GBP/USD: Bearish Momentum Holds Below 1.2500GBP/USD trades around 1.2490, showing weakness for the third consecutive day, with the daily chart indicating a bearish bias within a descending channel. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, projecting a 2025 rate of 3.9% (up from 3.4% in September). Powell emphasized caution and a slower path for future rate cuts, while the BoE kept rates steady at 4.75%. The strengthening of the US Dollar has been supported by rising Treasury yields, although improving global risk sentiment might limit further gains. A break below the 1.2450 support could push the price towards 1.2400, while a move above 1.2530 might open the door to a potential test of 1.2600, though this remains unlikely without favorable catalysts.
GBPUSD
GBPUSD - continue its downward trendDear Investors,
The GBP/USD pair has rebounded after losing over 1% following the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate cut on Wednesday, currently trading around 1.2590 during Thursday's Asian session.
From a technical perspective, this recovery is likely to be short-lived, stemming from the strong support zone at 1.2567, rather than signaling a sustained rebound. Sellers could easily regain control, especially after breaking below the key level of 1.2645. Moreover, the 34-period EMA shows no signs of a significant reversal, suggesting the price might accelerate towards the next support level at 1.2486.
Attention remains on the immediate resistance at 1.2615, as any failure to hold this level could lead to an earlier-than-expected decline. Stay alert and plan accordingly!
$GBINTR -U.K Interest RatesECONOMICS:GBINTR
(December/2024)
source: Bank of England
The Bank of England left the benchmark bank rate steady at 4.75% during its December 2024 meeting,
in line with market expectations, as CPI inflation, wage growth and some indicators of inflation expectations had risen, adding to the risk of inflation persistence.
The central bank reinforced that a gradual approach to removing monetary policy restraint remains appropriate and that monetary policy will need to continue to remain restrictive for sufficiently long until the risks to inflation returning sustainably to the 2% target in the medium term have dissipated further.
The central bank will continue to decide the appropriate degree of monetary policy restrictiveness at each meeting.
GBPUSDhello friends
Due to the severe fall that we had and cardamom breaking respectively.
Now, with another bottom failure, the price is placed in a good area, and from there, by getting confirmation, we can expect a good reaction.
This analysis is checked from a technical point of view.
Be successful and profitable.
Daily Analysis of GBP to USD – Issue 173The analyst believes that the price of { GBPUSD } will increase in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
USDJPY Analysis And Next Market MovePair Name = USDJPY
Timeframe = D1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
USDJPY is getting a good volume. Gradually moving higher. Expecting 400 Pips + gain in this Move. USD is getting strong. That is pushing JPY Down. We can see price around 162.000 soon
Bullish Target:-
162.000
162.500
GBPUSD Bullish trade Idea after see some sold breakout confirmatGBPUSD bullish trade idea after seeing some sold breakout confirmations on H1.
Buy Price LEVEL: 1. 2597
SL: 1.2550
TP: 1.27141
After the FOMC meeting yesterday night, the price dropped to 1.25627 with high volume when the Fed rate of 4.50 will boost the USD.
The GBP index is bullish; just find the trade with a tight stop loss.
*Note: The market is highly volitile in December; just place a smaller number of trades.
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 19, 2024 EURUSDThe Pound-Dollar pair is strengthening after dropping more than 1% following the hawkish decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed) on Wednesday and is trading near 1.25900 in Asian hours on Thursday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) is receiving upward support as the Bank of England (BoE) is expected to leave interest rates unchanged later in the day, while maintaining focus on addressing elevated domestic inflation.
On Wednesday, data emerged that the U.K. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.6% year-over-year in November after rising 2.3% in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy, rose 3.5% year-on-year in November, up from a previous increase of 3.3%. Meanwhile, annualized services inflation remained at 5%, below the forecast of 5.1% but above the Bank of England's estimate of 4.9%.
GBP/USD declined on the back of a stronger US Dollar as the Federal Reserve (Fed) decided to cut rates by 25 basis points (bps) at its December meeting on Wednesday, bringing the benchmark lending rate to a range of 4.25%-4.50%, a two-year low. On Thursday, traders will be watching for weekly data on initial jobless claims, existing home sales and the final annualized third quarter (Q3) gross domestic product.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.26000, if the level is fixed above consider Buy positions, if the level rebounds consider Sell positions.
GBPUSD H4 | Falling toward a 161.8% Fibo extension?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.2616, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.2530, an overlap support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibo extension
The stop loss will be at 1.2678, a pullback rsistance level.
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$GBIRYY -U.K CPI (November/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
(November/2024)
source: Office for National Statistics
- The annual inflation rate in the UK edged up for a second month to 2.6% in November 2024 from 2.3% in October, matching forecasts.
It is the highest inflation rate in eight months,
with prices rising at a faster pace for recreation and culture (3.6% vs 3% in October),
mostly admission fees to live music events and theaters and computer games;
housing and utilities (3% vs 2.9%), particularly actual rents for housing; and food and non-alcoholic beverages (2% vs 1.9%).
In addition, transport prices fell much less (-0.9% vs -1.9%) as upward effects from motor fuels and second-hand cars were partially offset by a downward effect from air fares.
Meanwhile, services inflation was steady at 5%.
Compared to the previous month, the CPI edged up 0.1%, less than 0.6% in October and matching forecasts.
The core CPI rose 3.5% on the year from 3.3% in October but below forecasts of 3.6%.
On the month, core prices stalled.
usdsgd best level to short/hold tp1/tp2 +150/+300 pips swing 🔸Hello traders, let's review the D1 chart for USDSGD today. Trading
near premium prices of the multiweek range, closing in on heavy S/R
Currently risk/reward is shifting in bears favor, so it's recommended
to look for sell side setups in USDSGD.
🔸Heavy overhead mirror S/R zone at 3520/3540 expecting reversal
from overhead resistance. current bid is 3510 so final push required
before we can get a decent entry on sell side.
🔸Recommended strategy for USDSGD traders: focus on short selling any rips/rallies near MS/R 3520/3540 price is currently trading near premium levels and is almost maxed out already, limited upside. TP1 bears +150 TP2 bears +300 pips final exit 3220 keep in mind this is a swing trade setup so naturally will take more time to complete / hit both targets. good luck traders!
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short GBPUSD on Fibonacci RetracementThe Cable (GBPUSD) charts shows a down trend on the daily and weekly charts. This is consistent with a long term view of the US economy doing better than the UK according to recent data releases. An initial impulse has broken a 4H up trend to the downside and has retraced to 0.618 during the 17 Dec 24 Asian session.
I have gone short at 1.2700 and SL 1.2770. I have two targets: first TP at 1.2630 and second at 1.2570 giving risk to reward ratios of 1:1 and 1:2 respectively.
Caution is advised as the FOMC are announcing their Dec interest rate decision this Weds and UK BoE on Thursday. I shall review positions in about 24 hours therefore.
Daily Analysis of GBP to USD – Issue 172The analyst believes that the price of { GBPUSD } will increase in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Bearish drop for the Cable?The price has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 1.2732
1st Support: 1.2613
1st Resistance: 1.2798
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NZDUSD H1 Short At Market TP +100 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the H1 chart for NZDUSD today. Price
contained withing sliding bear channel previously rejected multiple
times from overhead resistance.
🔸Currently expecting price to clear S/R and complete the
break of structure pattern near 5820 then dump to 5750 / 5700.
🔸Previously rejected from overhead resistance, sequence of lower
highs in progress and expecting yet another rejection into double top
and also re-action with the bear channel.
🔸Recommended strategy for NZDUSD traders: short at market now, SL 40 pips TP1 +60 pips TP2 +100 pips final exit at 5750. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.