GBPUSD(20250514)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The U.S. unadjusted CPI annual rate unexpectedly dropped to 2.3% in April, the lowest since February 2021.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3262
Support and resistance levels:
1.3408
1.3353
1.3318
1.3205
1.3170
1.3115
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3318, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3353
If the price breaks through 1.3262, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3205
GBPUSD
Bullish breakout?The Cable (GBP/USD) has broken out of the resistance level, which was a pullback resistance. A potential pullback to the pivot and a bounce could lead the price to rise toward the 1st resistance level.
Pivot: 1,3259
1st Support: 1.3223
1st Resistance: 1.3319
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAU/USD: Gold will fall ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that on Friday, after the price rose to $3248, it once again faced a correction and eventually closed at $3326. I expect that with the market opening, we’ll see further correction from gold, and the first potential target will likely be the $3213–$3216 area.
The key demand zones are $3253–$3274 and the $3313 level.
The key supply zones are $3355–$3369 and $3395–$3408.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPUSD Brace for a Sharp Drop to 1.3000! Free signal!Hello everyone.
I want share my idea about GBPUSD.
The U.S.-China trade deal breakthrough has fueled USD strength, pressuring GBP/USD after a surge to 1.3330. BoE’s dovish stance, with a potential 25 bps rate cut priced in, contrasts with a hawkish Fed, favoring USD. Upcoming UK CPI and U.S. CPI data this week could drive volatility—soft UK inflation may weaken GBP, while high U.S. inflation could bolster USD further. UK wage growth (5.9%) offers GBP support, but weak PMI and employer sentiment cap gains. Watch U.S.-UK trade deal news for potential GBP upside.
With technical we can see last week we had some consolidation and this week started with high volatility and brake support. at the moment price testing resistance + 4h FVG.
Scenario 1 (Bearish – Primary View): Price rejects the 1.3200–1.3275 FVG/resistance zone and resumes its downtrend, targeting the next major support at 1.3000—a psychological and structural level. This aligns with USD strength from the trade deal and BoE’s dovish stance . Trade Setup: Short below 1.3200, target 1.3000, stop above 1.3300 (above FVG).
Scenario 2 (Bullish – Less Likely): Buyers break above the FVG (1.3275) and 1.3300, targeting 1.3350–1.3400. This would require a catalyst like soft U.S. CPI data weakening USD, but current fundamentals favor bears.
Trade Setup:
Entry below - 1.3190 (current price 1.32048) ensures confirmation of rejection.
Stop above - 1.3280 (above FVG) protects against a bullish breakout.
Target - I will follow trend with trail stop.
For collaboration text me private!
Always make your own research!!!
GBPUSD: Strong Sell Momentum Built Up! What is next?GBPUSD is building strong sell momentum, increasing sell volume. At the same time, DXY is in correction mode, so keep that in mind. If DXY plummets again, it may invalidate our first entry. However, there’s a second entry that could be a safer zone for those looking for a stable entry.
There are three take profit targets that can be set according to your trading plan. This analysis doesn’t guarantee that the price will move as described.
Good luck and trade safely!
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Could GBP/USD resume lower from THIS resistance level?The GBP/USD sold off Monday on the back of the US-China trade truce, which lifted the dollar. Today, we saw a rebound in major currency pairs including the cable. But was Monday's price action following the weekend developments a game changer?
I think it was, and feel the US dollar has more room to the upside. For that reason, I am expecting the GBPUSD to hold below key resistance around 1.3245, which is shaded in orange on the chart. This area was old support, and may now turn into strong resistance. Let's see.
By Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst with FOREX.com
GBPUSDHello traders.
Today's first signal comes from GBPUSD. To be honest, I don’t feel entirely confident about this trade — but I’m still taking it, trusting my system and strategy.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 1.32022
✔️ Take Profit: 1.32320
✔️ Stop Loss: 1.31824
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
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GBPUSD Forecast: Watching 1.3000–1.3060 Zone for Bullish ReactioCurrently, GBPUSD is showing signs of weakness and may dip slightly towards the 1.3000 to 1.3060 area. A daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists in this zone on the lower timeframes, which could act as a strong support area. From that point, we may see a significant bullish move.
In summary:
Current Bias: Short-term bearish
Expected Retrace: To the 1.3000 – 1.3060 zone (daily FVG)
Expected Move: Strong bullish rally from that support
Please note that this is a technical outlook, not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and manage risk carefully in live market conditions.
CADCHF watch the drop!!Good day traders, I recently share an Idea on CADCHF and if you go back and see what was outlined and how I ended the description. I highlighted that price might manipulate higher but as long as the overall bias remains we still on!!
How I look at the markets is I like to cross reference different pairs and GBPCAD confirmed my bearish outlook and so did AUDCAD. Study this setup till Sellside liquidity 🙏🏽
GBPUSD's Upward Reaction from Point "D" Could Stay LimitedGBPUSD broke below the 1.3210 support level, confirming a newly formed short-term downtrend channel. The lower line of the channel and the projected point D of an extended ABCD formation have converged, and GBPUSD is now attempting an upward reaction from that area.
The 1.3210 level has now become the most immediate resistance. If it is broken, GBPUSD could make its way toward the upper boundary of the channel. However, momentum currently favors the bears, so any upward moves may present selling opportunities, whether from 1.3210 or the upper line of the channel.
If the downtrend channel fails, this strategy becomes invalid.
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 13, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
15:30 EET. USD - Consumer Price Index
18:00 EET. USD - BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks
The GBP/USD pair is climbing towards 1.3195 in the early European session on Tuesday.
US President Donald Trump said last week that he would continue to impose new 10% tariffs on imports of most British goods, but would reduce higher tariffs on imports of British cars, steel and aluminium. These positive developments related to the US-UK trade deal are fuelling cable prices.
In addition, gradual and cautious policy easing by the Bank of England is helping to boost the Pound Sterling. The UK central bank cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point in a split decision last week and said the risks to growth posed by Trump's global trade war did not derail its plan for cautious policy easing. The Bank of England estimates the UK economy will grow by 1 per cent, up from the 0.75 per cent forecast at its February meeting.
Traders await the release of the US consumer price index (CPI) for April, due later on Tuesday.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3225, SL 1.3125, TP 1.3425
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISXAUUSD is currently trading around 3250, consolidating within a well-defined bullish flag structure after a strong impulsive rally. This flag pattern on the 12-hour chart reflects healthy profit-taking and reaccumulation after a significant upward move. The current price action is respecting the lower boundary of the flag, and with growing volume on bullish candles, the setup suggests a high probability of a breakout to the upside, targeting the 3650 region.
From a macroeconomic perspective, gold remains in strong demand due to ongoing global uncertainties and persistent inflation concerns. The US CPI print remains sticky above 3%, keeping real yields under pressure and supporting gold's bullish bias. Furthermore, with the Fed expected to hold interest rates steady for longer, the market is starting to price in fewer rate cuts this year. This continues to undermine the USD and supports gold as a store of value. Additionally, rising central bank gold purchases and geopolitical risk premium are adding further tailwinds.
Technically, we are watching for a clean breakout above the upper flag resistance around 3280–3300. A breakout with volume confirmation would open the door toward the psychological 3400 level first, followed by a push toward the 3650 target area. Momentum indicators are turning up, and price is showing signs of basing just above previous support levels, adding confidence to the bullish continuation scenario.
Gold remains one of the strongest trending assets in 2025, and this consolidation is likely just a pause before the next leg higher. As global markets digest the impact of persistent inflation and macro volatility, precious metals like gold are likely to outperform. This flag formation provides a textbook continuation setup for traders looking to position with the broader trend.
GU-Tue-13/05/25 TDA-Flash news, bearish continuation before CPI!Analysis done directly on the chart
Sharing live trade updates!
Flash news yesterday to cause the price to continue
the bearish momentum breaking through strong
supports.
SOURCE: Financial Juice
If you are a daytrader (even if aren't) you should be
aware of flash news that can happen at any time and
cause price to move suddenly.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
AUDUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDUSD is currently trading at 0.6400 and forming a clear inverse head and shoulders pattern on the 12-hour timeframe, a well-known bullish reversal structure. The neckline breakout is nearing, and the recent price behavior shows strong bullish volume support, indicating growing confidence among buyers. With a projected target of 0.6700, this setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio as we transition into a potential trend shift in favor of the Aussie.
On the fundamental front, the Australian dollar is benefiting from a more resilient macro backdrop. Recent Australian jobs data came in stronger than expected, and the RBA remains cautious on rate cuts, especially with inflation pressures still lingering. Meanwhile, US inflation remains sticky, but with the Fed leaning toward a “higher-for-longer” stance rather than aggressive tightening, the greenback has shown signs of exhaustion against risk-linked currencies like AUD.
Technically, the price has respected the 0.6350 support level and is now forming higher lows. The breakout of the neckline around 0.6450 could accelerate bullish momentum, especially if accompanied by a strong candle close and continued volume confirmation. The next resistance lies at 0.6550, with the larger structure aiming for a test of 0.6700. This aligns with broader market sentiment rotating into commodity currencies, particularly as China stimulus hopes and improving risk appetite lift AUD.
AUDUSD remains one of the more technically clean setups among the majors right now. With a bullish pattern forming, supportive fundamentals, and improving sentiment across risk assets, this is a setup that deserves close attention from traders looking to ride the next impulsive leg to the upside.
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D13 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D13 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Gbpusd signal GBP/USD fell on Monday, tumbling a little over one percent and pushing the pair back down below the 1.3200 handle after a broad-based recovery in Greenback bidding.
GBP/USD was last seen trading near 1.3160, where the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) meets the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level of the latest uptrend. In case the pair drops below this level and starts using it as resistance, technical sellers could remain interested. In this scenario, 1.3100 (50-day SMA) could be seen as next support ahead of 1.3070 (Fibonacci 50% retracement) and 1.3000-1.2990 (round level, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement).
Sell Signal for GBPUSD!Hey Guys,
In the new analysis on GBPUSD, price is close to a potential resistance area and based on the latest trend, it can be another good opportunity to open a sell position (as I've defined) with a good risk/reward ratio(1/3)
You can consider different Take profits and partially close your position until to the latest target.
Good luck :)
GBP/USD Multi-Timeframe Summary (May 13–17):GBP/USD Multi-Timeframe Summary (May 13–17):
On the daily chart, GBP/USD faces strong resistance at 1.345–1.350 (double-top) and support near 1.280–1.290. The recent pullback to 1.320 aligns with the 61.8% retracement of the April–May rally.
On the hourly chart, price is consolidating in a falling channel between 1.318–1.336, with a bear trap on May 8 indicating demand near the lows. A clean hourly break above 1.336 suggests momentum toward 1.345, while a break below 1.318 targets the 1.300–1.290 daily demand zone.
The 15-minute chart shows a V-reversal from 1.314, followed by a tight flag between 1.318–1.322. This zone offers short-term breakout or fade trades.
Key levels:
Resistance: 1.336, 1.345
Support: 1.318, 1.312, 1.290
Trade triggers: Buy >1.322, Sell <1.318 (tight stops, 15–30 pip targets)
Strategy:
Scalp intraday flags on 15′, trade hourly range extremes, and watch for a breakout from the daily structure.
Bearish reversal?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3250
1st Support: 1.3050
1st Resistance: 1.3331
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.3250, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.3015, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 1.3351, an overlap resistance.
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GBPUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyToday,we have successfully achieved a target of 120 points. resulted in profits! Check it!👉👉
Today, the GBP/USD exchange rate is 1.3171, a decrease of 0.98% compared to the opening price. Affected by the easing of Sino-US trade relations, the US dollar continues to strengthen, and more trade agreements are expected to be released in the future, with a strong bullish expectation for the US dollar. Technically, the momentum indicator of GBP/USD is trending lower, and the initial support is at 1.3150. In terms of trading operations, it is recommended to wait until the GBP/USD rebounds to the resistance range of 1.3275-1.3250, and then open a short position with a small position.
Trading Strategy:
sell@1.3275-1.3250
TP:1.3150-1.3100
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
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EurGbp….‘CE of a balanced FVG’Good day traders, EurGbp has been on my watchlist for sometime now and I was hesitant because of the strength shown on DXY and that made me think we’d have a quiet day here yesterday.
With that been said the balanced price range is the grey rectangle shown on the chart and we can see that price showed a rejection by failing to close below the midpoint(CE). On the daily TF we are very much still bullish and till we shift structure lower on the daily TF, my overall sentiment remains. On the 4H TF we have a very bearish leg and from what we know price moves in a trend not a line so that also makes part of our thought process as well.
GBP_USD STRONG BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅GBP_USD was holding above
The key horizontal level around 1.3240
For quite some time but now we are
Seeing a strong bearish breakout
Which is confirmed and as the pair
Is making a pullback to retest
The new resistance we will be
Expecting a further bearish
Continuation after the retest
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.