How I trade the forbidden news & finance data. Long-GBPSGDReal
I used to be a shocking chaser of news events and finance data, you know the important data that gets released at about the same time the NY session opens, give or take an hour or 2.
But lets focus on the strategy that puts you in a position to win. If you like charting especilly being able to read things like where the demand levels are and where the supply candles are congregated, this will really help.
If its USD pairs then I want to know which ones are weak and soft and which pairs the USD will shine and outperform over, if given the chance.
So you play it best if you are super organised with your 'pairs' including the USD, I want to know basic things like support and resistance levels at the time of the announcement.
One of my classic setups is being near a daily 200ema which is precisely what this trade I am in at the moment GBPSGD offers. The current daily candle is exactly intersecting (or vice versa) the 200ema, so that tells me that the trend is generally bullish. My old favourite MACD is also nicely involved here. MACD works so close to 100% reliability on the daily when a bullish cross-up is below the zero-line (as is the case here), this is another way of saying that the spring-back trade from oversold levels works better than just a run of the mill pullback with the trend. Some trading educator's won't like reading that because they feel that deep RSI thrusts well below 30 level will continue with the trend down. Perhaps this would be the case if the Instrument you are trying to revive from its oversold condition and to make it spring-back with a bullish reversal, had just lost 100% of its value and it was now worth zero, well it could crash and burn, but the initial cheaper price and change from over-supply to increased buyer demand, brings this back into vogue with buyers in the market.
See on the daily macd that since crossing up on 26 November recently, the Macd-line has not even come close to touching or crossing the white signal-line. This is what you want to see and there will be no further trend reversal until such time that the Macd does in fact cross on the signal line.
You want to analyse charts in advance as well to test out support and resistance levels. Working out how much RR-room you have between buy-price and SL level will be paramount to bigger profits but nobody like being stopped-out.
What about in this setup when your long trade executes upon release of the economic news, are there any bullish buy-order blocks in the vicinity of your buy-price so that this will supportive of trade Long because you know that price will initially be attracted to liquidity nearby which also nearby you have your buy-order.
Fibonacci-;levels can also be a big help in confirming the likelihood of price behaving like it does.
As soon as you get bullish USD confirmation from the economic news do you toss in a market-buy order as fast as you can?
Nah probably not because the market could be factoring in other things aside from your view of the current world of trading news.
False breaks of rallys to the Longs and vice versa for the bears can be tempting to join but sometimes for example the gold price will false break and it could take the current buyers-in in the wrong direction and to place you in just enough financial pain to then take the market the intended true way.
Wait, wait and wait. Even if you are unsure whether its a false break, one way to know its a real start of a trend is that a Fibonacci -retracement will soon commence to take-stock, slow the race down a tad and then in a slow and methodical way the price orders for further buys will be activated and bringing in new people to the Long position.
