Market Analysis: GBP/USD Under PressureMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Under Pressure
GBP/USD started a fresh decline below the 1.2320 zone.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound started another decline from the 1.2320 resistance zone.
- There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.2205 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to continue higher above the 1.2320 resistance zone. The British Pound started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.2270 support zone against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis.
The pair even traded below 1.2250 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 1.2100 level. The recent swing low was formed at 1.2160 and the pair is now consolidating losses.
Immediate resistance on the upside is near a short-term bearish trend line at 1.2205. The first major resistance is near the 1.2230 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2305 swing high to the 1.2160 low.
The main hurdle sits at 1.2270 and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2305 swing high to the 1.2160 low. A close above the 1.2270 resistance might spark a steady upward move.
The next major resistance is near the 1.2305 zone. Any more gains could lead the pair toward the 1.2320 resistance in the near term.
Initial support on the GBP/USD chart sits at 1.2160. The next major support sits at 1.2140, below which there is a risk of another sharp decline. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 1.2100.
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GBPUSD
Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.2364
1st Support: 1.2099
1st Resistance: 1.2531
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GBP/USD: Consolidation at Key SupportLooking at the 4-hour chart of GBP/USD, I see that the pair is currently trading around 1.2202, with signs of consolidation at a strong support zone. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA are still sloping down, indicating that the bearish bias is still dominant. However, the gap between the price and the EMA is narrowing, which could be a sign that the bearish pressure is waning.
In addition, the pair has successfully tested the 1.2170 support zone in recent sessions, creating a solid foundation for a short-term recovery. To break this consolidation, the price needs to overcome the dynamic resistance at the 34 EMA, located around 1.2230. If this happens, the next target will be the 1.2300 zone – a strong psychological resistance.
Levels discussed on Livestream 21st Jan 202521st January 2025
DXY: If the price stays below 108.80, could see it trade lower to 107.80 (50% retracement)
NZDUSD: Looking for retrace to 0.5690 and reaction to 0.57 round number.
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6190 SL 20 TP 55
GBPUSD: Buy 1.2350 SL 50 TP 120
EURUSD: Could retrace higher, looking for reaction at 1.0460
USDJPY: Sell 156.20 SL 50 TP 100
EURJPY: Buy 161.20 SL 70 TP 120
GBPJPY: Buy 192.20 SL 40 TP 80
USDCHF: Could trade lower down to 0.9020 support
USDCAD: Sell 1.44 SL 30 TP 90
XAUUSD: Currently 2730, price stays above 2720 could trade up to 2760
GBP/USD: BOE Is Ready for the Big Cut!GBP/USD shows mixed signals, remaining below 1.2350, influenced by economic and political factors in both the UK and the US. After a strong rally on Monday, the pair lost momentum on Tuesday, driven by the recovery of the US Dollar and overall disappointing UK labor market data. The rise in the unemployment rate to 4.4% and a slowdown in employment growth weigh on the Pound, despite an annual wage increase of 5.6%. From a technical perspective, the RSI on the 4-hour chart signals a loss of bullish momentum, approaching the neutral level of 50 after being in the overbought zone. Key support levels are located at 1.2230 and 1.2200, while resistances are seen at 1.2350.
The Pound is also affected by an uncertain macroeconomic context, with Trump's comments indicating potential tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada, supporting a recovery in the Dollar due to its safe-haven status. In the absence of significant US economic data, investor focus shifts to stock market performance: a negative opening on Wall Street could support the Dollar, exerting additional bearish pressure on GBP/USD. In the short term, the pair may remain under pressure, with a potential test of key support levels, unless more solid signs of Pound strength or Dollar weakness emerge.
Pound slips as UK payrolls slideThe British pound continues to show sharp swings this week. After a spectacular 1.3% gain on Monday, GBP/USD has reversed directions and is trading at 1.2233 in the European session, down 0.68% on the day.
The UK payrolls report, a reliable indicator of employment growth, showed a sharp decline of 47 thousand m/m in December 2024. This was the largest decline since Nov. 2020 and follows a revised -32 thousand in November. The back-to-back declines are a result of the government's new payroll taxes in the budget, which is causing businesses to release workers. Wage growth (excluding bonuses) remains hot and increased to 5.6% in December, in line with the market estimate and higher than the 5.2% gain in November.
While the weak employment data will be a headache for the UK government, it supports the case for the Bank of England to cut interest rates in order to kick-start the flagging economy. The BoE held rates in December and meets next on Feb. 6, with a quarter-point cut priced in at 85%. Inflation has remained sticky and the jump in wage growth is a reminder of the upside risk of inflation. The BoE may be looking at rate cuts in the coming months but it will have to do so cautiously, ever mindful of inflation.
In the US, the strong nonfarm payrolls report for December is raising the possibility that the easing cycle may be over. The Bank of America doesn't expect any rate cuts in 2025 and says the risks for the next move are tilted towards a hike. The Fed started the easing cycle with a bang in September 2024, chopping rates by a half-point, but the strong economy means Fed policy makers may have to consider rate hikes in 2025.
GBP/USD has pushed below support at 1.2278. and is putting pressure on support at 1.2211
1.2395 and 1.2462 are the next resistance lines
Ghost Traders FX GBP/USD Trend Continuation [SHORT]News volume has failed to create disrupt the bearish structure and trend, liquidity remains targetable on the sell side with buyside liquidity swept last night.
I don't see the DXY reversing bearish just yet but I believe we are close.
My Bias is Short as price seems very likely to target 1.203 before any major trend reversal.
Trade Record for GTFX stands at 126 wins, 17 breakevens, 7 losses with a 94%+ W/R & +2670 pips gained.
GBPUSD Week 4 Swing Zone & LevelDynamic Take profit, dtp allows trade to catch big moves. These are set based on price momentum. Last week provided a humble 40pips.
Initial Swing Zone/Level are calculated at
Zone: 21599-21549
Level set as shown. Either a or b could play out, as determined by Price action.
As price breaks or bounces off these areas, new zones/levels will be recalculated.
Happy trading week
GBPUSD H1 | Bullish BreakoutBased on the H1 chart, Calling for a bullish bounce off the key support level at 1.21937, which aligns with a pullback support zone. This level is expected to act as a strong entry point in the bullish setup.
Our take profit is set at 1.22981, targeting a key resistance level, marking a logical exit point for the trade.
The stop loss is set at 1.21468, below the recent swing low, allowing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bullish bias.
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Weekly Forex Trade Planning SessionAnalysed Pairs: CAD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD, EUR/CAD
Market Overview:
USD & JPY: Bullish
CAD: Mixed
EUR & GBP: Weak
Price Analysis:
CAD/JPY:
Trend: Downtrend
Current Position: At Momentum Low
Outlook: Expecting a bullish pullback in the next phase.
GBP/USD:
Trend: Downtrend
Current Position: Trading at Momentum Low 5
Outlook: Potential for bearish continuation. Watch for a bullish reversal above 1.2186. A break below 1.2160 could signal further downside.
USD/CAD:
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Current Position: After a trend reset breaking the momentum high
Outlook: Avoid buying at the high; wait for a pullback to go long. Alternatively, look for short opportunities if the price breaks below the reset point.
USD/JPY:
Trend: Correction in Downtrend
Current Position: Observing Wave Structure 3
Outlook: Potential for a bullish secondary trend. Using Fibonacci levels, the price has paused at the 61.8% T2 target. If the high of Wave 3 isn't broken, the downtrend may resume.
EUR/CAD:
Trend: Trend-changing pattern after last pullback
Outlook: Look to sell on a break below 1.4860, with targets at 1.4825 and 1.4810.
Happy Trading!
GBPUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello traders! Here's my analysis for the GBP/USD pair. Currently, I anticipate the price to continue its downward movement towards the target of 1.19872 .
However, if GBP/USD breaks above the 1.23220 level on the 1H timeframe and consolidates, I expect a potential bull market scenario to unfold.
📉 Expectation:
Downward trend to 1.19872 unless 1.23220 is broken.
If the 1.23220 resistance is breached, a bullish movement may start.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Target 1: 1.19872
Resistance to break: 1.23220
💬 What’s your take on GBP/USD this week? Let me know in the comments below!
Trade safe
Weekly FOREX Forecast Jan 20-24thThis is an outlook for the week of Jan 20-24th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
The USD is at a higher time frame Supply Zone. This coincides with the Inauguration Day for Trump. The USD Index will potentially start to turn over here, if the 2016 Inauguration Day is used as a model. No selling until a bearish break of structure! But stay vigilant, and be careful buying into a HTF Supply Zone!
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GBPUSD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.216.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.251 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBP/USD Shorts from 1.22800 back downMy idea for GBP/USD (GU) this week is slightly different from the others. Currently, GU is positioned between significant liquidity zones, with the most immediate valid POI being the 50-minute supply zone located above the Asian high. I expect the price to sweep that liquidity before reacting to the supply zone and targeting the trendline liquidity below.
After the liquidity sweep and a break of structure, a new supply zone is likely to form. However, at this stage, price action is less clear compared to how EUR/USD (EU) is moving. Therefore, I’ll exercise extra caution in my confluences and avoid overly ambitious take-profit targets.
Confluences for GU Sells:
Significant liquidity below in the form of a trendline that needs to be taken.
A clean 50-minute supply zone sitting above a pool of liquidity.
GU remains bearish overall on higher time frames.
The POI is at an extreme point within the current structure.
DXY remains bullish, supporting this bearish outlook for GU.
Note: If the price breaks the supply zone and then forms a break of structure to the upside, I’ll shift my focus to buy opportunities, similar to my plan for EU.
Have a great trading week, everyone!
NASDAQ EVEN BETTER THAN PLANNEDThe new blue line is our new ideal forecast, staying in between the possibilities the green and lower blue lines give, but wow this is even bigger than we thought. We caught a good one.
Technical Analysis:
The NASDAQ 100 index has shown strong upward momentum, recently breaking out above a key resistance level at 15,000. It is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling a sustained uptrend. The RSI is trending higher but remains below overbought levels, indicating further upside potential. MACD has crossed into bullish territory, confirming positive momentum.
Immediate resistance lies at 15,500, with a break above this level potentially targeting 16,000, the year’s high. On the downside, 15,000 now acts as key support, with additional support at 14,700. The index remains in a solid uptrend, supported by higher lows and strong buying pressure on dips.
Fundamental Analysis:
The NASDAQ is benefiting from a favorable macroeconomic environment and strong earnings reports from major tech companies. Optimism around artificial intelligence and innovation continues to drive investor interest, with tech stocks leading the charge.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s signal that it may pause further rate hikes due to cooling inflation has supported growth stocks, which are highly sensitive to interest rate changes. Lower yields also make tech valuations more attractive, fueling buying interest.
Additionally, the U.S. economy has shown resilience, with solid GDP growth and a strong labor market. This combination of steady economic conditions and a less aggressive Fed has created a favorable environment for the NASDAQ.
Key Catalysts to Watch:
Upcoming earnings reports, especially from major tech companies.
Federal Reserve updates, including comments on interest rate policy.
U.S. economic data, such as inflation and GDP figures.
Sentiment around innovation sectors like AI, semiconductors, and cloud computing.
XAUUSD, EXCACTLY AS PLANNED IN OUR LAST POSTTechnical Analysis:
XAU/USD (Gold) has shown strong bullish momentum, trading comfortably above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which signal a sustained uptrend. The price recently broke a key resistance level at $1,950, which now acts as strong support. Momentum indicators like the RSI are in bullish territory but remain below overbought levels, suggesting room for further upside. The MACD histogram is widening, indicating increasing bullish momentum.
The next key resistance lies at $2,000, a psychological level, followed by $2,030, a recent multi-month high. A confirmed break above $2,000 could set the stage for a move toward $2,050. On the downside, support at $1,950 and $1,920 will be critical to watch for any potential retracement.
Fundamental Analysis:
Gold's bullish outlook is driven by a combination of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. Concerns over global economic slowdown, persistent geopolitical tensions, and central banks maintaining high levels of gold reserves are supporting safe-haven demand.
In the U.S., softer inflation data and dovish signals from the Federal Reserve have weakened the dollar, making gold more attractive for international buyers. Additionally, Treasury yields have started to stabilize, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
Furthermore, with the Chinese economy showing signs of recovery and increased demand for physical gold from Asia, gold prices are expected to remain well-supported in the near term. Central bank buying also continues to provide a long-term tailwind for prices.
Key Catalysts to Watch:
U.S. economic data, particularly inflation and labor market reports.
Fed policy updates and FOMC meeting minutes.
Developments in geopolitical hotspots that could spur safe-haven flows.
Demand trends from major gold-importing countries like China and India.
CHFJPY ON THE MOVETechnical Analysis:
CHF/JPY continues its bullish trajectory, trading above key moving averages, including the 50-day and 200-day lines. The pair recently broke above resistance at 151.50, now turned support, with the next resistance zone at 153.00. Momentum indicators like RSI remain strong but not yet overbought, while the MACD confirms the upward trend. A sustained break above 153.00 could target 154.50 in the near term.
Fundamental Analysis:
The Swiss franc remains supported by safe-haven demand, while the Japanese yen is pressured by the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy. Despite minor adjustments to yield curve control, the BoJ’s dovish stance contrasts with Switzerland's relatively steady monetary environment. This policy divergence and risk sentiment dynamics favor CHF appreciation against JPY.
GBPUSD - Low Placed? next Leg Up??#GBPUSD. market trade near to his final bottom area and that is market final bottom if there is any kind of bullish scenario exist.
because that region will decide pound next move of 500 to 800 pips.
so keep close and keep in mind that 1.2120 to 1.2160 will decide pound future.
don't short until market hold that region.
good luck
trade wisely
GBPUSD is in the Selling Direction after breaking SupportHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USD/JPY: Key Pullback After 320-Pip Drops, Another Decline AheadBy analyzing the USD/JPY daily chart, we observe that after a significant drop to 155 (yielding 320 pips), the price has reacted to a key psychological level and is currently in a pullback phase. Following a short upward move, we can look for a suitable trigger to align with another potential downside move. This chart will be updated again soon—stay tuned!
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