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GBPUSD

XAU/USD: Ready for another Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that yesterday the price once again moved exactly as expected, hitting all four targets: $3022, $3016, $3010, and $3000, and even dropped further to $2956, resulting in a total return of over 700 pips! Currently, gold is trading around $3003, and if the price stabilizes below $3014, we can expect further downside. All key demand and supply zones are marked on the chart and are fully tradable. If the drop continues, the next bearish targets will be $2997, $2991, $2984, and $2976, respectively. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
48
GBPUSD My analysis for 4/10 8:55am. I’ve analyzed all the information—the price action, indicators, candlestick patterns, and the fresh fundamental news—and here’s why I believe this trade is compelling: Overextension and Price Structure: Right now, the price is at 1.29490, which is significantly higher than the recent consolidation range of 1.281–1.285. This tells me that the market has pushed far beyond its comfort zone—a classic setup for a reversal pullback. I recognize this overextension as a warning sign that the rally might be overdone, especially when I consider the intraday price structure. Candlestick Patterns and Timeframe Confluence: On the 1‑hour and 15‑minute charts, I’m seeing strong bearish candlestick formations like bearish marubozu and long-line bearish candles. These patterns show that sellers have been in control, and they typically indicate a clean, unimpeded move to the downside when a reversal begins. Even though there are some mixed signals on the weekly charts (with dojis and uncertain high waves suggesting indecision), the microstructure on the shorter timeframes tells me there's immediate selling pressure that I can exploit. Indicator Confirmation: I’m also paying close attention to my indicators. The RSI on the 1‑hour chart is around 71, pushing into overbought territory, which signals that the upward momentum has likely peaked. Directional indicators, including the PLUS_DI versus MINUS_DI, further support a bias toward a corrective move downward. The ATR of approximately 0.00538 gives me a concrete measure of volatility, which I can use to set a well-defined stop-loss. Fundamental Catalyst: The market’s recent surge has been partly driven by fresh fundamental news—contrasting tariff policies where the U.S. has relaxed tariffs while China hikes them. This divergence has spurred a burst of volatility and risk-off behavior. I see this fundamental news as amplifying the current overextension; the initial rally was impulsive, and now the fundamentals back the idea that the move isn’t sustainable. Trade Setup and Risk Management: Based on this confluence, I plan to wait for a clear reversal signal on the lower timeframes—a bearish engulfing candle or a pin bar, ideally forming around 1.292–1.290. That’s when I would enter a short position. I’d set my stop-loss just above the recent highs (around 1.296–1.297) to accommodate normal volatility, as indicated by my ATR. For my profit target, I’m aiming for the support level around 1.278–1.281, which provides me with a favorable risk/reward ratio. In summary, I believe this trade is attractive because the current price is clearly overextended relative to a recent consolidation, and the technical indicators (including bearish candlestick patterns and an overbought RSI) confirm that sellers have the upper hand in the short term. Coupled with the fundamental catalyst driving uncertainty, it makes sense for me to target a reversal pullback. Waiting for that confirmation around 1.292–1.290 with tight risk controls gives me confidence that I’m entering a high-confluence trade with strong downside potential.
Short
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for GBPUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.2924 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.2858 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
GBPUSD INTRADAY bullish continuation above 1.2765 support GBP/USD maintains a bullish bias, with the broader trend and structure supporting upside continuation. The recent intraday move appears to be a corrective pullback toward a key prior consolidation area. Key Support: 1.2765 – aligns with the previous consolidation zone and potential bullish inflection point. Upside Targets: 1.2935 – initial resistance level 1.2985 and 1.3026 – medium to long-term bullish targets If price finds support at 1.2765 and forms a bullish reversal, it would confirm the continuation of the uptrend toward the mentioned resistance levels. However, a break and daily close below 1.2765 would invalidate the bullish scenario, suggesting deeper retracement toward 1.2688, with further support at 1.2632 and 1.2600. Conclusion GBP/USD remains bullish above 1.2765. Look for a bounce from this level to confirm upside continuation. A daily close below 1.2765 would turn the outlook bearish, exposing lower support levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
BTC/USD more sells incoming? 66k?!Good morning traders, I’m back again with another beauty guys!! I’m sure everyone is asking what’s happening in the markets recently, well Trump(era) is happening. Back to the charts, here I have a 1 hour TF, yesterday we saw very big moves in price following the news that the tariffs are on hold, but that doesn’t or shouldn’t take always our market sentiments and our biases we had coming into this new week. This setup is basically a continuation set up but for now I’m only focusing on the relative equal lows because we understand that’s there is sell stops resting below those lows. For the rest of the day we can expect price to deliver lower price for the rest of the week but my question is this…can price drop to the 66k level? Good luck traders and remember we study price and time not technical analysis!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla
Will 3 Times Be The Charm For GBPUSD??We can see FX:GBPUSD retrace a tad further up to the Volume Imbalance that was created over the weekend of April 4th - 7th. After Price made its High @ 1.3207, it was immediately rejected back down below the Past Level of Support that is now showing signs of Resistance! - Following that Higher High not only resulted in a Lower Low but also sent the RSI under 50 into Bearish Territory! Now in the ICT Methodology of Volume Imbalances, Price is likely to Test or Fill the Imbalance, then once satisfied, has a high potential to turn the opposite direction. Now a Pullback to Fill the Imbalance would land Price right at the 38.2% Fibonacci Level @ 1.28984 where if Bulls are unable to push Price back above, would be an excellent Shorting Opportunity for Bears to overcome. - RSI is now below the 50 suggesting Bulls have lost steam and strengthens the potential for more downside to occur but that would call for a Break and Retest Scenario on the Rising Support. Fundamentally, the Federal Reserve will be releasing the CPI y/y and m/m results where analysts believe there to be a .3% decrease in inflation forecasting a 2.5% CPI for March from the previous 2.8% for February. Given this, the FOMC " do not plan to come to rescue Trump with rate cuts" and insist that all the Tariff pressure will actually be a reasoning for Inflation to Rise! So if CPI ends up printing Hotter than Expected (Higher), we could see a renewed strength in the USD.
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.2885, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibo retracement. Our take profit is set at 1.2721, an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 1.3009, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
GBPUSD Long?... not for long! Technical Analysis Summary (Multi-Timeframe View) Price Structure & Patterns Higher lows since April 8th = bullish market structure Several bullish candles (belt-hold, closing marubozu, doji on higher TF) suggest momentum shift upward The bearish harami on the 30-min adds caution — likely short-term consolidation, not reversal Support & Resistance Zones Support: 1.2785–1.2800 (prior rejection zone + buyer defense) Current minor resistance: 1.2845–1.2855 (hit twice recently — strong short-term cap) Next real resistance: 1.2890–1.2915 (April 7–8 highs) Major resistance: 1.2935–1.2950 (where sellers aggressively capped rallies on April 7) Indicators of Note RSI on 1H = 72.56 → approaching overbought, which aligns with current resistance MACD on 4H is positive = bullish momentum, though 1H MACD is nearly flat → move is maturing ADX 1H = 44 → Strong trend ATR 1H = 0.00358 (≈ 36 pips) → Expect that kind of volatility range Fundamentals April 9 FOMC Minutes: Hawkish USD strength likely to return soon, but it hasn't crushed GBP yet. April 10 CPI (coming up soon): Expectations are slightly soft: CPI 2.6% vs previous 2.8%, Core CPI flat If CPI misses → dollar weakens, GBP/USD rallies to next resistance If CPI beats → USD strengthens, GBP/USD pullback likely April 11 UK GDP and Trade GDP expected positive (from -0.17% to +0.1%) → could support GBP Option 1: Conservative TP (Safe Profit Lock-In) TP1: 1.2860 = Just under current resistance It's been tested a few times and could act as a double top if CPI hits strong. Option 2: Moderate-Aggressive TP (Event Risk Carry) TP2: 1.2870–1.2915 = Next resistance zone, April 7–8 top Bullish structure + current momentum could extend if CPI is dollar-negative (inflation soft). Good night everyone!
Long
by Sel_Ali
Gold Faces Key Resistance – Will the Uptrend Continue?📊 XAU/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 10, 2025 Gold has recently seen a strong rally, reaching an all-time high of $3167 per ounce. However, it encountered significant resistance at the upper boundary of its ascending channel, leading to a sharp pullback after the release of strong U.S. employment data, which boosted the dollar and exerted selling pressure on gold. Currently, gold is trading around $3050, with key support levels at $2956, $2860, and $2790, which could act as potential bounce points if the decline continues. 📈 Current Market Structure: After reaching the all-time high, the price has corrected lower. As it approaches the support levels mentioned above, the market may see fresh buying opportunities if these levels hold strong. 🔹 Key Resistance Levels: $3100: Immediate resistance. A break above this level could signal a resumption of the uptrend. $3167: All-time high. A breakout above this level would open the door for further gains. 🔸 Key Support Levels: $2956: First support. The price may bounce at this level if it holds. $2860: Major support. A failure to hold above this level could lead to further declines. $2790: Strong support. A drop below this level would signal a shift in the market's direction. 📐 Price Action Patterns: As the price approaches key support levels, there could be reversal patterns forming, indicating a potential price bounce. It’s crucial to monitor the price action at these levels to spot potential entry opportunities. 🧭 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Scenario: If gold manages to hold above $2956 and bounce, the uptrend may resume toward the resistance levels mentioned above. ❌ Bearish Scenario: If gold fails to maintain the key support levels, the correction could continue, with further declines toward lower support levels. 📌 Conclusion: Gold is currently testing crucial support levels. Monitoring how price behaves at these levels will be key to determining the next direction. Traders should keep an eye on any economic developments that may affect market sentiment. 💬 What’s your outlook for Gold? Will it continue its uptrend or experience further corrections? Share your thoughts below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Saeed966
14
EUR/USD Nears Key Resistance – Will the Uptrend Continue?📊 EUR/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 10, 2025 EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.0964, following a strong upward move from 1.0800 to 1.1000. This rally has been driven by strong momentum and a clear break of structural resistance levels. However, the pair is now approaching a critical resistance zone between 1.1150 and 1.1200, which could lead to a potential pullback or reversal. 📈 Current Market Structure: The pair has seen a solid rise from 1.0800, breaking through multiple resistance levels along the way. However, as it approaches the strong resistance area between 1.1150 and 1.1200, there may be some profit-taking or correction. The key question is whether the bulls can push through this resistance to continue the uptrend. 🔹 Key Resistance Levels: 1.1150 – 1.1200: This is the critical resistance zone. If price fails to break above this, we could see a pullback or consolidation. 1.1215: A further key resistance. If price reaches this level and struggles to move higher, it may signal a potential reversal. 🔸 Key Support Levels: 1.0960: Immediate support level. A pullback toward this area could offer another opportunity for buying if the bulls continue to dominate. 1.0800: Major support. A failure to hold this level could lead to further downside and shift the market sentiment to bearish. 📐 Price Action Patterns: As the price approaches the strong resistance zone, we might see profit-taking or corrective moves. It's crucial to monitor how price reacts at these levels to determine the next potential move. A break above 1.1200 could signal continued bullish momentum, while failure could lead to a retracement. 🧭 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Scenario: If EUR/USD manages to break through the 1.1150 – 1.1200 resistance zone, it could continue its uptrend toward higher levels. A close above 1.1200 would strengthen the bullish outlook. ❌ Bearish Scenario: If price fails to break through resistance and pulls back below 1.0960, a deeper correction toward 1.0800 could be on the cards. A break below 1.0800 would suggest a more bearish outlook. 📌 Conclusion: EUR/USD is at a critical resistance point. Watching how the pair reacts near 1.1150 – 1.1200 will be key in determining if the bullish trend can continue or if a correction is likely. These levels will act as the defining points for the next move. 💬 What’s your outlook for EUR/USD? Will the pair break above 1.1200, or is a bearish reversal imminent? Share your thoughts below 👇
Short
by Saeed966
6
GBP/USD Faces Crucial Resistance – Will the Uptrend Continue?📊 GBP/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 10, 2025 GBP/USD is currently trading around 1.2696, facing significant resistance near the 1.2800 level. After a recent decline from the 1.3434 peak, the pair has been consolidating, forming a range between 1.2740 and 1.2860. The market's reaction to these levels will be crucial in determining the next directional move.​ 📈 Current Market Structure: The recent price action indicates a neutral to bearish trend for GBP/USD. The pair has formed lower highs and higher lows, creating a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting indecision in the market. A breakout from this pattern, either above 1.2860 or below 1.2740, will likely set the tone for the next significant move.​ 🔹 Key Resistance Levels: 1.2800: Immediate resistance. A break above this level could signal a potential bullish move.​ 1.2860: Upper boundary of the current range. A decisive break above this level would confirm the continuation of the uptrend.​ 1.2933: Significant resistance zone. If the price manages to break above this level, it could lead to further gains.​ 🔸 Key Support Levels: 1.2740: Lower boundary of the current range. A break below this level could indicate a bearish reversal.​ 1.2720: Short-term support. Failure to hold above this level might lead to a deeper correction.​ 1.2580: Major support zone. A drop below this level would confirm a bearish trend.​ 📐 Price Action Patterns: The formation of a symmetrical triangle suggests that the market is awaiting a catalyst for the next move. Traders should watch for a breakout from this pattern, as it will likely lead to increased volatility and a clear directional bias.​ 🧭 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 1.2860, especially with strong volume, could lead to a rally toward 1.2933 and potentially higher levels.​ ❌ Bearish Scenario: A break below 1.2740 could trigger a decline toward 1.2720, with further downside potential if the support at 1.2580 is breached.​ 📌 Conclusion: GBP/USD is currently consolidating within a defined range, with key levels at 1.2740 and 1.2860. The next significant move will depend on a breakout from this range, providing clarity on the market's direction. Traders should monitor these levels closely and prepare for increased volatility as the pair approaches these boundaries.​ 💬 What’s your outlook for GBP/USD? Will the pair break above 1.2860, or is a bearish reversal imminent? Share your thoughts below 👇
Short
by Saeed966
2
GBP/USD Maintains a Consistent Upward ChannelThe bearish bias seen in previous sessions appears to have paused temporarily, giving way to a notable bullish momentum, which has driven gains of over 1% in the short term in favor of the British pound. Today’s White House announcement to temporarily pause tariffs on several previously threatened countries—excluding China, which could face tariffs of up to 125%—has weakened the U.S. dollar in the short term. This shift has allowed the British pound to regain ground, supporting a steady bullish bias in the GBP/USD pair. Upward Channel Since January 14 of this year, bullish strength has been dominant, forming a clear ascending channel that has repeatedly pushed the price above the 200-period moving average. Recent bearish swings have failed to break through the ascending trendline, which remains intact, making this bullish channel the most important formation to monitor for now. TRIX Despite recent declines in the TRIX line, the indicator continues to oscillate above the zero level. This suggests that buying momentum remains intact when averaging recent moving periods. As long as the TRIX line continues to hold above the neutral level, bullish strength may become increasingly consistent in the short term. RSI The RSI line is approaching the 50 level, which marks the neutral zone on the indicator. However, if a significant breakout above this level occurs, bullish impulses could become dominant in the market—potentially strengthening upward pressure on GBP/USD. Key Levels: 1.29275 – Near Resistance: This level represents the recent weekly high. Bullish moves above this level could reinforce the short-term buying bias and lead to more sustained upward momentum. 1.27772 – Near Barrier: This level aligns with the 200-period moving average. Continued price action around this zone may lead to neutral consolidation and the formation of a short-term sideways range. 1.26183 – Final Support: This level corresponds to late February lows. A confirmed break below this support could signal the end of the current bullish channel. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
GBPUSD Slight change in TP. 4/9 4:10pm Given the data and technical indicators for GBP/USD, here's a breakdown of potential trading options: Key Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI for multiple timeframes is somewhat low (19.44 on the 1-minute chart, 40.47 on the 5-minute chart, 59.50 on the 15-minute chart, and so on). A low RSI value often indicates that the asset is oversold, which can suggest a potential buying opportunity. MACD: The MACD shows mixed signals across different timeframes (slightly negative on some timeframes, but with positive momentum on the longer ones). This suggests a neutral to slightly bullish trend in the near future. Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic Oscillator is at 15.52 on the 1-minute chart and increases to 61.12 on the 5-minute chart. A value of 15.52 suggests that the market might be oversold on the 1-minute chart, and a potential reversal could be coming. Aroon Oscillator: The Aroon Oscillator is mostly negative on shorter timeframes, indicating a downtrend, but positive on longer timeframes, suggesting some bullish pressure. Average Directional Index (ADX): The ADX for the 1-minute chart is at 29.74, which is relatively low, meaning there isn't a strong directional trend. On longer timeframes (1 hour and 4 hours), the ADX is higher, suggesting some trending potential. Balance of Power (BOP): The BOP is positive on the 1-minute timeframe (0.52), but turns negative as timeframes increase, indicating a loss of buying momentum. Support & Resistance Levels: The recent price data shows a price range between 1.27436 (low) and 1.28641 (high), indicating recent support at the lower bound (1.27436) and resistance at the upper bound (1.28641). Possible Trading Scenarios: Bullish Scenario (Buy): RSI: The RSI on the shorter timeframes (like 1-minute and 5-minute) is on the low side, suggesting the market is oversold and could be due for a reversal. Stochastic: The 1-minute Stochastic is low, signaling a potential short-term rebound. Price Action: If the current price is around 1.27946 and you believe in a potential reversal from oversold conditions, you could consider buying with a target near 1.28641 (recent high). Bearish Scenario (Sell): Aroon Oscillator: On the shorter timeframes, the Aroon Oscillator is negative, suggesting some bearish momentum. Resistance Level: The current price (1.27946) is closer to the lower bound of the recent price range, and the resistance is just above at 1.28641. If the price struggles to break above this, a bearish trade could be considered. MACD: With the MACD showing some negative readings, a potential sell order can be placed if the market fails to break above resistance. Neutral Scenario (Wait & See): ADX: The ADX on the shorter timeframes suggests a lack of strong momentum, so it might be best to wait for a clearer trend to emerge. BOP: The negative BOP on higher timeframes suggests that there is more selling pressure. Conclusion: Best Trade (Short-term): Given the oversold RSI, a buy trade could be a good option with a target near the recent resistance level at 1.28641, assuming the price shows signs of reversing upward. Stop Loss: Consider placing a stop loss near the recent low (1.27436) to protect against a larger downtrend.
Long
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD update 4/9/2025 at 2:29pm Summary of Key Indicators for GBP/USD Trend & Direction: Directional Strength: ADI is high (61.07) with PLUS_DI (26.11) far exceeding MINUS_DI (6.65) and a DX of 59.41—confirming a robust short-term bullish trend. HT_TRENDMODE: At 1.0, indicating an active trend. Moving Averages & Price Forecast: Core Levels: EMA (1.31065), DEMA (1.31396), TEMA (1.31417), and TSF (1.31339) cluster between 1.310–1.314, suggesting the price is consolidating. Resistance: KAMA (1.31672) lies above the current range, hinting at a broader bearish bias. Momentum & Oscillators: RSI ~61: Indicates a moderately bullish stance. MACD (0.0057) & CMO (21.96): Support upward momentum. Stochastic (~59) & StochRSI (34): Signal energy without extreme overbought conditions. CCI (195.50): Warns the market could be nearing overbought territory. Price Range & Statistical Measures: Central Price Range: Prices mostly span from ~1.277 to 1.315. Support & Resistance: Short-term averages (EMA, DEMA, HT_TRENDLINE) near 1.277–1.282 suggest support, while longer-term filters (KAMA, TEMA) at 1.314–1.317 denote resistance. Volatility: ATR is very low in the short term (0.00037–0.0029) but climbs to ~0.0605 on longer timeframes—indicating time-dependent volatility. Additional Forecast Tools & Volume: Price regression tools (Linear Regression, TSF, TRIMA, T3, TEMA) consistently position prices within the 1.277–1.315 zone. OBV and balance indicators reflect a near-balanced market on short terms, with some higher timeframe accumulation. Price Action Overview: GBP/USD is trading in a tight consolidation around the lower end of its recent range—approximately 1.275–1.278. Recent candles indicate modest upward momentum with repeated tests of support, suggesting buyers are starting to step in near this level. However, the price remains near a key inflection point, and with pending high-impact news, a decisive breakout (or reversal) could occur once the market digests the upcoming data. Current Setup & Trading Consideration: The current price at 1.27584 is at the lower end of a crucial consolidation zone (1.275–1.278), favoring a potential bounce. Waiting for confirmation on the daily chart (or a clear intraday reversal if you’re aggressive) can help reduce risk, particularly with upcoming news events. As a daily chart trader, i'm less focused on shorter-term noise and more on the reversal or breakout confirmed by the daily candle. For me, It’s often best to let the daily close help confirm whether this near‐support level holds.
Long
by Sel_Ali
My take on GBPUSD as of 11:23am 4/9/2025Market Insights from Indicators Trend and Movement Directional Indicators: PLUS_DI (25.39) significantly outweighs MINUS_DI (5.54), indicating strong bullish momentum. Directional Movement Index (DX: 64.15) confirms significant trend strength. Aroon Oscillator (71.43) shows a healthy trend with potential upward movement. Moving Averages: EMA (1.3126), KAMA (1.31498), and TEMA (1.31703) remain above the current price, reinforcing a longer-term bearish bias. However, shorter-term indicators like PLUS_DI and ROC suggest consolidation or temporary bullish moves. Momentum and Oscillators: RSI (68.12) reflects a mildly overbought condition, signaling possible resistance to bullish moves. MACD (0.0052) and CMO (36.24) support short-term bullish momentum. Williams %R (-29.19) and CCI (87.28) indicate price nearing resistance levels. Volatility and Price Action ATR (0.00356) suggests low volatility, allowing tighter stop-loss and target levels. Price action is currently testing the support zone at 1.2780–1.2790 and resistance near 1.2830–1.2850. Trend Analysis Short-term momentum shows rising highs and closes, with support from bullish indicators like DX (~64). Long-term bearish bias persists due to EMA, DEMA, and TEMA above the current price. Key Levels: Support: 1.2780–1.2790 (previous hourly lows). Resistance: 1.2830–1.2850 (aligned with recent highs and trend indicators). Directional Indicators and Oscillators: Bullish dominance with PLUS_DI (29.18) outweighing MINUS_DI (12.42). Momentum (MOM ~0.00877) supports short-term bullish opportunities. Stochastic (45.48) and Stochastic RSI (26.07) indicate moderate upward momentum, but not extreme levels yet. Volatility and Risk Indicators True Range (TRANGE ~0.00354) indicates limited hourly price variability. Moving averages like TEMA (1.31703), T3 (1.31303), and WMA (1.31403) reinforce long-term bearish resistance above 1.3140. TSF (1.31757) points to strong resistance near 1.3170. Key Events to Watch April 9, 2025 (Today): USD FOMC Minutes (High Impact): A hawkish tone could strengthen the USD, pushing GBP/USD lower, while a dovish approach may support GBP/USD gains. April 10, 2025 (Tomorrow): USD Inflation Data: Lower CPI or core inflation figures may weaken the USD and favor GBP/USD bullish moves. Jobless Claims: Rising claims could signal labor market weakness, further pressuring the USD. April 11, 2025 (Friday): GBP GDP & Trade Balance: Positive data could strengthen the GBP, aligning with bullish chart patterns. USD PPI & Consumer Sentiment: Higher producer prices or sentiment could support USD recovery. Trading Considerations FOMC Impact: Hawkish minutes may trigger bearish GBP/USD moves, while a dovish tone supports a bullish outlook. Key Levels: Watch 1.2780–1.2790 (support) and 1.2830–1.2850 (resistance) for trading decisions. Volatility Management: ATR (~0.00356) suggests tight stop-losses during high-impact news. My Take Given the bullish technical setup but acknowledging the risk from upcoming high-impact news, I lean toward caution. At this point of my trading career i'm not comfortable with aggressive trading. A well-defined long trade near 1.279–1.280 could be rewarding—but i'm prepared for rapid moves on news releases. Aggressive Option: Enter long around support now with tight stops and target 1.283–1.285, but be very nimble in managing your position amid the news. Conservative Option: Wait for the market to digest the FOMC minutes and inflation data, then look for a confirmed breakout or reversal that aligns with the bullish technical signals. I think ill wait for the news... it's in about 2 hours. see ya then!
Long
by Sel_Ali
Gold(XAU/USD) at All-Time Highs – Breakout or Blow-Off Top?📊 XAU/USD Daily Technical Analysis – April 2025 Gold has surged to fresh all-time highs, with price currently trading above $2,320 after an explosive rally in recent weeks. The momentum has been relentless, but price action is now approaching a potential inflection zone, where either a continuation or a sharp correction could emerge. 📈 Trend Overview: The trend on the daily chart is strongly bullish. Since the breakout above the previous all-time high near $2,075 in early March, gold has been in a near-vertical climb, forming successive higher highs with shallow pullbacks. However, with price now significantly extended from recent bases, and psychological levels being tested, bulls may face their first real challenge in weeks. 🔹 Key Resistance Zones: $2,325 – $2,345: Immediate resistance zone based on recent price clustering. A decisive break above this could fuel further upside toward… $2,400: Psychological milestone and potential magnet for bullish momentum if the rally continues. 🔸 Key Support Zones: $2,280: Minor support from the most recent consolidation zone — the first level to watch if gold pulls back. $2,240: A more solid support based on previous breakout structure. $2,180 – $2,200: Major structural demand zone — this is where buyers are most likely to step back in if a deeper correction occurs. 📐 Technical Structures to Watch: Gold is forming what appears to be a rising wedge on the daily chart — a pattern that often emerges during strong trends but can signal momentum loss or potential reversal when the wedge narrows. Additionally, recent price action shows signs of stalling candles (small-bodied candles with long wicks), suggesting hesitation or possible profit-taking at current levels. While there’s no confirmation yet of a reversal, these are early warning signs traders should monitor closely. 🧭 Possible Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Continuation: If gold breaks and holds above $2,345, the next logical upside target would be $2,400, followed by potential extensions toward $2,450 on high momentum or geopolitical catalysts. ❌ Bearish Pullback: Failure to break higher — especially with reversal candles — could trigger a retracement toward $2,280 or deeper to $2,240. A breakdown below $2,200 would indicate a more serious correction and likely shift sentiment short-term. 📌 Conclusion: Gold is in a powerful uptrend, trading at never-before-seen levels. But price is now testing a key zone where momentum could either continue explosively or stall into a correction. Watch for breakout confirmation above $2,345 — or signs of exhaustion below $2,280. Either way, a major move is coming. 💬 Is this the start of Gold 2.0? Or is a correction brewing? Let’s talk below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Saeed966
EUR/USD Approaching a Key Decision Point – Breakout or Pullback📊 Daily Technical Analysis – EUR/USD (April 2025) The EUR/USD pair is approaching a critical resistance zone on the daily chart, with price action showing signs of both trend continuation and potential exhaustion. Traders should brace for volatility as the pair hovers near a multi-month high. 📈 Trend Overview: Since rebounding from the 1.0700 support area in early March, EUR/USD has maintained a steady bullish trend, forming a clean structure of higher highs and higher lows. The overall sentiment remains bullish in the medium term, but the pair is now pressing into a strong resistance zone near 1.0980 – 1.1050, where price previously stalled multiple times in late 2023. 🧱 Key Resistance Levels: 1.0980 – 1.1050: A major resistance block; a clean daily breakout above this zone could trigger renewed buying pressure and open the door for a move toward 1.1200. 1.1270: A key swing high from July 2023, and a likely target if bulls maintain control. 🛡️ Key Support Levels: 1.0870: A short-term support level and previous consolidation zone. 1.0740: A key higher low and critical structure — losing this level could suggest a shift toward a broader range-bound market. 1.0700: March’s reaction low and a major psychological level for euro bulls. 📐 Technical Structures: Price action is showing signs of forming a rising wedge pattern — typically a sign of weakening bullish momentum, especially when it appears near strong resistance. That said, if buyers manage to break through the upper boundary with strong conviction, this setup could transform into a bullish continuation — invalidating the wedge as a reversal pattern. Also, the pair remains inside a bullish price channel, which has guided the trend since mid-March. 🧭 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Breakout: A strong daily close above 1.1050 would likely confirm the breakout, targeting 1.1200 and possibly 1.1270 as bullish extensions. This could align with further dollar weakness or positive eurozone data. ❌ Bearish Rejection: If the pair fails to break the resistance zone and forms reversal candlesticks, a pullback toward 1.0870 or even 1.0740 becomes likely. A break below 1.0700 would be a strong bearish signal, opening the path toward deeper retracement. 📌 Conclusion: EUR/USD is pressing into a decisive resistance zone after a sustained bullish rally. Price action is king here — a breakout above 1.1050 may confirm bullish continuation, while rejection could trigger a healthy correction. Keep a close eye on daily closes and candle structure in the coming sessions. 💬 How do you see EUR/USD playing out from here? Are we in for a breakout or a top? Share your thoughts 👇
Short
by Saeed966
GBP/USD Is About to Explode – Here’s Why This Level Matters🚨 GBP/USD at a Critical Zone – Breakout or Reversal? Let’s break down the price action from a technical perspective 👇 📊 Daily Technical Analysis – GBP/USD (April 2025) The GBP/USD pair is trading near a key inflection point, with price action hinting at a potential breakout — or a deeper correction. 📈 Trend Overview: The broader trend remains bullish, following a steady rally from the 1.2300 area back in February. The pair has been forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong underlying demand. However, we’re now seeing signs of bullish exhaustion as the price struggles near the 1.2850 – 1.2900 resistance zone — an area that previously acted as a strong supply level. 🧱 Key Resistance Levels: 1.2850 – 1.2900: Major resistance zone; a daily close above this level would likely accelerate bullish momentum. 1.3000: Psychological round number and the next natural target. 1.3140: Historical swing high from mid-2023, could serve as the next upside objective. 🛡️ Key Support Levels: 1.2680: Previous higher low and potential first line of defense. 1.2520: Strong structural support — a break below this zone may shift the medium-term outlook to neutral or even bearish. 1.2300: February’s key low and the base of the current trend. 📐 Technical Structures: Price appears to be forming an ascending triangle — a classic bullish continuation pattern — with flat resistance at 1.2850 and rising higher lows from below. This supports the idea of an impending breakout if bulls regain control. Additionally, the pair is moving within a rising price channel, offering clean structure for both trend-following and breakout traders. 🧭 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Breakout: A confirmed close above 1.2900 would likely open the door toward 1.3000, followed by 1.3140. This scenario aligns with the current market structure, assuming continued weakness in the USD or sustained risk appetite. ❌ Bearish Rejection: Failure to break the resistance zone, especially with bearish reversal candles, could trigger a drop toward 1.2680, and possibly 1.2520. A daily close below 1.2520 would be a strong technical warning for bulls. 📌 Conclusion: GBP/USD is sitting at a technically significant level. The prevailing trend favors the bulls, but the outcome at 1.2850–1.2900 will be decisive. Watch price action closely for confirmation — breakout or rejection, the next move could be sharp. 💬 What’s your take on this setup? Do you see a breakout or a reversal ahead? Drop your thoughts in the comments 👇
Short
by Saeed966