GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.3033, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.2919, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be at 1.3155, an overlap resistance level close to 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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GBPUSD
GBP/USD Longs from 1.28000 as a retracement. This counter-trend idea comes from the fact that price is currently reacting at an old supply zone. However, if this supply fails, I wouldn’t be surprised to see price move up and take out the trendline liquidity above. Ideally, I’d prefer to wait for price to come down to the demand zones to mitigate before aiming for a move up to capture the liquidity pool.
I’ll be watching for signs of Wyckoff accumulation within my points of interest, particularly at the 55-minute or 18-hour demand zones, depending on how price behaves.
Confluences for GBP/USD Buys:
- Significant trendline liquidity to the upside that could be targeted.
- Demand zone has led to a break of structure on the upside.
- Price has been heavily bearish and may be due for a pullback.
- Several untouched Asian session highs above.
P.S. With upcoming news, including NFP and election events, I’ll likely stay on the sidelines unless a very clear setup emerges, and even then, I’ll keep risk minimal.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3022
1st Support: 1.2909
1st Resistance: 1.3105
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GBP/USD: PAT + VPA 11/02/2024Good morning,
The GBP/USD currency pair continues to exhibit characteristics indicative of a sustained bearish trend, currently favoring the U.S. Dollar.
Several analytical indicators support this assessment:
1. The weekly chart for GBP/USD has been in a downward trajectory since September 30, 2024. Candlestick patterns suggest that "Market Makers" are gradually entering the market, purchasing at lower price levels. The weekly low is established at 1.26650, with a demand zone identified between 1.26650 and 1.2815.
2. On the daily chart, GBP/USD appears to be approaching a support level at 1.28168, coinciding with an untapped supply zone in that vicinity.
3. Since September 30, 2024, the market has experienced a decline of approximately 600 points, characterized by minimal daily pullbacks. This downward movement occurred following the formation of a new weekly high. I project that prices will descend to the 1.28168 level, where support may be found on the daily chart. This area could serve as a critical juncture for a potential pullback. Should the 1.28168 level hold, targets may extend to 1.132, representing the last significant low breached prior to the bearish trend that commenced on September 30, 2024, and continues to the present date of November 2, 2024.
Volume analysis indicates that market makers are incrementally entering long positions, although they are not yet prepared to fully influence the market direction. The overarching weekly outlook remains bearish, yet a corrective pullback appears necessary.
OANDA:GBPUSD
TVC:DXY
ThePipAssassin
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear ? NFP's coming! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as observed last night, gold dropped sharply from $2782 to $2731, creating a significant liquidity gap. As mentioned yesterday, the first key demand zone was between $2733-$2735, and once the price reached this critical zone, it was met with buying pressure, leading to a rebound of over 250 pips, taking gold up to $2757. Currently, gold is trading around $2752, with the NFP report ahead.
If the NFP data comes in lower than the forecast, it could push gold to higher levels. Conversely, if the data is higher than expected, we might see further declines in gold. There’s no certainty here, so I prefer to observe rather than make any trades on gold today.
Good luck, friends!
GBPUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
GBPUSD is in the Selling Direction after breaking suPportHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Creating your Trading Plan🔸Creating a comprehensive trading plan is a foundational step for any trader, whether you are involved in forex, stocks, options, or crypto markets. A well-structured trading plan outlines your trading goals, strategy, risk management protocols, and the psychological mindset necessary for success. Let’s break down the core components: strategy, risk management, psychology, and confluence.
1. Trading Plan Strategy
A trading strategy is a set of rules or guidelines you follow to identify, enter, and exit trades. Here are the elements to consider:
▪️Market Selection: Define which markets you will trade (e.g., forex pairs, stocks, cryptocurrencies) and what your time frames will be.
▪️Trading Style: Will you be a day trader, swing trader, or a long-term investor? Your style will influence your strategy.
▪️Entry and Exit Rules: Specify the technical or fundamental indicators that will trigger your trades. For example, you might use moving average crossovers, support and resistance levels, or candlestick patterns for entry and exit points.
▪️Trade Execution: Outline how you will place trades and manage your orders (e.g., market orders, limit orders, trailing stops).
▪️Backtesting: Before committing real money, test your strategy on historical data to understand its effectiveness.
▪️Example: Suppose your strategy involves trading breakouts. You would define what constitutes a breakout, how to confirm it, and the risk/reward ratio you expect before taking a trade.
2. Risk Management
Risk management is about preserving your capital and minimizing losses. It's a critical part of any trading plan and focuses on controlling how much you stand to lose on each trade and how to protect your account over time.
▪️Position Sizing: Determine how much of your capital you will risk per trade. Many traders risk no more than 1-2% of their total capital on a single trade.
▪️Stop Losses and Take Profits: Always use a stop-loss to cap potential losses and set a take-profit order to lock in gains. This should be part of your trading strategy.
▪️Risk/Reward Ratio: Ensure that the potential reward on a trade is worth the risk. A common minimum risk/reward ratio is 1:2, meaning you risk 1 unit of currency to make 2. Diversification: Spread your risk by trading multiple assets or markets instead of concentrating all your capital in a single trade or asset class.
▪️Example: If your account balance is $10,000, and you decide to risk 2% per trade, the maximum loss you would accept on any trade would be $200. This would dictate your stop-loss placement and position size.
3. Trading Psychology
The psychological aspect of trading is often underestimated, but emotions can greatly impact your decision-making. Maintaining a disciplined and objective mindset is crucial.
▪️Emotional Discipline: Avoid trading based on fear, greed, or impatience. Develop routines that keep your emotions in check.
▪️Handling Losses: Accept that losses are part of trading and learn not to let them affect your confidence or decision-making. Sticking to your plan, even after a loss, is crucial.
▪️Confidence and Patience: Build confidence in your strategy through thorough backtesting and practice. Be patient and wait for high-probability setups.
▪️Avoid Overtrading: This happens when traders try to chase losses or enter trades impulsively. Stick to your plan and don’t trade just for the sake of it.
▪️Example: If you find yourself becoming anxious or stressed during a losing streak, take a break from trading to reassess your mindset. Practicing mindfulness or keeping a trading journal to reflect on your emotions can be very helpful.
4. Confluence
Confluence in trading refers to multiple factors or signals aligning to indicate a strong trade setup. Relying on confluence increases the probability of a trade working in your favor.
▪️Technical Confluence: This might include a combination of support/resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, moving averages, or chart patterns lining up to give you a higher confidence trade.
▪️Fundamental and Technical Confluence: Sometimes, combining technical analysis with fundamental data can strengthen your trade setup. For instance, a bullish technical setup supported by positive economic news.
▪️Multiple Time Frame Analysis: Check if your trade setup looks strong on multiple time frames. For example, a bullish signal on a daily chart confirmed by a shorter time frame like 4-hour or 1-hour charts.
▪️Example: Imagine you see a bullish reversal candlestick pattern at a major support level, and your moving average indicates an upward trend. This confluence of signals might give you more confidence to enter a long position.
🔸Putting It All Together
A successful trading plan ties these elements together to give you a clear roadmap. Here’s a simplified example of a trading plan:
🔸Goal: Achieve 5% account growth per month.
Market: Trade major forex pairs (e.g., EUR/USD, GBP/USD) during the London and New York sessions.
🔸Strategy: Use a breakout strategy confirmed by volume and momentum indicators. Enter trades when a breakout occurs from a key support/resistance level.
🔸Risk Management: Risk 1.5% of the account balance per trade. Use a 1:2 risk/reward ratio.
🔸Psychology: Practice emotional discipline. Use a trading journal to record trades and emotions.
🔸Confluence: Only take trades when at least three confluence factors align (e.g., breakout, volume increase, trend confirmation).
🔸By crafting and following a trading plan that incorporates strategy, risk management, psychology, and confluence, you increase your chances of trading success while minimizing potential losses.
GBPUSD UPDATE Next week is going to be very high-risk, starting with the US election, BOE Monetary and followed by the FOMC meeting.
Based on technical analysis, I am biased towards going long on GBP/USD after the strength of the USD leading up to the US election.
good luck
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
GBPUSD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.291.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.287 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Smart Money Trading concepts 101🔸The Smart Money Trading concept, often used in Forex and stock trading, revolves around the idea of tracking the moves made by major institutional players (like banks, hedge funds, and large financial institutions) rather than retail investors. Smart money strategies aim to identify and follow the price action patterns that large investors create, as these institutions often have access to more market-moving information and capital than individual traders.
🔸A critical part of this approach is understanding market structure, which includes concepts like Higher Highs (HH) and Lower Lows (LL). These patterns help traders determine the current trend direction and potential reversals, which can inform trading decisions.
Here's how these concepts fit into the Smart Money Trading framework:
1. Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) in an Uptrend
▪️When the market is in an uptrend, it typically forms a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows:
Higher High (HH): Each new peak in the price is higher than the previous peak.
Higher Low (HL): Each new low is also higher than the previous low.
▪️This pattern signifies strong buying interest, indicating that smart money may be accumulating positions in anticipation of further price increases.
▪️Traders look for breakouts beyond previous highs, as it often signifies a continuation of the uptrend.
▪️If the price breaks a recent Higher Low, it may indicate potential weakness and a possible trend reversal.
2. Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH) in a Downtrend
▪️In a downtrend, the market structure often forms Lower Lows and Lower Highs:
Lower Low (LL): Each new low is lower than the previous low.
Lower High (LH): Each high in the price action is also lower than the previous high.
▪️This pattern signals that selling pressure is dominant, suggesting that institutional investors might be offloading positions.
▪️Traders watch for prices to break the most recent Lower High for potential continuation signals in the downtrend.
▪️If the price breaks above the most recent Lower High, it can indicate that the trend may be weakening, signaling a potential reversal or entry opportunity.
3. Using HH and LL to Spot Trend Reversals
▪️Trend Reversal: When a series of HH and HL in an uptrend shifts to LH and LL (or vice versa), it often signals that a reversal is underway.
▪️Smart Money traders use these shifts to spot market traps where retail traders might be misled, allowing them to capitalize on new trend directions as they unfold.
4. Smart Money Concepts in Action: Liquidity and Price Action
▪️Large players need liquidity to execute significant trades without causing excessive slippage (or price movement). This liquidity often exists near recent highs and lows.
▪️By analyzing HH, HL, LH, and LL patterns, smart money traders can identify areas of liquidity where institutions might step in.
▪️For example, a series of HHs might attract retail buyers, providing liquidity for smart money to enter or exit positions.
5. Application in Trading
▪️By following HH and LL patterns, traders can align their positions with smart money rather than getting caught in fakeouts or market traps.
▪️Traders often combine these patterns with other indicators (like volume, order blocks, or support and resistance) to confirm the presence of institutional involvement.
🔸The Smart Money approach relies heavily on understanding and interpreting these HH and LL structures to trade in sync with the institutions, avoiding common pitfalls that trap many retail traders.
GBPUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.29300 zone, GBPUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.29300 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD Bearish SellsGBPUSD Analysis 15M entry
We are currently active on our sniper sell after NFP Fridays news event.
Price is currently distributing and going into our NFP candle. I'm waiting for a reaction out of that zone and looking to take another sell and continue the downtrend.
I will be executing the sell limit IF price comes higher first and activates the sell.
GBPUSD - 17 OCT - AnalysisDear trader
If you're serious about currency trading, it’s time to make a bold move. I recommend taking a strong position on GBP/USD at 1.30—this is where real opportunities lie.
Stop loss? For insecure traders.
Take profit? Aim for 500-1000 pips.
Good luck. May the algorithms be in your favour.
GBPAUD -UK will continue its economic growth?!The GBPAUD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. In case of upward correction, we can see the supply zone and sell within that zone with appropriate risk reward.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has forecast that Asia’s economy will grow by 4.6% in 2024 and by 4.4% in 2025. Downward price pressures from China could impact countries with similar export structures and lead to trade tensions.
The UK Debt Management Office (DMO) plans to auction £59.2 billion in conventional long-term government bonds in the fiscal year 2024-2025. According to the DMO, the net issuance of government bonds for this fiscal year is projected to reach £296.9 billion.
Meanwhile, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has indicated that the previous government did not provide all necessary information, and if it had, their spring budget forecast would have been significantly different.
OBR forecasts suggest that the consumer price index (CPI) will reach 2.6% in 2025 (compared to the 1.5% forecast in March), 2.3% in 2026 (March forecast 1.6%), 2.1% in 2027 (March forecast 1.9%), 2.1% in 2028 (March forecast 2.0%), and 2.0% in 2029.
The forecasts also project GDP growth of 2.0% in 2025 (March forecast 1.9%), 1.8% in 2026 (March forecast 2.0%), 1.5% in 2027 (March forecast 1.8%), 1.5% in 2028 (March forecast 1.7%), and 1.6% in 2029.
Reeves, the UK Chancellor, stated that there will be more plans aimed at boosting economic growth. Yesterday, the UK sold £2.25 billion in bonds maturing in 2053, with a bid-to-cover ratio (B/C) of 3.15, up from the previous 3.08. The average yield on these bonds was 4.831%, higher than the previous yield of 4.735%.
Pre NFP Trade Analysis1st November
DXY: Stronger NFP, DXY bounce off 103.80 to trade up to 104.60. If 103.80 broken, could trade down to 103.45
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5925 SL 20 TP 60 (DXY Strength)
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6545 SL 25 TP 60 (DXY Strength)
GBPUSD: Sell 1.28 SL 40 TP 120 (DXY Strength)
EURUSD: Buy 1.0905 SL 25 TP 100 Hesitation at 1.0950 (DXY Weakness)
USDJPY: Sell 151.40 SL 40 TP 200 Hesitation at 150.55 (DXY Weakness)
USDCHF: Buy 0.8710 SL 20 TP 40 (DXY Strength)
USDCAD: Sell 1.3915 SL 15 TP 30 (DXY Weakness)
Gold: Needs to stay below 2760, break 2740 could trade down to 2708
GBPUSD H4 I Bearish ReversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.2919, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.2810, an overlap support level close to the 161.8% Fibo extension
The stop loss will be at 1.3033 an overlap resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GU could be getting ready to Reverse!Now that we are in a new month AND its election week next week the market could get very volatile. Dollar has been moving bearish all week and most are still expecting it to move bullish. I'm thinking its more likely to turn bullish for a little while. Leaving the Election news to give it the bullish push it needs to start pushing back up. This could lead to some significant moves in the market. We just have to remain ready!
Yall Lock in and follow me you Youtube #NOFOMO is the channel!
www.youtube.com
GBP-USD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD was trading along
The rising support line but
Now we are seeing a bearish
Breakout and the breakout
Is confirmed so we will be
Expecting a further bearish
Move down
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
GBPCHF H1 short from resistance tp +90 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for GBPCHF today. We are recently trading in well defined range so it's recommended to short sell from heavy overhead resistance, we got clearly defined S/R zones on the 1hour price chart.
🔸Resistances at 1265 1285 1310. Supports at 1215 1195 1165. Currently
short-term weak bounce in progress will most likely get faded from resistance.
🔸Recommended strategy for GBPCHF traders: focus on short selling high near 1285 price cluster SL fixed at 25 pips TP1 +45 pips TP2 +90 pips. Expecting rejection from overhead resistance and re-test of the mid of the prior accumulation range.
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.