GBPUSD Analysis 4/22 4:51pmGBP/USD Analysis – Institutional Liquidity, Price Action & Trade Setup
Right now, I'm analyzing GBP/USD at 1.33287 in the context of institutional behavior, technical indicators, and upcoming economic events. My focus is on institutional liquidity absorption at resistance, monitoring key levels for an optimal entry.
Technical Overview
Resistance Zone: 1.33895–1.34234 has been a critical level where price struggled to break higher, suggesting institutional absorption.
Support Zone: 1.33200–1.33150 remains an area where buyers could step in, but if it fails, the next downside target is 1.32677–1.32864.
Momentum Indicators: RSI (66.15 on the hourly) signals strong momentum, but MACD shows slight bearish divergence, hinting at trend exhaustion.
ADX Strength: The 30-minute ADX at 73.43 confirms trend momentum, but the hourly ADX at 17.12 indicates slowing movement, signaling potential institutional positioning.
Price Action Insights
Lower Highs Forming: Each successive high has been failing, reinforcing the idea that sellers are stepping in at resistance.
Liquidity Absorption at 1.33895–1.34234: Institutional players might be taking the other side of buy orders, meaning a trap for retail longs before a drop.
Bearish Rejection at 1.33450–1.33600: If price pulls back to this zone and prints a long upper wick, it confirms sell-side control.
Volume Profile & Institutional Activity
Volume Clustering at Resistance: Previous highs show volume absorption rather than continuation, reinforcing a bearish bias.
Delta Imbalance Considerations: Watching sell-side aggression near key levels to confirm institutional pressure.
Accumulation/Distribution Patterns: Weekly AD is negative, indicating some distribution rather than accumulation.
This approach ensures I'm trading with institutional positioning rather than chasing price movements. I remain patient, watching key zones for liquidity absorption before executing.
GBPUSD
GBPUSD Analysis 4/22 11:22amJust FYI i entered my last trade too early. Ill make sure all the signals align next time. I took my losses and kept it moving.
GBP/USD Analysis – Institutional Liquidity & Price Action Setup
Over the past few weeks, GBP/USD has been in a steady uptrend, posting higher highs and higher lows. However, 1.34234 remains a critical resistance level, and price is showing signs of absorption, suggesting institutions may be stepping in.
Technical Overview
Recent Highs & Lows: Price peaked at 1.34234, with recent support around 1.33750.
Momentum Indicators: The daily RSI remains elevated near 67.8, signaling strong buying interest, but MACD and stochastic fast readings indicate fluctuations.
ADX Strength: The 30-minute ADX at 72.4 confirms trend strength, but a fading Aroon Oscillator hints that past bullish waves might be losing steam.
Price Action Insights
Higher Highs Forming: The past few days show price continuously pushing up, but rejection wicks near 1.33895–1.34234 suggest sell-side pressure building.
Potential Lower High Formation: If institutions are absorbing liquidity here, they could be preparing to push price down—meaning a short trade setup is forming.
Key Levels to Watch: A break below 1.33750 would confirm bearish momentum, while a clean move above 1.34234 with volume would signal continuation.
Volume Profile & Institutional Activity
Liquidity Absorption at Resistance: Institutions may be letting retail traders push price up while absorbing their buy orders. If volume clusters at the highs without a breakout, this suggests a reversal could be incoming.
Delta Imbalance Considerations: Watching order flow, if sell-side aggression picks up near resistance, it strengthens the bearish case.
Volume Spikes & Clustered Activity: If liquidity at 1.33895–1.34234 shows tapering buy-side volume without a breakout, institutions may be trapping longs before driving price down.
Trade Plan
Given all of this data, my best entry setup is a sell near 1.33895–1.34234, waiting for confirmation:
Hourly Rejection Candles: A long upper wick or bearish engulfing candle near resistance would confirm sellers stepping in.
Target: A downside move toward 1.33200, where prior liquidity sits, would be a strong take-profit zone.
On the flip side, if price breaks above 1.34234 with strong bullish volume, I’ll reassess and look for a buy on a retest, confirming institutional accumulation.
This analysis helps me stay disciplined, tracking institutional positioning and liquidity traps rather than chasing impulsive moves. For now, I’m watching hourly candles and volume behavior at resistance before executing my next trade.
GBPUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
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🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBPUSD INTRADAY bullish breakout supported at 1.3288GBP/USD maintains a bullish bias, with the broader trend and structure supporting upside continuation. The recent intraday move appears to be a bullish breakout toward a key prior consolidation area.
Key Support: 1.3288 – aligns with the previous consolidation zone and potential bullish inflection point.
Upside Targets:
1.3435 – initial resistance level
1.3500 and 1.3580 – medium to long-term bullish targets
If price finds support at 1.3288 and forms a bullish reversal, it would confirm the continuation of the uptrend toward the mentioned resistance levels.
However, a break and daily close below 1.3288 would invalidate the bullish scenario, suggesting deeper retracement toward 1.3210, with further support at 1.3120 and 1.2980.
Conclusion
GBP/USD remains bullish above 1.3288. Look for a bounce from this level to confirm upside continuation. A daily close below 1.3288 would turn the outlook bearish, exposing lower support levels.
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EURUSD and GBPUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBP/USD is Overbought at Critical Resistance LevelFenzoFx—GBP/USD climbed to $1.3435, a key resistance near the September 2024 high. While the trend remains bullish, overbought signals from Stochastic and RSI-14 suggest limited upside.
If the pair stays below $1.3435, it may retreat to 1.3295 or even 1.3202.
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GBP/USD: The Wizard's Descent from the Double Top MountainGBP/USD: The Wizard's Descent from the Double Top Mountain
Technical Analysis:
GBP/USD 4H chart shows a clear Double Top formation at approximately 1.3725, a critical resistance level
The Treasure Hunter indicator has shifted color, signaling bearish momentum building (Hero taking damage)
Our Wizard's Journey progress bar indicates we're at 50% completion of the Mountain Pass, suggesting we're at a prime reversal point
Currently testing Elite Level 235 resistance zone (2345 XP), with declining XP Progress (35%)
Forecast:
Anticipating a significant pullback from current resistance
Initial Minion Zone at 1.3200 provides first target level
Watch for confirmation with HERO's Health declining from current 100%
Trading Strategy:
Short position opportunity forming with ELITE LvL 2 resistance rejecting price advance
Stop loss placement above Double Top at 1.3750
Risk/reward favorable with multiple support levels to target
Watch 4H candle closes below 1.3690 for entry confirmation
Quest Status: Active - Prepare for the wizard's descent from the mountain peak!
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 22, 2025 GBPUSDGBPUSD:
The GBP/USD pair is trading in positive territory around 1.3370 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Concerns over slowing growth in the United States (US) and worries over the independence of the Federal Reserve (Fed) are driving the US Dollar (USD) lower and creating a tailwind for the major pair.
US President Donald Trump condemned Powell for continuing to maintain a “wait-and-see” monetary policy until there is clarity on how the new tariff policy will affect the economic outlook. In a Truth social media post, Trump warned that the US economy will slow down if Powell doesn't cut interest rates immediately.
Heightened uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariffs and rising trade tensions between the U.S. and China are undermining the U.S. dollar across the board.
On the other hand, softer UK consumer price index (CPI) inflation data for March and global uncertainty paved the way for an interest rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE) at its May meeting. Financial markets are now betting on an interest rate cut at the Bank of England's May meeting, estimating an 86% probability of this happening, according to LSEG data. This, in turn, could affect the Pound Sterling (GBP) exchange rate against the US Dollar.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3425, SL 1.3395, TP 1.3510
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
SUMMARY
- Weekly order block
- Daily order block
- Price action bullish in current point of interest.
REQUIREMNTS
- Setup A) Substantial 15' break of structure, creating 15' order block to short from on the pull back.
- Setup C) Lower time frame break of structure without initial 15' break of structure.
- Candle stick formation confluences.
FRGNT X
IG - JCFRGNT
GBP/USD – Breakout Retest Setup🔍 Macro Fundamentals
LEI improving → 86.8 → 90
Exo + LEI score = 78.5 → Healthy trend continuation bias
Exogenous factors: April score 4.5 → positive skew
USD macro weak & dovish, GBP maintaining hawkish tone
📅 Seasonality
📈 GBP bullish from April 24 onward
📉 USD bearish all month
✅ Perfect seasonality window for bullish GBP/USD swing
📊 COT Sentiment
Both GBP and USD = ⚖️ Neutral
→ No positioning pressure, clean technical entry expected
📈 Technical Setup (4H Chart)
Price has broken out of structure, now retesting resistance as support
Structure forming above 1.32312, with a solid upside trend
🔁 Plan: Enter on breakout retest for trend continuation
📥 Entry: 1.32312
⛔ Stop Loss: 1.31581 (below structure)
🎯 Take Profit: Trail or target based on 1.3550–1.3600 zone
🧮 R:R ≈ 1:2+
WHY EURUSD IS STILL BULLISH DETAILED ANALYSIS We closely monitoring EUR/USD, which is currently trading around 1.0430. The pair has shown resilience after rebounding from the 1.0220 support level, forming a bullish engulfing pattern on the 3-day chart. This pattern suggests potential for a bullish reversal, especially as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) recovers from oversold conditions. The price action aligns with the lower boundary of a long-term descending channel, indicating a possible shift in trend.
Fundamentally, the euro is under pressure due to the European Central Bank's (ECB) recent rate cut to 2.25%, marking the seventh reduction since mid-2024. This move aims to counteract the economic slowdown exacerbated by U.S. tariffs on EU imports. In contrast, the U.S. dollar faces its challenges, with political tensions arising from President Trump's criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates swiftly. These dynamics have led to increased volatility and a weakened dollar, influencing EUR/USD movements.
Technically, the ascending triangle pattern observed on the 4-hour chart supports a bullish outlook. A decisive break above the 1.0625 resistance could pave the way for targets at 1.0760 and subsequently 1.0850. However, traders should remain cautious, as a drop below the 1.0220 support might signal a continuation of the bearish trend, potentially testing parity levels.
In the current market environment, it's crucial to stay updated with economic indicators and geopolitical developments. Key events, such as U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls and Eurozone inflation data, will provide further insights into the pair's direction. Employing sound risk management strategies and staying informed will be essential for navigating the EUR/USD landscape effectively.
GBP/USD Ready for Takeoff!Hi Traders ! Price action remains strong within the uptrend channel, supported by the 20 EMA, while the 200 EMA stays well below—confirming bullish momentum.
Target zone: 1.34234
RSI shows strength with more room to rise.
Stay sharp, traders! If the price continues to respect the channel, we might see a strong bullish push soon.
📌 Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own analysis and consult with a professional before making trading decisions.
GBP-USD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD went up sharply
Made a retest of the
Horizontal resistance level
Of 1.3432 from where we
Are already seeing a local
Bearish reaction so we
Are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
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GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25
SUMMARY
- Weekly order block
- Daily order block
- Price action bullish in current point of interest.
REQUIREMNTS
- Setup A) Substantial 15' break of structure, creating 15' order block to short from on the pull back.
- Setup C) Lower time frame break of structure without initial 15' break of structure.
- Candle stick formation confluences.
FRGNT X
IG - JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Let’s see if sellers step in.GBP/USD Trade Update: Holding My Sell at 1.32480
I entered a sell trade at 1.32480, expecting a reversal based on key technical and fundamental setups. But with GBP/USD now sitting at 1.33814, I have to reassess market conditions while still staying true to my trading approach.
Fundamental Overview – Why I Still Favor Downside
This week’s economic events could create volatility, and I’m paying close attention to:
UK PMI (April 23): Expected declines in Manufacturing (44.1) and Services (51.0) suggest economic weakness, which could weigh on GBP.
US Durable Goods Orders (April 24): Mixed expectations—headline at +1.8%, but ex-defense and transportation are negative, meaning uncertainty in USD strength.
UK Retail Sales (April 25): Forecasted at -0.3%, signaling weaker consumer spending. This aligns with my sell bias, as slowing UK economic data could trigger renewed selling pressure.
If the UK data disappoints, GBP/USD could struggle to hold higher levels, reinforcing my trade.
Technical & Price Action Analysis
Resistance Holding at 1.342–1.345:
Strong resistance is forming here. If bulls fail to push past this zone, my sell trade could still play out.
Wick formations near this level suggest some rejection, but confirmation is needed.
Key Support Levels for a Potential Drop:
1.330–1.331 (Flipped Resistance, Now Support) – Watching if price retests this zone.
1.326–1.327 (Major Support) – If momentum shifts, price could revisit this area.
1.321 (Stronger Support) – If price weakens further, this becomes my downside target.
Momentum is slowing, but the bullish trend is still intact unless price rejects at 1.342–1.345.
Volume Profile & Institutional Behavior – Are Big Players Selling?
Signs of Institutional Unloading:
Buy-side orders appear strong, but price is not breaking higher with conviction. This could mean large traders are selling into the rally.
Watching for a delta imbalance where buyers dominate order flow, but price fails to rise. This is a classic distribution sign.
Why This Matters: If institutions are offloading positions near 1.342–1.345, we could see price stall and reverse. My focus is on whether this resistance holds or breaks. That will define whether my sell trade remains valid.
My Trade Management Plan – Staying Patient
As a daily trader, I wait for the daily candle close before making adjustments.
If price rejects 1.342–1.345, I’ll hold my position with targets back toward 1.330–1.327.
If price breaks above resistance and holds, I may need to reevaluate my stop-loss placement.
Final Thoughts – Trusting My Process
I’m still holding my sell at 1.32480, but I recognize that buyers are testing key resistance. If institutions are quietly distributing, we could see a shift back to the bearish side, but I’m waiting for confirmation at the daily close.
I’ll update once the daily candle closes. Let’s see if sellers step in.
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
GBPUSD has reached a resistance zone, where a correction is expected.
We anticipate a pullback toward the specified support level, which could act as a launchpad for the next bullish move.
After completing the correction, the pair is expected to resume its upward movement toward the specified targets.
Will GBPUSD use the pullback as a springboard for further gains? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
DeGRAM | GBPUSD Strengthening Pound📊 Technical Analysis
- Uptrending channel
The GBP/USD pair is moving steadily within the ascending channel, having recently tested key support levels (“break and retest”).
- Key Resistance
Immediate resistance at $1.32; a break of this level means further strengthening of bullish sentiment.
- Predicted Scenario
A confirmed break above $1.32 opens the way to 1.33.
Fundamental Analysis 💡
Strong UK wage growth (5.9%) and GDP growth (0.5%) support GBP strength. A weaker USD amid easing trade tensions also favors GBP/USD.
✨ Summary
Positive fundamentals complement a clear bullish technical situation. Keep a close eye on a break above $1.32 to confirm the continuation of GBP/USD upside!
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GBPCAD IS BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPCAD is currently presenting a high-probability bullish setup after a textbook inverse head and shoulders formation on the 12H chart. Price is now hovering around 1.8457 and has just broken out above the descending trendline acting as neckline resistance. This structural shift, combined with clean bullish price action, signals the potential beginning of a fresh upward leg toward the 1.8976 region, a prior key supply zone and the projected target based on the measured move technique from the pattern.
From a fundamental standpoint, the British Pound is supported by hawkish BoE rhetoric and stronger-than-expected UK inflation data. Sticky core CPI and a robust labor market are keeping interest rate expectations elevated, which strengthens GBP across the board. In contrast, the Canadian Dollar remains under pressure due to softer oil prices and the Bank of Canada's dovish stance as it flirts with rate cuts in upcoming meetings. This macro divergence is fueling the momentum in GBPCAD’s favor, making it a favored pair for swing longs.
Technically, the pair is forming higher lows with increasing volume, which adds confidence to the breakout. The risk is well defined below 1.8198, making this an attractive trade with a solid 1:2+ reward-to-risk profile. As price continues to respect bullish market structure, any pullback toward the neckline could offer a prime re-entry zone for continuation traders.
This setup aligns with highly searched price action strategies such as “inverse head and shoulders breakout,” “neckline retest,” and “GBP strength vs CAD weakness.” With both technical and fundamental confluence pointing in the same direction, GBPCAD is set up for a potentially profitable swing opportunity heading into May.
Cable H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportCable (GBP/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.3290 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 1.3192 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 1.3515 which is a resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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