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Gbpusd-trading

GBPUSD tends to increase againGBPUSD failed to find acceptance above the 1.2700 mark on a daily timeframe, spending the best part of 5 days attempting to break higher. Having printed a fresh high however, the pair was in line for a retracement which has been facilitated by a return in US Dollar Strength. The question now will be whether we can push on toward the 1.2500 handle and beyond? There are some mixed signals being thrown up at present, we have just had a golden cross pattern play out as we have the 20-day MA crossing above the 100 and 200-day MAs hinting at bullish momentum. This is in contrast to the candlesticks with GBPUSD on course for a bearish engulfing close which could hint at further downside ahead tomorrow. This sets us up for an interesting day of price action ahead and one which may require a nimble approach to find worthwhile opportunities.
Long
by TinaTradingGold
GBPUSD is trending downGBP/USD has risen sharply over the past three weeks, logging solid gains that have coincided with a shift in favor of riskier currencies at the expense of the broader U.S. dollar. After recent price developments, cable is flirting with overhead resistance at 1.2720, defined by the 61.8% Fib retracement of the July/October selloff. If the bulls manage to clear this ceiling, a rally potentially exceeding 1.2800 might unfold. Conversely, if bullish impetus fades and sellers start to regain the upper hand, we may see a retrenchment towards 1.2590. GBP/USD could stabilize around this technical floor on a pullback before resuming its advance, but a break below the region could intensify bearish pressure, opening the door for a decline towards trendline support and the 200-day moving average slightly above 1.2460.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
1
GBPUSD tends to decrease when it encounters resistanceThe British pound has been heavily influenced but the US dollar of recent with investors becoming less hawkish on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path. Recent weaker US economic data has prompted such an outlook alongside some dovish Fed commentary. During yesterday’s US trading session, the 2nd estimate on US GDP surprised to the upside but the market remained firm on it’s bearish USD viewpoint after the Fed Beige book revealed slowing economic growth and softening prices that will likely extend through to 2024. Money markets have since priced in 115bps of cumulative rate cuts by the Fed by December 2024. The focal point for the week has always been the upcoming core PCE price index (see economic calendar below) which is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation. Should actual data fall in line with forecasts, the pound may well find additional support. Jobless claims will also be scrutinized to see whether or not recent labor market weakness continues or was just a blip in what has been a robust part of the US economy.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
GBPUSD has a downward trendGBP/USD has been on a bullish tear in November, rising nearly 4.5% since the beginning of the month. After Tuesday's gains, the pair has reached its best level since late August, but has been unable to reclaim the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July/October slump (1.2720). If this ceiling holds, the upside momentum could run out of steam, paving the way for a drop towards 1.2590, followed by 1.2460. In the event of a clear break above 1.2720, sentiment on sterling is likely to improve, unleashing animal spirits that could propel a potential upward move towards 1.2850. On further strength, buying interest could accelerate, opening the door to a climb toward the 1.3000 handle. Although the bullish case for GBP/USD is strong, it is important to exercise caution as the pair is about to enter overbought territory
Short
by TinaTradingGold
GBPUSD is trending down but still in the bullish channelThe GBP and Cable in particular has had a mixed start to the week, fluctuating between gains and losses. Markets in general were a bit slow today ahead of what is a relatively busy week on the data front. The UK, however, does not have any high impact data releases with GBP pairs likely to face external threats. The UK faces a quiet week on the data front following the UK Autumn Statement by Chancellor Hunt last week. The GBP enjoyed a decent week particularly against the Greenback. The rest of this week only has medium impact data from the UK. Last week brought PMI data which helped keep the GBP supported with a pledge by Chancellor Hunt during the Autumn statement. The Chancellor confirmed the UK Government plans to put GBP20 billion to work in the economy at a time when other countries in the Euro Area face a difficult task. These developments have left market participants a lot more cautious around rate cuts for 2024. The biggest risk facing the GBP this week will come from a host of BoE policymakers scheduled to speak.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
Downtrend when meeting resistance of GBPUSDSterling was last 0.06% lower at $1.2598, but hovered near Friday's over two-month peak of $1.2615, on data last week showing that British companies unexpectedly reported a marginal return to growth in November after three months of contraction. "That indicates the resilience of the UK economy despite the very aggressive monetary policy tightening from the Bank of England," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA). "But we still expect the UK economy to weaken and experience a short-lived recession." The pound was on track for a roughly 3.7% gain for the month, its largest monthly gain in a year, aided by a falling U.S. dollar.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
1
GBPUSD will decrease when it hits resistanceGBPUSD is a bit clearer as we can see a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows this week. The question will be whether bulls have one more push to the upside and push Cable toward the 1.2600 handle. If we do break below the 50-day MA we have support at the 1.2400 mark and lower at the 1.2360 mark. A selloff ahead of the weekend may also be on the cards as this would be down to profit taking as buyers who got in during the early part of the week may want to close out before the weekend. A lot will depend on the return of liquidity tomorrow and how much risk market participants are willing to take before the weekend.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
GBPUSD has an upward trendThe dollar fell slightly in mid-session after data for US retail sales rose more than expected in September, as consultants focused on a series of speeches from government agencies. US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, said: “The view that the US economy slowed in the fourth quarter is because consumers will cut back on spending activities after ramping up spending. spent in the third quarter". Despite positive sales, LPL Financial Chief Economist Jeffrey Roach noted that there are several headwinds affecting American consumers. “Investors need to look at sales figures to get a better view of consumers. Increasing credit usage and early signs of overdue debt could reduce spending demand," he emphasized. Traders are assessing whether the US central bank may raise interest rates again, in an effort to bring inflation closer to its 2% target. According to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, Fed funds futures traders are pricing in a 43% chance of another rate hike this year, but only a 12% chance of a rate hike next month. In the opposite direction, the Euro increased 0.08%, reaching 1.0569 USD.
Long
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GBPUSD, Enormous Wedge-Formation, Looking For Stabilization!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this analysis where we are looking at GBPUSD weekly timeframe perspective, the massive formation it is building up there, what we can expect from it and what it needs to fulfill for a proper confirmation of this huge formation. The last months and weeks GBPUSD was in a steady but week downtrend with several lower lows and lower highs forming on the wedge and an important wave-count forming. Such formation will normally breakout with high volatile movements to the upside but the big question is now when this breakout occurrs and if the bottom already reached or if there is more to come before a stabilization can be considered, in this case, I detected some important and crucial signals which will determine the further outcome of this pair. As you can watch when looking at my chart is that GBPUSD just testing another time the strong 200-EMA resistance which is marked in black, furthermore this level coherently forms resistance together with the higher boundary of the wedge-formation where GBPUSD several times formed bearish movements to the downside, therefore there is a high potential given that GBPUSD forms another time bearish moves to the downside as this is still a solid resistance-cluster which should not be ignored in the structure. When the pair falls below the 30-EMA which is marked in red it will confirm the last leg to the downside till it reaches crucial support and possible bottom in the back-up-zone you can watch marked in my chart. Taking all these factors into consideration GBPUSD will continue with its steady but weak downtrend till there is a decisive bottom forming which is strong enough to move with a volatile move above the upper boundary and therefore finally confirm the huge broadening wedge formation it is trading in, when this happens it will greatly confirm further upside also in the middle and long-term but this needs definitely a strong break of the upper boundary and possible following confirmation of it. The next time will show how this scenario is playing out and when there is a breakout of the long-lasting downward movement GBPUSD is forming here till then the middle-to-long-term remains to confirm the final wave. In this manner, thank you for watching, support for more market insight and have a good day! There are many roads to prosperity, but one must be taken. Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets
by VincePrince
1
GBPUSD Long Buyers to retain controlTargets 1.35 1.39. 1.48 See the chart above GBP/USD entered a consolidative phase in a holiday-shortened week. Eyes on United States inflation data, UK jobs report and BoE’s Bailey in the week ahead. Risks remain skewed to the upside whilst above 1.2600, with a bullish RSI. The Pound Sterling held onto recovery gains against the United States Dollar (USD) this week following a brief correction from 14-month highs. GBP/USD, however, traded in a narrow range, with the upside capped by resurgent US Dollar demand on hawkish US Federal Reserve (Fed) signals and growing recession fears. Traders repositioned ahead of next week’s top-tier United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the United Kingdom’s employment data. Market expectations signaling more tightening by the Federal Reserve later this year drove the US Dollar valuations, while the Pound Sterling drew support from the hawkish pricing of the Bank of England (BoE) terminal rate beyond 6.0%. Against this backdrop, the GBP/USD pair witnessed a tug-of-war, but Pound Sterling bulls eventually held the upper hand following a mixed set of United States economic data in the second half of the week. At the start of the week, the top-tier US ISM Manufacturing PMI data unexpectedly showed that contraction in the manufacturing sector deepened further. The US Dollar came under renewed selling pressure in an immediate reaction to the downbeat data but quickly regained its footing as the data also rekindled recession fears. Renewed US-China trade tensions also underpinned the safe-haven demand for the Greenback, keeping the upside attempts in check for GBP/USD near the 1.2740 region. Hawkish signals from the Minutes of the Fed meeting in June also kept the buoyant tone intact around the American Dollar. The Minutes showed that almost all Fed officials indicated that further tightening is likely. US Treasury bond yields extended their upsurge on the hawkish Fed outlook, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury bond yields hitting their highest level in four months above the key 4.0%. In the latter part of the week, US Dollar sellers returned on mixed US JOLTS Job Openings data and the ISM Services PMI. Job Openings fell to 9.82 million at the end of May, dropping from an upwardly revised 10.3 million in April, according to the BLS’ latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report. Markets had expected openings to fall to 9.935 million in May. The June US ISM Services purchasing managers' index (PMI) came in at 53.9, which was above the 51.0 forecast. Despite the upbeat headline number, the ISM Services components were mixed, which failed to impress US Dollar bulls. GBP/USD briefly took a flight to 1.2800 but lost the bullish momentum as Pound Sterling traders turned on the sidelines ahead of Friday’s highly-anticipated US NFP data release. The pair resumed its advance and flirts with the 1.28 figure, as the US added just 209K new jobs in June, missing expectations, while the Unemployment Rate declined to 3.6% as expected. The USD initially fell, although higher-than-anticipated wages limited optimism. Average Hourly Earnings rose 0.4% MoM and 4.4% YoY, reflecting remaining pressures in the inflation front and therefore, leaving the door open for additional monetary tightening. Pound to Dollar forecast by day Date Weekday Min Max Rate 10/07 Monday 1.274 1.312 1.293 11/07 Tuesday 1.277 1.315 1.296 12/07 Wednesday 1.276 1.314 1.295 13/07 Thursday 1.278 1.316 1.297 14/07 Friday 1.277 1.315 1.296 17/07 Monday 1.285 1.325 1.305 18/07 Tuesday 1.282 1.322 1.302 19/07 Wednesday 1.272 1.310 1.291 20/07 Thursday 1.276 1.314 1.295 21/07 Friday 1.276 1.314 1.295 24/07 Monday 1.273 1.311 1.292 25/07 Tuesday 1.271 1.309 1.290 26/07 Wednesday 1.271 1.309 1.290 27/07 Thursday 1.268 1.306 1.287 28/07 Friday 1.265 1.303 1.284 31/07 Monday 1.269 1.307 1.288 01/08 Tuesday 1.281 1.320 1.300 02/08 Wednesday 1.285 1.325 1.305 03/08 Thursday 1.295 1.335 1.315 04/08 Friday 1.288 1.328 1.308 07/08 Monday 1.290 1.330 1.310 08/08 Tuesday 1.303 1.343 1.323 09/08 Wednesday 1.304 1.344 1.324 10/08 Thursday 1.303 1.343 1.323
Long
by DaveBrascoFX
3
GBPUSD Bullish on Hot UK InflationGBPUSD You can find me on tradingview.com Strategy Bullish The British pound held firm around $1.28, staying close to its peak of $1.2848 recorded in June 16th, as hotter-than-expected inflation numbers raised anticipation among investors that the Bank of England would respond to the persistent inflationary pressures by implementing further interest rate hikes. In May, the headline inflation rate remained unchanged at 8.7%, slightly above the projected 8.4% and surpassing the policymakers' target of 2%. Additionally, the core inflation rate accelerated to 7.1%, reaching its highest level since March 1992. The Bank of England will likely deliver a 13th consecutive interest rate hike on Thursday, bringing borrowing costs to fresh 15-year highs. Markets now price another 150 basis points of hiking for a peak at 6%. GBPUSD broke resistance zone 1.2464and closed above 1.2697 GBPUSD made since March14th2023 2consequent HH AND HL. The next HL must close above 1.2382 otherwise the market structrue will not be valid anymore and the danger of bearish structure will be created. If the bullish market structure continues then 2 bullish scenarios are potentially possibel(See green arrows Trendomat and Buy Sell pressure are green what indicates continuation of the bullish trend  $1.29 in the Hands of UK Inflation and Powell With the Bank of England set to deliver its June interest rate decision on Thursday, today’s inflation numbers will materially influence the Bank’s outlook on inflation, the UK economy, and monetary policy. To date, inflation has remained sticky. With a more resilient-than-expected UK economy, the markets expect a hawkish 25 basis-point interest rate hike. An annual inflation rate below 8% could support a BoE pause after the summer. Economists forecast the UK annual inflation rate to soften from 8.7% to 8.4% in May. Investors will need to look beyond the headline figure, with food price inflation and core inflation needing consideration. However, wage growth remains a bugbear that would also need to slow to give the doves more voice. With inflation in the spotlight, investors should track Bank of England commentary for clues on monetary policy and the economic outlook. However, no Monetary Policy Committee members on the calendar to speak, leaving chatter with the media to move the dial. Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs sent bullish signals. The GBP/USD sat above the 50-day EMA, currently at $1.26889. The 50-day EMA pulled further away from the 200-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA widening from the 200-day EMA, delivering bullish signals. A hold above the S1 ($1.2716) and the 50-day EMA ($1.26899) would support a breakout from R1 ($1.2810) to target R2 ($1.2855). However, a fall through S1 ($1.21716) and the 50-day EMA ($1.20097) which is on the same time the Monthly average price would bring S2 ($1.19885) into view. A fall through the 50-day EMA would send a bearish signal. Resistance & Support Levels R1 – $ 1.2810 S1 – $ 1.21716 R2 – $ 1.2855 S2 – $ 1.19885 R3 – $ 1.2948 S3 – $ 1.16547 A breakout from the Tuesday high of $1.28067 would signal an extended breakout session. However, the Pound would need the UK inflation numbers and Fed Chair Powell to support a bullish session. In the event of an extended rally, the GBP/USD would likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.2855 and resistance at $1.29. The Third Major Resistance Level sits at $1.2948. Failure to move through the pivot would leave the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.2716 in play. However, barring a UK inflation-fueled sell-off, the GBP/USD should avoid sub-$1.2650. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.2668 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.2575.
Long
by DaveBrascoFX
1
Gbpusd at a interesting levelWatching for more clues to see if i want to long GU.watch..it might jus break lower as well. **Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week** *************************************************************************************** Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Thank you! Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys