USD/JPY : Ready for more Fall?! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon analyzing the USD/JPY chart in the daily time frame, we see that the pair is currently trading around the 157.060 level. Given the recent price action, I anticipate a significant correction in USD/JPY in the near future.
The first potential target for this decline is 156.25, so keep a close eye on this level! Stay tuned for updates as we track this movement together.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPUSD
EUR/USD : Approaching Critical Demand Zones! (READ THE CAPTION)By reviewing the #EURUSD chart in the three-day timeframe, we can see that the price has currently reached a very important demand zone, and the probability of a price reversal from this level is high! However, note that I personally have another scenario in mind, which is that after an initial short-term rise in the current area, the price will decline again to the very important demand zone of 1.005 to 1.007 , and then, with a suitable trigger in this area, we can look for an attractive BUY position !
All key levels and important zones have been marked on the chart! If you have any questions, be sure to ask, and I will try to respond as soon as possible!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
! REALLY NOT SURE ABOUT THIS ONE ! GBPJPY FALLINGSince there are no indicators except for the RSI, it would seem logical with the current drawdown and divergence for the price to keep falling ;
however there's nothing sure about this, it is just an arrow showing the potential direction,
we'll update if we get more info
USDCHF TOWARDS THE SKYThere's not a lot of indications for this one, since there's no accumulation to reach.
However the low and divergent RSI gives us an idea of where the price is globally going, which is up.
Will add more information asap, when a new interesting KL or AA (accumulation area) gets created.
GBPUSD BACK UPAfter a liquidation by going that low, GBPUSD is ready to go back up.
The two blue accumulation areas attract the price higher, first at the middle zone then at the higher zone.
The hard blue KL under the current price shows a break under this level is tough to imagine, so there's really only one way and it is up.
8 Tips to Optimize Your Tradingview for Clarity & PerformanceIn this video I share 8 ways to optimize your Tradingview for improve your performance.
Most people focus on strategy, but that is only a piece of successful trading. What I would argue is even more important....is your ability to execute.
Better execution is a result of - repetition, clarity, understanding
The things in this video will help you with clarity.
People make the comparison to trading and gambling all the time, for good reason.
But let me ask you this...
Have you ever taken a moment to look at your tradingview workspace and see how it's like walking through a virtual casino?
Think about it...
You have thousands of assets to choose from (machines & tables)
You have people with their ideas and chatter (forums, ideas, chats)
You also have sounds and stimulation everywhere (notifications, alarms)
This is not bad! But it's something to be mindful of as you design your work environment for execution.
We want to improve clarity, and simplicity. We want to eliminate as much noise as possible to improve your ability to focus on the task at hand, which is to execute your strategy.
Here are 8 tips to improve your performance:
(yes some of these are generic but they make a huge difference)
Turn off the Gain%, Change, Vol, and Last on your asset sidebar
On the same side bar, drag the news section down to the bottom so it's not visible anymore
Change the color of your candles to soft more soothing colors ( google search calming colors )
Turn off notifications so you don't get hit with other trader's ideas while you're trading
Use anchor text notes to put your plan for each asset right on the chart so you don't deviate
Remove news event from the bottom of your charts, reduces clutter (personal preference)
Create templates for each step in your analysis process
I realize now that there were only 7 not 8, but I recorded the video so it's too late to go back now lol.
I hope this helps you on your journey!
I'd love to know what helps you with clarity, and getting in flow state while you trade.
👇 Share in the comments below
-Gio
UK GDP less than expected, pound edges lowerThe British pound has edged lower on Thursday. In the European session, GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.2205, down 0.22%.
The UK economy climbed out of negative growth for the first time in three months but not by much. After GDP contracted by 0.1% in September and October, November saw a small gain of 0.1%, missing the market estimate of 0.2%. In the three months to November, GDP showed no growth.
The small uptick in growth in November was welcome news for the government but the economic outlook is not very bright. The recent "tax and spend" budget will see tax increases take effect in April, including a rise in employer National Insurance contributions. This will hurt the business sector and many firms will cut back on spending and investment, which in turn will dampen economic growth. Inflation remains high and combined with low growth, stagflation is a real danger.
Another headache for the government is Donald Trump, who has promised to slap tariffs on US trading partners. The UK is heavily reliant on its export sector and a trade war with the US would be devastating for the fragile UK economy. As well, Trump's protectionist trade polices could lead to higher inflation which could derail much of the progress made to contain inflation. This week's soft UK inflation and GDP reports have raised expectations that the Bank of England will lower interest rates at the next meeting on Feb. 6.
In the US, December's inflation release presented a mixed picture, as headline CPI rose for a third straight month, while core CPI eased slightly. Expectations for a rate cut rose in the aftermath of the inflation report, sending the US dollar lower against many of the majors.
GBP/USD tested resistance at 1.2242 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 1.2310
1.2176 and 1.2108 are the next support levels
Gold (xauusd) indicating a bullish trend on the 2-hour timeframeBased on the provided chart:
### Key Observations:
1. **Trend**: The price is trading within an upward-sloping channel, indicating a bullish trend on the 2-hour timeframe.
2. **Structure**:
- BOS (Break of Structure) and ChoCh (Change of Character) annotations highlight the market respecting structure levels while maintaining its upward trajectory.
- Recent formations suggest a continuation of the bullish trend after a corrective phase.
3. **Cup Formation**: A rounded bottom ("cup") pattern is visible, often interpreted as a bullish continuation signal. The breakout above the rim of the cup suggests potential further upside movement.
4. **Targets**:
- Immediate resistance lies near the upper boundary of the channel (around 2,700–2,710).
- A breakout above the channel may lead to more significant gains.
### Potential Trade Scenarios:
1. **Bullish Scenario**:
- Enter on a confirmed breakout of the rounded bottom pattern.
- First target: 2,700 (upper channel boundary).
- Second target: 2,730 (extension beyond the channel).
2. **Bearish Scenario**:
- If the price rejects the upper channel boundary or fails to maintain momentum, expect a pullback toward the midline of the channel, around 2,660–2,670.
- In case of a breakdown, key support lies near 2,640–2,650.
### Additional Notes:
- Monitor volume on any breakout or rejection for confirmation.
- Keep an eye on key economic events or news that might influence gold prices, as these can affect momentum.
NZDJPY Rising Wedge Breakout and Consolidation PhaseThe NZDJPY forex pair is currently priced at 87.200, with a target price of 82.000, indicating a potential gain of 500+ pips. The analysis is based on the support and resistance pattern, suggesting that the pair has tested significant levels. A rising wedge breakout has already occurred, a bearish signal indicating potential downside momentum. Currently, the price is in a consolidation phase, signaling reduced volatility as traders await the next decisive move. The pair is holding a strong support level, which serves as a critical area to watch for a potential breakout. If the support breaks, the price could accelerate toward the target level. This consolidation indicates market indecision, offering an opportunity to prepare for the next trend. Traders should monitor volume and price action closely to confirm the breakout direction. Overall, this setup presents a favorable risk-reward ratio for bearish traders.
GOLD GLOBAL VIEWThis is what it looks like for us : a huge rally where the price is to reach at least 2780 pretty soon.
Look at our next post to get the micro view and the daily signal.
The idea is to compensate the green top area, which acts like a super KL, making the price come back to such high levels.
On the other hand, since the economy in the US seems to get more and more stable, the Gold Index should not grow that much on the next few years, only in case of a major event.
Which is why you can observe the red dotted line going back to the ground, to another super KL.
NASDAQ GOING UPAfter a some fake rallies, some fails and some real good forecasts, we're back with more energy and more confidence to try and offer you all the best signals.
The red dotted line that you see at the top is the price we're aiming for. As you can see yesterday's forecast (green drawing) was a little late but eventually pretty good.
We believe that US100 has to climb back to 22K asap to compensate for the US firms on a national level, and to compensate with the blue areas on the chart on a technical levels, which are super key levels supposed to hit again.
Anything is possible at and after 2:30 PM (London time), but keep in mind that there are more prices to reach above than below
GBPUSD HTF Bearish Structure & Possible Trade Opportunity 👀 👉 Analyzing the GBPUSD weekly chart reveals a bearish market structure, with a clear lower high and lower low signaling a downtrend. I expect further downside potential following a pullback. In this video, we explore the trend, price action, market structure, and a possible trade setup. ⚠️ This video is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
GbpUsd could correct from important supportLast week, GBP/USD saw a sharp decline, dropping over 400 pips from its recent high after briefly spiking above former support, which has now turned into resistance.
The pair is currently trading at 1.2150. Although the overall trend remains strongly bearish, a short-term correction and upward move is possible.
The 1.2070 level serves as key technical support, and with the psychological 1.2000 level nearby, short-term traders might find buying opportunities in this zone.
If a rebound occurs, the 1.2300 level could serve as a potential target for such a trade.
GBPUSD I Swing Long Opportunity Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
GBP/USD Daily Trendline Breakout AnalysisThe GBP/USD pair has broken below a significant ascending trendline on the daily timeframe, indicating potential bearish momentum. With this technical setup, the price may continue to decline, targeting the 1.20 level, while a stop loss is set at 1.27 to manage risk. This analysis highlights a possible trading opportunity based on the recent price action and trendline behavior.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice but simply a sharing of my personal trading plan. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
GBPUSD - Short active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect bearish price action as price rejected from bearish OB + institutional big figure 1.23000. As well we have hidden divergence for sell.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
USD/CHF Wedge BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.9094
2nd Support – 0.9063
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Cable H1 | Approaching pullback resistanceCable (GBP/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.2258 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 1.2347 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 1.2106 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/USD Analysis: Bulls Find Renewed HopeGBP/USD Analysis: Bulls Find Renewed Hope
This morning, UK inflation data was released, as reported by ForexFactory:
Consumer Price Index (CPI): actual = 2.5%, expected = 2.6%, previous = 2.6%;
Core CPI: actual = 3.2%, expected = 3.4%, previous = 3.5%.
The foreign exchange market reacted with a surge in volatility as UK inflation showed a decline.
At the same time, a technical analysis of the GBP/USD chart offers some hope for bulls following a drop of more than 9% from the peaks of September 2024 (interestingly, on 10th September 2024, we noted that bulls were facing challenges).
When analysing today’s GBP/USD price movements, we observe that at the start of 2025, the price has approached a key support zone formed by:
the lower boundary of the descending channel (drawn in red);
the psychological level of 1.2000;
the significant 2023 low around the 1.2040 level.
The long lower wicks on the 4-hour candles, including today’s (highlighted with an arrow), can be interpreted as a signal of increasing demand. This could be an early sign that the pound is gaining confidence to resist the building pressure from the dollar.
Traders’ attention today will be on the release of the US CPI report (at 16:30 GMT+3), which may further support the case for strengthening bulls.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
"Awaiting Bearish Confirmation at Key Resistance Zone on DXY"Based on the chart of the U.S. Dollar Index:
1. **Trend Analysis**: The index is currently within an upward channel, indicating a bullish trend. The price is oscillating between the upper and lower boundaries of this channel.
2. **Recent Movements**: There’s a noticeable price peak around the upper boundary, suggesting potential exhaustion. The recent downward movement indicates the possibility of a reversal.
3. **Bearish Confirmation**: The note emphasizes waiting for bearish confirmation before executing any trades. This suggests that it's prudent to look for signs of trend reversal or weakening momentum before making a bearish move.
4. **Strategy**: The advice is clear: without confirmation of a bearish trend, no trading should occur, highlighting a cautious approach.
5. **Key Levels**: Watch for key support around the mid-channel and resistance near the upper boundary, which could signal entry or exit points.
Overall, the chart indicates a cautious approach is necessary, focusing on confirmations before taking any trading actions.
GBPUSD H1 | Bullish RiseBased on the daily chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1.2179, which is a pullback support. This level is expected to act as a potential continuation point in the bullish setup.
Our take profit is set at 1.2314, near the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, marking a significant resistance zone and logical target for the upward move.
The stop loss is set at 1.2101, the recent swing low and a key support level, providing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bullish setup.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.