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GBPUSD

Fundamental Market Analysis for November 26, 2024 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Meeting Minutes GBPUSD: The GBP/USD is making small gains throughout the day, but is unable to regain the 1.26000 technical level. Market flows are not providing the necessary strength to support the Pound. The UK economic calendar is relatively inactive this week. Fresh US inflation data on Wednesday will lead to a shorter trading week in the US as Americans prepare for the Thanksgiving holiday. A general improvement in risk appetite across the market led to a decline in the US dollar's trading value at the start of the new trading week, providing a slight boost to the pound. The cable remained in demand, with prices approaching the 1.26000 mark. The week ahead will be challenging for traders, with a limited number of scheduled releases. Market activity in the US session is expected to be subdued on Tuesday and Wednesday, in anticipation of the Thanksgiving holiday. The minutes of the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will be released later on Tuesday, providing insight for traders into the Federal Reserve's (Fed) latest deliberations on the direction of interest rates going forward. The next update of the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCEPI), a key indicator of price growth in the US economy, will be released on Wednesday. On Wednesday, the latest figures for US gross domestic product (GDP) growth will be released. Annual core PCEPI inflation is forecast to accelerate again in October, rising from 2.7% to 2.8%. Meanwhile, US GDP growth is expected to remain at 2.8% in quantitative terms in the third quarter. Trading recommendation: We follow the level of 1.26000, when fixing above it we consider Buy positions, when rebounding we consider Sell positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBP/USD - H1 - Broadening Wedge The GBP/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent formation of well-defined Broadening Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2532, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2442 2nd Support – 1.2375 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5
XAU/USD : Gold will rise more? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price experienced a very slight correction before continuing its upward movement. In the past hours, gold reached $2710, which we previously identified as a supply zone. As a result, the price reacted to this level and corrected by over 100 pips, currently trading around $2700. After another minor correction, I believe gold could continue its upward trend. One of the key supply zones to watch is $2736 to $2738—keep an eye on it! 🚀 Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
69
Is GBP/USD Set for a Further Rally? Let's have a look.The GBP/USD pair made a robust recovery at the beginning of the week, showcasing strength against its major competitors. This bounce-back comes after a notable decline on Friday, triggered by disappointing economic data. Specifically, the UK Retail Sales contracted at a faster-than-anticipated rate in October, and the flash S&P Global/CIPS Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for November fell below the critical 50.0 mark for the first time since October 2023. The primary factor contributing to the Pound Sterling's resurgence appears to be strong market sentiment regarding the Bank of England's (BoE) potential for a more measured approach to policy easing compared to other Western central banks. Notably, the currency is trading within a demand zone, suggesting the potential for upward movement. Additionally, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that retail sentiment is leaning bearish; however, similar to the EUR/USD, the opening gap might be filled, which could lead to a further decline in prices. A decline towards the 1.2400 level could present an attractive buying opportunity for those looking to acquire the Pound at a discount. Historical seasonality trends also indicate a likelihood for the GBP to appreciate in the near term. Nevertheless, I recommend waiting until Wednesday, following the release of the USD unemployment data, before making any trading decisions. Currently, my outlook remains bearish on the GBP/USD. GBP/USD GAP ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
1
GBP/USD: Downtrend Holds Firm, Key Support in SightThe GBP/USD pair is trading around 1.2557, maintaining its downward trajectory as it fails to reclaim the resistance level at 1.2592. The pair continues to face selling pressure, with the prevailing downtrend keeping momentum in favor of the bears. Immediate focus now shifts to the critical support zone near 1.2500, where some temporary buying interest may emerge. However, a break below this level could pave the way for further declines toward 1.2450, with the broader target potentially at 1.2400. Any short-term pullbacks into the resistance range of 1.2592–1.2650 are expected to attract renewed selling pressure. The 50-period moving average also reinforces this zone as a significant barrier to any bullish attempts. With bearish momentum firmly in control, GBP/USD presents opportunities for sellers to capitalize on short positions while monitoring for key breakouts below the 1.2500 support level.
by Veda_Solomon
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish ReversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.2615, which is a pullback resistance and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.2539, a pullback support level. The stop loss will be at 1.2702, an swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support. Pivot: 1.2615 1st Support: 1.2324 1st Resistance: 1.2825 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Potential bearish drop?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.2619 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with he 61.8% and the 23.5% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.2725 Why we like it: There is am overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.2473 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBP/USD Longs from this weekly demand This week, my analysis suggests that GU is likely to experience a bullish reaction from its current position. Price is sitting within a key weekly demand zone and has already surpassed the 50% retracement mark, signaling a potential area for long opportunities. At the current level, there is a 1-hour demand zone nearby, with another demand zone just below it. I plan to watch for price accumulation in these areas, particularly to take out the weekly low. Once that occurs, I’ll look for my lower time frame confirmation to enter long positions. My primary target will be the Asian session high near the supply zone above. Confluences for GBP/USD Longs: - Liquidity Targets: Significant liquidity rests above, including the Asian session high. - Supply Zone Mitigation: A strong supply zone above has yet to be mitigated. - Retracement Setup: The bearish trend suggests the need for a retracement upward. - Imbalances Above: Price has left clear imbalances that need to be filled. - Weekly Demand Zone: Price is currently reacting within a high-probability weekly demand area. P.S.: If price opens the week with bullish momentum but doesn’t provide a clear entry setup, I’ll shift my focus to the mitigation of the supply zone above. This would present potential sell opportunities to continue the broader bearish trend.
Long
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD is in the Selling Direction after breaking suPportHello Traders In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today GBPUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
6 Things to Do before you start Investing and Trading1. Build an Emergency Fund ▪️Why it's important: Having an emergency fund ensures you have a financial cushion for unexpected expenses (e.g., medical bills, car repairs, job loss). Without this safety net, you may be forced to sell investments or go into debt if something unforeseen happens. ▪️How to do it: Aim for 3-6 months' worth of living expenses in a liquid, easily accessible account like a savings account. Focus on saving first before putting money into investments. 2. Pay Down High-Interest Debt ▪️Why it's important: High-interest debt, especially from credit cards, can severely hinder your financial progress. The interest on these debts is often higher than the returns you could earn from investments in the short term. ▪️How to do it: Prioritize paying off high-interest debts first (e.g., credit cards), then move on to other debts like student loans or car loans. Consider strategies like the debt snowball or debt avalanche method. 3. Define Your Financial Goals and Priorities ▪️Why it's important: Knowing what you're investing for (e.g., retirement, a down payment on a house, education, or travel) will help you choose the right investment vehicles and timeframes. It also provides motivation and direction. ▪️How to do it: Set SMART (Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant, Time-bound) financial goals. Break them down into short-term, medium-term, and long-term goals. This helps you align your investments with your needs. 4. Know Your Cash Flow ▪️Why it's important: Understanding your income and expenses is essential for managing your finances and determining how much money you can consistently allocate to investing. If you don't have a clear picture of your cash flow, you might overextend yourself or miss opportunities. ▪️How to do it: Create a monthly budget to track your income, fixed expenses, and discretionary spending. Consider using a budgeting tool or app to make this process easier. Be honest about where you can cut back to free up funds for investing. 5. Track Your Net Worth ▪️Why it's important: Tracking your net worth gives you a clear picture of your overall financial health. It's a snapshot of what you own (assets) minus what you owe (liabilities). This helps you measure your progress over time and adjust as needed. ▪️How to do it: List all your assets (e.g., savings, investments, real estate) and liabilities (e.g., mortgages, student loans, credit card debt). Update this regularly to see how your financial situation is evolving. You can use free online tools or apps to make this process easier. 6. Understand the Basics of Investing and Trading ▪️Why it's important: If you're going to invest or trade, you need to understand the fundamental principles behind both activities. This includes knowledge of risk, returns, diversification, asset classes (stocks, bonds, real estate), and how markets operate. ▪️How to do it: Read books, take online courses, or follow credible financial blogs and YouTube channels. It’s important to grasp concepts like risk tolerance, time horizon, and the different types of investments (stocks, mutual funds, ETFs, etc.). Understanding these principles will help you avoid common mistakes and make informed decisions.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
5
GBP/USD "Trump Comeback Could Drive Dollar Strength"FOREXCOM:GBPUSD Analysis – What’s Coming Next & How Trump Could Affect the Dollar Right now, FOREXCOM:GBPUSD is hanging around 1.25000, and we’re expecting a bit of a pullback from here. But there’s more going on—Trump’s possible return to office could have a big impact on the U.S. dollar and how the pair moves in the future. Pullback from 1.25000 – Headed to 1.27000 The market is at a key spot around 1.25000, which has been a point where price often stalls. So, a pullback from here is pretty likely. After that, we could see the price rise to 1.27000 before it drops again. This is a good spot to catch a short-term bounce. Target: 1.22000 Once we hit 1.27000, expect the price to start heading lower towards 1.22000. This is a big support level, so we might see some back-and-forth here. If it breaks 1.22000, though, we could see the price drop further. Trump’s Comeback – U.S. Dollar Could Get Stronger Now, here's where it gets interesting. If Donald Trump makes a comeback and gets back into office, it could really boost the U.S. dollar. In the past, his policies helped the economy by cutting taxes and lowering regulations, which made the dollar stronger. If he returns, there’s a good chance the Fed might raise interest rates, which would make the dollar even more attractive to investors. If the dollar strengthens because of Trump’s return, FOREXCOM:GBPUSD could see even more downward pressure. In fact, we could see the pair drop not just to 1.22000, but even lower—1.20000 or 1.19000. Worst case, the pair could even go all the way down to 1.40000 if the dollar really takes off. What If It Breaks 1.22000? If 1.22000 doesn’t hold, we could see a big drop to levels like 1.20000 or even 1.19000. With Trump potentially driving the dollar higher, the move down could be stronger than expected. Quick Recap Pullback from 1.25000, possibly heading to 1.27000. After that, we expect a drop to 1.22000. If Trump comes back, the TVC:DXY could get stronger, and FOREXCOM:GBPUSD could go lower—maybe even to 1.14000. If 1.22000 breaks, look for further drops to 1.20000 or lower. So, in short, there’s a solid setup for a bearish move on FOREXCOM:GBPUSD , especially with the possibility of Trump’s return pushing the dollar higher. Have a good trades everyone!
Short
by Shanshahani
3
GBPUSD Short and Longs (News) Scenario 1: Both PMIs Better than Forecast Actual Manufacturing PMI: 49.5 (Better than 48.8 forecast) Actual Services PMI: 56.0 (Better than 55.2 forecast) EUR/USD: Down - If both sectors perform better than expected, this might signal a stronger US economy, potentially leading to a stronger Dollar. GBP/USD: Down - Similar to EUR/USD, a stronger US economic outlook could weaken GBP against USD. USD/JPY: Up - Improved US PMI data might strengthen USD against JPY, especially if this leads to expectations of a tighter Fed policy. Scenario 2: Both PMIs Worse than Forecast Actual Manufacturing PMI: 48.0 (Worse than 48.8 forecast) Actual Services PMI: 54.0 (Worse than 55.2 forecast) EUR/USD: Up - If both sectors disappoint, this could indicate economic weakness in the US, leading to a weaker USD. GBP/USD: Up - Weaker US data might make GBP relatively stronger, especially if UK economic indicators are not as disappointing. USD/JPY: Down - A disappointing PMI might lead investors to question the US economic recovery, potentially weakening USD against JPY. The Fib is just an example if we was to see a sell off it may come into play. If we not seeing a sell off the Fib will be non existent.
by PipsandTicks1
2
British retail sales decline, pound extends lossesThe British pound is lower for a straight third trading day on Friday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2543, down 0.36% on the day. UK retail sales disappointed in October, with a sharp decline of 0.7% m/m. This follows a downwardly revised 0.1% gain in September and missed than the market estimate of 0.3%. Annually, retail sales rose 2.4%, well below the market estimate of 3.2%. The September reading was revised downwards from 3.9% to 3.2%. The sharp drop in retail sales can be attributed to low consumer confidence and the recent Budget. The GfK consumer confidence index showed an improvement, rising from -21 to -18, but this points to a very pessimistic British consumer who is thinking twice before making discretionary purchases. The Reeves Budget on Oct. 31 dampened consumer spending, as the government had warned about “difficult decisions” and proceeded to deliver a Budget with some 40 billion pounds worth of tax increases. Understandably, consumers held back on spending in October and retail sales were down across most categories. The economy has slowed since the July election and services and manufacturing activity have decelerated for three straight months. The UK releases the Services and Manufacturing PMIs later today. The Services PMI is expected to remain unchanged at 52.0, while the Manufacturing PMI if projected to inch up to 50.0, up from 49.9. If the PMIs are weaker than expected, the pound could respond with losses. The US will also publish manufacturing and services PMIs on Friday, with little change expected. The Manufacturing PMI is expected to rise from 45.5 to 45.8, and the Services PMI, which has been showing solid growth, from 55 to 55.2. GBP/USD is testing support at 1.2557, followed by support at 1.2525 There is resistance at 1.2609 and 1.2641
by OANDA