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GBPUSD

GBPUSD M15 I Bearish Drop Based on the M15 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.2618, aligning with a pullback resistance level and the 50% Fibonacci retracement. This setup suggests a potential bearish reversal. A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 1.2596, a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss is set at 1.2634, a resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EURO STOXX 50 celebrates new ATH, due to Ukraine war abateThe European stock rally is beginning as investors have gotten optimistic about a potential ceasefire in Ukraine. The end of the 3-years conflict was always a wild card for European equity markets. Now investors are starting to prepare for this scenario, aggressively buying energy-intensive sectors and European laggards. While a lot of upside potential remains for some sectors, the path ahead is likely to be rapid. The benchmark Euro Stoxx 50 has rarely been this overbought in the past four years. Some investors have been aggressively buying back their shorts on Europe, while others are diversifying out of expensive and heavily concentrated US equities. The region trades at about a 40% discount to the US and this gap has the potential to narrow. There’s also room for gains within the Stoxx Europe 600 to broaden, with just 20% of its members in overbought territory. With the prospect of an eventual ceasefire on investors’ minds after the US and Russian leaders agreed to start negotiations, stocks geared to the reconstruction of Ukraine are in focus, like construction stocks Heidelberg Materials AG and Holcim AG as well as chemicals company BASF SE. The strategists at Barclays Plc are overweight chemicals but are more cautious on autos, partly due to the US tariffs threat. They say construction materials have had a strong run already, while mining and steel may have more catch-up potential, along with transport and leisure. Rebuilding Ukraine would be one of the largest construction undertakings in recent years, with total costs of nearly $500 billion, according to the World Bank. This would be highly commodity-intensive, especially for steel and cement, to restore buildings and infrastructure. It is clearly unequivocally good news for European markets. The EURO STOXX 50 is a stock index that represents 50 of the largest and most liquid stocks in the Eurozone. It is designed to represent blue-chip companies considered leaders in their respective sectors. The EURO STOXX 50 is one of the most liquid indices for the Eurozone. Key facts about the EURO STOXX 50: The index includes shares from various Eurozone countries, including Belgium, France, Finland, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and Spain. France and Germany contribute to over 66% of the index. The technology, industrial goods and services, and consumer products and services sectors account for more than 45% of the index. The EURO STOXX 50 was introduced on February 26, 1998. Prices were calculated retroactively to 1986, with a base value of 1000 points on December 31, 1991. The index captures about 60% of the free-float market capitalization of the EURO STOXX Total Market Index (TMI), which covers about 95% of the free-float market capitalization of the countries represented. The EURO STOXX 50 serves as a benchmark for the Eurozone's stock market performance. Eurex trades futures and options on the EURO STOXX 50, which are among the most liquid products in Europe and worldwide. Technical challenge The main 6-month graph for EURO STOXX 50 futures indicates the epic all time high (1st time over past 25 years), with a potential further upside price action.
EUREX:FESX1!
by PandorraResearch
UK Employment and Inflation Numbers Ahead; GBP/USD Drifting ArouWhile the UK is evading US tariffs for now, its economy continues to face a somewhat undecided future, with taxes on business set to increase in April and a lingering drag from the elevated interest rates. However, this week’s focus shifts to a rather busy slate of economic data in the UK. Regarding tier-1 metrics, I will largely focus on Tuesday’s employment figures for December 2024 and the January CPI inflation (Consumer Price Index) report on Wednesday. The data comes on the heels of last week’s better-than-expected GDP (Gross Domestic Product) numbers for December 2024. BoE: ‘Gradual and Careful’ Approach You will recall that the Bank of England (BoE) recently cut the Bank Rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.50% – which did not raise too many eyebrows – and the BoE Governor signalled a ‘gradual and careful’ approach to easing policy. However, the 7-2 MPC vote split (Monetary Policy Committee) caused a stir. BoE member Catherine Mann – a known hawk – joined Swati Dhingra (dove) and voted to cut the Bank Rate by 50 bps. The central bank also released updated quarterly projections revealing an upward revision to inflation and weaker GDP, and it forecasted that the Bank Rate would remain higher for longer. Inflation is expected to rise by 2.8% in Q1 25 (versus 2.4% in the previous forecast) and increase by 3.0% in Q1 26 (versus 2.6% in the previous forecast), followed by inflation cooling back to the BoE’s 2.0% target in 2027. GDP growth is now expected to grow by 0.4% in Q1 25 (down from 1.4% in the prior forecasts), with economic activity predicted to grow by 1.5% in Q1 26. The BoE also estimates that the Bank Rate will remain around 4.5% in Q1 25 but likely fall to 4.2% in Q1 26, against previous forecasts for 3.7%. Markets are currently pricing another 57 bps worth of cuts this year (little more than two rate cuts). UK Employment and Inflation Data Eyed UK employment numbers will be released tomorrow at 7:00 am GMT and are expected to show unemployment ticked higher to 4.5% between October to December 2024, up from 4.4% in November. In terms of wages, both regular pay and pay that includes bonuses are forecast to increase by 5.9% on a year-on-year basis (YY), up from 5.6%. However, while market participants will widely watch the jobs report, which can prove market moving, it is essential to remember the validity of the survey’s data remains in question. Wednesday welcomes the January CPI inflation data at 7:00 am GMT, which is expected to reveal increasing price pressures across key measures. Headline YY CPI inflation is forecast to increase by 2.8% (from December’s reading of 2.5% ), consistent with the BoE’s updated forecasts. The current estimate range is between a high of 2.9% and a low of 2.4%. YY core CPI inflation – excluding volatile food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco items – is estimated to have increased by 3.7%, up from 3.2% in December (estimate range between 3.8% and 3.3%). Regarding services inflation, the YY print is anticipated to rise by nearly a whole percentage point to 5.2%, compared to December’s reading of 4.4%. A rise in price pressures, particularly data that meets or exceeds upper estimates, could prompt investors to pare back rate-cut bets this year. This also places the central bank in a somewhat difficult position, given that it not only reduced the Bank Rate last week, but two MPC members also voted for an outsized 50 bp reduction. GBP/USD: Monthly Bullish Engulfing Formation? The monthly chart shows price is on the verge of pencilling in a bullish engulfing pattern from support at US$1.2173 (textbook engulfing patterns focus on the real bodies, not the upper and lower shadows). Monthly resistance demands attention overhead at US$1.2715, with a break of this barrier likely paving the way north for further outperformance towards another layer of monthly resistance coming in at US$1.3111. Interestingly, buyers and sellers are squaring off at resistance from US$1.2608 on the daily timeframe. The supply area directly to the left of current price (red area) was weak (as noted in a previous piece I posted), with technical buying gathering steam from retesting trendline resistance-turned-support, extended from the high of US$1.3428. If inflation comes in broadly higher than expected, this will likely underpin a bid in the GBP/USD (British pound versus the US dollar) and perhaps pull the currency pair beyond current daily resistance towards the monthly resistance mentioned above at US$1.2715, closely shadowed by another layer of daily resistance at US$1.2752. Written by FP Markets Market Analyst Aaron Hill
by FPMarkets
GBPUSD Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear subscribers, GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.2588 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.2490 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 30-minute gold chart, we can see that, as expected, gold resumed its bullish momentum, successfully hitting the $2,923 and $2,929 targets with ease, and even extending its rally to $2,940. With this move, gold filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG) mentioned in the previous analysis and reached its bearish order block. Currently, gold is trading around $2,927, and the next move will depend on price stability: • If gold holds above $2,929 for the next 4 hours, we could see another bullish push. • If gold fails to hold above this key level, we might see a pullback towards $2,923 as the first corrective target. Stay tuned for further updates!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
32
GBPUSD resistance test ahead of UK employment data, BoE speechThe GBPUSD currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 1.2600, the current swing high. A bearish rejection from the 1.2600 level could target the downside support at 1.2517 followed by 1.2400 and 1.2330 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 1.2600 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 1.2650 resistance level followed by 1.2700. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GBPUSD? The price has successfully broken its downward trendline and, after a successful pullback, has also broken through a key resistance level to the upside. Currently, the price is consolidating above the broken resistance, which indicates strong buyer momentum and a potential continuation of the uptrend. Given the current market structure, the price is likely to experience a minor pullback and consolidation before continuing its upward movement. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
8
GBP/USD: Selling into the reboundThe setup is similar in EUR/USD & GBP/USD - because of the dollar in both major pairs! The GBP price is testing the broken uptrend line on the weekly- and could break above it. On the daily chart, a downtrend line has already broken and so has critical resistance at 1.25, suggesting a break above the weekly uptrend line Should the breakout follow-through it faces resistance at 1.28 from the December high and 30 week (150 day) moving average. However, should the breakout fail - it sets up a likely continuation of the longer term downtrend.
Short
by jasperlawler
2
GBPUSD Will Go Up! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 1.244. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.261 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
GBP/USD Rally: Is 1.28 the Next Target?In my post last week about GBP/USD, I mentioned that as long as the 1.23 support remained intact, the pair could rise toward the 1.26 resistance level and that buying dips below 1.24 could be a good strategy. Indeed, the pair climbed to 1.26 on Friday, which raises the question—what’s next? In my view, GBP/USD is likely to continue its ascent, with the next bullish target being the 1.28 resistance zone. In conclusion, dips around the 1.25 support could present buying opportunities, with invalidation below 1.24 and a target at the 1.28 resistance level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
5
#GBPUSD 1DAYGBPUSD (1D Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price has broken above the downtrend resistance, indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are gaining control, but further confirmation is needed before entering a position. Forecast: A buy opportunity may arise after a retest of the broken resistance level, which could now act as support. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Wait for a retest of the breakout level and confirmation of support before considering a buy position. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the retest level or recent swing low to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target higher resistance levels or key areas for potential upside movement. Market Sentiment: The breakout above the downtrend resistance is a sign of potential bullish movement, but patience is needed to ensure the price holds above the retested level before entering a trade.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 17, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is trading slightly higher near 1.25850 in the early Asian session on Monday, rising on the back of a positive UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report and weak US retail sales data.The US market will be closed on Monday due to the Presidents' Day holiday.US retail sales posted their biggest drop in nearly two years, dragging down the dollar. The Commerce Department's Census Bureau reported on Friday that retail sales fell 0.9 per cent in January after an upwardly revised 0.7 per cent rise in December, which was weaker than the 0.1 per cent decline that had been forecast. On a year-over-year basis, retail sales rose 4.2 per cent during the same reporting period.Stronger than expected UK GDP figures provide some support for the Pound Sterling (GBP). According to the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS), the UK economy grew by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in the fourth quarter of 2024, beating expectations. Traders will be monitoring the UK labour market and Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data, which will be released on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively. These reports may provide some indication as to whether the Bank of England (BoE) will cut interest rates again at its March meeting. Trading recommendation: GBPUSD: SELL 1.25800, SL 1.26300, TP 1.25100
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD H4 | Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1.2564, a pullback support at aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 1.2642, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 1.2490, below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
by FXCM
GBPUSD Dusting 350+ PIPS in Choppy Waters - Breakout is Brewing?Technical / Chart Analysis: Double Top Formation: The chart clearly exhibits a potential double top pattern around the 1.30564 resistance level. This is a bearish reversal pattern that suggests a potential trend change from bullish to bearish. Breakdown of Uptrend: The preceding price action shows an uptrend, which has now been halted by the double top. Key Support Level: The most crucial level to watch is the support around 1.28642. A confirmed break below this level would validate the double top pattern and signal a potential strong move downwards. Monthly Performance: January saw a +180 pip move, followed by February with a +230 pip gain. This demonstrates the potential for significant profits in GBPUSD through swing trading. Swing Analysis: February's +230 pip move consisted of 3 upward swings and 2 downward swings, highlighting the importance of capturing both upward and downward momentum in this pair due to the Choppy Price Action. Conclusion: FX:GBPUSD is at a critical juncture. The potential double top formation suggests a bearish bias, but confirmation is needed. Traders should closely monitor the key support level at 1.28642 for a potential breakdown and look for LONG Trades on breaking key levels to the Upside What are your thoughts on GBPUSD's potential for swing trading? Do you see a breakdown or a bounce? Share your analysis and comments below!
Long
by blamezak_trades
Bullish rise?The Cable (GBP?USD) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.2508 1st Support: 1.2358 1st Resistance: 1.2844 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1