The next trade idea for “6B” GBPUSD FX FuturesCME:6B1!
This trade idea is built on very simple premises.
Simplicity in trading is what we all strive for. Where possible, we should aim to simplify our strategies rather than complicate them with excessive information—unless the additional inputs add clear, actionable value to the trade thesis. While that holds true in this analysis, for the sake of clarity and simplicity, we’ve chosen not to include volume profile study or levels derived from volume profiling.
Also, don’t forget to check out how our example trade idea in Crude Oil played out —posted earlier this Tuesday.
6B Weekly Time frame:
Key Levels
Weekly Resistance: 1.3400 – 1.3425
Daily Double Top: 1.3425
April 21 Mid: 1.3350
April 2025 Developing Mid: 1.3067
Scenario 1: Break and Continuation
In this scenario, we anticipate further upside in 6B futures and GBPUSD. A break above the double top at 1.3425 could lead to a push toward 1.3550. Look for confirmation across other FX futures and signs of Dollar weakening to support this thesis.
Example Trade Idea 1:
Entry: 1.3425 (wait for an hourly candle to close above the double top, then enter on the pullback)
Stop: 1.3350
Target: 1.3550
Risk: 75 ticks
Reward: 125 ticks
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.7 R
Scenario 2: Swing Failure on Weekly Timeframe
Zooming out to the weekly timeframe, 1.3425 aligns with a potential swing failure at prior resistance near 1.3423. A pullback from this level could provide a short opportunity. Watch for Dollar strength and pullbacks in 6E and 6J to further support this thesis.
Example Trade Idea 2:
Entry: 1.3350 (wait for sellers to regain control at Monday’s mid)
Stop: 1.3425
Target: 1.3067
Risk: 75 ticks
Reward: 283 ticks
Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.7 R
Important Notes:
These are example trade ideas provided strictly for educational purposes and should not be considered trade recommendations.
Traders are encouraged to perform their own independent analysis and thorough preparation before entering any positions.
Please note: Stop losses are not guaranteed to execute at specified levels. Actual losses may exceed predetermined stop amounts.
GBPUSD
GBPUSD AnalysisGBP could potentially start its next bearish leg from the current level.
Price has reacted off a lower timeframe IFVG, which is currently acting as support.
If we get a clean close below this IFVG, along with proper short confirmation,
I'll be looking for bearish setups to target lower levels
GBPUSD INTRADAY corrective pullback supported at 1.3210GBP/USD maintains a bullish bias, with the broader trend and structure supporting upside continuation. The recent intraday move appears to be an overbought corrective pullback toward a key prior consolidation area.
Key Support: 1.3210 – aligns with the previous consolidation zone and potential bullish inflection point.
Upside Targets:
1.3435 – initial resistance level
1.3500 and 1.3580 – medium to long-term bullish targets
If price finds support at 1.3210 and forms a bullish reversal, it would confirm the continuation of the uptrend toward the mentioned resistance levels.
However, a break and daily close below 1.3210 would invalidate the bullish scenario, suggesting deeper retracement toward 1.3120, with further support at 1.3015 and 1.2980.
Conclusion
GBP/USD remains bullish above 1.3210. Look for a bounce from this level to confirm upside continuation. A daily close below 1.3210 would turn the outlook bearish, exposing lower support levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD - Will the dollar go up?!The GBPUSD pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. If the pair corrects down towards the demand zone, it can be bought in the direction of its rise.
According to the latest Reuters survey of economists, U.S.-imposed trade tariffs have had a significant negative impact on the business environment in the United Kingdom. The assessment suggests that global trade tensions, combined with America’s protectionist policies, have undermined the confidence of British companies and investors in the country’s economic outlook. Market pricing reflects expectations that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 0.84% over the course of this year.
The survey indicates that the UK’s GDP growth for 2025 is expected to average 0.9%, down from the previous estimate of 1%. Growth for 2026 is now projected at 1.2%, also lower than the 1.4% forecast made in March.
In terms of monetary policy, there is a strong consensus among economists that the Bank of England is on a gradual path toward easing interest rates. Projections suggest that the base rate will decline by 25 basis points each quarter throughout 2025, reaching 3.75% by year-end. Notably, all 67 economists participating in the poll expect the Bank of England to cut rates by 25 basis points at its May 8 meeting, bringing the rate down to 4.25%.
Meanwhile, the U.S.Federal Reserve, in its latest Beige Book release, reported that economic activity across the country has shown “little change.” The report detailed that only five districts experienced “modest growth,” three noted activity was “about flat,” and four reported “slight to moderate declines.” The Fed stated, “The outlook in several districts deteriorated notably due to heightened economic uncertainty, particularly stemming from tariffs.”
On employment, most districts experienced “little to slight” increases. One district noted a “modest increase,” four reported “slight gains,” another four observed no change, and three recorded “slight declines” in employment levels.
At the same time, prices continued to rise across the country. Six districts described price growth as “modest,” while the other six reported it as “moderate.” The Fed explained that most districts expected input costs to rise further due to tariffs.
UBS has issued a warning that Donald Trump’s calls for rate cuts may erode confidence in the Federal Reserve’s independence and fuel greater uncertainty in financial markets.
UBS analysts believe that reduced investment and consumption in the U.S. economy are primarily driven by increased economic uncertainty, rather than restrictive monetary policy. They emphasize that markets are highly sensitive to any perceived threats against the Fed’s autonomy, and in the current climate, it is this economic volatility—more than interest rate levels—that is harming the economy.
GBP/USD is Bullish: This Breakout Triggers the UptrendFenzoFx—GBP/USD fell from $1.3435, testing the 50-period simple moving average near $1.3276. The Stochastic Oscillator is nearing the 20 level, suggesting the US dollar is overbought in the short term.
Support lies at $1.3202. The outlook remains bullish while above this level, though a close above $1.3295 is needed to confirm upward momentum. A retest of $1.3435 could follow.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $1.3202 would invalidate the bullish view, potentially extending the decline to $1.3144 or even $1.3030 under sustained selling pressure.
XauUsd (Gold)Good day traders, I haven’t been feeling well but I thought let me give you Gold will I recover.
Gold on the 4h we had a shift in structure lower and for our daily that’s just confirms a reversal I’ve been anticipating for a while now.
But here we focusing on what price is currently doing on the 1 hour and 15 minutes, there in that rectangle box that represents my inverse FVG which we saw price close above. Now we wanna see price falling the close below that inverse to enter long.
GBPUSD(20250424)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The United States hit a 16-month low in April. The total number of new home sales in the United States in March was an annualized to a new high since September 2024.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3274
Support and resistance levels:
1.3379
1.3340
1.3314
1.3234
1.3209
1.3170
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3274, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3314
If the price breaks through 1.3234, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3209
Weekly FOREX Forecast: Mid-Week UPDATES! In this video, we will update Sunday's forecasts for the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDCHF
USDJPY
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or other wise. In this video, we will update the forecasts for the following FX markets:
British PMIs fall, Trump says won't fire PowellThe British pound dropped as much as 0.7% earlier today and is under pressure. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3265, down 0.45% on the day.
The pound has taken advantage of broad US dollar weakness recently, rising 3% in the month of April. On Tuesday, the pound climbed as high as 1.3423, its highest level since September 2024.
UK PMIs reports softened in April, another reminder that that the UK economy is struggling. The Services PMI fell to 48.9 from 52.5 in March, below the market estimate of 51.3. There are growing fears that the UK will fall into recession and global economic uncertainty has led to decreased business activity.
The Manufacturing PMI eased to 44.0, matching the market estimate but lower than the March reading of 44.9. This was the lowest reading since August 2023 as the deteriorating global market outook has reduced demand for UK exports. The increase in employer tax contributions has hurt employment and lowered confidence.
The International Monetary Fund has lowered its 2025 global growth forecast to 2.8, down from 3.3% in January. The downgrade was in response to US tariffs and the IMF warned that an escalation of trade tensions between the US and other countries would create further market volatility and lead to even lower growth.
US stock markets are sharply higher on Wednesday after President Trump said that he had no intention to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Trump had intensified his attacks on Powell in recent days, resulting in sharp slides in US equity markets and the US dollar.
Trump also said that China tariffs would drop "substantially" and investors hope this signals a de-escalation in the nasty trade war between the US and China.
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 1' ENTRY MODEL EDUCATIONGBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 1' ENTRY MODEL EDUCATION
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Trade confluences📝
✅Weekly Order block rejection
✅15’ order block created
✅15’ wick rejections via order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅1’ break of structure
✅1’ bearish engulfing candle fill
✅Sell limit order on the 1’ candle fill
✅Sell limit order via 1' order block created upon 1' break of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Falling towards overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3203
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 1.3056
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3412
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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As the dollar's weak trend signals an endTrump's remarks and attitudes in trade negotiations have had a significant impact on the market 📈💥
His change in attitude towards the Federal Reserve Chairman first triggered investors' concerns about the Fed's policy, leading them to seek refuge in gold and causing the price of gold to rise 🏆🚀. Later, his remarks alleviated those concerns, prompting funds to flow back into dollar-denominated assets and causing the price of gold to decline from its peak levels 📉💔
In terms of trade negotiations, potential easing measures may reduce the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset ⏳
Taken together, these factors may imply that market confidence in the dollar has been somewhat restored 🌟. When signs of the end of the dollar's weak trend emerge 📊, more funds flow into dollar assets 💸. Against the backdrop of this change in the direction of capital flows, the GBPUSD has declined 😔
⚡⚡⚡ GBPUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@1.32800 - 1.32600
🚀 TP 1.32200 - 1.32000
The market has been extremely volatile lately 📈📉 If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others 💰
GBPUSD – Rejected at Multi-Month Resistance Amid Weak UK DataGBPUSD has clearly rejected the 1.3413–1.3443 resistance zone—a key area that previously acted as strong supply in September 2024. The pair has formed a bearish rejection candle and is now showing signs of downward momentum.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.3413 – 1.3443 (major rejection zone)
TP1: 1.3176 (minor structure)
TP2: 1.3014 (key demand zone)
TP3: 1.2890 (deeper support target)
Bearish Confluences:
Price rejected from major resistance
Bearish candle formation
Previous similar reaction from the same level
Momentum indicators favor downside
📰 Fundamental Analysis:
🔻 UK Data Weakens Further:
According to the latest S&P Global Flash UK PMI (Apr 23):
Composite Output Index: 48.2 (vs 51.5 in March) – 29-month low
Services PMI: 48.9 – 27-month low
Manufacturing PMI: 44.0 – 20-month low
This shows UK private sector activity contracting, led by a steep fall in new export orders, the worst since May 2020.
🔺 Inflation Still High:
Despite falling activity, input and output prices surged, driven by National Insurance hikes and wage growth. This makes it harder for the BoE to justify a cut, despite recession signs.
📌 Conclusion:
The bearish rejection at 1.3413 resistance, combined with deteriorating UK fundamentals, suggests a strong downside setup for GBPUSD. A break below 1.3176 would confirm the bearish move, targeting 1.3014 and potentially 1.2890.
eurusd h1 best level to buy/hold +140 pips🏆 EURUSD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 1280
🔸Mid-term: BULLS 1420
🔸Status: REVERSAL from S/R
🔸pullback in progress right now
🔸expecting bounce at key s/r
🔸Price Target Bears: 1280
🔸Price Target BULLS: 1420
🔸strategy: BUY LOW exit 1420
🔸+140 pips on BUY side
GBPUSD Analysis 10:06AM. Are the Bear's stepping in? I’ve been watching GBP/USD closely as price continues to slide, now reaching 1.32848. The initial rejection near 1.33250 confirmed institutional sell pressure, and the breakdown below 1.32950 suggests further downside movement.
At this stage, price is sitting just above the 1.32750–1.32800 support zone, which could act as a temporary demand level. If buyers step in here, we might see a corrective bounce toward 1.33050–1.33250, but only with solid confirmation. However, fundamentals remain bearish—UK Services PMI dropped to 48.9, signaling economic contraction, adding further weight to GBP downside.
Technical indicators reinforce the sell-side momentum. MACD remains weak, indicating sellers still control the market. RSI near 41.70 suggests there’s room for further declines but signals that price is approaching oversold territory. The ADX at 29.52 confirms a developing trend, though not yet fully directional.
Given these conditions, my plan remains focused on a sell setup near 1.32950, using it as a retest level. If price rejects this zone, it strengthens the short bias toward 1.32700, a key liquidity target. On the other hand, if price stabilizes at 1.32750–1.32800, I'll reassess whether institutional players are absorbing sell orders for a potential reversal.
Right now, my focus is on price reaction near support. If sellers keep control, this drop could extend further, but if signs of buy-side defense appear, a temporary bounce may develop. I'll wait for clear confirmation before executing my next position.
XAU/USD: New ATH ~ $3500, What's Next? (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the 15-minute gold chart, we can see that the price once again reached a new high today, rallying up to the key psychological level of $3500. Following this move, gold has experienced a pullback down to $3423 so far. If the price stabilizes below $3442, we will likely see a further correction toward the next target at $3411. (This analysis will be updated)
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Cable H1 | Approaching an overlap supportCable (GBP/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.3200 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 1.3110 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1.3415 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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+300/+500 pips EURJPY Swing Trade Setup H4 TF🏆 EURJPY Market Update H4 chart
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸trading in well defined range
🔸Short-term: BULLS final pump
🔸Mid-term: BEARS 158.00
🔸Status: REVERSAL from S/R
🔸163.50/165.00 heavy resistances
🔸158.00/156.00 key s/r zones below
🔸Price Target Bears: 158
🔸Price Target BULLS: 1140/1160
🔸strategy: SHORT SELL 163.50
🔸SL 75 pips TP1 +300 pips TP2 +500 pips
🔸swing trade setup for patient traders
📊 Forex Market Update (April 23, 2025)
🇪🇺 EUR/USD
📉 Price: ~1.1380
💪 Pressure from strong USD
🔻 Weak German PMI; ECB may cut rates
⚠️ Key Levels: Support 1.1300 | Resistance 1.1400
🇬🇧 GBP/USD
📉 Price: ~1.3300 (Down from 7-month high at 1.3424)
🇺🇸 USD rebound on Trump's comments
🏦 Market cautious on BoE policy
⚠️ Key Levels: Support 1.3280 | Resistance 1.3420
🇺🇸 DXY (US Dollar Index)
📈 Price: 99.18 (Recovering from recent low 97.92)
🗣️ Boosted by Trump reassurance on Fed leadership
⚠️ Remains pressured by trade tensions & Fed concerns
📌 Key Levels: Support 95, 90 | Resistance 101, 107
🔔 Market Volatility Alert: Watch for geopolitical updates & central bank news closely!
GBPUSD - NEXT STOP @1.34343?1. MARKET OVERVIEW
GU has been on a very strong uptrend since January so i'm expecting that momentum to continue this week aiming for the old high @1.34343 which is also the Previous Year's High (PYH) and a Key Level.
2. KEY LEVELS I'M WATCHING
* Draw On Liquidity(DOL): 1.34343
* Point Of Interest(POI): 1.32411 - 1.32500
3. TRADE BIAS & SCENARIOS
I'll stick on being bullish for the rest of the week until price gets to my target which is the PYH(Previous Year High). I'll execute on my buys only if price trades to my POI before trading to my target, on the condition that price trades higher early in the week and gets to my target(without first trading to my POI) i'll cancel my trade order and switch neutral on my BIAS.
4. FINAL NOTE
Patience is key, i'll wait for price to come to me and not chase price.
Tell me what you guys think about this in the comment.
Massive Rally, Massive Resistance – Time to Sell GBPUSD?The last two weeks felt like a rollercoaster for GBPUSD. It all started with a gap down on Monday, April 7, but that weakness didn’t last. The pair filled the gap and then rallied hard – over 700 pips!
🤔 Key Question – Is the move sustainable, or are we topping out?
Now the pair is approaching a massive resistance zone, one that dates back to 2019. While the bullish sentiment and USD weakness could push it toward 1.3500, this isn’t a breakout I’d blindly chase.
📉 Why I'm expecting a reversal:
Price is entering a long-term resistance area – a major barrier.
700 pips of upside happened fast – a pullback is likely.
USD weakness might fade, creating downward pressure.
1.3450–1.3500 is my key sell zone.
📊 My Trading Plan:
I’ll be watching for clear signs of weakness near 1.3450 – such as rejection candles or slowing momentum. If the market confirms, I’m looking for a 500 pip move down, with 1.3000 as the first major target.
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