Get started

GBPUSD

GU Liquidity Game—Institutional Absorption vs. Breakout MomentumGBP/USD Hourly Analysis & Trade Execution I’ve been closely tracking GBP/USD, and now price is sitting at 1.34208, testing the critical resistance zone at 1.34250. Bulls have maintained control, but I’m watching closely for institutional absorption or signs of exhaustion. Market Structure & Key Zones Major Resistance: 1.34250-1.34500 → If buyers hold, price could extend toward 1.34500. Support at 1.33800-1.33950 → A possible demand zone if price pulls back before pushing higher. Liquidity Trap Below 1.33650 → A quick dip below 1.33800, followed by aggressive buying, would indicate institutional positioning. Momentum & Trend Confirmation RSI (1-hour): 66.38 → Bullish, but nearing exhaustion territory. Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 61.27 → Buyers are in control but watching for signs of slowing momentum. Stochastic Fast (1-hour): 60.54 → Trend is intact, but reversal signals could emerge near resistance. Trade Management Strategy Setup: Bullish Breakout Continuation Since price is testing 1.34250, I’ll hold my long position if buyers show sustained strength. Entry: Holding long if price stabilizes above 1.34250. Stop Loss: Adjusted to 1.33950 to lock in gains. Target 1: 1.34500, strong resistance level. Target 2: 1.34650, extended play if volume supports the breakout. Setup: Liquidity Sweep & Reversal If price rejects 1.34250, I’ll look for a pullback setup before re-entering long. Entry: If price dips below 1.33800 but aggressively reclaims 1.34000, re-enter long. Stop Loss: Below 1.33650, ensuring tight risk control. Target 1: 1.34150, reclaiming previous resistance. Target 2: 1.34350, profit zone if buyers remain strong. Institutional Activity & Order Flow Considerations Liquidity Sweeps Below 1.33850 → If price dips but quickly recovers, it could be a stop-hunt before continuation. Absorption Near 1.34250 → If price holds steady here without sharp rejection, buyers may be absorbing sell-side liquidity. Volume Confirmation at 1.34150 → If volume remains strong, further upside toward 1.34500 is likely. Final Execution Adjustments Monitoring order flow to assess whether institutions are accumulating or distributing positions near resistance. Watching volume absorption and candle behavior near 1.34250. Right now, GBP/USD is at a pivotal level—if buyers sustain above 1.34250, the trend continuation toward 1.34500-1.34650 is in play. However, failure to hold may signal institutional selling, triggering a pullback before another bullish attempt.
Long
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why: The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the GBPUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Short
by UnitedSignals
1
GBPUSD Analysis 10:37am 4/28. Happy Monday! GBP/USD Hourly Analysis & Day Trading Perspective I’m looking at GBP/USD on the hourly timeframe, where price is now sitting at 1.339, confirming strong bullish momentum after breaking past key resistance. Here's how I'm approaching today's trading plan: Market Structure & Key Levels Resistance at 1.33850-1.34000 – Price is testing this level, and volume confirmation will determine whether we continue upward. Support at 1.33650-1.33700 – If we see a pullback, this zone could act as a strong bounce area. Institutional Interest at 1.33250-1.33300 – A liquidity zone where major players may absorb sell-side pressure. Momentum & Trend Strength RSI (1-hour): 88.88 → Overbought, meaning we might see consolidation or a retrace before another leg up. CCI (1-hour): 81.81 → Still bullish, but exhaustion signs are creeping in. Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 83.32 → Buyers are still in control, but reversals become more likely at extreme readings. Directional Strength & Trend Confirmation ADX (1-hour): 13.38 → Weak trend strength, suggesting that price could start ranging. DX (1-hour): 79.92 → A strong push confirms market participation. Day Trading Plan Setup: Bullish Breakout Continuation Since price has cleared 1.33650, the breakout play is already in motion. Here’s how I’m managing the setup: Entry: Holding long as price remains above 1.33850, with strong buying pressure. Target 1: 1.34000, a psychological barrier where liquidity may sit. Target 2: 1.34250, next significant resistance. Setup: Liquidity Sweep & Reversal If price retraces, I’ll look for signs of institutional absorption before considering re-entry. Entry: If price dips below 1.33650 but quickly reclaims 1.33800, I’ll look for confirmation of a reversal. Target 1: 1.33950, previous high. Target 2: 1.34200, extended move. Order Flow & Volume Profile Considerations Institutional Absorption: If price briefly drops below 1.33800 but quickly reclaims it, institutions could be absorbing liquidity. Liquidity Trap: A sharp sell-off into 1.33650 could trigger stop losses before a potential bounce. Volume Confirmation: If buyers remain strong at 1.33850, the move toward 1.34000-1.34250 is more likely. Risk Management & Execution Strategy I’ll monitor candle closures above 1.33850 before committing to further upside targets. If volume increases, I’ll hold for 1.34000; if it slows down, I’ll consider partial profit-taking. Watching institutional behavior near 1.33650 will be key for catching potential liquidity grabs. Right now, GBP/USD is at a critical decision point—either continuation toward 1.34000, or a pullback to absorb liquidity before the next push. The key is watching volume flow and price absorption for confirmation before executing further moves.
Long
by Sel_Ali
GBP/USD - H1 - Bearish Flag (28.04.2025)FX:GBPUSD The GBP/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3209 2nd Support – 1.3151 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Fundamental Update : on Monday as the trade tensions between the U.S. and China provided some relief to investors, while a stronger dollar further weighed on prices. The U.S. dollar TVC:DXY rose 0.2% against a basket of currencies, making bullion more expensive for overseas buyers. TVC:DJI SP:SPX NASDAQ:IXIC also rising .
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
18
GBPUSD(20250428)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The Fed's subsequent policy path considers two scenarios: First, there is no substantial progress in the negotiations between the United States and its trading partners. After 90 days, the US tariffs are still high. Weakened economic demand may prompt the Fed to cut interest rates starting in July, and the annual rate cut may reach 100 basis points; second, the negotiations are fruitful, tariffs are reduced, and the demand shock is small, but inflationary pressure continues. The Fed may postpone easing and only cut interest rates slightly in December. For the market, although the easing comes early in the first scenario, the "recession-style" rate cut may suppress risky assets. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3309 Support and resistance levels: 1.3379 1.3353 1.3336 1.3282 1.3265 1.3239 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3309, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3336 If the price breaks through 1.3282, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3265
Long
by Toml1314
#GBPUSD: Major Swing Sell Coming On GU, What's your views? OANDA:GBPUSD , as discussed in our previous analysis, where we predicted price would reach our target area and then reject it. The price has almost reached this area, and we are now waiting for it to fully complete the move so that we can take a swing sell on the GBP. Currently, the British pound is stronger and bullish due to the UK’s strong economic growth. However, this is not the case for the US dollar. The dollar is struggling to keep up with other currencies and is currently the worst-performing currency of the month of April. While focusing on GBPUSD as a pair, it has been extremely bullish since the start of April. However, we are now at a point where there are no strong reasons for the pair to remain bullish and continue its uptrend. There are fundamental signs that will eventually reverse the bearish trend. Our advice to all is to wait for the price to do its thing. Once it reaches our target area, it may show strong bearish dominance. However, this is not a guarantee that it will behave as we expect. There are two targets that you can focus on once you trade is activated. Good luck and trade safely! Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊 If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Short
by Setupsfx_
19
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??GBPUSD is looking extremely bullish on the daily timeframe, showing strong signs of continuation after a healthy pullback. Currently trading around 1.33000, the pair has respected key Fibonacci levels and is now building momentum to target 1.37000. The structure remains intact with higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong buyer control and potential for further upside movement. From a fundamental perspective, the British pound continues to outperform as the Bank of England maintains a relatively hawkish tone amid sticky inflation pressures, while the US dollar shows signs of weakening with softer economic data and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year. This divergence between the monetary policies is creating a favorable environment for GBPUSD buyers to dominate. Technical analysis also supports the bullish bias as price action remains well above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, holding strong support near 1.31650. If price maintains above this zone and breaks past minor resistance near 1.33500, it could ignite a fresh bullish rally toward the psychological level of 1.37000, offering excellent risk-reward opportunities for trend-following traders. Overall, GBPUSD is positioned perfectly for a strong bullish wave. Traders should stay focused on potential breakout confirmations and capitalize on the momentum, as current market conditions and fundamentals are aligned with a profitable bullish move. This setup remains one of the most attractive trending opportunities on the board right now.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
RARE / 10R / Short....SGU @ 1.3340Rare but rewarding! Just executed Short .... SGU @ 1.3340 💯 solid setup...watch this tank 📉 in engineering....we call this BUCKLE ;) expecting min DD < 15p max RRR > 10 TP1 and SL as shown until final TP2 projected by system. Sorry, alert is not based on TA like BoS or OB or SnR SnD PP or Fibs or even ICT etc....since designed to induce and seduce...rather based on multi-system confluence convergence and confirmations.... now system beeping let's test n see IF u like this...would appreciate any feedback for continuous improvement... 🥂
Short
by ADVISOR_fx
Bulllish continuation for the Cable?GBP/USD is fallling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.3110 1st Support: 1.3005 1st Resistance: 1.3415 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
GBPUSD Rejected at Key Resistance – Bearish Outlook StaysLast week, in my GBPUSD analysis, I highlighted that the pair had reached a major resistance area – a level that has acted as both support and resistance over the past few years. I mentioned that a correction from this zone was very likely. The market reacted perfectly: GBPUSD dropped from that resistance, and after the initial move, it entered into a consolidation phase. The key question now: Is the correction finished or will the downside continue? My outlook remains the same – I still expect further downside towards the 1.3000 level. Here’s why I stay bearish: - Strong historical resistance rejected the price. - No real bullish momentum above 1.34 zone. - Consolidation after the drop looks more like a pause, not a reversal. Trading Plan: I will look to sell rallies, staying bearish as long as the 1.3400 area (recent high) is not broken. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
3
GBPUSD H4 | Bullish Continuation Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.3210, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 1.3364 a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 1.3119, an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
GU Bear Flag Confirmed, Break & Retest Set-UpHere on the 1Hr Chart FX:GBPUSD has formed what seems to be a Continuation Pattern, the Bear Flag! Now, with Price in a decline prior to entering the Consolidation Phase of the Pattern, this suggests that Price will continue further down if this Break is Validated and a Retest is Successful! We will want to see: 1) Strong Breaking Candle that is followed by Accumulation of Bearish Volume!! 2) 10 - 20% of the Range, Past the Break 3) 3 - 5 Closing Candles, Outside of Break, Before Retest This is considered the True or False Formula to determine if its a True Breakout or False Breakout. RSI is Below the 50 in Bearish Territory with room to stretch Oversold strengthening the Bearish bias.
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
NATGAS Elliott Waves – Preparing for a Multi-Year Rally!Following our last post on Natural Gas, we have now seen a breakout, suggesting the start of a larger bullish wave — a move that could last multiple years. From a technical perspective: - Wave 1 (5-wave impulse) is complete. - Wave 2 (ABC correction) is also complete. - We are now in Wave 3, which itself will form 5 subwaves. Wave 3: Subwave 1 of Wave 3 has formed as a leading diagonal. We are now in Subwave 2, which typically retraces around 61.8% of Subwave 1. Our buy zone is positioned around this retracement area, and we will be looking for a lower timeframe breakout to confirm entries. Important note: Subwave 2 could form a more complex ABC correction, so patience is required while it develops. Trade Plan: - Wait for price to reach the buy zone. - Look for lower timeframe bullish confirmation (trendline break, BOS, structure shift, etc.). - Enter after confirmation. Stoploss Placement: - Aggressive option: Below the corrective low. - Conservative option: Below the broader invalidation level. Targets: 8, 10, 12 See below for our last NatGas analysis:
SKILLING:NATGAS
by WicktatorFX
2
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D28 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D28 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅Weekly imbalance to fill short ✅15’ order block 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Forex Grid Trading Overview: Practical Guide for 2025Forex Grid Trading Strategy: Detailed Overview & Low-Risk EUR/USD Application 1️⃣ What Is Grid Trading? A grid trading strategy places a series of **buy** and **sell** orders at fixed intervals (“grid levels”) above and below a base price, without forecasting market direction. As price oscillates, it triggers orders across the grid, locking in small profits on each swing. - **No Directional Bias** – Profits on both up- and down-moves - **Automated Entry/Exit** – Ideal for Expert Advisors (EAs) on MT4/MT5 - **Scalable** – Grid size and lot sizing can be tailored to account size and volatility 2️⃣ How It Works – Core Components 1. **Grid Levels** - Define a **base price** (e.g. current EUR/USD mid) - Set **intervals** (e.g. every 20 pips) above/below the base 2. **Orders** - **Buy Limit** orders at 20, 40, 60 pips below base - **Sell Limit** orders at 20, 40, 60 pips above base 3. **Take Profit (TP) for Each Order** - TP typically equals the grid interval (e.g. 20 pips) so each triggered order nets a small profit - No hard Stop Loss per order—risk is managed via overall exposure 4. **Cumulative P&L** - Winning trades roll profits into the floating drawdown of unfilled orders - As price oscillates, the grid “locks in” incremental gains 3️⃣ Pros & Cons | Pros | Cons | |---------------------------------------|------------------------------------------| | ✅ Profits in ranging markets | ❌ Can incur large drawdowns in strong trends | | ✅ Automated, systematic execution | ❌ Requires significant margin for multiple open trades | | ✅ Scalable to any time-frame | ❌ Floating negative exposure if grid one-sided | --- ✅Low-Risk Best Practices 1. **Grid Spacing & Width** - Wider grid intervals (e.g. 30–50 pips) reduce order density and margin use - Use **ATR** (Average True Range) to adapt spacing to EUR/USD volatility 2. **Lot Sizing & Equity Risk** - Risk ≤ 1–2% equity per full grid cycle - Use **fixed fractional** sizing: each order size = (Equity × 1%) / (max number of open grid orders) 3. **Drawdown Control** - **Maximum Open Orders** cap (e.g. 5 orders per side) - **Equity Stop-Out**: if floating drawdown exceeds e.g. 10% of equity, close all orders 4. **Trend Filters** - Use a **200-period SMA** or **ADX** filter: only enable sell grid if price < SMA (downtrend) or ADX < 25 (low momentum) - Disables grid in strong one-way trends 5. **Grid Shifting / Re-Base** - After a net grid profit, **shift** the base price to current mid to reset exposure - Prevents runaway open trades far from current price 5️⃣ Step-by-Step: Applying to EUR/USD 1. **Choose Time-Frame** - **H4 or H1** recommended: balances signal frequency and margin needs 2. **Define Grid Parameters** - **Base Price:** current EUR/USD mid (e.g. 1.0980) - **Interval:** 30 pips (≈ recent ATR on H4) - **Levels:** 3 buys at 1.0950 / 1.0920 / 1.0890; 3 sells at 1.1010 / 1.1040 / 1.1070 3. **Set Order Size** - Account equity $10 000, risk 1% = $100 per full grid - Max open orders 6 → each order $100/6 ≈ $16.7 → ≈ 0.02 lots 4. **Configure TP & No SL** - Each order TP = 30 pips (equals interval) - No per-order SL; overall drawdown managed by equity stop 5. **Implement Filters** - Only open **sell** grid if H4 close < 200-SMA; only open **buy** grid if H4 close > 200-SMA - Pause grid if ADX > 30 (strong trend) or market events (e.g. NFP, ECB rate decision) 6. **Deploy & Monitor** - Run on MT4 with an EA or semi-automated Expert Advisor - Monitor margin usage; adjust grid or disable before major news 6️⃣ Example P&L Mechanics | Trigger Price | Order Type | Entry | TP Target | Profit (pips) | |---------------|------------|---------|-----------|---------------| | 1.0950 | Buy Limit | 1.0950 | 1.0980 | 30 | | 1.0980 | Sell Limit | 1.0980 | 1.1010 | 30 | - If price moves down to 1.0950: buy executes, TP at 1.0980 nets +30 pips - If price then climbs above base, sells trigger at 1.1010 nets +30 pips 2️⃣ Introducing Progressive & Regressive Scaling 🔼 2.1 Progressive Scaling “Let winners run”—increase exposure after success Concept: After each profitable grid cycle, step up your lot size by a fixed increment. Why: Capitalizes on momentum and winning streaks. How to apply: Base Lot: 0.02 lots per order (1% equity risk). After grid closes net-positive, next cycle = 0.03 lots. Continue stepping up (0.04, 0.05 …) until a drawdown or equity-stop is hit. Reset back to base lot after a losing cycle or whenever floating drawdown > 5%. Caps & Safeguards: Max Lot Cap: Never exceed 0.10 lots (or 2% equity risk). Equity Stop: If floating drawdown > 10%, close cycle & reset. 🔽 2.2 Regressive Scaling “Protect the downside”—reduce exposure after losses Concept: After a losing grid cycle, step down your lot size to conserve capital. Why: Limits damage during rough periods and preserves margin. How to apply: Base Lot: 0.02 lots per order. If grid hits equity-stop or nets negative, next cycle = 0.015 lots. Continue stepping down (0.01, 0.005) until you record a net-positive cycle. Reset to base lot after recovery (e.g. two consecutive winning cycles). Thresholds: Don’t drop below 0.005 lots (to avoid over-shrinking). After two winning cycles at reduced lot, return to base. ✅ Bottom Line Forex grid trading on EUR/USD can generate steady gains in choppy markets—but demands **strict risk controls** (grid spacing, lot sizing, drawdown limits) and **trend filters** to avoid large losses in trending conditions. When properly applied, a low-risk grid on EUR/USD offers a robust, mostly hands-off strategy for capturing repetitive market swings. 4️⃣ Key Takeaways Progressive Scaling lifts lot sizes on winning streaks, amplifying gains—but must be capped and reset on losses. Regressive Scaling shrinks exposure after drawdowns, preserving capital until the strategy recovers. Combine both with your grid’s risk parameters, trend filter, and a solid equity-stop to maintain a balanced, low-risk EUR/USD grid. By layering scaling rules atop your grid, you adapt dynamically to market performance—maximizing winners and protecting against prolonged losing runs. Good luck! 🚀
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
39