GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.29400 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.29400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD
GBP/USD Chart Analysis: Bears Apply Pressure to Key SupportGBP/USD Chart Analysis: Bears Apply Pressure to Key Support
According to ICE data, the U.S. Dollar Index futures have reached highs last seen in early July 2024. The dollar’s strength is attributed, in part, to anticipated economic stimulus measures outlined by the newly elected President Donald Trump during his campaign.
This has put pressure on other currencies paired with the dollar. Currently, the British pound is trading near 1.28400, close to a three-month low.
Today’s technical analysis of the 4-hour GBP/USD chart reveals:
→ long-term price fluctuations have shaped an upward channel since May;
→ the pair is near a key support level at the lower boundary of this channel;
→ a downtrend channel (in red) has formed since early October, highlighting recent bearish control; → the ATR indicator is at an annual high, indicating heightened volatility.
Key economic events are on the horizon:
→ UK labour market data on Tuesday at 10:00 (GMT+3),
→ U.S. CPI figures on Wednesday at 16:30 (GMT+3),
→ speeches by the Fed and Bank of England heads on Thursday.
With these events approaching, traders may anticipate continued wide fluctuations around the lower boundary of the upward channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Levels discussed on 11th November Livestream11th November
DXY: Consolidating along 105, look for break out above 105.15 to reach high of 105.45
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5955 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6565 SL 25 TP 50
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2830 SL 30 TP 80
EURUSD: Sell 1.0660 SL 25 TP 50
USDJPY: Buy 153.80 SL 40 TP 80
USDCHF: Buy 0.8790 SL 25 TP 80
USDCAD: Do Nothing
Gold: Could range between 2660 and 2644
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 11, 2024 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair starts the new week on a softer note, although it fails to find continued selling and remains range-bound around the 1.29000 mark amid mixed fundamentals. The US Dollar (USD) is holding below the four-month high reached last week amid expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump's policies will spur inflation and limit the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to aggressively ease policy. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a headwind for GBP/USD, although the Bank of England's hawkish stance is helping to limit rate cuts.
In fact, the Bank of England has warned that the expansive Autumn Budget presented by Chancellor Rachel Reeves is expected to spur inflation, suggesting a cautious stance on rate cuts in 2025. In addition, risk-on sentiment is helping to limit the rise of the safe-haven US Dollar and providing some support for the GBP/USD pair, allowing for some caution before making aggressive bearish bets.
Investors also seem reluctant and may prefer to stand back ahead of important macroeconomic releases from the UK and US. This week's economic calendar includes UK employment data on Tuesday, US consumer inflation data and the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Wednesday and Thursday respectively, followed by preliminary UK Q3 GDP and US retail sales on Friday.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.29000, if the level is fixed below consider Sell positions, if the level bounces back consider Buy positions.
GBPUSD H1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.2941, which is an overlap resistance and a 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.2895, a swing-low support level.
The stop loss will be at 1.2993 an overlap resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Falling towards 78.6% Fibonacci support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the overlap resistance.
Pivot: 1.2806
1st Support: 1.2682
1st Resistance: 1.3044
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
GBPUSD Live Week 46 Swing ZonesRecovery in full with extra credit characterized Week 45.
Trading with $200 gives about 10-15 trades using 10-15pips SL.
SZ are calculated based on previous 2 weeks high/low with price action being the key determiner using multi-time frame candles.
dtp: dynamic take profit
SL: stoploss
Practical Application of Order Blocks in Trading🔸In trading, especially in the context of institutional and supply-demand-based strategies, order blocks, imbalances, breakers, and entry points are all critical elements for spotting potential high-probability trade setups. Here’s a breakdown of each:
1. Order Blocks
🔸Definition: Order blocks are areas where large institutional orders (by banks, funds, etc.) are believed to have been placed, often leading to sharp price movements. These typically form after a period of consolidation, when a large entity enters the market to create momentum in a particular direction.
Types:
▪️Bullish Order Block: An area where institutions have placed buy orders, resulting in an upward price move. It’s generally identified by a down candle (in a bullish trend) before a strong upward move.
▪️Bearish Order Block: An area with concentrated sell orders, leading to a strong price decline. It’s marked by an up candle (in a bearish trend) before a sharp downward move.
▪️Use in Trading: Traders look for price to return to these areas as potential entry points, expecting the area to act as support (for bullish order blocks) or resistance (for bearish order blocks).
2. Imbalances
🔸Definition: Imbalances (also called Fair Value Gaps or FVG) occur when there is a strong price movement in one direction, leaving a "gap" in liquidity. ▪️IThis happens when there’s more demand or supply than what the current orders can fulfill, leading to a price spike.
▪️Identification: Look for consecutive candles moving in the same direction without much overlap in their wicks. This often leaves a gap between the high of one candle and the low of the next.
▪️Use in Trading: Since price often "rebalances" itself, traders may expect price to return to this area before continuing its trend, using it as a potential point for entries in the direction of the larger trend.
3. Breakers
🔸Definition: A breaker is a failed attempt at reversing a trend, usually involving a break of structure that indicates a reversal but then fails, with price moving back in the original trend's direction.
Types:
▪️Bullish Breaker: When a downtrend is invalidated, but instead of continuing downwards, price reverses back up. The previous support level that price broke and closed below may now act as a support zone.
▪️Bearish Breaker: When an uptrend is invalidated, but price moves back down, often causing previous resistance to act as resistance again.
▪️Use in Trading: Breakers are often used to identify failed reversals where traders might enter in the direction of the initial trend, as these zones tend to have strong support or resistance.
4. Bullish and Bearish Breakers in Trading
Bullish Breaker:
▪️A level created after a failed bearish structure, turning into support as the price breaks upward.
Look for confirmation of price moving above this level, with entry points often at or just above the zone.
Bearish Breaker:
▪️A level created after a failed bullish attempt, creating a resistance zone as price breaks lower.
Traders enter trades when price retests this breaker level and shows signs of rejection.
5. When to Enter Trades
▪️Order Block Entry: Look for price to return to an order block zone (after creating it), confirming it as a valid area of support or resistance. Confirmation methods include candlestick patterns or lower timeframe support/resistance creation.
▪️Imbalance Entry: Price may "fill" imbalances, and traders can look to enter as price retraces to this level with signs of rejection or confirmation. Watch for candles rejecting at the edge of the imbalance zone.
▪️Breaker Entry: Wait for price to test the breaker zone and show signs of rejection, typically with a smaller time-frame entry trigger (like a lower high or low in structure).
▪️Risk Management: When entering trades based on these points, place stops beyond the zone or recent high/low, and target areas of the next significant support/resistance or opposite liquidity pools.
6. Tips for Effective Use
🔸Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Check higher timeframe levels for stronger order blocks or breakers and use lower timeframes to refine entry.
🔸Wait for Confirmation: Often, a test of these areas with a reversal candlestick pattern (like a pin bar or engulfing candle) on a lower timeframe will provide better entries than immediately entering.
🔸Volume Confirmation: Higher volume in these areas can suggest more institutional interest and improve the chance of a successful trade.
🔸Mastering these concepts involves observing how price interacts with these levels across different market conditions, which enhances accuracy over time.
Smart Money Market Structure Order Block Trading🔸The principles of "smart money" trading focus on understanding the behavior of institutional investors, often referred to as "smart money," to make informed trading decisions. By analyzing market structure, order blocks, supply and demand zones, and market cycles, traders aim to predict price movements and make profitable trades. Here’s a breakdown of these key concepts and how they interact:
1. Market Structure
Market structure is the fundamental flow of price movement, typically defined by highs and lows that indicate trends. The market can be seen in three primary states:
▪️Uptrend: Characterized by higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
▪️Downtrend: Defined by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL).
▪️Consolidation (Range-bound): Prices oscillate between a support (demand) and resistance (supply) level.
▪️Understanding market structure helps traders identify when a market is trending or ranging, which is essential for timing entries and exits.
2. Order Blocks
Order blocks are areas on a price chart where large institutional traders, like banks and hedge funds, execute significant orders. These blocks often indicate strong levels of support or resistance due to the substantial buying or selling activity.
▪️Bullish Order Block: Typically found before a strong upward move. It's the last bearish (down) candle before the price rallies, signaling a demand zone.
▪️Bearish Order Block: Typically found before a strong downward move. It's the last bullish (up) candle before the price drops, indicating a supply zone.
▪️Order blocks provide clues to where "smart money" has entered the market, suggesting areas where price may return for liquidity and where retail traders may find good entry points.
3. Supply and Demand Zones
Supply and demand zones are similar to support and resistance levels but with a focus on identifying imbalances. They represent areas where supply (sellers) and demand (buyers) are significantly unbalanced:
▪️Demand Zone: A price range where buyers are strong enough to prevent further price drops. This often corresponds to an area of support.
▪️Supply Zone: A price range where sellers have historically stepped in to prevent further price increases, serving as resistance.
▪️Prices often revert to these zones due to liquidity needs, creating entry points for trend continuations or reversals.
4. Lower Highs (LH) and Higher Lows (HL)
These are essential markers in identifying trend changes:
▪️Lower Highs (LH): In a downtrend, the price fails to reach a previous high, indicating seller dominance and potential continuation of the downtrend.
▪️Higher Lows (HL): In an uptrend, the price creates higher lows, suggesting that buyers are gradually gaining strength, signaling a continuation of the uptrend.
These structural points help traders understand potential trend reversals or continuations.
5. Accumulation and Distribution Phases
These phases are critical to the Wyckoff Market Cycle:
▪️Accumulation: This phase represents a period where "smart money" accumulates positions at low prices. It typically occurs after a downtrend and is characterized by a consolidation or sideways price movement. This phase often signals a future uptrend.
▪️Distribution: This is the phase where institutional players offload positions after a significant price increase. Like accumulation, distribution appears as consolidation, often preceding a downtrend.
▪️Accumulation and distribution are often analyzed using volume patterns and price action to gauge when a trend may begin or end.
6. Market Cycles (The Wyckoff Theory)
Market cycles are a sequence of phases that price undergoes over time. According to Wyckoff’s methodology, there are four phases:
▪️Accumulation: Institutions build positions, often at a market bottom.
▪️Markup: After accumulation, the price starts to increase as demand outstrips supply.
▪️Distribution: Institutions sell off their positions, often at the top of the cycle.
▪️Markdown: Price declines as supply overwhelms demand, leading to a downtrend.
▪️Understanding these phases allows traders to anticipate potential turning points, which is critical in smart money trading.
Applying These Principles in Trading
The smart money trading approach uses these principles collectively:
🔸Identify Market Structure: Determine whether the market is trending or ranging, then identify order blocks, supply and demand zones, and significant highs and lows.
🔸Recognize Key Levels: Watch for accumulation and distribution phases at these levels, helping to anticipate likely future movements.
🔸Confirm with Volume: Use volume analysis to confirm accumulation or distribution activity.
🔸Set Entries and Exits at Smart Money Zones: Utilize identified order blocks and supply/demand zones to enter trades with the trend (markup or markdown) or exit before a reversal.
🔸By combining these elements, traders seek to align with the strategies of institutional investors, capturing trends early and minimizing exposure during less favorable periods.
XAU/USD : Bullish Movement Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we see that yesterday’s bearish trend played out as expected, hitting all downside targets at $2717, $2700, and $2686, even extending further to $2643. This aggressive decline resulted in over 1000 pips of movement within a single day.
Currently trading around $2670, gold faces a significant liquidity gap, and with the interest rate decision due tonight, I expect the price to recover and potentially fill this gap. Expect heavy market volatility—trade cautiously!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPUSD Is Going Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.290.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.295 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBPUSD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisGBPJPY s moving to the upper boundary of the descending channel.
The volatility of the movement has decreased.
The price has reached the resistance level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Bullish bounce?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance level.
Pivot: 1.2935
1st Support: 1.2906
1st Resistance: 1.2999
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2940
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.29065
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2999
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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GBPUSD 1.29661 -0.13% MULTI TF INTRADAY SET-UPHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at The CABLE At the close of ASIA INTO THE LONDON, TO NY PM SESSION
- As we draw to the close of the week, looking for GU to close bullish.
* on the 4H looking for a bearish open with the close of ASIAN SESSION.
* PO3
* Push LOWER before going for HIGHER structures LQ pull.
1 HOUR TF
* Looking for the mitigation of the bullish OB+.
* FVG below has already been mitigated.
* if this structure holds, looking for long entries to close the week.
* DXY 4H
* BASED on the price action served next session...
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
|
* ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
GBPUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.2921, which is a pullback support close to 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.3949, a multi-swing high resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.2860, which is a multi-swing low support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.30300 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.30300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.