Potential Reversal or Breakout on GBP/JPY 4HThe market recently broke structure (BoS) to the upside, indicating a shift in momentum. Price is currently approaching a key bearish fair value gap (FVG) and a bearish order block, both of which are potential resistance levels.
The EMA 200 is positioned above the price, further reinforcing bearish bias unless price decisively breaks above the FVG and order block.
Sell-Side Indication:
The presence of a Bearish Order Block and Bearish FVG (Fair Value Gap) indicates potential selling pressure. If price reacts strongly to these resistance zones, it could trigger a sell-off. This aligns with a bearish outlook if rejection occurs.
Buy-Side Indication:
If price breaks above the Bearish Order Block and sustains above the EMA 200, it could signal a continuation of bullish momentum, favoring buyers.
Gbpusd-trading
GBP/USD: Consolidation at Key SupportLooking at the 4-hour chart of GBP/USD, I see that the pair is currently trading around 1.2202, with signs of consolidation at a strong support zone. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA are still sloping down, indicating that the bearish bias is still dominant. However, the gap between the price and the EMA is narrowing, which could be a sign that the bearish pressure is waning.
In addition, the pair has successfully tested the 1.2170 support zone in recent sessions, creating a solid foundation for a short-term recovery. To break this consolidation, the price needs to overcome the dynamic resistance at the 34 EMA, located around 1.2230. If this happens, the next target will be the 1.2300 zone – a strong psychological resistance.
Where is GBPUSD Heading? FX:GBPUSD To make things clear! We are in a Bullish Long Term Trend, under which were are going through a Bearish Retest. Buyers are eager for a reversal, buying at every possible retest and failing. They are not back from the Party from last week.
In the mean time, I would short now, it has a side to it. A Little risk is not gonna hurt while it can reward big. At the max it can cost a BE.
Pending Order in place in case if the reversal happens with the Event.
GBPUSDGood morning traders, new week sale of new opportunities, I hope you have a week full of many profits. Today without any fundamentals in the middle we can see that the price can give very interesting entries both in sales in the London day and some succulent purchases for the NY day. Remember that we react, we do not predict.
GBPUSDIn general terms, I can see that the price is in a bearish channel, accumulating a large part of the supply and inducing it to continue selling. I stick with my plan to sell until my psychological point of 1.27772 since in a week that is my breakout of the BOS. Once I get that liquidity point I will be very attentive since it is a greater induction therefore I will take advantage of all that offer and I will join the sharks to buy and take my part. But since the market is present today, it is giving me a beautiful sales opportunity.
GBPUSD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.2639 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.2691
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.2607
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Shorting on Gbpusd or Nzdusd if USD is still to strongerHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
If usd came out stronger this coming week, i will be focusing on both Gbpusd and Nzdusd for shorts.Let's see!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
GBPUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.2591 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish
continuation.
Target - 1.2661
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
🇪🇺 EURGBP 🇬🇧 - Trend continuation after breaking 0.855EURGBP may continue its fall as the market breaks support after a retest. A weak market on the euro side could give way further. For now, it is worth waiting for consolidation below 0.855 to continue the fall. Overall, the global trend is changing and this opens bearish perspectives.
Reasons for further declines:
1) The Euro is weakening to the point where it is weaker than the Pound Sterling on fundamental policy grounds
2) Support retest
3) False break of support fails. A retest of 0.855 is formed again.
4) Consolidation forms below 0.855 after the breakout - a good signal
GBPUSD | COULD BE A GOOD BUYHey Traders 👋
Quick update on GBPUSD. Remember the trade we rolled out on Monday? It clocked in a cool 30+ pips before taking a bit of a breather. Looks like it's not done yet. I'm seeing a solid chance for a continued push upwards.
So, it's a new trade, but sticking with the same setup as before. The 1-hour chart shows a new wedge pattern and looking at institutional data GBP is gaining ground against the dollar, things are looking pretty upbeat for this setup. 🎯📈
GBPUSD | I BELIEVE COULD BE A GOOD BUYHey Traders!
I'm currently eyeing GBPUSD as a solid buy opportunity. Here's why: we're seeing a clear uptrend, and importantly, it's just broken through a key monthly pivot point. What's more convincing is the formation of a 4-hour bullish engulfing candlestick pattern. Also, the 1-hour chart shows a double bottom that's successfully broken its neckline. After a brief pullback, it seems poised to retest its previous top levels.
Keep an eye on the 1.28000 mark. It's shaping up to be a strong resistance level, but if it's breached, we could be looking at some serious gains. However, always remember to manage your risks wisely. I'd suggest setting your first take profit target within the 20-40 pips range.
GBPUSD is trending upAfter a four-day consecutive correction from the high point of $2,088 on December 28th, gold prices saw a slight increase on Thursday, reaching above $2,050. This indicates that the correction signal for a larger uptrend still receives some support, as technical studies in the daily chart remain in the main bullish trend. Gold continues to benefit from the widespread expectation that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates in 2024, as well as signals suggesting a potential economic slowdown in the US this year.
However, due to the minutes of the meeting showing significant uncertainty about the prospect of a Fed rate cut, the expectations for an early rate cut in March have gradually diminished. This has created resistance to further upward movement in gold prices and made the downside risks more fragile.
Bulls need to break the key resistance between $2,052 and $2,058 to initiate new bullish momentum and achieve a stronger recovery. Breaking this range, bulls will face strong resistance at $2,063-$2,066 to strengthen the bullish structure and attempt to break above $2,100 again.
However, as the New York session progresses, a series of data releases have not supported this structure, increasing the risk of further downside for gold prices. In this context, the fragility of gold prices needs to adjust downward until testing the upward trend support at $2,009. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to go short at highs.
GBP/USD tends to increase when it meets supportThe GBPUSD has been forming an upward structure with higher highs after breaking above a key downtrend line in early November. Although the GBPUSD's uptrend came to a temporary halt at the four-month high level of 1.2826, the completion of the golden cross between the 50- and 200-day SMAs is expected to provide upside momentum.
However, during the European session on Tuesday, the GBPUSD fell sharply during the day as the USD rose sharply and formed a death cross downward structure in the 4H timeframe, potentially creating more uncertainty for the GBPUSD in the near term.
Now, we believe that as long as Wave 4 of the "upward impulse waves" structure has not been broken, the end of the "upward impulse waves" is still worth looking forward to.
Given that the short-term oscillators are continuing to provide cautiously positive signals, the bulls may try to eliminate the latest weakness and overcome the December resistance at the 1.2794 level. A break above this resistance could open the door to a four-month peak at 1.2826. If it fails to stay here, the GBPUSD could move towards the June high of 1.2847 until it reaches the 1.2900 level.
On the other hand, if the GBPUSD reverses lower, several previous support levels at 1.2642 and 1.2612 could now become the initial line of defense. A break below that bottom could see the price fall to recent support at 1.2611, or even lower, with upward Wave 4 1.2500 likely to provide a correction.
Overall, risks remain cautiously tilted to the upside in the near term, even though the GBPUSD rally appears to be losing its momentum. To change this situation, the price cannot go below a series of key supports or the uptrend will be reversed. It is recommended to buy the dips.
GBPUSD is trending upSupported by positive market sentiment, GBPUSD rose above 1.2800 on Thursday and settled at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.2740 (from July 14 high of 1.3142). to an October 4 low of 1.2037). The rising 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) is placed at 1.2670, projecting continued upside support for the British pound.
The relative strength index (RSI) has risen above 60. The sustained work on these technologies will trigger strengthening, the target gem completing the "upward impulse waves" at 1.3000.
On the downside, activity below minor support at 1.2698 could cause trading sentiment to return to neutral. However, if free support at 1.2499 is maintained to prevent a downturn, further recovery phases remain beneficial.
From a broader perspective, the action starting from the midpoint at 1.3141 is seen as a corrective pattern from the upside at 1.0351. Move up from 1.2036 is considered the second in progress (of this pattern). The upside is expected to be limited at 1.3141 to form the third component. At the same time, support functioning beyond 1.2499 would indicate the start of the third part of the uptrend. In terms of trading, buying at low prices is the recommended strategy.
GBPUSD Technical analysis todayThe UK's economic recovery appears to be slower than that of most G7 partners, with only Germany experiencing a more sluggish recovery. A surprise drop in inflation coupled with signs of an economic slowdown could force the Bank of England to reassess its monetary policy stance in the coming months to support growth.
GBPUSD tends to decrease when it encounters resistanceOn Friday, the British Pound (GBP) continues its rebound, driven by encouraging UK Retail Sales figures for November. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that retail spending by households defied expectations by staying positive compared to the previous year, contrary to market predictions of a significant decrease. The robust performance in Retail Sales was primarily fueled by a 2.8% rise in non-food retail stores, which offered substantial discounts during the Black Friday Sale.
The significant rebound in the Pound Sterling indicates that investors have overlooked the pessimistic Q3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) revision, indicating a 0.1% contraction. This has heightened concerns about a potential technical recession in the UK economy, especially considering the Bank of England's projection of stagnant performance in the final quarter of 2023.
After the release of the economic data, Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt said that “The medium-term outlook for the UK economy is far more optimistic than these numbers suggest".
GBPUSD tends to decrease when it hits resistanceGBPUSD inched up heading into the weekend but hit a roadblock at cluster resistance stretching from 1.2727 to1.2769, where a crucial Fibonacci level converges with a downtrend line extended from the 2023 peak. Reinforcing bullish momentum requires clearing this technical hurdle; with a successful breakout likely paving the way for a move towards 1.2800, followed by 1.3000.
On the other hand, if sellers stage a comeback and initiate a bearish reversal, trendline support is located around the 1.2600 area. This dynamic floor may offer stability during a pullback, but a push below it could usher in a retest of the 200-day simple moving average hovering slightly above the 1.2500 handle. Further weakness could redirect attention to 1.2455.
GBPUSD trading strategy todayThe technical analysis of the Pound to US Dollar (GBP/USD) pairing adds another layer to the narrative. The currency pair is currently approaching a critical support level at $1.265, representing a potential pullback point. This level aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels, including the 50.0% retracement and the 61.8% projection levels. This confluence could act as a substantial support zone, providing a platform for a potential bounce-back.
For traders eyeing potential entry points, the advised buy entry is at $1.265, with this level considered a pullback support bolstered by Fibonacci confluence. Setting a strategic stop loss at $1.26000, just below the pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, aims to mitigate potential downside risks. In terms of potential gains, the take profit level is set at $1.2800 which aligns with a pullback resistance.
GBPUSD tends to decrease when it hits resistanceOn Wednesday, the GBPUSD fell sharply during the European session as UK inflation for November came in below expectations. The fresh weakness is expected to completely reverse Tuesday's gains and challenge key support at 1.2636. With the overall decline of the GBPUSD, bears are expected to test the starting point of the upward impulse waves. Subsequently, the bullish bias will still exist to keep the structure of "upward impulse waves" intact.
But the focus is now on the downside. As the Relative Strength Index in the 4H timeframe fell below 50 and below the lower limit of the long-term rising regression channel, reflecting a shift in the technical outlook to bearish.
On the downside, the 1.2600 level is now the first support level for the bullish market. A 4-hour close below this level could open the door to a further slide towards the 1.2550 level. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
GBPUSD trading strategy todayOn Wednesday, the GBPUSD fell sharply during the European session as UK inflation for November came in below expectations. The fresh weakness is expected to completely reverse Tuesday's gains and challenge key support at 1.2636. With the overall decline of the GBPUSD, bears are expected to test the starting point of the upward impulse waves. Subsequently, the bullish bias will still exist to keep the structure of "upward impulse waves" intact.
But the focus is now on the downside. As the Relative Strength Index in the 4H timeframe fell below 50 and below the lower limit of the long-term rising regression channel, reflecting a shift in the technical outlook to bearish.
On the downside, the 1.2600 level is now the first support level for the bullish market. A 4-hour close below this level could open the door to a further slide towards the 1.2550 level. It is recommended to go short at the highs.