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GBPUSD

GBP/USD tests key 1.30 handle ahead of FOMCThe pound rallied following the Bank of England’s decision to cut interest rates earlier. Governor Bailey refrained from defining what “gradual” would mean for the pace of future cuts. The GBP/USD rally was aided by a sharp drop in the US dollar. The focus is now turning to the FOMC rate decision, which means the greenback could change course again. The Bank of England lowered rates by 25 basis points to 4.75%, aligning with market expectations. The Monetary Policy Committee voted 8-1 in favor of the cut, as anticipated. However, the BoE maintains it can’t lower rates “too quickly or by too much,” opting instead for a more measured approach. The central bank sees a gradual easing as appropriate, keeping to its September guidance on rates. The recent budget is expected to lift inflation slightly, adding around 0.5% to CPI at its peak according to the BoE —just above the forecast from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). Like the OBR, the BoE isn’t expecting significant economic growth from this budget. As it stands, the Bank intends to continue cutting rates gradually over the coming months. This should keep the GBP under pressure. Will the GBP/USD now hold below the key 1.30 handle or break above it? What it does here will determine the near-term direction. All eyes are on the Fed Chair Powell. The Fed could shed light on the central bank’s next steps. Markets are fully expecting a 25-basis-point reduction. Chair Powell may steer clear of any commitment to a rapid easing cycle, especially if he believes Trump’s policies could drive inflation. Any indication of hawkishness could boost bond yields further, which could give the dollar another boost. Even though rate expectations have shifted, significant changes in market trends are unlikely in the immediate term. However, over the coming quarters, rising US yields could strengthen the dollar, adding pressure on other economies while supporting the US market’s broader trend. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
GBPUSD 180 Pip ShortStill playing off the 4h bearish trend that GBPUSD is in. We have traded the pullback all of the way back up and are now once again approaching the 4h supply zone. I am looking for a reversal in market structure on the lower time frames to confirm the continuation of the bearish trend on the higher time frames. As this is a continuation trade expecting the higher time frames to kick in and continue the bearish trend the target is a new lower low on the 4h chart. Make sure that you boost this trade idea and follow. Over 300 pips of movements called so far this week!!!
Short
by DrRoach2
14
EDUCATION: The “Fake” Engulfing Candle: A SNEAKY TRAPAs traders, we’re often taught to look for classic price action patterns, and one of the most well-known is the Engulfing Candle. It's that strong reversal pattern where the body of the second candle completely engulfs the body of the first, signaling potential trend reversals or continuations. But what happens when that engulfing candle shows up in the "wrong" place? That’s what I like to call a "Fake" Engulfing Candle. A "Fake" Engulfing Candle is one that paints on the chart but in a location that doesn’t align with the market context or trend. For example, if you’re in a strong, established trend, an engulfing candle that appears in the middle of the trend (without any supporting structure or context) could be a false signal. This kind of engulfing candle might look great on the chart, but it's not telling you the full story—it’s a signal with poor timing. Understanding the Importance of Location The location of an engulfing candle is key. A "real" engulfing candle typically forms after a clear trend exhaustion or at a key support or resistance level. These are areas where price is likely to reverse, and that’s where an engulfing pattern becomes meaningful. However, when the engulfing candle appears in random locations—without any clear structure around it—it’s often just noise in the market. Fake signals, like this, can lead traders to make impulsive decisions, chasing trades that aren’t supported by solid market structure or context. Think of it like walking into a room full of noise—you may hear words, but they’re not telling you anything meaningful. How to Spot a Fake Engulfing Candle Context is King: Look for the engulfing candle to form after a trend exhaustion or near a key support or resistance level. If it pops up in the middle of a strong trend with no visible reason for reversal, chances are it’s a fake. Volume Confirmation: Is the engulfing candle supported by volume? A strong engulfing candle should have an increase in volume, confirming the strength of the move. If volume is absent or weak, the signal may be unreliable. Previous Market Structure: The best signals often come from patterns that align with previous market structure, such as previous highs or lows. If the engulfing candle doesn’t respect any major levels or swing points, it might not be worth trading. Practical Takeaway: Don't Fall for the Fake The takeaway here is simple: don’t let the appearance of a "perfect" engulfing candle fool you. Just because it looks good on the chart doesn’t mean it’s the right signal for the current market conditions. Always pay attention to the context around the pattern and confirm it with volume and other technical indicators. Remember, location matters when it comes to identifying valid trade setups. Have you ever been caught by a "Fake" Engulfing Candle? What’s your process for distinguishing real signals from fake ones? Drop your thoughts in the comments—I'd love to hear how you handle these tricky setups!
Education
by TLTurnerTV
8
GBPUSD forming a bottom?GBPUSD - 24h expiry Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. Price action looks to be forming a bottom. Posted a Double Bottom formation. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Bespoke support is located at 1.2865. We look to Buy at 1.2865 (stop at 1.2825) Our profit targets will be 1.2965 and 1.2985 Resistance: 1.3020 / 1.3060 / 1.3100 Support: 1.2860 / 1.2830 / 1.2800 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
GBPUSD 164 Pip LongThis is possibly my favourite setup to trade. GBPUSD is in a strong bearish trend on the 4h chart and we have created a new LL today. We know that the market moves in waves so after a LL we get a pullback to make sure that the market moves efficiently. Price has broken out of its downward trend on the 5m and I am now keen to see it break the 15m CHOC mark. If this happens I will look to long from just above the 4h LL and look for more long entries all the way back up into the 4h supply zone. Follow and like for more trade ideas!
Long
by DrRoach2
7
Cable H4 | Will the BoE's rate cut trigger a sell-off? Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.2955 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 1.3057 which is a level that sits above a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 1.2833 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?XAG/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.2953 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3045 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.2844 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 1.2940 1st Support: 1.2842 1st Resistance: 1.3000 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
XAU/USD : Liquidity Fills and Key Levels Amid Market VolatilityBy analyzing the #Gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we observe that yesterday, as anticipated, both targets of $2745 and $2748 were achieved, with the price even climbing to $2750. After collecting liquidity above these levels, gold experienced a sharp decline following the announcement of Donald Trump's presidency, dropping to $2701. The price quickly filled the liquidity gap and is now trading around $2724. The key level to watch is $2740—if the price stabilizes below this, further declines toward $2717, $2700, and $2686 are likely. High market volatility persists; inexperienced traders should consider observing the market until it stabilizes. This analysis will be updated soon! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
9
The Best Level to Short EURUSD TP +120/+240 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the 6hour chart for EURUSD today. As expected previously we are getting a normal bounce off the fresh demand zone at 0800 currently closing on heavy overhead mirror s/r resistance. 🔸This setup falls in-line with my strategic outlook for EURUSD which is targeting 0500, review via link: 🔸Key mirror S/R detected at 0925/0945, most likely further upside is very limited in EURUSD so expecting fresh sell-side pressure and reversal from the key s/r zone. Bears will target fresh demand zone near 0700. 🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders: focus on short selling high near 0925/0945 price cluster SL fixed at 40 pips TP1 +120 pips TP2 +240 pips final exit at 0700. Expecting rejection from overhead resistance and re-test of the mirror S/R level at 0700. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
28
Weekly FOREX Forecast: USD Is Strong Vs EUR, GBP, AUD NZDThis is an outlook for the week of Nov 4 - 8th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, and NZD. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6N1!
by RT_Money
6
Trump Reclaims US Presidency6th November President Trump!!! DXY: Further strength expected to 105.45, could retrace briefly, needs to stay above 104.80. (beyond 105.45 could reach 106) NZDUSD: Sell 0.5935 SL 20 TP 75 (hesitation at 0.5895) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6560 SL 25 TP 80 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2810 SL 30 TP 60 EURUSD: Sell 1.0765 SL 25 TP 90 USDJPY: Buy 154.40 SL 45 TP 90 USDCHF: Buy 0.8710 SL 20 TP 40 USDCAD: Sell 1.39 SL 30 TP 70 Gold: Looking for reaction at 2733, beyond that could trade up to 2760
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
GBPUSD: Updated Support & Resistance Analysis 🇬🇧🇺🇸 Here is my latest structure analysis for GBPUSD. Horizontal Structures Resistance 1: 1.304 - 1.310 area Resistance 2: 1.331 - 1.332 area Resistance 3: 1.341 - 1.343 area Support 1: 1.284 - 1.286 area Support 2: 1.277 - 1.280 area Support 3: 1.266 - 1.269 area Vertical Structures Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
The Best Level to short USDCAD TP +250/+500 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the daily chart for USDCAD today. Trading near premium prices of the multiyear range, established in 2023. Currently risk/reward is shifting in bears favor, so it's recommended to look for sell side setups in this market. 🔸Range highs set at 3800, premium prices overhead at 3880 3960 range lows set at 3300 and premium prices below at 3140 3240 current bid is 3885. 🔸Recommended strategy for USDCAD traders: focus on short selling any rips/rallies near market price. price is currently trading near premium levels and is maxed out already, limited upside. TP1 bears +250 TP2 bears +500 pips keep in mind this is a swing trade setup so naturally will take more time to complete / hit both targets. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
19