GBPUSD
GBPUSD long term sellGBPUSD is bearish on all higher time frames and looks like it still has a long way down towards the discount zone.
Since this will take a couple of days to play out, its best to play it safe and enter on an obvious pullback on the lower time frames such as 1hr time frame to give you a tighter stop loss.
GBPUSD long term sellGBPUSD is bearish on all higher time frames and looks like it still has a long way down towards the discount zone.
Since this will take a couple of days to play out, its best to play it safe and enter on an obvious pullback on the lower time frames such as 1hr time frame to give you a tighter stop loss.
GBPUSD Is Going Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.266.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.281.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Gbpusd setupGBP/USD declines toward 1.2650, erases UK CPI-led gains
GBP/USD loses its traction and retreats toward 1.2650 on Wednesday. Although the stronger-than-expected inflation data from the UK helped Pound Sterling gather strength, the risk-averse market atmosphere caused the pair to reverse its direction.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart climbed above 50 early Wednesday, highlighting an increasing buyer interest. GBP/USD was last seen trading slightly above 1.2700, where the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level of the latest downtrend is located. In case the pair confirms this level as support, it could face next resistance at 1.2740-1.2750 (50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) before 1.2800 (Fibonacci 50% retracement).
XAU/USD : More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we notice that today’s market opened with a positive price gap between $2563 and $2566 . These types of gaps often act as magnets for price action, as markets tend to fill such gaps over time. Based on the current bullish momentum, I expect a price correction in the near future to fill this gap.
Looking deeper into the structure, we can see that gold’s recent rally has managed to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the previous bearish move to a significant extent. However, it still has room to climb and fully fill the gap at $2606. This level could serve as a critical zone where we might observe a strong price reaction . Keep this level on your radar—it could either confirm a continuation of the bullish trend or trigger a reversal.
From a broader perspective, the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Ukraine-Russia conflict continue to provide a safe-haven bid for gold. These factors have been instrumental in driving demand, even as the US dollar shows signs of consolidation after its recent strength.
On the macroeconomic front, recent data showed strong US retail sales for October , indicating resilience in the economy. However, there’s growing uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's policy direction. Markets currently price in a 65% probability of a 25bps rate cut in December, which could weigh on the dollar further and provide support for gold in the medium term.
From a technical standpoint:
1. Gold remains in a bullish structure, but short-term corrections are expected due to overbought conditions and the need to fill the gap at $2563-$2566.
2. The $2606 level acts as a magnet for price, as it marks the full closure of the previous FVG. Monitor this level closely for signs of rejection or continuation.
3. In case of a rejection at $2606, a retest of support levels near $2545-$2550 could be on the cards, aligning with the gap fill.
Key Levels to Watch :
- Support: $2563 (gap low), $2545
- Resistance: $2606 (FVG top), $2620
To summarize, while gold’s rally has been impressive, the presence of both the unfilled gap below and the remaining FVG above suggests that the market could be at a pivotal point. Watch these levels carefully, as they are likely to guide gold’s next move.
Previous Analysis :
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GBP/USD: Pound Soars Following Surprising CPI ReportOn Wednesday, the Pound Sterling (GBP) saw a significant surge against most currencies following the release of unexpected inflation data from the UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS). The Consumer Price Index (CPI) revealed that annual inflation rose to 2.3% in October, surpassing analysts' forecasts of 2.2% and a notable increase from September's 1.7%.
Month-over-month, the headline inflation climbed by 0.6%, outpacing the anticipated 0.5% and recovering from a stagnant September.
In addition, the core CPI, which excludes fluctuating components such as food, energy, and tobacco, registered a growth of 3.3%. This figure exceeds the previous month's reading of 3.2% and defies economists' predictions of a decline to 3.1%.
Services inflation—a key metric monitored by Bank of England (BoE) policymakers—also picked up, rising to 5% from the earlier figure of 4.9%. This uptick in price pressures may prompt traders to rethink their expectations regarding interest rate cuts in the upcoming BoE meeting scheduled for December.
From a technical analysis perspective, the price action remains within a bullish demand zone, suggesting a strong likelihood of further appreciation in the value of the Pound.
Overall, indications point towards a potential increase in the Pound Sterling's value moving forward.
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Bullish Setup or Bearish Breakdown Ahead?OANDA:GBPUSD - 1Hr Chart
Price: 1.26202
After analyzing the chart, we found RSI in the extreme oversold zone on higher timeframes. Currently, the price is trading above support at 1.25732, which we anticipate as a potential bullish reversal point. However, strong resistance at R1 (1.26953) may cause consolidation and pullbacks around this level. After consolidation, we expect the price to break R1, with the next resistance target at R2 (1.28174). R2 is also a strong resistance, so price may stall and pull back here as well. A breakout above R2 would target the major resistance at 1.29395.
On the other hand, if the bearish pressure persists and price breaks below support at 1.25732, a further decline could bring the price to 1.25122.
Key Levels:
Support: 1.25122
R1: 1.26953
R2: 1.28174
Major Resistance: 1.29395
Remember to follow your risk management for long-term success.
Happy trading!
+100/+150 pips GBPUSD H11 short/long trade plan🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for GBPUSD today.
Solid bounce off the lows in progress, however overhead resistance
will cap any immediate upside.
🔸Key levels for GBPUSD traders: 2625 s/r bulls, 2735 s/r bears,
2775 mirror s/r bears level will get re-tested by the bulls for liquidity.
🔸Recommended strategy for GBPUSD traders: the sequence
is short / long so you want to short high off the s/r bears at 2735 SL 40
TP 2625 pips, this is the W reversal play / re-test of the mirror s/r bulls
at 2625 then flip lonjg at/near 2625+-10 pips SL 40 pips TP1 +75
TP2 +150 pips final exit bulls at mirror s/r at 2775. this is a swing
trade setup, patience required. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
GBPCAD H4 300 pips dump incoming short it🔸Hello traders, let's review the 4hour chart for GBPCAD today. Weak
support breakdown in progress currently on H4 and I don't expect it
to hold the sell side pressure.
🔸There is no strong S/R zones until 7440 currently we are trading at 7730
so I expect the price to slide through the weak s/r zone. S/R zone
was tested multiple times recently and only produced a weak bounce
therefore expecting breakdown and new dump.
🔸Recommended strategy for GBPCAD traders: short sell at market or
short sell any weak bounces near market price, SL 60 pips TP1 +150 pips
TP2 +300 pips. good luck traders!
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
GBPUSD possible to start the next drop today!Hey guys,
Based on the chart price reached a resistance area on 15min chart timeframe and a bullish trend line is broken.
So based on this scenario and considering the previous days drop on price, I consider this movement as good sell opportunity with rational risk reward ratio which is around 1:6.
Good luck!
GBP/USD Breakout to 1.2777 or rejection to 1.2666?This chart displays the GBP/USD pair on the 1-hour timeframe currently leaning bullish, as the price has shown strength approaching the resistance.
The price is currently testing a key resistance zone around the 1.2689-1.2700 level, with potential bullish momentum indicated by the recent rally.
If the price breaks above the resistance zone and closes beyond 1.2700, it could indicate a continuation toward the next resistance level at 1.2777
UK inflation expected to jump to 2.2%The British pound is steady on Tuesday. In the North American session, GBP is trading at 1.2678 at the time of writing, unchanged on the day. On Monday, the pound ended a six-day slide, during which the currency lost 2.8%.
The Bank of England has done an excellent job slashing inflation, which was in double digits for much of 2023. The September inflation report was a milestone as inflation eased to 1.7%, the first time it was below the BoE target of 2% since April 2021.
Still, the BoE is under no illusions that the tenacious battle against inflation is over. Services inflation has fallen significantly but is running at 4.9%, more than double the target. The Trump election win has raised deep concerns that Trump’s trade policy promises, with threats of tariffs on US trading partners, could lead to higher global inflation.
The BoE lower rates by 25 basis points on Nov. 7, marking the second rate cut in the current easing cycle. The September inflation report contributed to the decision to lower rates at that meeting and Wednesday’s inflation release will be closely monitored by the BoE, with the following inflation report coming out on Dec. 18, just one day before the BOE’s next rate announcement.
BoE Governor Bailey said in a report to the House of Commons Treasury select committee that the BoE needed to keep a close eye on services inflation, which remained above a level that was compatible with “on target inflation”.
Bailey also stated that he favored a gradual approach to cutting rates in order for the central bank to assess the effects of the government’s recent budget on growth and inflation. The BoE’s November forecasts indicate that the budget will result in higher growth and inflation in the near term, which could slow the pace of rate cuts.
GBP/USD Technical
There is resistance at 1.2707 and 1.2736
1.2629 and 1.2658 are the next support levels
Filling the gap and returning to the main path.After the rapid movement of the price from 2708 and going down and breaking the level of 2605, the price made a correction in the direction of filling the gap of the market towards the level of 2653 by reaching the range of 2545 and it is expected that after the gap is filled and the distance between the market and the collision With the trend line and reaching the range of 2676-2655, the expectation is to return to its downward path.
GBPUSD forming a bottom?GBPUSD - 24h expiry
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 1.2630.
We look to Buy at 1.2630 (stop at 1.2590)
Our profit targets will be 1.2730 and 1.2760
Resistance: 1.2700 / 1.2750 / 1.2800
Support: 1.2630 / 1.2600 / 1.2570
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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GBP/USD Shows Strength Amid US Dollar WeaknessThe GBP/USD currency pair has gained bullish momentum, appreciating nearly 0.5% on Monday and breaking a six-day losing streak. Currently, the pair is trading within a demand zone, where the potential for a rebound appears plausible.
Bearish pressure on the US Dollar (USD) has contributed to the upward movement in GBP/USD. Additionally, with no significant macroeconomic data set for release, the recent pullback in US Treasury bond yields has hindered the dollar's ability to maintain the gains it achieved the prior week.
Later today, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey and members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will address inquiries from the UK Treasury Select Committee, which could further influence market sentiment and the pound's standing.
Traders are now contemplating a potential retracement in the GBP, focusing on how this dynamic might unfold in the wake of ongoing economic developments and central bank dialogue.
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