GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.2721, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.2608, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be at 1.2842, a pullback resistance level close to 61.8% Fibo retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD
GBPUSD: Buy signal at the bottom of the Rising Wedge.GBPUSD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.906, MACD = -0.012, ADX = 45.336) as it almost reached the HL trendline of the Rising Wedge. The technical bottom should start forming now and with the RSI hitting the oversold limit (30.000) on Friday, we can claim that there is a significant upside behind this with limited risk. The similar bottom of October 3rd 2023 targeted initially the 0.618 Fibonacci level. That is our target this time also (TP = 1.03080).
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GBPUSD: Three Major Targets+DXY Dropping hard! CAPITALCOM:GBPUSD
GU has been dropping ever since we have got the election results. Due to DXY extreme bullish presence in the market. It was safe not to enter any buy positions or even selling was bit tricky in these kind of price action. However, things have changed so far, we can see DXY reversal and we are getting back to normal market conditions. Please Like and comment.
eurnzd h2 long/short +200/+400 pips swing trade plan🔸Hello traders, let's review the 2hour chart for EURNZD today.
Rangebound trading condition recently, currently expecting a re-test
of the mirror S/R resistance overhead and then sellers will take over
from the resistance.
🔸Key levels for EURNZD traders: 7860 s/r bulls, 8050/60 s/r bears,
7659 mirror s/r bulls level will get re-tested by the bears for liquidity.
🔸Recommended strategy for EURNZD traders: the sequence
is long/short so you want to buy low off the s/r bulls at 7860 SL 40
TP +200 pips, this is the bounce play / re-test of the mirror s/r bears
at 8050 then flip short at/near 8050+-10 pips SL 50 pips TP1 +200
TP2 +400 pips final exit bears at mirror s/r at 7650. this is a swing
trade setup, patience required. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
London Session Focus: USDJPY Momentum & Potential AUDUSD BuyThis morning during the London session, my primary focus is on the USDJPY. We anticipate a momentum low developing below the current price level.
Additionally, the AUDUSD has flagged a potential buying opportunity around the 0.6450 level.
The EURUSD and GBPUSD (Cable) are also showing potential for bullish moves; however, their price structures are currently less defined than those of the above-mentioned pairs.
Trade wisely and happy trading!
Market Analysis: GBP/USD NosedivesMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Nosedives
GBP/USD started a fresh decline below the 1.2750 zone.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound started a major decline from the 1.3000 resistance zone.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.2650 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to continue higher above the 1.3000 resistance zone. The British Pound started a downside correction and traded below the 1.2850 support zone against the US Dollar.
The pair even traded below 1.2700 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 1.2600 level. A low was formed at 1.2597 and the pair is now consolidating losses.
The pair is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3009 swing high to the 1.2597 low. Immediate resistance on the upside is near a key bearish trend line at 1.2650.
The first major resistance is near the 1.2695 zone. The main hurdle sits at 1.2800 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3009 swing high to the 1.2597 low.
A close above the 1.2800 resistance might spark a steady upward move. The next major resistance is near the 1.2880 zone. Any more gains could lead the pair toward the 1.3000 resistance in the near term.
Initial support on the GBP/USD chart sits at 1.2600. The next major support sits at 1.2550, below which there is a risk of another sharp decline. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 1.2420.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 18, 2024 GBPUSDThe Pound-Dollar pair starts the new week on a subdued note and is consolidating in a range above the round 1.26000 mark, or the lowest level since mid-May, reached on Friday. For now, spot prices appear to have broken a six-day losing streak on the back of a modest decline in the US Dollar, although the fundamental backdrop supports the prospects for an extension of the recent established downtrend.
The US Dollar remains on the defensive below the one-year high (YTD) set last Thursday as bulls took a pause to take a breather after the explosive rally following the US election. However, any meaningful decline in the dollar seems unlikely amid expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump's policies are likely to revive inflationary pressures and limit the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This has been a key driver of the recent rise in US Treasury bond yields, suggesting that the path of least resistance for the US Dollar lies to the upside.
The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, may struggle to attract buyers amid uncertainty over the Bank of England's (BoE) future interest rate path. Data released last week showed that UK wage growth excluding bonuses slowed in September, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.3% from 4.1%. In addition, UK GDP unexpectedly contracted in September for the first time in five months, reinforcing expectations of a BoE rate cut. Nevertheless, Bank of England members are not expected to cut interest rates at the December meeting.
This, in turn, makes it reasonable to expect strong follow-through buying to confirm that the GBP/USD pair has formed a short-term bottom. Bearish traders, however, can now wait for a sustained breakout and consolidation below the 1.2600 round figure before placing new bets amid a lack of market-significant economic releases on Monday from both the UK and the US.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.26000, if consolidated below consider Sell positions, if rebounded consider Buy positions.
Falling towards 78.6% Fibonacci support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support that lines up with the 78.6% and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.2549
1st Support: 1.2376
1st Resistance: 1.2686
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish continuation?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.2721, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.2483, a swing low support level.
The stop loss will be at 1.2893, a pullback resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Falling towards overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2528
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is an overlap support which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2335
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 1.2676
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD FALLINGStill going down after already a huge drawdown ;
the blue lines are the main recent interesting KL, reaching it one by one, slightly bouncing then still going down seems like the next move ;
but it s the same as fibonacci, it might bounce harder on one and even change the whole trend to a new uptrend.
BTC LATEWe thought it would go back up right now, but it turns out it made an unexpected line cutting (white cut line) ;
it s going towards the next LL KL, hitting some key points then going back up pretty quick before wednesday ;
it is now a smooth drawdown pattern, where it falls smoothly and calmly before hitting one big red candle.
Trading is not a get rich quick scheme🔸Patience
▪️Market Timing: Not every moment is the right time to trade. Waiting for the ideal setup is crucial. For example, a patient trader waits for patterns, trends, or specific signals to align with their strategy.
▪️Compounding Growth: Wealth through trading often comes from compounding small, consistent gains rather than chasing big wins. This takes time to materialize.
▪️Recovery Time: Losses are inevitable. Patience allows traders to focus on gradual recovery rather than impulsively trying to "win back" losses.
🔸Discipline
▪️Sticking to the Plan: A trading plan is your blueprint. Discipline ensures you execute trades based on logic, not emotion.
▪️Avoiding Overtrading: The temptation to trade constantly can lead to unnecessary risks. A disciplined trader knows when to step back.
▪️Risk Management: Proper position sizing, setting stop losses, and avoiding over-leveraging are all practices rooted in discipline.
🔸Consistent Effort
▪️Continuous Learning: Markets evolve, and so must traders. Keeping up with new strategies, tools, and market conditions is essential.
▪️Routine Analysis: Reviewing past trades to learn what worked and what didn’t helps improve strategies.
▪️Building Experience: Expertise comes from time spent observing patterns, managing emotions, and handling a variety of market scenarios.
🔸Mindset
▪️Long-Term Thinking: Focus on building wealth slowly rather than chasing immediate profits.
▪️Resilience: Markets can be unpredictable. A strong mindset helps traders stay focused after setbacks.
▪️Adaptability: Successful traders adapt their strategies to fit different market conditions instead of forcing trades.
🔸The Journey, Not the Destination
▪️The idea of "getting rich" in trading is often a trap that leads to rushed decisions and excessive risk-taking. Instead, embrace the process:
▪️Track your progress: Measure success in terms of skill improvement, not just profits.
▪️Celebrate small wins: These build confidence and keep you motivated for the long haul.
▪️Remember, trading is a craft—those who approach it with respect, patience, and consistent effort are the ones most likely to achieve sustainable success.
GBPUSD Swingers! Let's keep it simple.
A reversal is often needed for the trend to keep going. But, it's not a sure thing. However, the odds are in our favor. If not, the trend might break, leading to a new one.
So, who's ready to catch the next big wave? Let's wait for the setup to form. Don't rush. Let the price action tell us what to do. It's that easy!
PS: THERE IS NO LONG CONFIRMATION RECEIVED YET.
3 Steps to Trade Like a Pro Without Losing Your Sanity !🎯You’re here because you’re tired of watching the market run away without you, right? 🚀 You enter too late, exit too early, or worse—hold onto losers like they’re a long-lost love. 💔 It’s time to stop trading like a gambler and start trading like a sniper. 🎯 Buckle up, because this isn’t just another “blah blah strategy” blog. We’re breaking it down George-style: no fluff, no nonsense, just actionable steps (and a bit of sass).
🔥 Step 1: Spot the Uptrend—Your VIP Entrance to the Market Party 🎟️
Every great trade starts with one thing: momentum. That big blue arrow you see? 🌀 That’s the market screaming, "Follow me if you want to live… financially."
What NOT to do:
Don’t second-guess the trend. If price is moving up like a rocket, don’t be the guy saying, "But it feels like it might drop." 🙄
And please, for the love of pips, don’t trade against the trend. That’s like swimming upstream with a cement backpack. 🏋️♂️
George says: The trend is your bestie—until it’s not. Stick with it while it’s hot, but keep an eye on the exit door. 🚪
⚡ Step 2: Check RSI—Because Not All Trends Are Honest 🤥
Here’s where it gets spicy. 🌶️ Price can look like it’s climbing Mount Everest, 🏔️ but RSI might be wheezing at base camp. When price keeps going up but RSI says, “Nah, I’m done,” you’ve got RSI divergence, my friend. That’s your first red flag. 🚩
Think of RSI as your market mood detector. If it’s throwing shade, pay attention. 👀
What to watch for:
Price making higher highs while RSI makes lower highs. 📉
RSI hanging out near oversold like it’s got nowhere better to be. 😴
George says: When price and RSI don’t get along, something’s about to break—and it’s not your trading account if you play this right. 💸
💥 Step 3: Wait for the Trendline to Break—Patience, Grasshopper 🧘
Here’s the part where most traders mess up: impatience. They see a slight pullback and jump in faster than you can say, “margin call.” 😱 Don’t do it.
Wait for the trendline to snap like a cheap rubber band. ✂️ That’s your confirmation. Then, and only then, do you make your move.
The Setup:
Risk $1 to make $3. Always. 🤑 You’re not here to “just survive”—you’re here to thrive. 🌟
Use a stop-loss. Because “hope” is not a risk management strategy. 🤦
George says: A trendline break is like the market giving you a wink. 😉 Ignore it, and you’ll regret it.
Why This Works (and Why Most Traders Fail) 💡
This setup isn’t rocket science—it’s logic. 🤓 Spot the trend. Wait for the market to lose steam. Then confirm it with a trendline break. Simple, right? ✅ Yet 90% of traders will still overcomplicate it with 14 indicators, a gut feeling, and a sprinkle of overconfidence. 😵💫
But not you. You’ve got the plan, the patience, and now, the edge. 🔪
Final Words from George: 💬
Trading is like dating. If you’re too eager, you’ll scare off the good setups and end up stuck with losers. 😂 But if you wait for the right one—oh boy, it’s worth it. 💍 So, stop overthinking, trust the plan, and let the market come to you.
Now go out there and trade smart. And remember: Patience prints profits. 🖨️💰
Cheers to making the market your ATM. 🥂
PS: Risk $1, make $3. It's the kind of math we all like! 😏
What I wish I knew when I started Trading1. Study and Trade One Pair Only
Focusing on a single currency pair can streamline your learning and help you master market dynamics.
🔸Choose a Pair: Start with major pairs like EUR/USD or USD/JPY. These have high liquidity and predictable patterns.
🔸Understand Its Behavior: Learn the fundamentals and technical characteristics of the pair, such as its volatility, reaction to news, and typical trading hours.
🔸Backtesting and Practice: Use historical data to understand how the pair moves under different market conditions.
2. Losses Are Part of Trading
No trader is immune to losses. Handling them effectively is crucial for long-term success.
Mindset:
🔸Accept Losses as Learning Opportunities: View losses as part of the cost of doing business, akin to inventory in retail.
🔸Detach Emotionally: Avoid the temptation to revenge trade or let losses affect your confidence.
Practical Strategies:
🔸Set Risk Parameters: Only risk 1-2% of your trading account per trade. This limits the damage of a losing streak.
🔸Use Stop Losses: Predetermine the point at which you will exit a trade if it goes against you. This protects you from devastating losses.
🔸Keep a Journal: Document each trade, including reasons for entering, outcomes, and what you learned. Over time, patterns will emerge to guide improvement.
3. Develop Discipline and Patience
🔸Stick to a Trading Plan: Define your entry, exit, and risk management strategies before trading.
🔸Trade Less, Win More: Focus on high-probability setups instead of trading excessively.
🔸Give Yourself Time: Mastery in Forex trading can take years. Trust the process and aim for consistent improvement.
4. Build Resilience to Handle Losses
Self-Care:
🔸Step away from the charts after a big loss to regain perspective.
🔸Engage in activities that reduce stress, like exercise or meditation.
Review and Improve:
🔸Evaluate losing trades to identify errors.
🔸Adjust your strategy if recurring issues are found.
🔸Focus on the Big Picture:
🔸Track your performance over months or years, not days. This helps put individual losses into perspective.
GBPCAD RE TESTINGThe potential downtrend in the GBP/CAD currency pair may be influenced by several critical factors. The Bank of Canada's relatively hawkish monetary stance, supported by strong economic data, contrasts with the Bank of England's cautious approach due to slowing UK economic growth. Declining global oil prices could limit the downside for the Canadian dollar, as Canada is a major oil exporter. On the technical side, GBP/CAD has recently tested key support levels, and failure to hold these levels may signal further bearish momentum.