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GBPUSD

EURUSD Strategic Outlook 2025: 0.9000 end of year target🔸It's time to update the EURUSD outlook, this is weekly price chart, downtrend is well defined since 2012 and we recently got a strong rejection after distribution 🔸Based on technical outlook, EURUSD is set to hit 0.95 by summer 2025 and end the year at 0.9000. I don't see any upside beyond 1.05 in 2025. 🔸The key reason for further decline in EURUSD: Strong DXY, strong political leadership and weak political leadership in EU / weak economy. Below there is a summary of why EU zone is set to decline further based on fundies. 🔸Slow Economic Growth: The Eurozone has faced relatively sluggish economic growth compared to other regions. Factors like low productivity growth, weak domestic demand, and a high dependency on exports to slower-growing markets (such as China) contribute to this. Slow growth impacts investor sentiment and reduces the demand for the Euro. 🔸Demographic Issues: The Eurozone is dealing with an aging population, particularly in countries like Germany, Italy, and Spain. This demographic shift results in a shrinking labor force and increasing pressure on social services and pension systems, which weakens economic growth potential. 🔸High Energy Prices and Inflation: The Eurozone has been significantly impacted by energy price fluctuations, particularly following the geopolitical tensions related to Russia and Ukraine. High energy costs put a strain on businesses and consumers, eroding purchasing power and dampening economic activity. Additionally, inflation remains a challenge in many Eurozone countries, complicating the ECB's ability to stimulate growth without triggering further inflation. 🔸Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing war in Ukraine, energy disruptions, and broader geopolitical risks have hurt European economies more severely than other regions. The Eurozone's reliance on Russian energy made it especially vulnerable to supply shocks, and the economic sanctions against Russia created ripple effects that continue to affect the region. 🔸Structural Issues in the Eurozone: The Eurozone faces structural challenges such as uneven economic conditions between member states, fiscal constraints (due to the Eurozone's common monetary policy), and a lack of fiscal unity. While Germany and France may have relatively strong economies, countries like Italy and Greece still struggle with high debt levels and low growth, which can drag down overall Eurozone performance. 🔸Tight Fiscal Policies: The EU's fiscal rules restrict how much debt individual member states can take on, which limits governments' ability to use fiscal stimulus to respond to crises. This can exacerbate economic stagnation and prevent the region from achieving sustainable growth. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
14
GBPUSD H1 I Falling from the 50% Fibo?Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.2554, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.2489, which is a multi-swing low support level. The stop loss will be placed at 1.2609, an overlap resistance High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
GBP/USD: Market Sentiment and the Road Ahead for the PoundFollowing up on our previous analysis of GBP/USD, it has been a tumultuous week for the Pound, which experienced significant declines on Wednesday and Thursday. Although GBP/USD managed a brief correction higher on Friday, it ultimately closed the week in negative territory. At the time of writing, the pair is in a consolidation phase, trading below the 1.2545 mark. The sharp drop in GBP/USD can be attributed to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish dot plot, coupled with the Bank of England's relatively dovish stance after its final policy meeting of the year. This combination led to a notable downturn in the currency pair. However, as we approached the weekend, a more positive shift in market sentiment emerged due to the US Congress successfully averting a government shutdown, which caused the US Dollar (USD) to weaken against its peers. This turn of events allowed GBP/USD to recover some of its earlier losses. From a technical analysis perspective, we are anticipating continued bearish momentum for the Pound against the USD as we approach the next demand zone. Previous Idea: ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
Bearish drop?GBP/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.2615 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.2725 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Take profit: 1.2486 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBPUSD Will Go Up From Support! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.249. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.256 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
GBPUSD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisGBPUSD is moving on support zone and and made a head & shoulder pattern The chart is above the support level, which has already become a reversal point twice. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
Short
by TheGrove
16
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after collecting liquidity below $2635, the price faced renewed demand and successfully climbed above $2641. As a result, gold managed to rise to $2651, delivering a 100-pip return. Today, we have the US interest rate decision, which could bring significant volatility to the market, with both bull traps and bear traps likely. If you are not a professional trader, it’s better to stay away from the market and wait for stabilization, especially during Jerome Powell’s speech. The previous analysis remains valid: as long as the price holds above $2641, we can expect further upward movement. However, if the price drops below $2641 and closes a candle underneath, we will likely see a sharp decline. Keep these scenarios in mind and be patient to find the best trigger. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
21
GBP/USD Analysis: Pair Recovers from 7-Month LowGBP/USD Analysis: Pair Recovers from 7-Month Low The GBP/USD pair dropped below the psychological level of 1.25 today, a level last seen in early May. Over the past two days, the pair has declined by more than 1.5%, driven by central bank decisions. On one hand, the US dollar strengthened after the Federal Reserve chair's comments on Wednesday, hinting at potentially higher interest rates in 2025. On the other hand, the pound weakened on Thursday after news from the Bank of England (BoE). According to media reports: → The BoE kept the interest rate unchanged. → Market expectations for the BoE's February decision are putting additional pressure on the pound. Technical analysis of the GBP/USD chart reflects a continuation of bearish momentum, with the pair moving within a descending channel: → In mid-December, the price broke below the lower boundary of a narrowing triangle (highlighted in blue), signalling the potential resumption of the downtrend. → Around the same time, trading was concentrated near the 1.265 level. Despite repeated tests of this level, it seems that the bears took control. Looking ahead, the pair may consolidate near the channel’s median line as the year comes to a close, with this zone acting as a balance point between supply and demand. Stronger directional moves might materialise in 2025. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
GBP/USD--> Just One Step Away from a Further DeclineHello everyone, Ben here! Today, GBP/USD continues to face significant challenges. The pair remains under pressure due to a negative fundamental backdrop, the strengthening of the US dollar, and the emergence of a critical resistance zone. These factors all point to the likelihood of a sustained bearish trend. Yesterday, the UK GDP figures were released, showing no change. This lack of improvement leaves the British pound without any meaningful upward catalysts. Meanwhile, the US dollar finds support from recent market dynamics. Despite rate cuts, the dollar is gaining momentum, bolstered by hawkish rhetoric and expectations of economic growth. Against the backdrop of Trump-era policy shifts, the medium-term outlook for the greenback appears favorable. From a technical perspective, GBP/USD is currently testing a high-risk resistance zone. If a false breakout occurs, it could trigger a short-term rebound. However, this reaction is likely to be temporary. Following such a move, the pair may target a retest of local resistance levels. Yet, the real focal point lies in the support test within the next 1–3 days, which could set the stage for a deeper decline. A crucial level to watch is 1.2488. Should a base form at this point before any significant breakout, it would reinforce the bearish outlook and pave the way for further downward movement. Stay sharp and trade wisely! Yours truly, BenTradeGold.
Short
by Bentradegold
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 20, 2024 GBPUSDThe Bank of England kept its key rate at 4.75%, which was in line with market expectations. However, three members voted for a rate cut, which came as a surprise and emphasized the regulator's softer stance. This reinforced expectations of significant monetary policy easing in 2025 - the BoE is projected to cut the rate up to four times at 0.25%. In comparison, the Fed is planning less aggressive cuts another 1-2 times, which strengthens the US Dollar's position and puts pressure on the Pound. The economic situation in the UK remains unstable. The Bank of England lowered its GDP growth forecasts for 2024, pointing to weak economic dynamics. Despite the high growth of wages (5.2%), inflation remains above the target level, which requires the preservation of tight monetary policy. At the same time, the regulator noted that its easing will begin only after a steady decline in inflation to 2%. The fundamental background for the British currency remains negative. Investors will follow further statements of the Bank of England and economic data, but in the near future the pound is likely to continue a gradual decline. Trading recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004