XAU/USD : Ready for more LONG ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that gold is currently trading around the $2780 level. If it holds above this level, I expect further upward movement. The potential targets for this rise are $2784, $2787, and $2790.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPUSD
GBPUSDHello everyone!
I was quite surprised by the GBPUSD movement yesterday when there was a double-sided sweep and it is currently at 1.2966.
But! Looking more objectively on the 1-day timeframe we can see that GBPUSD is being squeezed at the upper limit of the ascending channel and the breakout from the previous support is putting pressure on the pair.
In the short term, I still favor selling targeting the lower part of the ascending channel at 1.2700.
Good luck
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 31, 2024 GBPUSDThe Pound-Dollar pair continued to decline to the 1.29550 level in the early Asian session on Thursday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) is declining following the UK budget announcement. Later on Thursday, attention will shift to US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index data.
The UK's New Labour government released its first budget on Wednesday, which includes a GBP 40 billion tax hike to plug a hole in public finances and allow investment in public services, CNBC reported. One of the measures that is projected to bring the most revenue to the UK's coffers is an increase in the amount employers pay in National Insurance (NI), a payroll tax.
US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter came in below expectations. ADP's October employment change report showed that private companies hired more people than expected. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders estimate the probability of a 25bp Fed rate cut at the November meeting at nearly 95.2%.
The release of US PCE inflation data on Thursday may provide some hints on the size and pace of a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Core PCE is expected to rise 0.2% m/m in September, while core PCE for the same period is expected to rise 0.3% m/m. The softer-than-expected result may raise hopes for deeper rate cuts and put pressure on the US dollar.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.29500, if the level is fixed below we consider Sell positions, if the level rebounds we consider Buy positions.
GbpUsd- Preparing for reversalAs I mentioned last week, I’m closely monitoring the GBP/USD pair for a potential upside reversal.
This expectation is based on the recent overlapping decline, which is contained within a channel, as well as the proximity to a significant support level.
In recent days, the pair hit a local low of 1.2912 before reversing toward 1.3000 and beginning a consolidation phase.
I believe it’s only a matter of time before GBP/USD clears the 1.3000 mark, potentially accelerating toward a target around 1.3150.
Falling towards pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD)n is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.2908
1st Support: 1.2866
1st Resistance: 1.3024
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GU is volatile...but we need more data for direction...I cant really call it at the moment. Price is indecisive as we come to the monthly transition. The last day of the month and anything can happen. Watching for a solid direction and sitting on hands for now until London open. Expecting some good price action for both sessions going into Thursday.
GBPUSD is in the Buying Direction after Testing Support Hello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBPUSD Channel Up emerging. Short term buy.GBPUSD recently broke to the upside the former Channel Down of October and a Channel Up emerged from it.
It already formed a Golden Cross (1h) today, technically a very bullish pattern.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.3035 (top of Channel Up)
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is on low enough levels again to justify a technical buy.
Please like, follow and comment!!
GBP/USD +50 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Important Update Now !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GBPUSD Ready for a breakthroughHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Levels discussed on Livestream 30th October30th October
DXY: Look to break 104.20 and 61.8%, to trade down to 104 and 103.80
NZDUSD: Buy 0.5990 SL 20 TP 60 (Counter Trend)
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6580 SL 20 TP 50 (Bearish Channel)
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2960 SL 25 TP 50 (Break trendline0
EURUSD: Buy 1.0845 SL 20 TP 55 (Hesitation at 1.0870)
USDJPY: Ranging between 152.70 and 153.86 (looking for breakout potential)
USDCHF: Sell 0.8690 SL 15 TP 35
USDCAD: Sell 1.3875 SL 30 TP 60
Gold: Could retrace to 2770, look for rejection and buying opportunities
GBPUSD Buy Opportunity from SupportGBPUSD recently broke below its previous support level, yet it has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern near the psychological level of 1.3000. This level has shown resilience as the market decelerated while approaching it, forming a bullish divergence that strengthens the case for a rebound. The price has also bounced off the channel boundary and has now closed above the 1.3000 mark, showing higher lows, indicating building bullish momentum. Additionally, with the DXY forming a triple top at its resistance zone, there’s potential for a downward correction in the dollar, which could further support a GBPUSD rally. The target is the resistance zone around 1.3110
GBPUSD Next Week TradesThese are the three trades that I will be looking to take next week.
Trade #1
2.93:1 short trade to 1h demand zone.
Price has aggresively rejected from the 4h LH and has also formed relative equal highs (this is important for the third and final trade). I am expecting price to push down to the 1h POI (trade #2) which is also below equal lows. If price pulls back up into the 1h POI then I will look for a short entry on the lower time frames.
Trade #2
3.8:1 long trade to 1h POI above relative equal highs.
The relative equal highs mean that above them is liquidity. I am expecting price to push up above these highs to then carry on moving down. I will look for long entries on the lower time frames after price has reached this zone.
Trade #3
9.32:1 short to daily POI
This is the main trade of the week. I expect price to carry on with its down trend until it reaches the daily POI (target). If price sweeps the relative equal highs and enters this zone I will look for short entry opportunities to continue with the higher time frame trends.
These three trades equal 16.05% potential returns. Like this post and follow to keep updated throughout next weeks trading.
GBPUSD - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target range 150 PIP ) 🟢 Pair Name :GBP/USD
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
------
spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
🟢 Key Technical / Direction ( Short )
———————————
Bullish Break
1.30000 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible range Hvn
- Major Choch Zone
- Channel Break Out
- Fibo Golden
Bearish Reversal
1.31500 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible Range Lvn
- Major Channel Middle line
- Year High Area
- Key level / Quarters Zone
GBPUSD - UK is on the verge of an important economic decisioThe GBPUSD currency pair is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bullish channel. In case of correction due to the release of today's economic data, we can see demand zone and buy within zone with appropriate risk reward. If the upward trend continues, this currency pair can be sold within the specified supply zones
The UK budget is set to be announced today, Wednesday, October 30, 2024. Analysts at Commerzbank predict that if the budget combines austerity measures with long-term investment optimism, it could positively impact the pound and bolster the UK’s long-term growth potential.
The government faces the challenge of stimulating investment to address years of underfunding in the public sector. The difficulty lies in the fact that the UK has been spending beyond its income in recent years, which has complicated its financial situation.
Meanwhile, prices in UK stores have fallen at their fastest rate in over three years. However, the budget announcement by Finance Minister Rachel Reeves could help inflation rebound. The annual store price index has decreased to 0.8%, marking the weakest level since August 2021. Food prices have risen by 1.9%, and clothing prices have also increased for the first time since January. Data shows that consumer inflation fell to 1.9% in September.
On the other hand, in the U.S., Professor Jeremy Siegel from the Wharton School believes the Federal Reserve may choose to hold rates steady next week if the October non-farm payroll (NFP) report proves very strong. Siegel notes that if the labor market report is robust, many FOMC members may conclude that it’s time to pause. He also predicts that the rate-cutting cycle will include three to four rate reductions, but long-term rates are likely to remain high. In August, Siegel advocated for an emergency 75 basis-point rate cut by the Fed.
Market Analysis: GBP/USD RecoversMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Recovers
GBP/USD is attempting a recovery wave above the 1.2950 resistance.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.2950.
- There is a key rising channel forming with support near 1.2980 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair declined after it failed to clear the 1.3120 resistance. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the British Pound even traded below the 1.3000 support against the US Dollar.
Finally, the pair tested the 1.2910 zone and is currently attempting a fresh increase. The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.2950. The pair even climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3071 swing high to the 1.2907 low.
On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.3015. It coincides with the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3071 swing high to the 1.2907 low.
The next major resistance is near 1.3040. A close above the 1.3040 resistance zone could open the doors for a move toward 1.3070. Any more gains might send GBP/USD toward 1.3120.
On the downside, there is a key support forming near a rising channel at 1.2980. If there is a downside break below 1.2980, the pair could accelerate lower. The first major support is near the 1.2940 level.
The next key support is seen near 1.2910, below which the pair could test 1.2880. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.2845 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBP/USD Brief UpdateGBP/USD is currently recovering from the lows due to the weakening USD amid market expectations that the Fed will pause its rate hike. However, the pair is still moving cautiously around 1.3000 in the European session on Wednesday, as traders await key releases: the UK Autumn Budget, the US ADP jobs data, and the Q3 Preliminary GDP report due later in the day.
On the technical chart, the support level of 1.2970, defined by the 34-day EMA, remains as a stable pivot. At the same time, the recent bearish wedge breakout is reinforcing the uptrend, suggesting that buyers are in control in the medium and long term. Victor expects that, in the short term, GBP/USD will continue to move upwards with the next targets on H1 at 1.3050 and 1.3100.
Get ready for the wave and good luck trading!
GBPUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.2988, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit will be at 1.3039, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension
The stop loss will be placed at 1.2946 which is a support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
BoE's plans for additional rate cuts are in conflict
Expectations are mounting that the BoE would implement additional rate cuts. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey has stated that inflation is decreasing more rapidly than anticipated. The UK CPI for September registered at 1.7%, falling short of the central bank's 2% target, which has intensified speculation about upcoming rate increases. Wall Street is convinced that with UK inflation already below the target, there's a strong likelihood of additional rate cuts in November and December following the recent 25bp reduction.
However, there are concerns regarding the potential aftereffects of hasty rate cuts. BoE economist Catherine Mann emphasizes that, despite a general slowdown in inflation, service price inflation continues to soar. She warns that an impulsive rate hike could reignite inflationary pressures.
GBPUSD advanced to the 1.3000 threshold. After breaching the descending channel’s upper bound, the price holds above both EMAs, signaling a trend reversal. If GBPUSD breaches the resistance at 1.3045, the price may gain upward momentum toward 1.3265. Conversely, if GBPUSD fails to hold above both EMAs, the price may break the channel’s upper bound again and re-enter the descending channel.
GU look like it setting up for a nice entry for London sessionI been looking for a solid sell entry to continue the bearish trend that GU has been in. The dollar failed to break out and is now retracing to grab more liquidity to push up. in turn giving us a nice entry for a sale. We have to be patient and allow price to find its resistance levels. Expecting a nice set up for London.