GBP/CHF - BEARISH Potential MoveHello Everyone !
Below we have GBP/CHF pair on a SHORT Possibility, Price has been breaking through support, retesting it seems with successful rejection We should Be seeing Price weakness for now with a downside Continuation to Validate Our Setup.
Extra Note : Price has been rejecting 61.8% Fib. Level in 1D Timeframe.
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Gbpsell
GBPAUD SHORTH&S 4HR, Price violated previous HL and created LH to LL indicating the market is in a bearish environment.
There was a liquidity pool to left which was filled last week, price broke above retail "resistance" taking the stops and now there is a high probability that price will move to the downside.
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GBPUSD SELL IDEATechnicals-
Market structure on 4HR chart showing price making LH's and LL'S.
Trendline also confirming the down trend with fib confluence of 61.8% Rejection at high volume area.
Fundamentals-
We have brexit news in just under 3 hours at the time of posting this chart. Therefore, it could potentially provide the liquidity required to move this pair aggressively which is why I am happy to take the trade at this time.
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PLAYTIME WITH MARKET PSYCHOLOGY BEFORE Q/Q GDP Hello everyone.
Time to tighten stop loss by determining the main trends. Choose or make your own for your risk management. Mine is 1:1 for this one according to the 1st Target price.
This idea is not an investment advice.
Any cricitism is appreciated.
Regards,
Zelâl Ada
Brexit Concerns Still Felt? - Ichimoku GBP/USD Sell SetupGBP/USD has continued it's bearish form with all the fundamentals working against it. Brexit concerns will continue to weigh on this pair until a final deal is made. I am looking to hop into this GBP weakness at a break of price structure lows for entry. I've drawn out some partial take profit levels to aim for a long the way as well as my longer term swing target I am looking for. If we break up above kijun sen, or our bearish confirmations change, this setup may become invalidated.
short GBPUSDFundamentals:- After a stronger than expected Non Farm Pay role from the USA and pressures on the GBP from Brexit and average data of late we are expecting the USD to strengthen against the GBP for while longer.
Technicals;- Looking for a pull back on the recent lows to 14000 where there is an area of support and resistance which should act as resistance and bring more sellers into the market .
Entry sell 14000 stop loss 14250
take profit 13550
GBPJPY ShortFundamental Analysis:- We are looking for a weaker GBP next week as CPI is expected to drop slightly y/y although this will not have a long term effect on the value of the GBP; Brexit negotiations could still weigh heavily on the GBP. There is talk of a second referendum if Parliament don't get the deal they want to leave the European Union which could effect the GBP either way. On the JPY side of the equation;- although data from Japan has not been outstanding it is more the safe haven quality of the currency that I am interested in. With the USD weakening against most major currencies investors could start looking to JPY for stability. At the current price of over 152.00 I would consider the GBP to be overvalued against the JPY
Technical Analysis:- As you can see from the chart the downside in the GBP/JPY last week was met by a 61% Fibonacci retracement where the price seems to have found resistance. I am expecting the GBP/JPY to have another leg down to retest support around the 14700 level.
Trade price :- on market open as long as it does not open above 15280 preferably between 15200 and 15230.
stop loss:- Above 15370
take profit :- 14750
Casual 2000 pips boysTechnically: rising wedge (bearish)
Fundamentally:
JPY short positioning overextended
JPY safe haven in the event of equity downturn
GBP strength keeps inflation low - BoE will not hike
Brexit uncertainty remains
GBP positioning not overextended - room for shorts to build
Sentiment
Speculative market sentiment is very bearish yen; underestimating possibility of yen strength in case of events like August 2015
Sentiment is neutral/bullish GBP
Trade structure
Short at spot.
Add to position when wedge is broken.
Add to position every 100-200 pips of downside, trail stop to profit
Scale out at 130-125 yen