GBPUSD Live Week 50 Swing ZonesWeek 49 was a blast.
Week 50 SZ is calculated and excepted price path highlighted
As always Price action determines trades.
GBPUSD
GBPUSD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.2770 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.2750
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD LOOK LIKE BULLISH AT 2638hello traders XAUUSD xauusd want to buy zone at 2638 maybe it come to retrace their area at 2632 theni our entry is 2632 and our technical target are 2645/2650/2655 keep hold for my trager and follow us for sure ideas
09.12.24 Morning ForecastPairs on Watch -
FX:GBPUSD
FX:EURUSD
FX:AUDNZD
A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy!
GBPUSD Sell Limit OrderHi everyone.
I think with this bearish engulfing candle we have an area with a good potential to go short.
Lets see what happens...
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
GBP/USD → Breaks Out, Eyes New Trend Target Around 1.300Hello everyone, Ben here!
The GBP/USD pair has found an opportunity to recover as a breakout from the previous parallel channel around the 1.271 region takes shape amid the dollar's ongoing correction. Key levels of interest are now set around the 1.300 area, with market sentiment cautiously optimistic.
A notable test of the intermediate low near the 1.248 mark was followed by an impressive reversal pattern, suggesting a bullish shift in momentum. Theoretically, the outlook leans toward further upside. However, the bigger question remains: How sustainable is this rally? The answer primarily lies in the trajectory of the U.S. dollar.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is currently pricing in a 71.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. This scenario implies increased downside pressure on the USD, potentially opening the door for a moderate recovery in other currencies, including the pound.
From a technical perspective, the channel breakout provides a promising bullish signal, potentially setting the stage for a stronger upward move. However, traders appear cautious, waiting for further confirmation. If a false breakout above resistance occurs and the price falls below 1.271, a move back toward 1.240 could be on the horizon. For now, though, the mid-term outlook hints at a gradual climb from 1.275 to the psychological level of 1.300, supported by positive technical signals.
What are your thoughts on the current dynamics of GBP/USD? Share your insights, questions, or observations—let’s analyze this fascinating setup together!
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 09, 2024 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair commenced the new week in a subdued manner, fluctuating within a narrow trading range below the mid-1.27000s during the Asian session. Spot prices remain well below the three-week highs reached on Friday, with the 1.28000 mark still out of reach. However, the fundamental backdrop suggests that caution is warranted for those with a bullish outlook.
The US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, released on Friday, indicated that the unemployment rate increased in November and confirmed expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) would reduce borrowing costs in December. However, the initial market reaction proved to be short-lived, with investors betting that the US central bank would either slow the pace or halt the rate-cutting cycle in January. This in turn enabled the US dollar (USD) to maintain a position above its lowest level in almost a month, which exerted a negative influence on the GBP/USD ratio.
Furthermore, the ongoing geopolitical tensions, China's economic challenges and concerns over US President-elect Donald Trump's upcoming trade tariffs are additional factors supporting the US dollar as a safe haven. The British pound has encountered resistance from investors in the face of a dovish outlook from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, who anticipates four interest rate cuts in 2025. This further constrained the GBP/USD exchange rate as market participants await the release of US consumer inflation data, which is expected to provide a boost to the currency.
The much-anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, scheduled for release on Wednesday, is expected to provide further insights into the trajectory of the Fed rate cut and inform policymakers' decisions at the upcoming December meeting. This will play a pivotal role in driving demand for the US dollar in the near term and influencing the next phase of the GBP/USD pair's directional movement. Additionally, the speech by Bank of England Deputy Governor David Ramsden on Monday may impact the GBP price dynamics, presenting short-term opportunities for traders.
Trading recommendation: We follow the level of 1.27000, when fixing above it we consider Buy positions, when rebounding we consider Sell positions.
GBP/USD Positioned for Gains Amid DXY BearishnessTechnical Analysis
Monthly Chart:
On the monthly chart, GBP/USD appears overextended to the downside, showing signs of exhaustion in its bearish momentum. This overextension suggests that a reversal or correction is likely, aligning with broader dollar weakness.
Weekly Chart:
The weekly chart also indicates a slowdown in bearish pressure, with candles forming near key support zones. Buyers seem to be stepping in, reinforcing the potential for a trend shift.
Daily Chart:
The daily timeframe shows a strong bullish reversal pattern, signaling a potential trend change to the upside. This reversal is supported by the weakening DXY, which aligns with GBP/USD's upward momentum. The combination of a technical reversal and a fundamentally weaker dollar positions GBP/USD for further gains in the short to medium term.
Fundamental Analysis
Impact of the U.S. Dollar:
The bearish outlook for the DXY directly supports GBP/USD’s potential for upside:
Liquidity Grab in DXY: The recent liquidity grab above 107.348 on the DXY suggests a move lower for the dollar, which would bolster GBP/USD strength.
Federal Reserve Outlook:
Concerns over further rate cuts due to inflation risks are keeping the dollar volatile.
Seasonal labor market strength in November and December may delay immediate rate cuts, but any signs of weakening unemployment or inflation stabilization could lead to long-term dollar weakness.
Upcoming Catalysts:
Key U.S. data releases such as Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and unemployment rates could create significant volatility. If unemployment increases and inflation stabilizes, GBP/USD could see stronger upward moves.
GBP Fundamentals:
UK Economic Resilience: Any positive data from the UK economy, such as improved GDP growth or strong employment figures, could further fuel GBP/USD's upward trend.
Rate Differentials: If the Bank of England maintains or raises interest rates while the Federal Reserve signals potential cuts, GBP/USD could gain additional support.
Summary and Outlook
Technical and Fundamental Alignment:
GBP/USD is well-positioned for a bullish move, supported by:
A technical reversal pattern on the daily chart, signaling strong upward momentum.
A bearish outlook for the DXY, indicating broader dollar weakness.
Key upcoming U.S. data releases that may provide further catalysts for a GBP/USD rally.
Price Expectations:
Short-Term: GBP/USD could continue its bullish push, breaking above immediate resistance levels.
Medium-to-Long-Term: With continued DXY weakness and supportive UK fundamentals, GBP/USD may sustain its upward trajectory toward major resistance zones.
GBP/USD’s technical and fundamental alignment makes this pair a strong candidate for further upside potential in the coming weeks. Traders should watch for confirmation from U.S. economic data to reinforce this analysis.
Sell GBP/USD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2668
2nd Support – 1.2620
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
NASDAQ ONE MONTH FORECASTAfter breaking so many levels and reaching such a high price, nasdaq should stop soon to correct ;
we think it could go up to 22K max, then come back to the red KL, which are the ones that never were corrected ;
not exactly sure when or how, but this round top seems like a realistic way to end the year for US100.
Why GBP Is the Alpha Wolf: Decoding the Market's Next Big MoveThe COT strategy has revealed potent setups once again. The codes are unlocking the market’s next likely moves. What you’re about to read is no ordinary analysis—this is how the game is truly played.
This week, GBP and CHF stand out. EUR and NZD also look promising. So, why focus on GBP & CHF? The answer is strength. While EUR & NZD took out their April lows, GBP & CHF did not. The strong remain strong. Align yourself with the wolf leading the pack.
Consider GBP. It’s more than just a setup—it's a symphony of signals:
Code #1: COT Indexes
Commercials: 100% Bullish
Small Specs: 100% Bearish
The crowd is fading into weakness. The pros are betting on strength.
Code #2: Small Spec Positioning
The masses are nearly maxed out on shorts. History tells us their extreme is our opportunity. We fade the crowd.
Code #3: Valuation
Using the WillVal tool:
GBP is undervalued relative to Gold, Treasuries, and USD. This is a fundamental misalignment—the market is screaming 'buy.' The code agrees.
Code #4: True Seasonal
Seasonal trends align. GBP’s true path is bullish up to Jan/Feb. Time and trend converge.
The final pieces of the puzzle:
Accumulation: Insider activity shows heavy buying pressure.
Weekly %R: Sitting in the buy zone.
Rate of Change (ROC): Near the bottoming zone. Strength is brewing.
So why GBP over the others? Comparative Strength. GBP & CHF resisted weakness while EUR & NZD faltered. The strong wolf will not be dragged down by the weak. This isn’t a trade—it’s a strategy rooted in probabilities, not guesswork.
Triggers have fired. I’m already long. But remember: this isn’t an invitation to blindly enter. Fundamentals identify the opportunity, technicals time the precision strike. Discipline is the edge.
The question is simple: What will you do with this information?
Will you continue wandering the Matrix, chasing shadows in the market? Or will you learn to see the code that governs it all?
The choice is yours. I can show you how deep this rabbit hole goes. DM me if you’re ready to truly learn how to trade commodity futures like a pro.
There’s no turning back once you see the truth.
GBPUSD H4 | Bullish Continuation?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.2694, which is an overlap support that aligns with 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.2834, a pullback resistance that aligns with 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.2615, which is an overlap support level.
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Potential bullish rise?The Cable (GBP/USD) has reacted off the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.2686
1st Support: 1.2529
1st Resistance: 1.2907
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EURUSD BUY PositionThe EURUSD has formed a pattern, and based on that, along with the support marked by the yellow line, a price reversal in three stages is expected up to 1.10850. Good Luck
Based on the previous analysis of GBPUSD published in earlier posts, these two currency pairs are directly correlated, meaning the rise of one leads to the rise of the other.
GBP/USD Longs from 1.2700 for another potential rally.This week, I expect GBP/USD to continue its bullish trend. I’ve identified 5-hour and 4-hour demand zones as key areas where I anticipate a retracement. In these zones, I’ll be watching for potential Wyckoff accumulation, signaling the continuation of the uptrend. Once price reaches these demand zones, I’ll wait for further confirmations before entering any trades.
If the price continues rising without retracing, I’ll consider potential sells around the newly created 2-hour supply zone, though its validity isn’t strong. My decision will depend on how well the lower timeframe execution model develops in that area.
Confluences for GBP/USD Buys:
- Bullish Momentum: The pair has been in an uptrend for the past two weeks.
- Liquidity Above: There’s still a significant amount of upside liquidity to be taken.
- Weekly Supply Zone Mitigation: Price has reacted and moved away from a major weekly supply zone.
- Demand Zone: A clean demand area below suggests a likely retracement point for price.
Note: As we approach mid-December, I expect market volume to decrease due to the upcoming holidays, which could lead to slower price movements. This is worth considering when planning entries and exits.
GBPAUD - 4 Year Plan. Over 8,000pips To Be Made! Here we have the 2week chart of GBPAUD.
Wave A = 5 wave Leading diagonal.
Wave B = Complex WXY correction (3x3x3)
Wave C = Expecting 5 Waves
We are currently on final part of Wave B. As mentioned above, Wave B is a WXY correction so each part has 3 subwaves. We are in Wave Y, subwave B.
We believe the top has been made for wave subwave B and so we can look to trade the minor wave c (red move) with stops above the current highs.
GBPAUD 2D Chart
Trade Idea (Red Move):
- Risk entry on market open
- Stops above invalidation level
- Targets: 1.915 (800pips), 1.86 (1400pips)
Once the red move is done, we can focus on the blue move.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
GBP/USD Looks Bullish on H1 Timeframe"All Insights given on Chart"
(Follow for more Valuable Updates)
Note :
Do your own Research and Trade Wisely Never rely on my opinions.
Good Luck folks
GBPUSD | "Cable" Weekly Forex Forecast: Bearish! Sell The -FVG!GBPUSD is weak, and has currently retraced into a Daily Imbalance, overlapped by a Weekly Imbalance. It is from this point of Internal Range Liquidity that I expect price to seek the next External Range Liquidity, down at the low, @1.2487. This will be the draw on liquidity for the upcoming week, imo.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
R2F Weekly Analysis - 8th December 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
"GBP/USD Breaks the Channel: A Bold Move to Reverse the Trend"The GBP/USD currency pair appears poised for potential growth as it approaches a critical breakout from the local trend resistance, supported by a broader correction in the U.S. dollar. This scenario emerges amidst weakening economic signals from the U.S., which are challenging the Federal Reserve's optimistic narrative.
### A Shift in Dynamics: Dollar Weakness and GBP Momentum
The U.S. dollar, long buoyed by hawkish Fed policies and resilient economic data, now faces increasing pressure. Yesterday's negative jobless claims data raised concerns about the strength of the labor market. All eyes are on today’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, as worse-than-expected results could deepen the dollar's correction. Such developments would underscore cracks in the U.S. economy, contradicting recent remarks by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who suggested economic stability. This uncertainty opens the door for forex currencies, including GBP, to stage a rally.
### Technical Outlook: Breakout with Potential Upside
From a technical perspective, GBP/USD is showing early signs of strength, with the retest of the intermediate bottom producing clear reversal candlestick patterns and a potential shift in market structure. The breakout from the existing price channel is a promising signal that could mark the beginning of a strong upward momentum. However, market sentiment remains cautious, with traders awaiting further confirmation before fully committing to a bullish trajectory.
Key **resistance levels** to monitor include 1.284 and the psychological level of 1.300. On the downside, **support levels** are established at 1.272, 1.261, and 1.2488. A sustained break above 1.284 could pave the way for a medium-term rally toward 1.300, while a false breakout could trigger a reversal, sending the price back toward 1.272 and potentially as low as 1.240.
### Zones of Interest: Bullish Scenario
Currently, the pair is positioned within a favorable zone for growth, with positive signs indicating a medium-term rise from 1.275 to 1.300. A strong push above these levels could signal a broader trend reversal, attracting further buying interest.
### Bearish Risks: What to Watch For
Despite the positive setup, risks remain. Should the pair fail to sustain its breakout and fall back below 1.272, bearish momentum could accelerate. This would open the door for a decline toward 1.240, especially if the NFP data exceeds expectations and strengthens the dollar temporarily.
### The Big Picture: Caution vs. Opportunity
While the technical signals are promising, the sustainability of GBP/USD’s potential rally largely depends on the evolving narrative surrounding the U.S. dollar. A prolonged correction in the dollar, driven by weaker economic data, would provide the perfect backdrop for GBP to gain traction. However, any surprises in upcoming U.S. reports or shifts in Fed policy expectations could quickly dampen bullish sentiment.
For now, GBP/USD is at a pivotal moment. A breakout from its current resistance could serve as a launchpad for significant gains, but traders should remain vigilant, balancing optimism with the risks posed by a potentially resilient dollar.
XAUUSD ON THE MOVEAfter make such a sudden hard uptrend, Gold seems ready to come down again ;
in a liquidity slow pattern this time, as it seems to have already started yesterday ;
just like BTC, gold sometimes like to come back where it started but in a slow way compared to the huge candlebox it just did ;
so this seems like a plunging pattern looking at aiming for 2550s.
US100/NASDAQ GOING UPAfter a long uptrend which we could not wait would stop, seems like yesterday's move set the tone for next days ;
it seems thanks to Trump that it is going up for real in a super bullish trend that wants to break 22K ;
and as BTC just blew 102-103K, we never know what could happen.
More precisely, this seems like a triangle pattern which will either make the price fall hard or keep going up smoothly, which seems more accurate now.
Weekly Forex Forecast: GBPUSD Is Indicating Strength! GBPUSD had a strong close to last week. This led to a bullish BOS on the Daily TF, in the Weekly -FVG. I expect there to be a short term reaction to the imbalance, and then a resumption of the bullish momentum at the bullish FVG on the Daily TF.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
