Get started

GBPUSD

Fundamental Market Analysis for March 27, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 14:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims GBPUSD: The GBP/USD pair is showing signs of recovery, having rebounded from the previous session's losses to reach 1.2910 during Thursday's Asian trading session. The pair is strengthening as the US dollar remains under pressure from lower Treasury yields: 2-year and 10-year yields are at 4.0% and 4.34%, respectively. Market participants are monitoring upcoming US economic data, including weekly initial jobless claims and the final Q4 annualised Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report, scheduled for release later today. However, GBP/USD gains may be constrained due to an escalation in risk-off sentiment and a rise in US trade policy. On Wednesday, US President Donald Trump signed an executive order imposing 25 per cent tariffs on car imports, which will come into effect on April 2, with duty collection starting the following day. However, a one-month delay will be granted for imports of auto parts. This has led to heightened global trade tensions and added uncertainty to the markets. On Wednesday, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem issued a statement that was critical of the tariff policy, joining other Federal Reserve chiefs in expressing concerns. Musalem warned that the measures are disrupting the US economy, increasing uncertainty and pushing inflation higher. The release of the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for February showed inflation falling faster than expected, leading to a weakening of the Pound Sterling (GBP). The lower CPI reading has led to speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) may be leaning towards easing monetary policy. The core CPI rose by 2.8% year-on-year, falling short of the 2.9% forecast and down from January's 3.0%. The core consumer price index, which excludes volatile goods, rose by 3.5%, below the anticipated 3.6% and the previous reading of 3.7%. On a monthly basis, the core CPI increased by 0.4%, following a 0.1% decline in January, falling short of the 0.5% forecast. Inflation in the services sector, a key focus area for the Bank of England, remained steady at 5%. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.29000, SL 1.29700, TP 1.28100
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
$GBIRYY -U.K Inflation Rate (February/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY February/2025 source: Office for National Statistics - The annual inflation rate in the UK fell to 2.8% in February 2025 from 3% in January, below market expectations of 2.9%, though in line with the Bank of England's forecast. The largest downward contribution came from prices of clothing which declined for the first time since October 2021 (-0.6% vs 1.8%), led by garments for women and children's clothing. Inflation also eased in recreation and culture (3.4% vs. 3.8%), particularly in live music admission and recording media, as well as in housing and utilities (1.9% vs. 2.1%), including actual rents for housing (7.4% vs. 7.8%). In contrast, food inflation was unchanged at 3.3% and prices rose faster for transport (1.8% vs 1.7%) and restaurants and hotels (3.4% vs 3.3%). Meanwhile, services inflation held steady at 5%. The annual core inflation rate declined to 3.5% from 3.7%. Compared to the previous month, the CPI increased 0.4%, rebounding from a 0.1% decline but falling short of the expected 0.5% increase.
ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
Mid-Week Analysis March 27-28: USD FX Majors Stock Indices, ...In this video, we look back on the forecasts from this past weekend, and check how they are playing out to this point in the week. USD Index, S&P500, Nasdaq ,Dow Jones, Gold, Silver, Platinum, Copper, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, JPY. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
2
GBP/USD Potential Bear Momentum...I couldn't resist the GBP/USD bear opportunity here displaying a broadening pattern. I'm already in established shorts on the EUR/USD at 1.0891 but decided to jump in on GBP/USD at 1.2916 considering the price movements can be more pronounced. Right now, my cap on whether this trade works or not is 1.3000. if we, for whatever reason, pop back up to 1.3000, I'd close this trade but for now, I think this trade looks good and will target 1.2750 however, using chart pattern percentages, I wouldn't be surprised to see 1.2600. We'll see how this one looks going forward, especially with trump announcing more tariffs later today. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
by InternalTraderNYC
UK inflation cools more than expected, GBP/USD loses groundUK inflation for February rose 2.8% y/y, below the market esti mate of 2.9%. This was lower than the 3% gain in January. The main contribution to the drop in inflation was lower prices for clothing and housing. On a monthly basis, CPI rose 0.4%, up from 0.1% in January but lower than the market estimate of 0.5%. Core CPI also eased, falling from 3.7% to 3.5%. The drop in inflation is good news, but the Bank of England remains concerned about the upside risk of inflation. Services inflation, which has been sticky, was unchanged at 5%. The BoE will consider a rate cut at the next meeting in May, but will be monitoring the effects of increased employer taxes starting in April as well as today's Spring Statement. At last week's meeting, the BoE expressed concern over worsening "global trade policy uncertainty" and pointedly mentioned US tariffs. The Trump administration's new trade policy has raised trade tensions and a global trade war would hurt growth and boost inflation. The slight drop in inflation is also good news for Finance Minister Rachel Reeves, who is delivered the budget update earlier today. The update did not contain any further tax increases and announced deep spending cuts. Borrrowing a phrase from the Bank of England at last week's meeting, Reeves said "increased global uncertainty" had increased borrowing costs and led to economic instability. GBP/USD has pushed below support at 1.2940. The next support level is 1.2864 There is resistance at 1.2940 and 1.2991
by OANDA
GBP/USD: Technical Signals Point to Potential Bearish ReversalIn the early stages of the European session on Friday, GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its footing, trading below the 1.2925 mark as I compose this article. The pair faces pressure from a robust demand for the US dollar amid a backdrop of cautiousness from the Federal Reserve and prevailing economic uncertainties. This selling pressure persists despite the Bank of England's recent hawkish stance. As market participants await insights from Federal Reserve officials as well as a speech from US President Trump in the Oval Office, attention is heightened. From a technical perspective, the currency pair has entered a supply zone, prompting expectations for a potential reversal and the commencement of a bearish trend. ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
4
eurusd alternative 5 wave outlook buy dips tp 1100🏆 eurusd Market Update / Wednesday 📊 Alternative Technical Outlook 🔸Bullish OUTLOOK 🔸5 waves Bullish Sequence on H12 🔸0230/0530 w1, 0530/0290 w2, 0290/0935 w3 🔸0935/0675 wave 4 pullback now 🔸0675/1100 - final wave 5 pump 🔸Recommend to BUY DIPS 0675/0665 🔸Price Target BULLS: 1100 USD in Wave5 💶📉 EUR/USD Mini Market Recap – March 2025 🔹 🛑 Fed Holds Rates 📉 No rate cut yet, but hints coming soon 🏦📊 🔹 💵 USD Strength Rising 💪 US data strong + tariff optimism = dollar gains 💼📈 🔹 📉 EUR/USD Weakens ⚠️ Testing 1.0798 support, 1.06 may come next 🚨📉 🔹 📊 Key US Data Ahead 🕵️‍♂️ Core PCE inflation data could move EUR/USD fast 📆📊 🔹 🌐 Trade Tensions Return 🧨 Tariff talk adds pressure to euro and dollar 💣💬
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
23
Pound Slips to $1.29 on Soft InflationThe British pound dipped to around $1.29 as traders reacted to softer inflation data and looked ahead to the Spring Statement. UK annual inflation eased to 2.8% in February, below the 2.9% forecast but in line with the BoE's outlook. Services inflation remained at 5%. The BoE expects inflation to rise toward 4% later this year. Markets see a 92% chance of a 25bps rate cut in August and about a 60% chance of another by year-end. Chancellor Rachel Reeves is set to outline the economic outlook and announce major government spending cuts. If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3050, the next resistance levels are 1.3100 and 1.3150. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2800 and 1.2715 if selling pressure increases. 
by ChartMage
GBP/USD: Struggles at Resistance, Risks of Weak Oscillation PersDuring the European session on Tuesday, GBP/USD held steady above 1.29000. However, the technical outlook maintained a bearish bias. The US dollar strengthened due to upbeat data, suppressing the rebound of the British pound. The exchange rate faced resistance at key resistance levels when attempting to rise. If it fails to break through these resistance levels, in the short term, it may continue the weak, oscillatory downward trend, and the downside risks still remain. The market lacks strong momentum, and overall, it stays in a weak, oscillatory pattern. GBPUSD sell@1.29600-1.29900 tp:1.28800 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Short
by JohnGonzalez7
1
GBPUSD - Sell Trade SetupLet's see what happens with the upcoming CPI data from the UK. In the event figures come in less than analyst forecast, guess what?? Well this pair will go south! Why well Fed's comments last week were not dovish, tariffs are still causing inflation providing strength and stability for the greenback. Waiting for UK CPI data to confirm my analysis. Leave a comment below, let me know what you think. Share with friends. Check out my profile for more awesome trade plans and setups. DM for copy trading, use any regulated FX broker. Trade Safe - Trade Well ~Michael Harding
Short
by Michael_Harding
potential liquidity grab and sell-offEUR/USD Key Setup – Smart Money in Action! 🚀 The market is setting up for a potential liquidity grab and sell-off! 📉 Here’s the breakdown: 🔹 Price is approaching a key supply zone (highlighted in yellow & purple). A strong reaction here could indicate a short opportunity. 🔹 Invalidation level is clearly marked—if price breaks above, the setup is invalid. 🔹 Anticipated move: A rejection from the zone could lead to a drop towards the 1.07200-1.07600 demand area. 🔹 Confluence factors: Structure, liquidity, and institutional order flow align with this move. 📊 Trade Idea: ✅ Entry: Wait for a confirmation in the highlighted area ✅ Stop Loss: Above the invalidation level ✅ Take Profit: Lower demand zone 💡 Will this setup play out? Let’s see how the market reacts! Comment below with your thoughts! 🔥📉 #ForexTrading #EURUSD #SmartMoney #PriceAction #Liquidity #ForexSetup
Short
by Greenfireforex
XAU/USD: First Long, Then SHORT! (PLEASE READ THE CAPTION)Gold's 2-hour chart shows that the price successfully reached a new high of $3057 today before retracing to $3025. Currently, gold is trading around $3037, and I expect a short-term push towards $3049 before looking for a trigger to potentially ride a correction down to targets below $3022. Stay tuned—this analysis will be updated soon! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
23
GBP/USD Stable at $1.292: Budget AwaitedGBP/USD is trading steadily around $1.292 as markets await British finance minister Rachel Reeves’ spring budget update. Despite dollar strength from solid U.S. data and rising Treasury yields, the pound remains resilient, supported by cautious optimism over the UK’s fiscal outlook. Traders are watching the upcoming budget for clues on spending and economic forecasts, which could impact GBP/USD in the near term. If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3050, the next resistance levels are 1.3100 and 1.3150. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2800 and 1.2715 if selling pressure increases. 
by ChartMage