GU Can go either way! We need more data before we have a direction this week. The dollar is definitely bullish for the most part so being patient and waiting for a good sale entry might be the best bet.
GBPUSD
Bearish drop?GBP/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3000
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3071
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.2872
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD Week 44 Swing ZonesSmooth week 43 price action for 60pp
Week 44 SZ are set.
In between however, recalculated levels can be produced based on price action.
GBPUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
My Bullish GBP/USD Strategy Using X1X2!You have no idea how many opportunities are there when you're simply following "X1X2"!
I invite you to engage with me in this analysis!
Current Fundamentals Supporting a Bullish Bias on GBP/USD:
1. Positive UK Economic Data: Recent reports indicate that the UK's GDP expanded by 0.2% in August, aligning with analyst expectations. Additionally, industrial production and manufacturing have shown growth, which supports the Pound's strength against the Dollar.
2. Diminishing US Dollar Strength: The US Dollar has faced selling pressure, particularly in light of recent mixed macroeconomic data. A softening inflation rate and rising initial jobless claims have raised concerns about the US economy, contributing to a bullish outlook for GBP/USD.
3. Market Sentiment Shift: An improving risk mood among investors has led to optimism regarding potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. This sentiment has weakened the Dollar, allowing GBP/USD to gain traction above key support levels.
Utilizing Probabilities in My Swing Trading Strategy:
In my trading approach, I employ a system known as X1X2, which focuses on probabilities to determine optimal entry points for long positions in GBP/USD.
In conclusion, my bullish bias on GBP/USD is supported by favorable economic indicators from the UK and weakening US economic data. By leveraging probabilities through my X1X2 system, I aim to position myself effectively for potential long trades in this pair.
1W:
3H:
GBPUSD Buy hindsight ICMARKETS:GBPUSD look for a buy-side trade entry when the LP is exhausted. How about you folks? Please comment below.
How to avoid being emotional in trading?Avoiding emotional trading is a key skill in successful investing and trading, as it helps minimize impulsive decisions that can lead to losses. Here are some strategies and insights to help maintain a disciplined approach to trading and avoid being swayed by emotions like fear, greed, or overconfidence:
🔸 Create and Stick to a Trading Plan
▪️Set Clear Goals: Define your profit goals, risk tolerance, and entry/exit points in advance.
▪️Follow Predefined Rules: A trading plan provides structure, guiding you to make logical decisions rather than impulsive ones.
▪️Limit Exposure: Decide on position sizes beforehand to avoid overcommitting and feeling compelled to make irrational moves if markets turn volatile.
🔸 Use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Orders
▪️Automate Exit Points: Setting up stop-loss and take-profit orders allows you to exit trades at predefined points, limiting the need to make quick, emotion-driven decisions during market fluctuations.
▪️Reduce Monitoring: Knowing your trades will automatically exit at specific points reduces the need for constant checking, which can often lead to stress and emotional reactivity.
🔸 Practice Patience and Avoid Overtrading
▪️Avoid Excessive Monitoring: Watching the market closely can lead to impulsive reactions to small fluctuations. Stick to reviewing your trades periodically rather than minute-by-minute.
▪️Limit Trade Frequency: Overtrading, driven by the need to “make back” losses or maximize gains, often leads to poorly thought-out decisions. Trade only when your trading plan calls for it.
🔸 Develop a Balanced Mindset
▪️Stay Neutral to Wins and Losses: Emotional attachment to individual trades can make it harder to accept losses and lead to revenge trading, where you try to make up losses through risky moves.
▪️Accept Losses as Part of the Process: Even the best traders face losses. Accepting this and moving on helps maintain perspective and discipline, which are essential for long-term success.
🔸 Utilize Data and Analysis Over Intuition
▪️Focus on Objective Indicators: Base decisions on data, such as price charts, moving averages, and technical indicators, rather than “gut feelings.”
▪️Avoid Confirmation Bias: Seeking only information that supports your existing beliefs can lead to one-sided and often poor decisions. Stay open to all relevant information.
🔸 Take Breaks and Manage Stress
▪️Step Away After a Major Loss or Win: Strong emotional responses often follow big losses or gains. Taking a break gives you time to reset your mindset before your next trade.
▪️Practice Relaxation Techniques: Techniques like deep breathing, meditation, or even short exercises can reduce stress and improve focus, reducing emotional reactions.
🔸 Build Self-Awareness
▪️Reflect on Your Emotions: Keeping a trading journal can help you understand emotional triggers and patterns in your decision-making.
▪️Work with a Trading Coach or Join a Community: Having accountability, whether through a mentor or a trading group, can help you stay grounded and receive objective feedback on your trading behavior.
🔸 Set Realistic Expectations
▪️Don’t Chase Unrealistic Returns: Expecting massive returns can lead to risky, emotion-fueled decisions. Focus on sustainable, gradual growth.
▪️Acknowledge Market Unpredictability: Markets are often unpredictable, and not every trade will go as planned. Accepting this helps lower emotional stakes with each trade.
🔸 Consider Using Algorithmic or Automated Trading
▪️Remove Emotion from Execution: Algorithmic trading allows traders to set parameters and let algorithms execute trades, effectively reducing emotional interference.
▪️Define Rules for Entry and Exit: Predefined rules, when followed strictly by algorithms, allow for a structured and emotion-free approach to trading.
Adopting these practices helps build discipline, patience, and resilience, which are essential for minimizing the negative impact of emotional trading on your overall financial success.
GBP_USD TIME TO SELL|SHORT|
✅GBP_USD fist made a
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.3050 then made a
Pullback and a retest and is
Going down again so we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Move down
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
GBP-USD Will Keep Falling! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is falling down
After the bearish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 1.3041 which is now a
Resistance and we will be
Expecting a bearish continuation
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
EUR | USD | GBP Weekly Forecast Oct. 28: SELL EU & GU!In this video, we will view the markets through ICT Concepts, focusing on the USD, the EURO, and the GBP.
The retracement in the USD Index is overdue and pending... but not yet! There is still room to the upside, which means EURUSD and GBPUSD will likely be BEARISH, as the USD is stronger than both at this time.
Look for the FVGs to hold price or fail, and let them guide you.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GBP/USD Daily Chart Analysis: Short-Term Trend Channel: The price is moving within a downward trend channel, marked in blue. This indicates continued downward pressure in the short term.
Bullish and Bearish Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: As shown by the blue arrows on the chart, the price might make a corrective move up toward the upper boundary of the channel. The target for this movement could be around the 1.32631 level. If this rise occurs, there could be potential buying opportunities.
Bearish Scenario: If the price reaches the upper boundary of the channel, it might encounter resistance and resume a downward trend. In this case, it could potentially drop back to the 1.2960 level or even lower to the support levels at 1.28166 and 1.26647.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Levels: The 1.33900 and 1.34450 levels are strong resistance zones. If the price reaches these levels, it may face significant selling pressure.
Support Levels: The 1.28166 and 1.26647 levels are possible support points. If the price declines to these levels, it might find upward momentum.
Risk Management: The red zone appears to be a potential stop-loss area, likely set to manage risk during the upward correction.
Trendline: The yellow trendline forms a significant support area for the price direction. As long as the price remains above this line, there’s a chance for upward movements to continue.
Overall, this analysis suggests a short-term upward correction followed by a potential continuation of the downtrend. Resistance and support levels can be monitored for entry and exit points.
AI Algo Trading Intro/OverviewAI ALGO TRADING INTRO/OVERVIEW
🔹AI algorithmic trading, often referred to as AI algo trading, is a sophisticated approach to financial trading that uses artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms to make trading decisions. It combines finance, statistics, and computer science to analyze vast amounts of data and execute trades in real-time, often at speeds impossible for human traders. Here's a closer look at how it works, its benefits, and the key components:
1. How AI Algo Trading Works
AI algo trading employs machine learning, deep learning, and other advanced data analysis techniques to create models that can predict stock prices or detect trading patterns. These AI models are designed to identify patterns or anomalies in historical and real-time data, which helps them make predictions about price movements. The algorithms can process huge datasets from multiple sources, including stock prices, news, sentiment data from social media, and even macroeconomic indicators.
Typical steps involved in AI algo trading include:
🔹Data Collection: Gathering historical price data, technical indicators, financial reports, and alternative data (e.g., news, social media sentiment).
Model Training: Training machine learning models on historical data to predict asset price movements or specific trading signals.
🔹Backtesting: Testing the model on historical data to see how it would have performed in the past, adjusting for any biases or errors.
🔹Execution: Implementing the model in live markets to execute trades automatically when certain conditions are met.
2. Key Components of AI Algo Trading
Several key components work together in AI-driven trading systems, including:
🔹Data Management: Collecting, cleaning, and storing large volumes of financial and alternative data.
🔹Feature Engineering: Selecting or creating specific data features that improve the model's accuracy, such as moving averages, volatility measures, or sentiment scores.
🔹Machine Learning Models: Models like neural networks, decision trees, or support vector machines (SVMs) are common in AI trading. More advanced models use deep learning and reinforcement learning.
🔹Risk Management: Ensuring trades meet certain risk parameters to prevent excessive losses. Many AI algorithms have built-in risk management measures, like stop-loss limits or position size restrictions.
🔹Execution Algorithms: After generating trade signals, execution algorithms place trades in the market. These can include smart order routing and algorithms for optimizing trade timing.
3. Advantages of AI Algo Trading
🔹Speed and Efficiency: AI algorithms can execute trades within milliseconds, reacting instantly to market movements.
🔹Data-Driven Decisions: AI algo trading relies on empirical data rather than emotions, leading to potentially more consistent decision-making.
🔹Pattern Recognition: Advanced AI models can identify complex patterns in large datasets, uncovering trading opportunities that may be invisible to human traders.
🔹24/7 Operation: AI systems can monitor markets continuously, which is especially valuable in global markets that operate around the clock.
🔹Customization: AI-driven strategies can be tailored to specific asset classes, trading goals, and risk tolerances.
4. Popular AI Techniques in Trading
AI algo trading employs several popular techniques:
🔹Supervised Learning: This includes models like regression, classification, and neural networks, often used to predict price changes or determine trading signals.
🔹Unsupervised Learning: Clustering and anomaly detection models help identify unusual trading patterns or group similar assets.
🔹Reinforcement Learning: This is where AI learns to optimize strategies through trial and error, which can be particularly useful for adaptive, evolving trading strategies.
🔹Sentiment Analysis: AI can analyze text data (e.g., news articles, tweets) to gauge market sentiment, adding a qualitative dimension to trading models.
5. Risks and Challenges
While AI algo trading offers numerous advantages, it also comes with certain risks:
🔹Model Overfitting: Overfitting to historical data can result in poor performance in live markets if the model is too specific to past conditions.
Market Volatility: AI algorithms may struggle to adapt to sudden market changes, like unexpected geopolitical events or economic crises.
🔹Technical Failures: Infrastructure and connectivity issues can disrupt AI trading systems, leading to missed opportunities or unwanted positions.
🔹Regulatory Concerns: Regulatory bodies often scrutinize algorithmic trading for issues like market manipulation, requiring firms to ensure their algorithms are compliant.
6. Future of AI Algo Trading
🔹The future of AI algo trading looks promising, with ongoing advancements in AI and access to even more diverse data sources. Innovations in quantum computing, natural language processing (NLP) for deeper sentiment analysis, and reinforcement learning for adaptive strategies are likely to further enhance AI-driven trading.
🔹As AI trading models continue to evolve, they may also become more accessible to individual investors and retail traders, allowing a broader range of market participants to benefit from data-driven trading strategies. However, regulatory agencies may also implement stricter controls to manage the risks associated with autonomous AI trading.
GBPU/USD Shorts from 1.30200 continue trend!GU Analysis Breakdown:
This week, my GU analysis centres on the idea that price will continue to follow its bearish trend. With a recent structure break to the downside, price has left behind a clean, unmitigated supply zone. I’ll be watching for a retest in this area as an opportunity to catch potential sell positions.
If price revisits the 10-hour demand zone I’ve marked, I’ll also be open to a potential bullish reaction there. Should this demand fail, I’ll look for a deeper mitigation at the next demand level below.
Confluences for GU Sells:
- The DXY has been very bullish, signalling a continued downward bias for GU.
- GU has maintained a bearish structure, aligning with this pro-trend idea.
- An untouched supply zone offers a key area for potential sell entries.
- Significant liquidity below, providing additional targets.
- The 1-hour supply is positioned at the psychological level of 1.30000.
P.S. There’s a strong pool of liquidity above my supply, so if price briefly moves higher to take the trendline liquidity, it wouldn’t be surprising. Stay diligent, and have a great trading week, everyone!
GBP USD Trade Setup Possible selling opportunity on GBP USD ???
Double Top at a Supply Zone
Currently forming a Doji and Close below candlestick pattern,
Let me know your thoughts in the comments
GBPUSD Will Grow! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.298.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.306 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBP/USD: Will Demand Zones Trigger the Next Bullish Rally?The GBP/USD pair showed some strength on Thursday, advancing to open the Friday London session at 1.2978 as of the time of writing. Despite the recent uptick, the pair’s near-term outlook remains uncertain, as traders assess various market dynamics and potential demand levels that could drive future price action.
Technical Overview: Mixed Sentiment and COT Report Analysis
From a technical standpoint, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates an interesting divergence between retail traders and institutional investors. Retail traders have generally adopted a bearish stance, while "smart money" is beginning to build bullish positions, hinting at a potential shift in market sentiment. This kind of divergence often acts as a precursor to a trend reversal, but timing is critical.
Adding to this potential bullish sentiment is our Forecaster, which currently suggests a possible start of a bullish season for the British Pound. However, our technical analysis suggests that the price has not yet reached a significant demand area to trigger a strong buying opportunity. As it stands, the recent bullish push may be short-lived, as the GBP/USD appears poised for a bearish correction. This pullback could be necessary for the pair to establish a firmer demand base before initiating a more sustainable bullish rally aligned with seasonal patterns.
US Dollar Outlook: Trump’s Impact on Market Dynamics
Meanwhile, the outlook for the US Dollar remains largely positive, fueled by growing expectations of a potential Donald Trump victory in the upcoming US presidential election on November 5. Traders are anticipating the return of his aggressive economic policies, which are likely to include higher tariffs and lower taxes—measures historically seen as supportive of the US Dollar.
However, the potential impact of a Trump administration could be negative for the currencies of major US trading partners, such as the British Pound. As traders price in this scenario, the US Dollar may strengthen further, adding additional bearish pressure on the GBP/USD pair in the short term.
Current Strategy: Awaiting Key Demand Levels
Given the current technical and fundamental setup, we are maintaining a cautious approach. While the recent price action and the COT data suggest a potential bullish shift for the GBP/USD, our strategy is to wait for the price to reach a key demand area before considering any long positions. This approach aims to minimize downside risk and capitalize on a more confirmed trend reversal.
For now, we are on the sidelines, closely monitoring price movements and upcoming economic data releases that could influence market sentiment. Should the pair dip further into a demand zone, it could present an attractive opportunity for a long setup, aligned with both smart money positioning and seasonal trends.
Conclusion
The GBP/USD shows signs of a potential bullish season on the horizon, but with the price currently failing to reach strong demand levels, a pullback appears likely. Meanwhile, the US Dollar's strength, driven by speculation of Trump’s possible return to the White House, continues to weigh on the pair. For now, our strategy remains patient and data-driven, with a focus on finding the right demand level to initiate a bullish position. As always, staying disciplined and responsive to market shifts will be key in navigating the upcoming volatility.
✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that last night the price dropped to $2708. As I mentioned, due to the sharpness of this drop, I expected the liquidity gap created by the decline to be filled quickly. We saw the price rise from the $2708 demand zone up to $2739, and it is currently trading around $2736.
Pay attention to the $2732 to $2735 range, as it is a key demand zone. If the price can hold above this level, we will likely see further growth in gold. However, if this important support zone fails to hold back the decline, we could potentially see a further drop with the first bearish target at $2727.
In case of continued growth (Scenario 1), the targets will be $2739.5, $2741, $2743.5, $2748, and $2755, respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
End of the week market analysis25th October
DXY: Consolidating along 104 round number (50% fib retracement) could trade down to 103.85 price level
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5970 SL 20 TP 55
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6610 SL 20 TP 40
GBPUSD: Sell 1.30 SL 25 TP 90
EURUSD: Looking for reaction around 1.0840
USDJPY: Buy 152.20 SL 40 TP 100
USDCHF: Do Nothing
USDCAD: Looking for bounce, retail sales data pending Buy 1.3825 SL 15 TP 40
Gold: Likely to fluctuate between 2700 and 2740 while directional bias develops
GBPUSD Long UpdateGBPUSD looks to be starting a small reversal to return to the extreme of the leg on the daily chart.
I want to see the 4h LH broken before price moves back down to our entry levels breaking the double bottom that's almost formed on the hourly.
Trading opportunities will be:
Long trades targeting the 2 1h POI zones above 4h LH (these are higher risk trades).
Short trades after the 4h LH has been broken to the long trade entry zone.
2 long entries.
Long entries are 10:1 and 14:1 making this a very high reward trade opportunity.
Follow for more updates.
GBPUSD up or Down ?according to the chart as you see ,
The price is stuck behind a heavy resistance
Considering the negative news yesterday and today for the British pound, and the above resistance and the previous trend in the one-hour time frame, which is downward, we can be optimistic about the continuation of the price correction.
GBP/USD - Cup and Handle Pattern in 1-Hour Time FrameWe are seeing a cup and handle pattern forming on the 1-hour time frame. If the price breaks out above the top of the handle, my target will be the pink resistance zone. This target is calculated by measuring the distance from the bottom of the cup to the top and projecting it upwards. Waiting for confirmation of the breakout before entering a long position.
GBPUSD Long UpdateGBPUSD looks to be starting a small reversal to return to the extreme of the leg on the daily chart.
I want to see the 4h LH broken before price moves back down to our entry levels breaking the double bottom that's almost formed on the hourly.
Trading opportunities will be:
Long trades targeting the 2 1h POI zones above 4h LH (these are higher risk trades).
Short trades after the 4h LH has been broken to the long trade entry zone.
2 long entries.
Long entries are 10:1 and 14:1 making this a very high reward trade opportunity.
Follow for more updates.
GBPUSD: Two Possible Buying Opportunity! Are you buying GU?Dear colleagues,
I would like to share my analysis of the recent price action in the GBPUSD currency pair. As you may be aware, the pair was rejected at the 1.34 level after setting a new yearly high. This move lower was largely due to a sharp rally in the US Dollar Index (DXY), which was in turn driven by stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data. The NFP report showed that the US economy added a record 254k jobs last month, far exceeding market expectations.
As a result of this data, the GBPUSD pair is now exhibiting strong bearish momentum and is facing significant selling pressure. However, I believe that the current market conditions may present a buying opportunity. While the initial entry point may not be ideal, there is a second entry point that offers a safer and more secure opportunity to enter a long position.
In my opinion, the GBPUSD pair has the potential to rally back up to the 1.34 level as the DXY is unlikely to maintain its bullish momentum. This assessment is based on both technical and fundamental factors, which do not indicate further upside potential for the US Dollar.
I encourage you to consider this analysis and share your thoughts in the comments section below.
Here is our previous charts ON GU
And Here is our view point on DXY/USD:
While last Friday's data may have caused some temporary setbacks, I assure you that the majority of currency pairs are poised for recovery. Your continued support and dedication to your trading endeavors are greatly appreciated. May you all thrive and achieve success in the week ahead.
Team Setupsfx_
