
GBPNZD Technical Analysis anda Trade Idea The GBPNZD has experienced a strong rally on the back of RBNZ data release being fairly dovish today. This has resulted in NZD to weaken somewhat offering a potential buy opportunity. This rally has overextended and I'm looking for an entry point on a pullback down into the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. In the video we talk about the trend market structure, price action and I attempt to simplify some ideas to help people who are new to trading understand how the markets work. This analysis is for educational purposes only and not to be construed as financial advice.
7 Dimension Analysis For GBPNZD Yearly: The market is entrenched in a multi-year downtrend. Despite yearly structure breakouts, rejections from the CIP level have been consistent, indicating strong resistance. The failure to breach upper yearly resistance suggests substantial selling pressure. A post-breakout bearish buildup implies a high likelihood of further downside in the coming years.
Monthly: A shift from a bullish to a bearish character is evident. Strong resistance rejections, particularly marked by a classic doji in August 2023 within a blue-box-highlighted area, indicate significant downward potential. The momentum flow in August 2023 adds conviction to the bearish scenario.
Weekly: While the weekly chart shows some sideways movement, the current positioning lacks clarity. Further examination is required for a comprehensive view of the market dynamics.
😇7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: Daily
Swing Structure: Bearish
Structure Behavior: Choch 50%
Swing Move: Impulsive
Inducement: Done; high is confirmed
Pull Back: 1
Internal Structure: Bearish
Ext OB: Unmitigated
Resistance: Found at the FVG area, with demand formed and three proper IFC rejections.
Time Frame Confluence: Daily
Pattern
Chart Patterns: A rounding triple top within a green rectangle indicates a bearish breakout, signaling the end of the corrective move.
Candle Patterns: Inside, with a Harami on Friday close.
Volume
Fixed range volume indicates a strong seller presence.
Significant bearish volume is observed at the green rectangle.
During the cycle, only one bearish candle had a significant impact on price.
Momentum RSI
Zone: Sideways
Range shift: Not clear but oscillating between sideways to bearish.
Divergence: A hidden bullish divergence suggests the potential for short-term bullish momentum.
Overbought sold rejections count: 1, with a bullish divergence.
Volatility Bollinger Bands
The middle band is below, indicating a bearish trend.
Expansion suggests a short-term sideways zone.
Just finished a walking on the band.
Strength According to ROC
Values: -0.37 GBP vs. 3.5 NZD, indicating NZD's strength.
Sentiment
High selling sentiment according to all the studies.
✔️Entry Time Frame: H1
✅Entry TF Structure: Bearish
☑️Current Move: Impulsive is starting.
✔Support Resistance Base: Extreme supply area.
☑️Candles Behavior: Rally-based drop, Momentum.
☑️Trend Line Marked: Waiting for breakout.
💡Decision: Ready for sell
🚀Entry: 2.046
✋Stop Loss: 2.0602
🎯Take Profit: 1.9750
2nd If Internal Structure change also Exit 3rd trendline breakout, Fomo
😊Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:5
🕛Expected Duration: 15 days
SUMMARY:
The analysis reveals a strongly bearish sentiment in the market. The yearly and monthly perspectives provide a broader context, while the daily analysis points to an imminent impulsive move. The entry strategy aligns with the overall bearish outlook, with a clear risk-to-reward ratio and an expected duration of 15 days.
GBPUSD 4H : Support further decline GBPUSD
New forecast
The price perfectly fulfills my last idea and price reached to our target .
The GBP/USD pair presented Negative trades today, as it tried to break the 1.2173 level to holding below it again, waiting for the bearish bias to resume to test the bearish resistance around 1.2122 as the next main target.
Therefore, the downward trend scenario will remain effective for the coming period, supported by the bearish trend, keeping in mind that breaking 1.2192 and stabilized above it will stop the expected decline and put pressure on the price to rise again.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.2192 and support line 1.2122.
support line : 1.2122 , 1.2108
resistance line : 1.2173 , 1.2192
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
GBPUSD 1H : Downtrend GBPUSD
OUTLOOK
The price perfectly fulfills my last idea and price in the way to reach our target .
Technical abstract :
The pound sterling pair against the dollar continues to decline to reach our extended target of 1.2135, and we believe that the way is open to continue the downward trend and achieve more negative targets that reach the 1.2100 areas.
The strength of the dollar continues to put negative pressure on the price to support expectations of a continuation of the downward trend in the immediate and short term, keeping in mind that breaching 1.2239 will stop the current negative scenario and push the price to begin recovery attempts in the immediate term.
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
support line : 1.2135 , 1.2100
resistance line : 1.2200 , 1.2239
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
GBPNZD, ripe to short to the next significant levelThe GBPNZD was rejected by the upper trendline of the ascending channel on 21st August, 2023.
made a pull back to the 2.13930 support. Price is currently being resisted by the EMA-50 on the 4HR time frame. A break below the EMA-50 could push the price down to ultimately re-test the EMA-200 support at 2.10941.
On the other hand, the fibo retracement could pull price above to 2.14605 resistance entry where the price can have a significant short.
GBPNZD-4HR INCOMING STRONG SELL Hey Everyone, We had a long bullish impulse on FX:GBPNZD , price broke out and sellers now have control. Looking at 4HR market structure, price is looking to drop significantly to fill up the gap that price have left behind.
Let's not miss out on a great opportunity, thank you for your support :)
I see buys on GbpnzdWe had price break a major level making a new high. With the new high made this is called our indication. Which means that with the right momentum we can expect price to come back to that high after a correction. Due to price being on a uptrend which means no lows have been broken we can anticipate that price is bullish.
GBPNZD POTENTIAL LONG FORMATION IN PROGRESS (BULLISH CHANNEL)When we look at the pair there are more bullish signs and bearish signs hence we are only looking for buying opportunities.
We have listed the reasons for our bullish basis below:
1: Higher times frames show a strong bullish trend.
2: Lower bullish channel test and potential bounce.
3: Up-trendline test and bounce.
4: Pair us making new highs which signal a bullish trend.
Nothing in the markets is ever perfect and this includes pattern formations. It's not every often we see textbook-style patterns. As long as risk is managed, if we happen to get stopped, we move to the next trading setup.
GBPNZD SELLHello trader last analysis for the Day so let’s Set Our Eyes on GBPNZD We are Currently taking A sell based on we are Currently on a Support and Resistance Level price failed to break our Resistance zone and also we end up having A trend line breakout and a Successfully retest back to trend, so to keep everything as Educationally as possible When trading technically we understand that use of S&R support and Resistance failed to break Our R zone We expect price to fall back to our support. We Sell immediately the market open, remember proper risk management. Drop your comments on What you think about this trade thank you.
The pound rebounded as scheduled, can the bulls recover?On Wednesday (March 15), GBP/USD continued to fall by 0.85% to close at USD1.2056.The UBS incident has caused the market to worry about the state of the European banking system, because the impact of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, which is a major customer of technology companies in the United States, is accelerating.Credit Suisse's share price plunged by more than 30% at one point, after its largest investor said it could not provide the bank with more financial assistance.The stock's plunge led to a decline in the broader European banking stock index, triggering demand for safe-haven dollars and forcing investors to avoid high-risk currencies such as the British pound.However, the market believes that the eurozone market may be hit first, while the British market is slightly protected, so at this stage, the performance of the pound is slightly stronger than that of the euro.Subsequently, British Chancellor of the Exchequer Hunt announced a fiscal plan. Fiscal measures for this year and next two years will cost 94 billion pounds, demonstrating the British government's determination to boost economic growth and avoid recession.This has helped limit the decline of the pound to a certain extent.
On the trend of GBP/USD, it was mentioned in the article yesterday that if the 1.201 position can be supported, it is possible to carry out a short-cycle restorative rebound on this basis.It is currently trading near the level of 1.211.From this point of view, there is still strong support near the 1.201 level below, but the current trend is still volatile and the trend is not clear.The overall volatility range is still limited to between 1.1930-1.22.
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GBP/USD:The pound was blocked, and the bears reacted strongly?The latest data from the United Kingdom show that the number of people employed in the British labor market has increased by 65,000, higher than the expected 52,000, and the unemployment rate remains at 3.7%.But the pace of wage growth has slowed, which is good news for the Bank of England.Because the central bank is seeking to control inflation, this is another factor to be considered at next week's interest rate meeting.On a global scale, the market turmoil after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank has led to huge changes in the market's pricing of the central bank's interest rate outlook in the past few trading days.According to CME's Fedwatch tool, there is now a 25% chance that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged at its next meeting.Even the market has begun to digest the expectation that the Fed will turn to interest rate cuts at the end of the year.Under this situation, the pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates may be eased, which will be of great help to resolve the British government's debt.In terms of interest spreads, the British pound will not be pulled too wide by other currencies.As a result, the pound may be able to gain some support from it.
Due to the rebound of the British pound for four consecutive trading days, it has left the original downward trend channel. However, over time, the market fear caused by the US banking crisis has gradually eased. Today, the dollar index stopped falling and rebounded sharply, suppressing the rise of the British pound and driving the British pound to begin to adjust the market. At present, the British pound has the intention of returning to the downward trend channel.However, if the 1.201 position can be supported, it is possible to carry out a short-term restorative rebound on this basis.
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Sell Stop!!This is quite interesting that blue zone is good resistance zone from the daily and weekly and we already saw that strong rejection candle. We should reject the zone again and dip all the way down to 1.9200 zone...or slightly above. So prudent trade would be a sell stop on break of 1.9330. Sell stop makes sure I only get take in when I am right. The R=3.57
GBP/NZD SELL OPPOTUNITY VIEW NOW......Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Dear Traders,
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